M 2016 GENERAL ELECTION - FiveThirtyEight · PORTLAND PRESS HERALD POLL #6 MAINE 2016 GENERAL ELECTION Prepared by: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. The Survey Center

PORTLAND PRESS HERALD POLL #6

MAINE 2016 GENERAL ELECTION

Prepared by: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. The Survey Center University of New Hampshire October, 2016

Contents

Summary ...................................................................................... 1 Technical Report ........................................................................ 16 Questionnaire ............................................................................ 17 Data Tables ................................................................................ 32

1

The Portland Press Herald Poll Maine 2016 General Election

Conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center October 2016

Executive Summary

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Hillary Clinton has opened a double digit lead on Donald Trump in Maine. While Clinton enjoys a sizeable lead statewide and in the First Congressional District, the race remains close in the Second Congressional District and could mark the first time that Maine’s two congressional districts award their electoral vote to different candidates. Both nominees continue to be very unpopular, and even the two third party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are not very popular.

Presidential Trial Heat 1. More than seven in ten (71%) Maine likely voters say they have definitely decided whom they will support

for president, 13% are leaning towards someone, and 17% are still trying to decide. a. Democrats (83%) are more likely to be definitely decided on their vote for president than

Republicans (67%) and Independents (53%).

2. If the election were held today, 48% would vote for Clinton, 37% would vote for Trump, 5% would vote for

Johnson, 3% would vote for Stein, 3% would support another candidate, and were 5% undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning it becomes 48% for Clinton, 37% for Trump, 5% for Johnson, 3% for Stein, 3% for someone else, and 3% remain undecided.

a. Both Trump and Clinton have wide leads among members of their party (Trump leads 79%‐8% among Republicans, Clinton leads 87%‐5% among Democrats) while Independents are divided (34% for Trump, 33% for Clinton).

b. There is a significant gender gap, as Trump has a modest lead among men 46%‐39% while Clinton leads among women by double digits 57%‐29%.

c. There is also a significant gap based upon highest level of education – Trump has a wide lead among likely voters with a high school education or less (58%‐26%) while those with some college education or technical school are divided (45%‐41% Clinton). Meanwhile, Clinton leads among college graduates (48%‐34%) and has a huge advantage among those who have done postgraduate work (79%‐14%).

d. Support for Johnson has decreased seven points since September. His greatest support comes from Independents (13%), voters between 18 and 34 (11%), and those who are still trying to decide whom to vote for (10%).

51%59%

71%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

June '16 Sept '16 Oct. '16

2016 US Presidential Election‐‐ Decided On Vote

Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide

2

42% 40%

48%

35% 36% 37%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

June '16 Sept '16 Oct '16*

Vote For US President* Including Undecided but leaning voters

Clinton Trump Other Undecided

36%40%

12%3% 2%

7%

37%

48%

5% 3% 3% 3%5%

87%

2% 3% 1% 1%

34% 33%

13%6% 6% 8%

79%

8%4% 1% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided

2016 Presidential Election ‐‐ By Party ID

ME Likely Voters (Sept '16) ME Likely Voters (Oct '16) Democrat Independent Republican

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

June '16 Sept '16 Oct '16

Clinton & Trump Support by Party ID

Clinton (Total) Trump (Total) Clinton (GOP) Trump (GOP)

Clinton (DEM) Trump (DEM) Clinton (IND) Trump (IND)

3

3. Clinton continues to hold a wide lead in Maine’s First Congressional district – currently 54% would vote for Clinton, 34% would vote for Trump, 4% would vote for Johnson, 1% would vote for Stein, 3% would vote for someone else, and 4% are undecided.

4. The race for the electoral vote in Maine’s Second Congressional District is a dead heat – 43% would vote for Clinton, 40% would vote for Trump, 6% would vote for Johnson, 4% would vote for Stein, 3% would vote for someone else, and 3% are undecided.

a. Support for Trump in the second district has dropped 8 points since September, while support for Clinton has increased by 9 points.

Presidential Support By Congressional District

Presidential Favorability Ratings 5. Both Clinton and Trump remain unpopular, while Johnson and Stein are not as well‐known but are also

unpopular in the state. a. Currently only 41% of Maine likely voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, 50% have an

unfavorable opinion, 8% are neutral, and 1% are unsure. Clinton’s net favorability rating (the percentage who have a favorable opinion minus the percentage who have an unfavorable opinion) is ‐9%, up from ‐17% in September.

i. Clinton is very popular among Democrats (+65%) but very unpopular among Independents (‐36%) and Republicans (‐86%).

