Sheet2Indonesia%7.5%8.2%7.8%4.7%-13.1%0.8%4.9%3.3%Billion IDR 1993 prices329,776354,641383,792413,798433,246376,375379,352397,934411,132YearYear to begin projecting2002%Additional GR0.0%West Java%7.9%8.7%9.2%5.0%-17.6%1.0%12.3%4.0%Billion IDR 1993 prices105,046113,328123,140134,408141,112116,228117,416131,803137,031%Additional GR0.5%Central Java%7.1%7.4%7.4%3.3%-11.7%3.2%3.9%3.3%Billion IDR 1993 prices38,03740,73243,75146,96948,50842,84244,21945,95947,488%Additional GR-0.1%East Java%7.2%8.2%8.3%5.0%-16.1%1.2%3.3%3.3%Billion IDR 1993 prices49,17252,72757,04161,75264,85454,39955,05956,85758,758%Additional GR0.1%South Sumatra%7.3%8.7%8.0%5.1%-6.8%3.2%5.9%4.3%Billion IDR 1993 prices10,73611,51512,51613,52114,20713,23913,65814,46515,0860%1%1%2%5%-0%2%1%0.8%%Additional GR1.0%East Kalimantan%9.2%4.4%8.3%4.4%-0.8%4.9%4.0%3.8%Billion IDR 1993 prices16,02217,50318,27719,79220,67320,51521,52022,38023,234%Additional GR2%-3%1%1%11%2%0%0%0.4%%Additional GR0.1%Jambi%8.2%8.5%8.8%3.9%-5.4%2.9%5.9%4.3%Billion IDR 1993 prices2,4632,6652,8913,1453,2683,0923,1813,3693,514%Additional GR1%0%1%-1%8%2%1%1%1.0%%Additional GR0.8%%Additional GRLampung%7.2%10.4%8.0%4.2%-6.9%3.5%3.4%3.5%Billion IDR 1993 prices5,4115,8016,4056,9147,2016,7016,9387,1747,423%Additional GR-0%2%0%-1%6%3%-1%0%%Additional GR0.1%%Additional GRRiau%4.2%4.6%5.5%3.2%-3.9%3.4%6.5%4.2%Billion IDR 1993 prices17,23017,95018,78319,80820,43419,64420,30921,63322,543%Additional GR-3%-4%-2%-2%9%3%2%1%%Additional GR-1.4%%Additional GRCentral Sulawesi (North East Sulawesi)%7.6%8.1%8.3%4.7%-4.0%2.8%4.2%5.2%Billion IDR 1993 prices1,7551,8892,0422,2132,3172,2252,2872,3842,507%Additional GR0%-0%1%0%9%2%-1%2%%Additional GR0.3%

InputScenarioWarna TextKeteranganInputHasil PerhitunganPlihan Scenario123PDB (2006 - 2015)5.00%6.00%7.00%(LOW)(MED)(HIGH)Untuk Memilih Scenario Ketik (1,2 atau 3)3200420052006 - 2015Proyeksi PDB4.90%5.50%7.0%p.a.PopulasiIndonesia (sensus 2000)1.49%p.a.Jawa Bagian Barat1.80%p.a.Jawa Bagian Tengah0.78%p.a.Jawa Bagian Timur0.70%p.a.Share Gas Bumi thdp Energy Mix*)20032004(pertambahan share per tahun) (2004-2010)2010(pertambahan share per tahun) (2015-2025)2015Jawa Bagian Barat14.5%14.5%2.59%30.0%2.0%40.0%Jawa Bagian Tengah0.0%0.0%5.00%25.0%2.0%35.0%Jawa Bagian Timur13.6%13.6%2.73%30.0%2.0%40.0%*) tidak termasuk gas flareShare Gas Bumi thdp Energy Mix*)2004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Share Gas Thdp energy MixJawa Bagian Barat14%17%20%22%25%27%30%32%34%36%38%40%42%44%46%48%50%52%54%56%58%60%Jawa Bagian Tengah0%0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%27.0%29.0%31.0%33.0%35.0%37.0%39.0%41.0%43.0%45.0%47.0%49.0%51.0%53.0%55.0%Jawa Bagian Timur14%16%19%22%25%27%30%32%34%36%38%40%42%44%46%48%50%52%54%56%58%60%

Gas Demand Macro2000348.3578846028571.52895157472001358.5638895125581.79005271542002281.8810412867610.76629873222003254.0926129181644.93737811952004262.9851649318670.32059487982005324.8451769823816.506870226651.2593046847393.9013587732981.0360438718112.0136383158468.80288463341160.5351154488183.001249698550.26142635891356.813389849265.0405361866639.04581638861571.8426227941359.036334285735.98741395751807.7723282178419.3880855326823.19628803652029.6544950114486.3636846293918.54997604252273.298221922560.52312200891022.87255838362540.9871945406642.47840663181137.05686102462835.2108988497732.89772903361262.07049997623158.6833253594832.50997003461398.96241251143514.3632931614942.10958206131548.86991494493905.47653264681062.56187214431713.02632994944335.53967728731194.80871794161892.76922976494808.38632750291339.87475058782089.54934531325328.19536330921498.8740408152304.94019516475899.5216972471673.01732763522540.64849255576527.32967512681863.61983193222798.52539323547217.02934948422072.10970061293080.57865186147974.5158694432300.03713050913388.98575999298806.2122510349

