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MALIKI
Director of Population Planning and Social ProtectionMinistry of National Development Planning / Bappenas
Jakarta, 22 May 2018
National StrategyTowards an Independent, Prosperous and Dignified Ageing Population Society
OUTLINEElderly and PovertyFulfilment of Elderly NeedsPension PlanNational Strategy on Ageing Population / Elderly
••••
The elderly (60+) population reached 10% by 2021
250
200
150
25
20
15
22
14
8
8,5
Source: BPS, SUPAS 2015, UN Population Projection 2017 Revision
•••
Indonesia is a country that will enter the era of aging population(ageing population)Number of people aged 60 years and over that has exceeded 8.5% in 2015 and 10% in 2021By 2045, the elderly population reaches 57 million people and contributes about 3% of the world's elderly population
3
Pers
enta
se(%
)
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
2080
2085
2090
2095
2100
Juta
oran
g 913226
17,9
9,5
Percentage of Elderly Age350 29,7 35
300 57 30
18
11
100 11,1 10
50 5,4 6,3 7,2 7,6 5
0 01980 1990 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2045 2100
Population Age 60+
Population Under Age 60
Percentage of Elderly Against total population (%)
% Elderly and Rapidity of "Ageing", 2015-21006 40
5 35
304 25
3 20
2 15
101 5
0 0
Indonesia Rapidity of Ageing Malaysia Rapidity of Ageing
Indonesia % Elderly (60+) Malaysia % Elderly (60+)
With a relatively low level of education, the elderly vulnerable to falling into poverty
Level of Elderly Education, 2015
9%4% Never School
Not Passed Elementary School
SD
SMP
SMA
SMK
DIII
S1
2.900
31%8%
4%12,0
3%12%
4% 10%
Source: BPS: Susenas 2013-2016, processed by Bappenas Source: SUPAS 2015 processed by Bappenas
••
The poverty rate of the elderly is relatively higher than in the last two years :(a) lack of skills (low level of education) to get a good job after retirement, (b) have no pension, (c) not getting family support.
4
Ribu
Ora
ng
Number and Poverty Level 60+
3.100 14,53.000 14,09 14,0
2.800 13,52.700 13,05 13,02.6002.500 12,56 12,52.4002.300 2.532 3.022 2.9242.200 11,5
2014 2015 2016
# of Poor People P o v e r t y r a t e (60+)
5
Elderly Give More to Younger Generation
30%71% 70,3%
Within years, there are more roleof government in social assistancetransfers for the elderly (65+).
In 2012, government transfers meet about 8% of the consumption needs of the elderly.
There is a tendency of the elderly to provide support to the younger generation.
Labor income and asset allocationremain an important part to befulfilled as their needs.
• Starting from 2015, Pension Program andOld Age Savings are mandatory
• Pension Program is only for formal workers
Trends in Financing the Elderly (65+) 1993-2012150%
130%50%
110% 43%43% 45%
90% 43% 42,2%
70%
50% 96% 91%81% 80%
10%
-10% 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2012
-30%
-50%
Public Transfers Inter-vivos Transfers Work Asset Reallocations
Elderly people still can not be financially independent
• In general, elderly people still have to work to meet the needs of life
The half of the poor elderly population needs are still depend on government assistance
The assistance is then distributed to other family members (intergenerationaltransfers)
•
•
6
• The non-poor elderly population has divested as a way to fulfill their needs
The way to Fulfill the Elderly Consumption(60+)
200
150
100
50
-Poor Not Poor Poor Not Poor
(50) CITY VILLAGE
(100)
Revenue from Assets Public Transfers (net)
Family Transfer (net) Working
Nearly HALF the elderly do not have pension funds
• The pattern of consumption of elderly population shows the level of welfareThe elderly population in the middle and lower income countries are relatively more vulnerable to povertyIn countries with adequate pension funds, the poverty rate of the elderly population is relatively lower than the total population e.g. Latin AmericaCoverage of pension funds :
•
•
•• Europe and America, retirement coverage reaches up to
90%, Middle East <30%, Asia and Pacific <40%
• Elderly women are more vulnerable with lower pension fund
7
INDONESIA
AgeSumber : National Transfer Accounts data base
Per capita consumption age of 60 years and over (relative to consumption 30-49), per age
and state income level
Number of Participants of the Pension Plan, per age, 2017
300.000
Sources: BPJS Ketenagakerjaan, Bappenas, proyeksi BPS
800.000
700.000
600.000
500.000Accident and Death
400.000 Insurance
Pension Program
200.000
100.000
-15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79
Limited ownership of Health Insurance and Old Age or Retirement among the elderly
7.000
3.000
2014 2015 2016
Source: Susenas 2014-2016, processed by BappenasInfo: 1) PBI year 2014 include Jampersal
9
Dal
am r
ibu
RT)
(dal
am r
ibu
RT)
1.0851.049
109
508
3.214
1.293 1.333
Number of Households with Elderly (60+) with Health Insurance
9.000
8.000 81956
1.0486.000
5.000 353 3.175
4.000 3.469
1.199
2.000 1.258
1.000 2.664
02014 2015 2016
Lain Jamkesda PBI 1) Askes/Asabri/Jamsostek BPJS Kesehatan
Number of Households with Elderly (60+) Have Workers Insurance
1.400
1.200
1.000
800
600
400 811
200
0
A. Pensiun/Veteran B. JHT C. JKK D. JK E. Pesangon
Draft of Presidential Regulation:National Strategy Towards Independent, Prosperous, and Dignified Elderly
5Protection,
Fulfillment and Respect for
Elderly Rights
• Realizing a healthy elderly population through the strengthening of healthy lifestyle (life-course)
Community Development
and the Elderly Human
Resource 1
4 Independent, Prosperous,
and Dignity of the Elderly
• Institution strengthening focus on the elderly and ageing issuesImproving
the Elderly Health
Institutional Strenghtening
of Elderly Implementation
Agency • To increase the coverage of National Social Security membership
Improving the Social
Protection, Revenue
Assurance and Individual Capacity
23
11
Five Important Factors of Consideration on the Elderly Policy
Public Awareness on “ageing” should be prepared as early as possible
Strong institutions are needed to deal with “ageing”
Social Protection as a national scheme “ageing” safeguarding
Individual capacity and health need to be prepared for “active ageing”
Elderly rights as the “development subject”
Ensure that the entire community is financially and skillfully ready to face retirement
Assistance
Hig
her E
duca
tion
TRAN
SFO
RMAT
ION
Protection for the vulnerable elderly who are integrated with other social assistance
Targeted SocialSocial Assistance
Old Age Guarantee (JHT) and Retirement Guarantee (JP) contributions-based
Premium support for the informal
Additional pension for the informal
Old-age Investment: Passive
Income and other investments
Social Security System