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%


Clinton ‐ CD1 Trump ‐ CD1 Other/Undecided ‐ CD1

Clinton ‐ CD2 Trump ‐ CD2 Other/Undecided ‐ CD2

36% 37%41%

57% 54% 50%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Hillary Clinton Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters

Favorable Unfavorable

4

b. Only 31% of Maine likely voters have a favorable opinion of Trump, 62% have an unfavorable opinion, 5% are neutral, and 1% are unsure. Trump’s net favorability rating is ‐31%, down from ‐26% in September.

i. Trump is popular among Republicans (+43%), and very unpopular among Independents (‐32%), and Democrats (‐90%).

c. Only 16% of Maine likely voters have a favorable opinion of Gary Johnson, 35% have an unfavorable opinion, 9% are neutral, and 40% don’t know enough about him to say. Johnson’s net favorability is ‐19%, down from ‐2% in September.

i. Johnson is unpopular among Democrats (‐32%) and Republicans (‐12%), while Independents are divided (+1%).

d. Only 12% of Maine likely voters have a favorable opinion of Jill Stein, 23% have an unfavorable opinion, 7% are neutral, and 58% don’t know enough about her to say. Stein’ net favorability is ‐11%, down from ‐5% in September.

i. Stein is somewhat unpopular among Independents (‐8%) and unpopular among Republicans (‐25%), while Democrats are divided (‐1%).

28%32% 31%

62%58%

62%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Donald Trump Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters


19% 16%

21%

35%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Sept '16 Oct '16

Gary Johnson Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters


5

Effect of Clinton Campaign Emails/Trump Tape 6. Most Maine likely voters (76%) have heard a great deal (42%) or a fair amount (34%) about the Clinton

campaign emails released by Wikileaks, 18% have heard only a little, and 5% have heard nothing at all.

7. A majority (57%) of Maine likely voters say the emails make no impact in their decision to vote for Clinton,

39% say it makes them more likely to vote against Clinton, and 2% say it makes more likely to vote for her.

a. 64% of Republicans, 43% of Independents, and 15% of Democrats say they are more likely to vote

against Clinton.

8. Even more Maine likely voters (83%) have heard a great deal (56%) or a fair amount (27%) about the Trump

Access Hollywood video, 10% have heard only a little, and 5% have heard nothing at all.

9. A majority (59%) of Maine likely voters say the video makes no impact in their decision to vote for Trump,

38% say it makes them more likely to vote against Trump, and 2% say they are more likely to vote against

Trump.

a. 60% of Democrats, 35% of Independents, and 16% of Republicans say they are more likely to vote

against Trump.

14% 12%

19%23%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Sept '16 Oct '16

Jill Stein Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters


6

CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS In the First District, Democratic Congresswoman Chellie Pingree, who is seeking her fifth term, holds a commanding lead over her Republican challenger, Mark Holbrook. In the Second District, Republican Congressman Bruce Poliquin is in a dead heat with former State Senator Emily Cain.

Congressional Trial Heat 1. If the election were held today 59% would vote for Pingree, 24% would vote for Holbrook, 3% would vote

for someone else, and 13% are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning 61% would vote for Pingree, 28% would vote for Holbrook, 3% would vote for someone else, and 8% are undecided.

a. Pingree leads 92%‐3% among Democrats and 45%‐24% among Independents, while Holbrook leads 72%‐20% among Republicans.

2. In a rematch of the 2014 election, Bruce Poliquin is in a dead heat with Emily Cain – Currently 43% of

Second CD likely voters would vote for Cain, 42% would vote for Poliquin, 4% would vote for someone else, and 11% undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning 46% would vote for Cain, 44% would vote for Poliquin, 4% would vote for someone else, and 6% are undecided.

a. Poliquin leads 83%‐10% among Republicans and Cain leads Democrats 87%‐10%. Poliquin currently holds the advantage among Independents (41%‐32%).

56%64% 61%

34%

22%28%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%


Vote For US Congress CD1* Including Undecided but leaning voters

Pingree Holbrook Other Undecided

40%35%

46%41%

45%

44%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%


Vote For US Congress District 2* Including Undecided but leaning voters

Cain Poliquin Other Undecided

7

3. Congressman Poliquin’s decision not to say whether he will endorse Donald Trump for president still does not have much impact on likely voters – 1% are more likely to vote for him as a result, 18% are less likely to vote for him, and 78% say it makes little difference in their vote.