Jawa Bagian Tengah (MMCFD)Jawa Bagian Timur (MMCFD)Jawa Bagian Barat (MMCFD)TahunMMCFDProyeksi Kebutuhan Gas Bumi di Jawa Barat, Tengah dan Timur

JawaBagBaratProyeksi Energi Mix Jawa Bagian Barat (DKI Jakarta+Banten+Jawa Barat)20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Jawa Bagian Barat255,997275,058274,590277,990288,931298,554311,466325,572340,953357,697375,898395,658417,086440,299465,425492,600521,970553,693587,940624,894664,750707,720754,032803,930857,678915,558Energy Mix2000200120022003000 Boe000 Boe000 Boe000 BoeMinyak Bumi145,098150,085153,265154,825Gas Bumi35,65236,29238,10040,231Batubara49,71259,37957,12760,477Hydro9,69410,59211,13010,233Geothermal15,84118,71014,96812,224255,997275,058274,590277,990Proyeksi Kebutuhan Gas20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Jawa Bagian Barat (MMCFD)5725826116456708179811,1611,3571,5721,8082,0302,2732,5412,8353,1593,5143,9054,3364,8085,3285,9006,5277,2177,9758,806Energi Lain (MMCFDe)3,5323,8283,7913,8113,9613,9704,0124,0594,1094,1624,2184,3134,4134,5174,6264,7384,8534,9715,0905,2095,3285,4465,5605,6715,7755,871

JawaBagBarat

Gas BumiEnergi LainTahunMMCFDProyeksi Kebutuhan Gas Bumi Jawa Bagian Barat

JawaBagTengahProyeksi Energi Mix Jawa Bagian Tengah20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Jawa Bagian Timur45,00548,17548,54548,47553,67758,31263,95169,87576,10582,66789,58796,895104,619112,792121,449130,624140,358150,690161,666173,332185,738198,937212,987227,948243,885260,8682000200120022003Energy Mix000 Boe000 Boe000 BoeMinyak Bumi41,33142,75143,65744,102Gas BumiBatubara3351,5511,5691,569Hydro2,5372,9962,3971,958Geothermal80287792184745,00548,17548,54548,475Proyeksi Kebutuhan Gas20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Jawa Bagian Tengah (MMCFD)511121832653594194865616427338339421,0631,1951,3401,4991,6731,8642,0722,300Energi Lain (MMCFDe)7217727787778609359741,0081,0371,0601,0771,1341,1911,2481,3041,3611,4181,4741,5291,5841,6381,6901,7411,7911,8381,882

JawaBagTengah

Gas BumiEnergi LainTahunMMCFDProyeksi Kebutuhan Gas Bumi Jawa Bagian Tengah

JawaBagTimurProyeksi Energi Mix Jawa Bagian Timur20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Jawa Bagian Timur88,964110,850115,022116,397120,470123,954128,794134,093139,880146,184153,037160,473168,528177,242186,658196,821207,780219,589232,303245,983260,694276,506293,494311,738331,323352,3442000200120022003Energy Mix000 Boe000 Boe000 BoeMinyak Bumi47,48249,11450,15550,665Gas Bumi21,73122,36717,58415,850Batubara17,55736,77745,21048,188Hydro2,1942,5912,0731,693Geothermal88,964110,850115,022116,397Proyeksi Kebutuhan Gas20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Jawa Bagian Timur (MMCFD)3483592822542633253944695506397368239191,0231,1371,2621,3991,5491,7131,8932,0902,3052,5412,7993,0813,389Energi Lain (MMCFDe)1,0781,4181,5621,6121,6681,6621,6711,6811,6921,7041,7171,7491,7831,8181,8551,8931,9321,9712,0112,0502,0902,1282,1642,1992,2312,259

