Manage Risks in projects

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    A special lecture for BusinessLeadersPresented by:

    Masilamani Ramasamy

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    is important for success

    especially in projects

    need to have a process/s five steps project

    manager/s can use

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    Risk management processes are cyclic start from identification of a risk, and may result in identification of another

    new risk

    each individual has different opinions &ways to deal with risks, SO risk should be consistent to meetproject objectives

    documented in a risk managementplan

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    The Process

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    Identify risks that affect theproject

    positively or negatively, anddocument their characteristics

    Do this as thoroughly as youcan

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    Identify Risks Mind Map

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    Assess the risk impact Analyze the probability of riskoccurrence, and

    prioritize the risks numerically analyze the effect ofidentified risks on project

    objectives usually on cost, schedule and scopetargets

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    SCALE PROBABILITY +/- IMPACT ON PROJECT OBJECTIVESTIME COST QUALITY

    VHI > 90% 20DAYS

    >200K Very significant impact onoverall functionality

    HI 71 90% 11 2

    0DAYS

    101 200K Significant impact on

    overall functionality

    MED 51 70% 4 10DAYS

    51 100K Some impact in keyfunctional areas

    LO 31 50% 1 3

    DAYS

    10 50K Minor impact on overall

    functionality

    VLO 11 30% < 1 DAY

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    Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Mind Map

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    Explore all the possible ways to reduce the impact of threats , and/or exploit opportunities

    Plan actions to eliminate the risks and/or enhance the opportunities

    Action plans should be appropriate, cost effective, and

    realistic

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    : PLAN ACTIONS-Standard Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS)RBS LEVEL 0 RBS LEVEL 1 RBS LEVEL 2

    RBSLEVEL 0

    RBS LEVEL 1 RBS LEVEL 2 RBS LEVEL 2

    0. PROJECT RISK

    1. TECHNICAL RISK1.1 Scope definition1.2 Requirements definition1.3 Estimates, assumptions & constraints1.4 Technical processes1.5 Technology1.6 Technical interfaces

    1.7 Design1.8 Performance1.9 Reliability & maintainability1.10 Safety1.11 Security1.12 Test & acceptance

    2. MANAGEMENT RISK 2.1 Project management2.2 Programme/portfolio management2.3 Operations management2.4 Organisation2.5 Resourcing2.6 Communication2.7 Information

    2.8 HS&E

    2.9 QuaLITY2.10 Reputation

    3. COMMERCIAL RISK 3.1 Contractual terms & conditions3.2 Internal procurement3.3 Suppliers & vendors3.4 Subcontracts

    3.5 Client/customer stability3.6 Partnerships & joint ventures

    4. EXTERNAL RISK 4.1 Legislation4.2 Exchange rates4.3 Site/facilities4.4 Environmental/weather4.5 Competition

    4.6 Regulatory

    4.7 Political4.8 Country4.9 Social/demographic4.10 Pressure groups4. EXTERNAL RISK

    4.11 Force majeure

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    Plan Risk Management Mind Map

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    Track the risks throughout the project If risks occur then,

    implement the risk strategy based on

    action plan Risk strategies may include

    Mitigation

    Acceptance Avoidance, and

    Exploitation

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    This is no problem You can perform a risk assessment on the

    project and begin to apply project riskmanagement at any time

    The risk assessment should find some of themajor things which are about to go wrong,and identify potential failures as the project

    continues

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    AvoidThe best thing that you can do

    with a risk is avoid itif you can

    prevent it from happening, it

    Definitely wont hurt your project.

    The easiest way to avoid this riskis to walk away

    from the cliff but that may notbe an option on this project.

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    TransferOne effective wayto deal with a risk

    is to pay someoneelse to accept itfor you. The most

    common way todo this is to buyinsurance.

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    MitigateIf you cant avoid the

    risk, you can mitigateit.This means takingsome Risk Response

    Strategies

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    If you cant avoid the risk,and theres nothing you can

    do to reduce its impact,then accepting it is youronly choice

    AcceptWhen you cant avoid, mitigate,or transfer a risk, then you haveto accept it. But even when youaccept a risk, at least youvelooked at the alternatives and

    you know what will happen if itoccurs.

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    Plan Risk Responses Mind Map

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    Measure the effectiveness of theplanned action and

    controlling the risk impact by understanding risk triggers

    & timely implementation of

    planned actions

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    RiskCategory Risk Name RiskNumberProbability (1-3)

    Impact(1-3)RiskScore(1-5) Mitigation Contingency Action By

    ActionWhen

    GuestsThe guestsfind thepartyboring

    1.1. 2 2 4 Invite crazyfriends, providesufficient liquor

    Bring out thekaraoke

    Ahmadwithin2hrs

    GuestsDrunkenbrawl

    1.2. 1 3 3Dont invitecrazy friends,don't provide

    too much liquor

    Call 911 Samy Now

    Nature Rain 2.1. 2 2 4 Have the partyindoors

    Move theparty indoors

    Milind 10mins

    Nature

    Earthquake

    or fire 2.2. 1 3 3Start the partywith instructions

    on what to do inthe event of fireor earthquake

    Implementtheappropriate

    naturaldisasterresponseplan

    Everyone

    As per

    plan

    FoodNotenoughfood

    3.1. 1 2 2 Have a buffet Order pizza Zainal 30minsFood Food is

    spoiled3.2. 1 3 3 Store the food in

    deep freezerOrder pizza Susi 30mins

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karaokehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karaoke
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    Monitor & Control Risks Mind Map

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