Congressional Favorability Ratings 1. Chellie Pingree remains popular among First District likely voters – 52% of District 1 likely voters say they

have a favorable opinion of Pingree, 24% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 7% are neutral, and 17% don’t know enough about her to say. Pingree’s net favorable rating is +28%, unchanged from September. Pingree is very popular among Democrats (+72%), popular among Independents (+25%), and very unpopular among Republicans (‐37%).

2. Mark Holbrook, who is making his first run for public office, remains unknown in the First District – only 7% of District 1 likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Holbrook, 7% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 8% are neutral, and 78% don’t know enough about him to say. Holbrook’s net favorability rating is +0%, down from +3% in September.

54%60%

43%49% 50% 52%

28%21%

28%33%

22% 24%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

June '14 Sept. '14 Oct. '14 June '16 Sept '16 Oct '16

Chellie Pingree Favorability ‐‐ First District Likely Voters


10% 10% 7%

6% 7% 7%0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Mark Holbrook Favorability ‐‐ First District Likely Voters


8

3. Second District Congressman Bruce Poliquin is not very popular among Second District likely voters – currently 35% of District 2 likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Poliquin, 42% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 9% are neutral, and 14% don’t know enough about him to say. Poliquin’s net favorability rating is ‐7%, down from +6% in September.

a. Poliquin is popular among Republicans (+38%), somewhat unpopular among Independents (‐8%), and very unpopular among Democrats (‐51%).

4. Poliquin’s challenger Emily Cain is also not very popular in the Second District – 35% of District 2 likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Cain, 36% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 7% are neutral, and 22% don’t know enough about her to say. Cain’s net favorability rating is ‐1%, up from ‐4% in September.

a. Cain is very popular among Democrats (+53%), but somewhat unpopular among Independents (‐9%) and very unpopular among Republicans (‐48%).

23%

35%

28%

33%41%

35%26%

22%

37%

32% 35%

42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Bruce Poliquin Favorability ‐‐ Second District Likely Voters


32% 30%

31%

30%

29%35%

17% 18%

36%

20%

33%36%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Emily Cain Favorability ‐‐ Second District Likely Voters


9

REFERENDUM QUESTIONS A majority or plurality of Maine likely voters currently say they will vote yes on all six referenda that will be on the ballot this November. Question 3 has seen the most tightening between the yes and no vote.

Question 1 – Legalizing Marijuana 1. Half (50%) of Maine likely voters say they would vote yes on Question 1, which would legalize marijuana in

the state, 41% would vote no, and 9% are undecided.

a. The margin in favor has decreased slightly from 15% in September to 9%.

b. Nearly two‐thirds of Democrats (65%) would vote yes, three in five Republicans (60%) would vote

no and Independents are divided (46%‐44% yes).

c. Clinton voters support the measure by a 61%‐28% margin and Trump voters oppose it 59%‐33%.

d. Voters between the ages of 18 and 34 support the measure by 62%‐26% margin while voters 65 and

over oppose it 48%‐42%.

Question 2 – Tax on High Personal Incomes For Education Fund

2. 57% of likely voters would vote yes on Question 2, which would institute a 3% tax on personal income over

$200,000 with the funds going to public education, 34% would vote no, and 9% are undecided.

a. The margin in favor has decreased slightly from 28% in September to 23%.

b. Four in five Democrats (80%) and a plurality of Independents (49%) would vote yes, while a majority

of Republicans would vote no (56%).

c. Clinton voters support the measure by a 75%‐18% margin while Trump voters oppose it 59%‐32%.

d. Majorities of respondents with household incomes under $100,000 support the measure while

those who make over $100,000 oppose it 52%‐42%.