JawaBagTimur

Gas BumiEnergi LainTahunMMCFDProyeksi Kebutuhan Gas Bumi Jawa Bagian Timur

Gas BumiPenjelasan Kebutuhan Pemakaian Gas Bumi2003 Domestic Gas Consumption (Migas Statistik)Diambil dari Data Energi MixDomesticMMSCFMMCFDGas Bumi2003Fertilizers179,890493BOE161,649,300Petrochemicals74,332204MMBTU945,842,384Refinery22,99563MMCFD2,591LPG Domestik28,14177PGN158,921435Electricity182,573500Others Industry125,815345Subtotal772,6682,117Gas Flare172,901474Grand Total945,5692,5912003 Domestic Gas Consumption (di luar gas Flare)Indonesia2003 (MMCFD)%Household20.1%Commercial20.1%Industry28413.4%Electricity50523.9%Basic Industry1,32562.6%Subtotal2,117Jawa Barat2003 Data2000200120022003Household10.2%0.880.910.991.01Commercial20.3%1.631.751.881.68Industry16525.6%128136142165Electricity29145.1%261262277291Basic Industry18628.8%180181189186Subtotal64530.5%572582611645Jawa Tengah2000200120022003HouseholdCommercialIndustryElectricityBasic IndustrySubtotal0Jawa Timur2000200120022003Household00.0%0.030.070.100.12Commercial00.1%0.110.140.170.21Industry8934.9%50607589Electricity11946.8%251251160119Basic Industry4618.1%47474746Subtotal25412.0%348359282254Total Jawa89942%

Minyak BumiPenjelasan Kebutuhan Pemakaian Minyak BumiPenjualan BBM Dalam Negeri Tahun 2000Aktual Data (kilo Liter)MMBTUThousand BOE200020012002200320002001200220032000200120022003(Dalam Juta Liter)Faktor konversiTotal Seluruh IndonesiaJenis BBMBTU/LIndonesiaAvgas4.64.22.72.3150,165136,89489,16474,43326231513Avgas32447Avtur74481466363427,495,30330,068,13624,507,31123,407,8574,6995,1394,1884,001Avtur36949Premium12,42213,05713,73214,647412,354,737433,431,375455,860,352486,238,07870,47474,07677,90983,101Premium33196Kerosene12,45512,27911,67811,753450,766,939444,389,434422,654,386425,356,80477,03875,94872,23472,696Kerosene36191ADO21,73523,01424,21324,064802,856,901850,101,771894,399,833888,917,088137,212145,287152,858151,920ADO/HSD36939IDO1,4511,4201,3601,18355,778,12254,591,80252,288,88845,489,4219,5339,3308,9367,774IDO38437FO6,0136,1216,2616,216238,629,953242,919,227248,450,840246,668,86440,78341,51642,46242,157FO39685Total54,82556,70957,91158,5001,988,032,1192,055,638,6382,098,250,7732,116,152,545339,765351,319358,602361,661Data Aktual 2000 (kL)DKI JakartaJawa Barat+BantenJawa Bag. BaratDKI Jakarta, Banten + Jawa baratAvgas8531,0281,8811,9461,9872,00761,03363,13164,46865,12510111111Avtur25,728247,323273,051282,435288,421291,35610,088,96910,435,69110,656,85210,765,3021,7241,7841,8211,840Premium1,513,8024,275,6895,789,4915,988,4566,115,3676,177,601192,187,943198,792,776203,005,727205,071,63632,84633,97534,69535,048Kerosene1,430,9774,220,7535,651,7305,845,9605,969,8526,030,605204,541,760211,571,151216,054,910218,253,61534,95736,15936,92537,301ADO1,559,8415,027,7666,587,6076,814,0006,958,4077,029,220243,339,615251,702,353257,036,600259,652,35941,58843,01743,92944,376IDO111,086898,2241,009,3101,043,9961,066,1221,076,97138,794,84840,128,09340,978,51541,395,5376,6306,8587,0037,075FO1,019,4103,011,9244,031,3344,169,8774,258,2484,301,582159,983,490165,481,567168,988,565170,708,29427,34228,28228,88129,175Total5,661,69717,682,70723,344,40424,146,67024,658,40324,909,342848,997,659878,174,762896,785,638905,911,868145,098150,085153,265154,825Data Aktual 2000 (kL)DIYJawa TengahJawa Bag. TengahDI Yogyakarta + Jawa TengahAvgas22402242322372397,2687,5187,6777,7551111Avtur10,00115,61225,61326,49327,05527,330946,375978,898999,6441,009,817162167171173Premium1,419,215243,2541,662,4691,719,6021,756,0451,773,91655,187,32157,083,91858,293,67958,886,9109,4329,7569,96310,064Kerosene1,424,283123,7651,548,0481,601,2491,635,1841,651,82456,025,40557,950,80459,178,93759,781,1779,5759,90410,11410,217ADO2,393,535136,6162,530,1512,617,1042,672,5672,699,76593,461,24896,673,18798,721,95099,726,60415,97316,52216,87217,044IDO61,92962462,55364,70366,07466,7462,404,3502,486,9792,539,6852,565,530411425434438FO845,3316,478851,809881,083899,755908,91233,804,04034,965,76835,706,78636,070,1605,7775,9766,1026,165Total6,154,518526,3496,680,8676,910,4657,056,9167,128,732241,836,007250,147,071255,448,357258,047,95441,33142,75143,65744,102Data Aktual 2000 (kL)Jawa TimurJawa TimurAvgas80783585286126,18527,08527,65927,9404555Avtur58,58360,59661,88162,5102,164,5862,238,9762,286,4252,309,694370383391395Premium1,913,7191,979,4872,021,4382,042,00963,527,81665,711,04667,103,64067,786,52710,85711,23011,46811,585Kerosene2,142,3992,216,0262,262,9892,286,01977,535,56280,200,19081,899,84782,733,30913,25113,70713,99714,140ADO2,371,5192,453,0202,505,0062,530,49887,601,54090,612,10192,532,41493,474,08014,97215,48615,81415,975IDO266,354275,508281,346284,21010,237,84910,589,68810,814,11210,924,1631,7501,8101,8481,867FO925,659957,471977,762987,71236,734,77737,997,22438,802,48739,197,3656,2786,4946,6326,699Total7,679,0407,942,9428,111,2748,193,819277,828,316287,376,311293,466,585296,453,07747,48249,11450,15550,665

