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CCS HFC 2019
HYDROGEN Turning up the gas
Jon Hunt
Manager Alternative Fuels
TOYOTA GB
CCS HFC 2019
~7,800 Mirai sold globally = production capacity
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106 Mirai in the UK
4,650 USA / 2,700 Japan / 400 Europe
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Largest UK Station Operator
• Operate 7 of the
11 UK stations
• 6 more in
build/plan
• >95% availability
CCS HFC 2019
We need people who are
BRAVE ENOUGH
TO CHALLENGE
THE STATUS QUODr. Katsuhiko HiroseProduct General Manager Toyota Fuel Cell Development Group
CCS HFC 2019
Hydrogen – Versatile, ubiquitous, zero-emission energy carrier
ZEROemission footprint potential
LONGdistance transport
HIGHenergy density
Biomass
Batteries
H2
CLEANpower and/or heat
FEEDSTOCKfor industry
Urea
+ many
others
MethanolMethane
ECONOMYFinancial opportunity
CCS HFC 2019
CHALLENGE 2050
New vehicle zero emissions
Life cycle zero emissions (raw materials, parts & manufacturing, use, recycling)
Plant zero emissions
Minimizing and optimizing water usage
Establishing a re-cycling based society
Establishing a future society in harmony with nature
4
CCS HFC 2019
Hydrogen Society & Toyota
TRANSPORT & HOME
MANUFACTURING
ENERGY PRODUCTION
CCS HFC 2019
To reduce vehicle emissions
Vehicle electrification is essential
CCS HFC 2019
Motor, Battery & Inverters
ELECTRIC MOTOR
BATTERY
INVERTER (PCU)
Core technologies of all electrified vehicles
+ CHARGING BEV
+ FUEL CELL + HYDROGEN
TANKFCEV
12
HEV+ ENGINE + FUEL
+ ENGINE+ CHARGING
PHEV+ FUEL
CCS HFC 2019
Toyota Battery Development Since 1925
Sakichi Battery Challenge
19
25
1st gen. Prius launched- first commercial EV
(nickel-metal hydride battery)19
97
Lithium-ion batteries2
00
3
Commercialise solid-state batteries
20
20
sNew Technology e.g.
Metal-air batteries
I D E AL S T O R AG E B AT T E RY D E V I C E
High energy density, retains charge, quick-charged, low-resistance,
easy to manufacture, highly durable
S AK I C H I T O Y O D A
14
Established Battery Research Laboratory
19
39
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Toyota: Decades Of Electric Powertrain Evolution
1997 Prius
World’s First
Hybrid Electric
ELECTRIC MOTOR
INVERTER (PCU)
BATTERY
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Toyota: 21 years of Electric Powertrain Sales
1997 Prius World’s First
Hybrid Electric
2012 World’s First
Plug-in Hybrid Electric
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
TO
TA
L (
M U
NIT
S)
CO2 REDUCTION (TOTAL)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
TO
TA
L (
M U
NIT
S)
UNITS SOLD (TOTAL)
1997 2007 2018
Toyota Cumulative HEV Sales & CO2 Reduction
MARCH
2018
Total Hybrid sales
100M
MARCH
2018
tons of CO2 savedvs comparable petrol engines
1 M I L3 M I L
5 M I L
13MILLION
100 MILLION
TONS
7
Dec
2018
Dec
2018
CCS HFC 2019
1997 Prius World’s First
Hybrid Electric
2012 World’s First
Plug-in Hybrid Electric
2015 Mirai World’s
First Fuel Cell Electric
Pure Electric Modular mass produced electric technology for
Hybrid EV, Plug-In EV, pure EV and Fuel Cell EV
21 years of Electric Powertrain Development
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Power electronicsTraction Electric Motors
Toyota continued development & more patents than
any other companyTraction batteries
Sources: Reuters Thomson 05/16 & APC Low Carbon
Automotive propulsion Technologies report 2016 patents filed 2010-16
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Future Battery Technology- Solid state
• Faster charge
• Cheaper
• Safer
• Lighter
• Smaller
CCS HFC 2019
FCEV The Ultimate Zero Emission Solution
Zero harmful tailpipe
emissions – emits only
water
Fun to drive with
powerful acceleration
Smooth, quiet driving
(electric motor)
3-5 min refueling
300m* range
*Depending on driving style
Zero emission renewable
Hydrogen
Lower
production
and
wholelife
cost
CCS HFC 2019
Plug-in
policy is
easier
So What?
Everyone is
doing BEV
CCS HFC 2019 Copyright © PA Knowledge Limited 2018
Global CO2 Emission Standards
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CCS HFC 2019
2015-2019 20252020-2022 2030
CO2 g/km 130now
95*fixed
83*likely
70*
expected
EURO standard
EURO 6 EURO 6.2Pressure on Diesel
WLTP Post EURO 6?
Europe’s emissions regulations become
more stringent -15% 2025, -35% 2030:
* Market average. Actual the target differs by manufacturer depending on total sales volume and emissions level when baseline created
CCS HFC 2019 Copyright © PA Knowledge Limited 2018
• 2021 Target based on weighted average
CO2 emissions using conformity curve
from 2015
• PA Knowledge Ltd forecast 2021 based
on extrapolation
Manufacturer CO2 target and
PA Knowledge Ltd forecast
CCS HFC 2019 Copyright © PA Knowledge Limited 2018
€95
Estimated target deviation & possible fines
Fine for every gram in
excess of target
• Super credits
available for lowest
emitting vehicles
CCS HFC 2019
BEV,The Quick Fix
Compliance Car?
CCS HFC 2019
Plug In Electric Vehicle Challenges
Customer
Convenience
POWER STATION
EMISSIONS
RECYCLINGBATTERY LIFE &
RESOURCES
VEHICLE RANGE
VEHICLE COST
CHARGE TIMEACCESS TO
INFRASTRUCTURE
CCS HFC 2019
H2 Lowest lifecycle CO2 Emissions g/km
FCEV – 300 mile range BEV– 35kWh 125 mile rangeICE
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FC system: huge potential for cost
reductionFuel cell system costs have been reduced significantly and cost reduction efforts are ongoing
Limited Sales Commercial Entry Widespread use
FC
SY
ST
EM
CO
ST
2008 MODEL
Costs down to 1/20 of
2008 Model costs (2015)
Further cost reductions
CCS HFC 2019
Short-distance use
Small home-delivery vehicles
BEV
HEV
PHEV
FCEV (BUS)
FCEV
Passenger cars
Route buses
Personal mobility
Delivery trucks
Full-size trucks
BEV domain
HEV/PHEV domain
FCEV domain
Traveling distance
Ve
hic
le s
ize
Toyota has a clear vehicle roadmap :
CCS HFC 2019
Source: KPMG’s Global Automotive Executive Survey 2019 (900 execs / 2,100 consumers)
Hydrogen is the future of electric mobility
79%
CCS HFC 2019
Toyota H2 applications growing
Toyota ForkliftToyota Fuel Cell Bus
Toyota Fuel Cell powered truck: >300 mile range, 10 minute refuelling
Toyota LCV
CCS HFC 2019
Toyota Tokyo Bay Project
Solid Oxide Fuel Cell at
Toyota Motomachi Plant
Toyota Tri-Gen Railway integration
Boats
7 Eleven Truck & stationary Fuel Cell
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New Hydrogen Research
CCS HFC 2019
CCS HFC 2019
Need Collaboration from All Stakeholders
Energy
suppliers
Industry
CLEAN
CARBON-FREEMOBILITY & SOCIETY
Customers
Governments