53%

38%

10%

50%41%

9%

65%

24%

11%

46% 44%

10%

33%

60%

6%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Yes No Undecided

Vote on Question 1 ‐‐ By Party ID


60%

32%

8%

57%

34%

9%

80%

14%6%

49%41%

10%

34%

56%

10%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Yes No Undecided



10

Question 3 – Expanding Background Checks on Gun Purchases 3. Just over half (52%) of Maine likely voters say they would vote yes on Question 3, which would expand

background checks for gun purchases in the state, 43% would vote no, and 5% are undecided.

a. The margin in favor has decreased significantly – from 28% in September to 9%.

b. A large majority of Democrats (81%) would vote yes, while a majority of Independents (53%) and a

large majority of Republicans (73%) would vote no.

c. Clinton voters support the measure by an 84%‐10% margin while Trump voters oppose it 80%‐16%.

d. Gun owners oppose the measure 60%‐34% while non‐gun owners favor it 76%‐21%.

e. Voters in the First District support the measure by a 57%‐38% margin while Voters in the Second

District are divided (49%‐47% Yes).

Question 4 – Increasing the Minimum Wage 4. 57% of Maine likely voters say they would vote yes on Question 4, which would increase the minimum wage

incrementally in the state, 35% would vote no, and 8% are undecided.

a. The margin in favor has decreased somewhat from 32% in September to 22%.

b. The large majority of Democrats (83%) and a plurality of Independents (48%) would vote yes, while

a majority of Republicans (62%) would vote no.

c. Clinton voters support the measure by an 80%‐11% margin while Trump voters oppose it 60%‐33%.

d. Respondents with a household income below $30,000 support the measure 73%‐19% and those

with a household income over $100,000 are divided (47%‐45% Yes).

61%

33%

6%

52%43%

5%

81%

15%5%

41%

53%

6%

23%

73%

4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Yes No Undecided



60%

28%

12%

57%

35%

8%

83%

9% 8%

48%41%

11%

32%

62%

6%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Yes No Undecided



11

Question 5 – Rank Choice Voting 5. A plurality (49%) of Maine likely voters say they would vote yes on Question 5, which would introduce rank

choice voting in the state, 31% would vote no, and 20% are undecided.

a. The margin in favor has stayed steady (19% in September, 18% in October).

b. The majority of Democrats (66%) and plurality of Independents (48%) would vote yes, while a

majority of Republicans (52%) would vote no.

c. Clinton voters favor the measure 63%‐17% while Trump voters oppose it 50%‐31%.

Question 6 – Bond Issue For Infrastructure Improvements 6. Two thirds (66%) of Maine likely voters say they would vote yes on Question 6, which would approve a bond

issue for infrastructure improvements, 24% would vote no, and 10% are undecided.

a. The margin in favor has stayed steady (46% in September, 42% in October).

b. Majorities of Democrats (81%), Independents (61%), and Republicans (52%) would vote yes on this

question.

c. Clinton voters favor the measure 81%‐9% while Trump voters are divided (47%‐44% Yes).

48%

29%23%

49%

31%

20%

66%

15%18%

48%

30%22%

31%

52%

17%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Undecided



66%

20%13%

66%

24%

10%

81%

9% 10%

61%

29%

10%

52%

39%

9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Undecided



12

GOVERNOR LEPAGE / DIRECTION OF STATE Governor Paul LePage remains a polarizing figure in Maine and his job approval and personal favorability ratings remain underwater. Jobs and the economy continue to be cited as the most important problem in the state. Maine residents are more optimistic over the direction the state is headed. Governor Job Approval 1. Currently 40% of Maine residents approve of the job LePage is doing as Governor, 55% disapprove, and 5%

are neutral or unsure. LePage’s approval has stayed steady since June. a. Three in four Republicans (75%) approve of LePage’s job performance while nearly all Democrats

(86%) disapprove. Independents are divided on the Governor’s job performance (41% approve, 52% disapprove).

Governor Favorability 2. LePage’s personal favorability among likely voters has stayed steady since June – currently 38% have a

favorable opinion of LePage, 57% have an unfavorable opinion, 4% are neutral, and 1% don’t know enough to say. LePage’s net favorability rating is ‐19%, down from ‐13% in September.

a. LePage remains very popular among Republicans (+60%), unpopular among Independents (‐15%) and very unpopular among Democrats (‐81%).

41% 44%

49%

38% 41% 40%

52%46%

48%

58%52% 55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Maine Governor Paul LePage ‐‐ Job Approval Rating

Approve Disapprove

40%44% 47%

36%40% 38%

51% 48% 48%

59%53%

57%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Paul LePage Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters


13

Legislature Approval 3. Maine residents are divided on their approval of the Maine state legislature – currently only 44% approve of

the job the state legislature is doing, 36% disapprove, and 19% are neutral or unsure. a. Approval for how the legislature is doing its job has increased five points since September. b. A plurality of Democrats (48% approve, 32% disapprove) approve of the legislature while

Republicans (43% approve, 42% disapprove), and Independents (42% approve, 41% disapprove) are divided on the legislature’s job performance.