BatubaraPenjelasan Kebutuhan Pemakaian BatubaraKebutuhan Domestik BatubaraUnit19971998199920002001200220032000200120022003Metric Ton (Mton)Ribu SBM (000 BOE)IndonesiaRibu Metric Ton13,35615,36619,26222,98425,74928,85128,917107,711120,670135,207135,514JawaRibu Metric Ton9,79010,74514,33214,68520,85322,17223,52268,82097,726103,906110,234Jawa BaratRibu Metric Ton7,4207,98910,05710,60812,67112,19012,90549,71259,37957,12760,477Jawa TengahRibu Metric Ton0.0014.85177.26330.90334.85334.85334.851,5511,5691,5691,569Jawa TimurRibu Metric Ton2,3702,7424,0973,7467,8489,64710,28317,55736,77745,21048,188MTonsNOCompanyRegion19971998199920002001200220031PT Semen NusantaraCentral Java0.0014,850.00177,260.0054,024.0057,218.580.000.00PT Semen CilacapCentral Java0.000.000.00276,880.00277,636.00Total Central Java0.0014,850.00177,260.00330,904.00334,854.580.000.002PT Semen AndalasDI Aceh94,384.1059,214.6919,523.0033,618.0035,643.00Total DI Aceh94,384.1059,214.6919,523.0033,618.0035,643.003CFPP PaitonEast Java2,010,497.502,151,933.403,368,916.382,457,344.876,276,104.008,300,750.009,060,890.00PT Semen GresikEast Java48,112.1975,829.0099,975.00715,170.00912,030.00862,610.00715,170.00PT Tjiwi KimiaEast Java310,960.00503,574.93604,902.00557,485.92638,652.00455,880.00473,950.00PT Jaya KertasEast Java0.0010,322.0023,696.0016,395.0020,884.0027,830.0032,550.00Total East Java2,369,569.692,741,659.334,097,489.383,746,395.797,847,670.009,647,070.0010,282,560.004PT Semen KupangEast Nusa Tenggara5,474.000.000.000.000.00Total East Nusa Tenggara5,474.000.000.000.000.005PT Semen BaturajaLampung63,726.0068,700.0062,370.0026,610.0071,340.00Total Lampung63,726.0068,700.0062,370.0026,610.0071,340.006PT Newmont MinahasaNorth Sulawesi0.0024,516.0016,942.0016,418.0038,968.14Total North Sulawesi0.0024,516.0016,942.0016,418.0038,968.147PT Inti Indorayon UtamaNorth Sumatra55,068.1021,353.902,267.750.000.00Total North Sumatra55,068.1021,353.902,267.750.000.008PT Kodeco CementSouth Kalimantan0.007,679.4288,352.31166,826.00341,509.00CFPP Asam-AsamSouth Kalimantan0.000.000.00127,083.00488,147.00Total South Kalimantan0.007,679.4288,352.31293,909.00829,656.009PT Semen TonasaSouth Sulawesi1,887.5488,425.0095,499.00130,282.93724,963.00PT Bosowa CementSouth Sulawesi0.000.0030,271.00129,731.00247,509.38PT Inco TbkSouth Sulawesi36,507.1074,166.7675,511.000.00123,496.78Total South Sulawesi38,394.64162,591.76201,281.00260,013.931,095,969.1610CFPP Bukit AsamSouth Sumatra1,058,750.001,200,034.001,231,174.001,192,452.001,153,974.00PT Timah TbkSouth Sumatra14,322.0013,456.008,818.0012,475.0014,371.52PT KobatinSouth Sumatra0.000.001,200.002,000.0030,231.00Total South Sumatra1,073,072.001,213,490.001,241,192.001,206,927.001,198,576.5211CFPP SuralayaWest Java6,605,632.437,133,542.008,869,253.639,545,902.2710,172,030.008,950,790.0010,821,160.00PT Semen CibinongWest Java515,798.00577,607.00452,145.49379,376.00602,770.00897,670.00885,640.00PT Indocement CibinongWest Java127,716.1842,907.74456,416.25475,733.801,352,144.001,019,870.000.00PT Indocement CirebonWest Java0.0067,189.0080,775.000.00380,398.00294,220.00PT Indah KiatWest Java171,161.44167,626.14198,227.16206,795.00163,282.007,510.001,198,000.00PT Indocement CiteureupWest Java0.001,019,870.00Total West Java7,420,308.057,988,871.8810,056,817.5310,607,807.0712,670,624.0012,189,930.0012,904,800.0012PT Newmont SumbawaWest Nusa Tenggara0.000.0070,965.00376,095.00406,132.00Total West Nusa Tenggara0.000.0070,965.00376,095.00406,132.0013CFPP OmbilinWest Sumatra186,230.1534,820.350.000.000.00PT Semen PadangWest Sumatra432,597.58262,721.42469,754.04483,262.00474,430.00CFPP SijantangWest Sumatra149,641.00102,607.28125,101.0019,408.00374,894.00Total West Sumatra768,468.73400,149.05594,855.04502,670.00849,324.0014PT Antam TbkSoutheast Sulawesi79,850.6232,768.6220,755.000.0013,598.96Total Southeast Sulawesi79,850.6232,768.6220,755.000.0013,598.9615CFPP FreeportIrian Jaya0.000.000.000.00646,085.00Total Irian Jaya0.000.000.000.00646,085.0016Small IndustryOther47,858.000.000.000.000.00BriquetteOther26,998.0029,963.0038,302.0036,799.0031,265.00Others*Other1,312,775.042,600,550.132,573,354.865,545,608.902,407,666.84Total Others1,387,631.042,630,513.132,611,656.865,582,407.902,438,931.84Grand Total Indonesia13,355,946.9715,366,357.7819,261,726.8722,983,775.6928,477,373.20Source: Directorate of Coal, Ministry of Mines and Energy

