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Seite 1
Vienna, 12th June 2014
13.06.2014
Main findings LUCAS 2009 and 2012 Evidence after 12 years project time and several surveys?
Ready for a proposal for a statistical regulation?
bmlfuw.gv.at
REFERAT II/5A
STATISTIK UND DATENPOOL
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
Square kilometre 2009 2012 +/- % +/- absolut
EU 22 corresponding countries 51.139 61.273 19,8 10.134
European Union (aggregate
changing according to the context) 51.139 61.273 19,8 10.134
European Union (27 countries) : 65.055 : :
Belgium 1.227 2.173 77,1 946
Bulgaria : 1.037 : :
Czech Republic 1.014 1.229 21,2 215
Denmark 969 1.009 4,1 40
Germany 7.700 9.184 19,3 1.484
Estonia 203 195 -3,9 -8
Ireland 811 842 3,8 31
Greece 1.155 1.394 20,7 239
Spain 5.127 6.268 22,3 1.141
France 7.278 9.028 24,0 1.750
Italy 6.087 8.188 34,5 2.101
Cyprus : 231 : :
Latvia 358 189 -47,2 -169
Lithuania 627 378 -39,7 -249
Luxembourg 36 69 91,7 33
Hungary 1.089 1.565 43,7 476
Malta : 60 : :
Netherlands 1.287 1.746 35,7 459
Austria 1.370 1.783 30,1 413
Poland 4.445 4.597 3,4 152
Portugal 1.372 2.120 54,5 748
Romania : 2.454 : :
Slovenia 161 158 -1,9 -3
Slovakia 520 732 40,8 212
Finland 960 951 -0,9 -9
Sweden 1.263 1.637 29,6 374
United Kingdom 6.080 5.838 -4,0 -242
BUILD-UP LAND found in LUCAS 2009 And 2012
Land cover overview 2009 [lan_lcv_ovw]
Last update 25.10.13
Extracted on 10.06.14
Source of data Eurostat
UNIT Square kilometre
giant increase in sealed Land in Europe?
… loss in land for food production,
renewable energy or biodiversity within three
years?
… or a systematic error?
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
WETLAND found in LUCAS 2009 and 2012
Land cover overview 2009 [lan_lcv_ovw]
Last update 25.10.13
Extracted on 10.06.14
Source of data Eurostat
UNIT Square kilometre
giant loss in biodiversity within three years in
Europe?
… or a systematic error?
GEO/LANDCOVER 2009 2012 +/- % +/- absolut
EU 22 corresponding countries 70.853 57.281 -19,2 -13.572
European Union (aggregate
changing according to the context) 70.853 57.281 -19,2 -13.572
European Union (27 countries) : 59.451 : :
Belgium 28 36 28,6 8
Bulgaria : 111 : :
Czech Republic 241 101 -58,1 -140
Denmark 413 353 -14,5 -60
Germany 1.664 1.541 -7,4 -123
Estonia 2.241 1.106 -50,6 -1.135
Ireland 4.017 3.151 -21,6 -866
Greece 711 571 -19,7 -140
Spain 807 588 -27,1 -219
France 1.403 1.202 -14,3 -201
Italy 638 826 29,5 188
Cyprus : 19 : :
Latvia 1.548 1.503 -2,9 -45
Lithuania 381 808 112,1 427
Luxembourg 0 0 0,0 0
Hungary 1.142 1.112 -2,6 -30
Malta : 0 : :
Netherlands 277 179 -35,4 -98
Austria 395 295 -25,3 -100
Poland 1.252 1.561 24,7 309
Portugal 393 184 -53,2 -209
Romania : 2.040 : :
Slovenia 63 74 17,5 11
Slovakia 55 47 -14,5 -8
Finland 19.572 19.940 1,9 368
Sweden 28.583 15.698 -45,1 -12.885
United Kingdom 5.029 6.405 27,4 1.376
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
LANDUSE DATA WITHOUT TIME
COMPERABILITY?
Seite 5
Vienna, 12th June 2014
AUSTRIAN LUCAS RESULTS - DISCUSSED
Results of the survey are still not significant -> do not publish inaccurate data/statistics!
If LANDUSE is not significant – what is the quality of the soil subsample?
Redesign instead of filling some gaps and bluffing accuracy
Focus the real needs
In case of existing georeferenced administrative Data – no more physical observation of the point
Using georef. IACS, business register, forest inventory or cadastral data or other inventories (e.g. Landscape)
No publication of the exact point coordinates
Beside the protection of the identity of the landowner an his ownership rights–
there is a real chance of manipulation or disturbing the point of observation.
Soil sample should be guided by representative group of soil experts – (national/forest/arable)
Many other soil types are underestimated by the current sample– not only peat soil!
There is a need of a specific soil focused sample – not grid oriented
MAIN METHODOLOGY FINDINGS:
Artificial area
massive overestimation of the artificial area development (LUCAS +10% p.J.)
built up area in national cadaster max. +0,3% per year ( +1,6 % for whole artificial area)
Cropland
Lucas shows opposite trends: instead of decrease of cropland -107 km2 in 3 years, LUCAS shows increase of +319 km2.
Forest
overestimation forest increase with the multiplier factor 2,5
LUCAS +407 km2 (=+135 km2/year), forest inventory : +165 km2 (=+55 km2/year)
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
WHY ARE CORRECT FIGURES IMPORTANT?
1. LULUCF modelling methodology: Panagos et al. (2013) compared data from
Jones et al. (2005) to measured LUCAS 2009 data and showed an
underestimation of SOC in Southern Europe while in Central and Eastern
Europe a net overestimation was visible. Therefore, rescaling stocks seems
reasonable given the uncertainties surrounding initial SOC stocks
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT (The role of
land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) in the EU's climate;
12.3.2012): Monitoring and reporting needs to be improved to underpin the
accounting framework and the indicators tracking progress in agriculture and
forestry. The Commission proposes to achieve this through separate
framework, i.e. by revising the Monitoring Mechanism Decision. For reasons
of comparability and cost-efficiency, better use should be made of EU-wide
monitoring instruments such as LUCAS and CORINE.
3. LUCAS point data are used for several maps – from illustrating ecosystem
services to EUROSTAT environmental Publications
4. Scientific Recommendations for the new Rural Development Programme
2014-20 address the identified “hot spots” on regional soil level.
Characterized by high top soil organic carbon contents. The topsoil organic
carbon hotspots were identified by a map with data of European Soil
Database 2003 provided by Joint Research Centre (EEA, 2012).
5. Soil erodibility on LUCAS 2009 basis data in The State of soil in Europe -
JRC reference report 2012
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
LUCAS SOIL POINTS 2009
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
CORG (%), „UPPER SOIL“
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Vienna, 12th June 2014
CORG (CLASSES) – UPPER SOIL
AGRICULTURAL NATIONAL SOILMAP
< 0,9% Corg,
0,9 -2,3%,
> 2,3%;
organic soil CO2
hotspot?