Hydro & GeothermalPenjelasan Kebutuhan Pemakaian Panas Bumi dan HydroHydroCapacity Factor0.18Geo39%43%45%41%GeoHydro28%33%27%22%0.15MWGWhMMBTUThousand BOEJawa Barat2000200120022003200020012002200320002001200220032000200120022003Panas BumiKamojang14014014014048252655350810,953,17211,967,35512,575,86411,561,6821,8722,0452,1491,976Wayangwindu1101101101103784134343998,606,0649,402,9219,881,0369,084,1781,4711,6071,6891,553Drajat14514514514549954557352611,344,35712,394,76013,025,00211,974,5991,9392,1182,2262,047Salak3303303303301,1351,2401,3031,19825,818,19128,208,76429,643,10827,252,5354,4124,8215,0664,658Subtotal7257257257252,4942,7252,8632,63256,721,78361,973,80065,125,01159,872,9949,69410,59211,13010,233Hydro (PLTA)Cirata10081008100810082,4822,9322,3451,91547,051,11955,572,18844,457,75036,307,1638,0419,4987,5986,205Jatiluhur1801801801804435244193428,401,9859,923,6057,938,8846,483,4221,4361,6961,3571,108Saguling700.7700.7700.7700.71,7252,0381,6301,33132,707,06238,630,38930,904,31125,238,5215,5906,6025,2824,313WJ Small Hydro979797972392822261844,527,7375,347,7204,278,1763,493,844774914731597Subtotal1,9861,9861,9861,9864,8905,7754,6203,77392,687,903109,473,90287,579,12171,522,94915,84118,71014,96812,224Jawa TengahPanas BumiDieng606060602062252372184,694,2175,128,8665,389,6564,955,006802877921847Hydro (PLTA)CJ Small Hydro31831831831878392574060414,843,50817,531,70214,025,36211,454,0452,5372,9962,3971,958Jawa TimurHydro (PLTA)EJ Small Hydro (Brantas)27527527527567780064052312,836,36715,161,06312,128,8509,905,2282,1942,5912,0731,693Jawa Panas Bumi7857857857852,7002,9503,1002,85074,252,36782,263,73082,643,51774,733,22812,69014,05914,12412,772Jawa Hydro2,5792,5792,5792,5796,3507,5006,0004,900120,367,778142,166,667113,733,33392,882,22220,57124,29719,43815,874

PEDHistoric Primary Energy Utilization by Product Type (1970 - 2003)YearOilGasCoalHydropowerGeothermalTOTALBOE (000)%BOE (000)%BOE (000)%BOE (000)%BOE (000)%BOE (000)( % )197045,50287.83,1646.16931.32,4914.800.051,850100197149,32986.93,7006.58301.52,8765.100.056,735100197256,64489.53,2155.18441.32,5784.100.063,282100197368,40290.63,3004.46380.83,1394.200.075,478100197477,29790.73,5924.26530.83,6484.300.085,190100197586,36689.35,6255.87110.73,9614.100.096,663100197696,13889.27,3386.86470.63,6403.400.0107,7641001977108,74486.712,0529.67910.63,8003.000.0125,3861001978125,31583.219,32012.87400.55,2733.500.0150,6491001979137,59380.426,99515.87180.45,7433.400.0171,0491001980148,71778.234,96618.49550.55,5522.900.0190,1911001981161,85479.235,12417.21,0220.56,3873.100.0204,3881001982166,73279.734,69116.61,0460.56,7353.2630.0209,2671001983166,31676.738,95118.01,0550.510,1394.73840.2216,8451001984167,79471.450,44421.51,5070.614,7126.34490.2234,9051001985170,67668.855,86822.54,9702.016,1756.54370.2248,1261001986168,71664.660,00023.010,8554.221,0748.14670.2261,1121001987178,47864.763,40923.014,3995.218,7366.89790.4276,0011001988186,73563.468,67023.317,0815.820,0036.82,0140.7294,5021001989198,99662.072,36922.624,0367.523,2797.32,0640.6320,7441001990224,21463.975,59921.527,2597.821,6786.22,1850.6350,9351001991241,27064.379,78221.330,5848.221,2225.72,2310.6375,0891001992259,90264.582,04220.431,2707.827,4666.82,0460.5402,7251001993278,00365.288,76220.831,1057.326,3026.22,1690.5426,3411001994275,85960.3117,27125.636,7258.025,7385.62,1080.5457,6991001995290,01358.4134,31927.141,6178.426,3505.34,2000.8496,4981001996304,00657.7145,40727.646,2328.827,1215.14,5450.9527,3111001997334,07858.6150,80726.558,64810.320,6923.65,4241.0569,6491001998333,53158.7144,02625.455,8189.826,9134.77,4351.3567,7231001999354,03457.2168,50127.262,46910.125,9734.27,5021.2618,4791002000378,51656.8166,09424.987,45113.125,1113.89,1791.4666,3521002001386,23154.2164,35923.1120,86817.029,3804.111,7951.7712,6341002002392,11452.2169,89322.6147,78919.729,8444.011,7951.6751,4351002003397,55952.0161,64921.2150,83719.730,6964.023,3723.1764,11310054280.606955160518631.095605501535158943

IndonesiaEnMixProyeksi Energi Mix20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Indonesia (Ribu SBM)666,352712,634751,435764,113787,325814,782851,419891,076933,946980,2361,030,1681,083,9791,141,9251,204,2791,271,3331,343,4021,420,8221,503,9531,593,1811,688,9211,791,6131,901,7332,019,7882,146,3222,281,9172,427,194JenisNational Energi Mix (Ribu SBM)PercentageEnergi20002001200220032000200120022003Minyak Bumi354,034378,516386,231392,11457%57%54%52%Gas Bumi168,501166,094164,359169,89327%25%23%23%Batubara62,46987,451120,868147,78910%13%17%20%Hydro25,97325,11129,38029,8444%4%4%4%Panas Bumi7,5029,17911,79511,7951%1%2%2%Total618,479666,352712,634751,435100%100%100%100%Proyeksi20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Kebutuhan Gas Bumi - Jawa (MMCFD)9209408938999331,1411,4261,7412,0902,4762,9033,2723,6784,1244,6155,1545,7466,3967,1117,8968,7589,70310,74111,87913,12714,495Kebutuhan Gas Bumi - Jawa (000 BOE)57,38358,66055,68456,08258,22071,19888,967108,626130,380154,449181,077204,123229,448257,281287,870321,487358,427399,013443,595492,553546,304605,298670,027741,027818,880904,2182%-5%1%4%22%25%22%20%18%17%13%12%12%12%12%11%11%11%11%11%11%11%11%11%10%

IndonesiaEnMix

TahunRibu SBMProyeksi Kebutuhan Energi Primer- Indonesia

EnergiMixFormula

Aktual DataTahunMMCFDProyeksi Kebutuhan Gas Bumi - Jawa

Text in blackuses gdp differentials and census popTotal primary demand 1998-202519982025Inputted data in blueMBOE35,1905682,427Calculated in brownCHOICE of MODELMTOE4,87479336EQ no4123456MMBTU193,399,050,887GENERAL INPUT DATAUNITSNOTES1992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004b018.637-88.301521.42235.37418.637-0.09842.450MMCF203,544,765IndonesiaIndonesiab10.9900.3811.5970.9130.9900.2000.534TCF204Actual Growth Rate%7.5%8.2%7.8%4.7%-13.1%0.8%4.9%3.4%3.7%4.2%5.1%b2-0.9230.0000.0000.000-0.9230.000-1.044GDPBillion IDR 1993 prices329,776354,641383,792413,798433,246376,375379,352398,017411,691426,741444,454b30.9520.7830.0000.0000.9520.8250.510billion m35,763Switch YearYearYear to begin projecting2005b40.0001.552Differential%Additional GR0.0%b50.000-0.552TCF53West JavaDKI Jakarta + Banten + West JavaWith constant share of gas26.00%Actual Growth Rate%7.9%8.7%9.2%5.0%-17.6%1.0%12.3%3.9%4.0%4.6%5.6%GDPBillion IDR 1993 prices105,046113,328123,140134,408141,112116,228117,416131,895137,031142,572149,175IndonesiaCentral JavaWest JavaEast JavaDifferential%Additional GR0.5%CHOICE of CASE1123CHOICE of CASE1123CHOICE of CASE1123CHOICE of CASE1123Central JavaCentral JavaInitial4.90%4.9%4.9%4.9%Initial4.8%4.8%4.8%4.8%Initial5.4%5.4%5.4%5.4%Initial5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%Actual Growth Rate%7.1%7.4%7.4%3.3%-11.7%3.2%3.9%3.3%3.4%4.1%5.0%First GR20045.5%5.5%5.0%7.0%First GR20015.4%5.4%4.9%6.9%First GR20016.0%6.0%5.5%7.5%First GR5.6%5.6%5.1%7.1%GDPBillion IDR 1993 prices38,03740,73243,75146,96948,50842,84244,21945,95947,48849,11751,109Second GR20057.0%7.0%5.0%7.0%Second GR20026.9%6.9%4.9%6.9%Second GR20027.5%7.5%5.5%7.5%Second GR7.1%7.1%5.1%7.1%Differential%Additional GR-0.1%Third GR20067.0%7.0%5.0%7.0%Third GR20036.9%6.9%4.9%6.9%Third GR20037.5%7.5%5.5%7.5%Third GR7.1%7.1%5.1%7.1%East JavaEast JavaFourth GR20077.0%7.0%5.0%7.0%Fourth GR20046.9%6.9%4.9%6.9%Fourth GR20047.5%7.5%5.5%7.5%Fourth GR7.1%7.1%5.1%7.1%Actual Growth Rate%7.2%8.2%8.3%5.0%-16.1%1.2%3.3%3.3%3.4%4.2%5.2%Fifth GR20087.0%7.0%5.0%7.0%Fifth GR20056.9%6.9%4.9%6.9%Fifth GR20057.5%7.5%5.5%7.5%Fifth GR7.1%7.1%5.1%7.1%GDPBillion IDR 1993 prices49,17252,72757,04161,75264,85454,39955,05956,85758,75060,75463,312Sixth GR20097.0%7.0%5.0%7.0%Sixth GR20066.9%6.9%4.9%6.9%Sixth GR20067.5%7.5%5.5%7.5%Sixth GR7.1%7.1%5.1%7.1%Differential%Additional GR0.1%Rest Period7.0%7.0%5.0%7.0%Rest Period6.9%6.9%4.9%6.9%Rest Period7.5%7.5%5.5%7.5%Rest Period7.1%7.1%5.1%7.1%INPUT DATAUNITSNOTESIntervalIndonesiaWest J.Central J.East J.startendInitial%Initial Growth rate014.9%5.4%4.8%5.0%First GR%125.5%6.0%5.4%5.6%Second GR%237.0%7.5%6.9%7.1%Third GR%347.0%7.5%6.9%7.1%Fourth GR%457.0%7.5%6.9%7.1%Fifth GR%567.0%7.5%6.9%7.1%Sixth GR%677.0%7.5%6.9%7.1%Rest period%7307.0%7.5%6.9%7.1%IndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesiaOUTPUTUNITS199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Year countYear000000000123456789101112131415161718192021Projected GDPBillion IRD in 1993 prices413,798433,246376,375379,352398,017411,691426,741444,454466,232491,875526,306563,148602,568644,748689,880738,172789,844845,133904,292967,5921,035,3241,107,7971,185,3421,268,3161,357,0981,452,0951,553,7421,662,5041,778,8791,903,401Annual Growth Rate%4.7%-13.1%0.8%4.9%3.4%3.7%4.2%4.9%5.5%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.0%Override GR%4.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Projected POPmillion205.84208.91212.02215.18218.39221.64224.94228.29231.70235.15238.65242.21245.82249.48253.20256.97260.80264.68268.63272.63276.69280.81285.00289.25293.56297.93Annual Growth Rate%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%1.49%Override Gr%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Projected GDP per Capitamillion IDR per capita19341971201320652135221923402467260127422891304832133388357237653970418544134652490551715452574860606389Projected energy use per capitaBOE per thousand people32373411354435513605367637853903403141694317447546454827502152285448568259316195647567727087742077738147Projected primary energy demandthousand BOE527,311576,300567,723618,479666,352712,634751,435764,113787,325814,782851,419891,076933,946980,2361,030,1681,083,9791,141,9251,204,2791,271,3331,343,4021,420,8221,503,9531,593,1811,688,9211,791,6131,901,7332,019,7882,146,3222,281,9172,427,194Projected primary energy demandmillion TOE73.0379.8278.6385.6692.2998.70104.08105.83109.05112.85117.93123.42129.36135.77142.68150.14158.16166.80176.08186.07196.79208.30220.66233.92248.15263.40279.75297.27316.05336.18Final energy as share of primary%68.3%67.7%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%66.5%Projected final energy demandthousand BOE360,239390,266377,566411,322443,159473,940499,744508,176523,613541,874566,239592,613621,124651,909685,117720,904759,441800,910845,504893,434944,9221,000,2091,059,5511,123,2231,191,5191,264,7541,343,2671,427,4191,517,5971,614,214West JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaWest JavaOUTPUTUNITS199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Year countYear00000123456789101112131415161718192021Projected GDPBillion IRD in 1993 prices134,408141,112116,228117,416131,895137,031142,572149,175160,333169,921182,631196,292210,974226,755243,717261,947281,540302,599325,234349,561375,709403,812434,017466,481501,374538,877579,185622,508669,071719,118Annual Growth Rate%5.0%-17.6%1.0%12.3%3.9%4.0%4.6%7.5%6.0%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%Override GR%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Projected POPmillion51.9452.8753.8254.7955.7856.7857.8158.8559.9160.9862.0863.2064.3465.4966.6767.8769.1070.3471.6172.8974.2175.5476.9078.2979.6981.13Annual Growth Rate%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Override Gr%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%1.80%Projected GDP per Capitamillion IDR per capita25392592264927232874299231593336352237183926414543764620487851505438574160616399675771347532795283958864Projected energy use per capitaBOE per thousand people49295202510250735,1805,2585,3885,5335,6925,8656,0556,2616,4836,7236,9817,2587,5547,8728,2118,5738,9589,3699,80510,26910,76211,285Projected primary energy demandthousand BOE255,997275,058274,590277,990288,931298,554311,466325,572340,953357,697375,898395,658417,086440,299465,425492,600521,970553,693587,940624,894664,750707,720754,032803,930857,678915,558Projected primary energy demandmillion TOE38.1038.0338.5040.0241.3543.1445.0947.2249.5452.0654.8057.7760.9864.4668.2372.2976.6981.4386.5592.0798.02104.44111.35118.79126.81Central JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaCentral JavaOUTPUTUNITS199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Year countYear00000123456789101112131415161718192021Projected GDP$US(Billion)46,96948,50842,84244,21945,95947,48849,11751,10954,63757,59061,56665,81770,36175,21880,41185,96391,89898,242105,025112,276120,027128,314137,173146,643156,768167,591179,161191,531204,754218,890Annual Growth Rate%3.3%-11.7%3.2%3.9%3.3%3.4%4.1%6.9%5.4%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%Override GR%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Projected POPmillion33.9734.2334.5034.7735.0435.3135.5935.8636.1436.4336.7137.0037.2937.5837.8738.1638.4638.7639.0639.3739.6839.9940.3040.6140.9341.25Annual Growth Rate%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Override Gr%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%0.78%Projected GDP per Capitamillion IDR per capita13531387142414701559163117301835194720652190232424652614277329423121331035113725395141914446471650035307Projected energy use per capitaBOE per thousand people1325140714071394153216511797194821062269244026192806300232073423364938884138440346814975528556135959632410%Projected primary energy demandthousand BOE45,00548,17548,54548,47553,67758,31263,95169,87576,10582,66789,58796,895104,619112,792121,449130,624140,358150,690161,666173,332185,738198,937212,987227,948243,885260,86820%Projected primary energy demandmillion TOE6.236.676.726.717.438.088.869.6810.5411.4512.4113.4214.4915.6216.8218.0919.4420.8722.3924.0125.7327.5529.5031.5733.7836.1330%40%East JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast JavaEast Java50%60%OUTPUTUNITS19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024202570%Year countYear0000012345678910111213141516171819202180%Projected GDP$US(Billion)61,75264,85454,39955,05956,85758,75060,75463,31267,78271,55176,60282,01087,80093,999100,635107,740115,347123,490132,209141,543151,536162,234173,688185,950199,078213,133228,180244,290261,537280,00190%Annual Growth Rate%5.0%-16.1%1.2%3.3%3.3%3.4%4.2%7.1%5.6%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%100%Override GR%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%110%Projected POPmillion34.5334.7735.0135.2635.5035.7536.0036.2536.5136.7637.0237.2837.5437.8038.0738.3338.6038.8739.1439.4239.6939.9740.2540.5340.8241.10120%Annual Growth Rate%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%130%Override Gr%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%0.70%140%Projected GDP per Capitamillion IDR per capita16471690173517961909200121282262240525572718289030733267347336923926417344374717501553325669602764076812150%Projected energy use per capitaBOE per thousand people25773188328533013393346735773699383239764134430544894689490351345383564959346240656769177291769181178572160%Projected primary energy demandthousand BOE88,964110,850115,022116,397120,470123,954128,794134,093139,880146,184153,037160,473168,528177,242186,658196,821207,780219,589232,303245,983260,694276,506293,494311,738331,323352,344170%Projected primary energy demandmillion TOE12.3215.3515.9316.1216.6917.1717.8418.5719.3720.2521.2022.2323.3424.5525.8527.2628.7830.4132.1734.0736.1138.3040.6543.1845.8948.80180%

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