Most Important Problem In Maine 4. Jobs and economy continue to be the most cited problem by Maine residents – 34% cited jobs and the

economy, 16% cite drugs, 13% cite Governor LePage, 6% cite welfare, 4% cite the budget or state government, 4% cite education, 3% cite taxes, 2% cite healthcare, and 18% cited another issue or were unsure.

a. A plurality of Republicans (38%), Independents (41%) and Democrats (27%) cited jobs and the economy as the state’s top concern. Democrats are more likely to cite Governor LePage (24%) and Republicans are more likely to cite welfare (13%).

49%

39%

44%

34%

46%

36%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Maine Legislature‐‐ Job Approval Rating

Approve Disapprove

37% 36%

50%

33%31%

34%

18% 19%

13%

12% 12%

16%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%


Most Important Problem Facing the State of Maine

14

Maine Right Direction/Wrong Track 5. Maine residents are somewhat optimistic about the direction in which the state is headed ‐‐ 52% believe the

state is heading in the right direction, 38% believe it is off on the wrong track, and 10% were unsure. a. A majority of Republicans (65%) and a plurality (53%) of Independents believe the state is headed in

the right direction while half of Democrats (50%) believe it is off on the wrong track.

SENATE FAVORABILITY US Senators Susan Collins and Angus King remain by far the most popular politicians in the state. Senate Favorability Ratings 1. Two in three (67%) Maine likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Susan Collins, 20% have an

unfavorable opinion of her, 9% are neutral, and 3% don’t know enough about her to say. Collins’ net favorable rating is +47%, up from +44% in September.

a. Collins is very popular among Democrats (+58%), Independents (+49%). She is less popular among members of her own party, as her net favorability among Republicans is +32%.

43%

51% 48%

45%

54% 52%48%

43% 44%

46%

39% 38%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Is Maine Headed in Right Direction Or Off On Wrong Track?

Right Direction Wrong Track

71%66%

70% 73%

64% 67%

19% 22% 19% 16%20% 20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Susan Collins Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters


15

2. Two in three (66%) Maine likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Angus King, 20% have an

unfavorable opinion, 7% are neutral, and 7% don’t know enough about him to say. King’s net favorability rating is +46%, up from +40% in September.

a. King is very popular among Democrats (+83%) and Independents (+40%) while Republicans are divided (+1%).

66%59% 61%

69%63% 66%

21% 24% 23%17%

23% 20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Angus King Favorability ‐‐ Likely Voters


16

Portland Press Herald Poll #6 Maine 2016 General Election

Conducted by the UNH Survey Center

October 2016

Technical Report Field Period: October 20 to October 25, 2016 Hours: 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. Median Completion Time: 13 minutes Sample Size: 761 randomly selected Maine adults (RDD) 670 randomly selected Maine likely or early voters in the 2016 General Election (RDD) Sampling Error: +/‐ 3.6% (all respondents) +/‐ 3.8% (likely voters) Congressional Subsections: 329 likely voters in the 1st Congressional District (5.4% MOE) 341 likely voters in the 2nd Congressional District (5.3% MOE) Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 26% These findings are based on the latest Portland Press Herald Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and funded by the Portland Press Herald. Seven hundred and seventy (670) randomly selected Maine adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between October 20 and October 25, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed. These MSE’s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.0%. The random sample used in the Portland Press Herald Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non‐working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non‐usable numbers. The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non‐sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non‐response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross‐tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions. For more information about the methodology used in the Portland Press Herald Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862‐2226 or by email at [email protected].

17

Portland Press Herald Poll #6

Conducted by the UNH Survey Center October, 2016

INTRO: “Good evening / afternoon. My name is _____________________ and I’m calling from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. This month, the University is conducting a study of politics and public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.” IF ASKED: “The survey will be about 10 minutes." IF ASKED: "This poll is being conducted for the Portland Press Herald and will be in the paper next week.” “Before we begin, do you live in Maine all year round or are you on vacation?” 1 LIVE IN MAINE YEAR ROUND 2 SEASONAL, JUST VACATIONING “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing year round

residents.” 3 NOT A MAINE RESIDENT “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing Maine residents.” * 99 REFUSED TERMINATE CELL1 “First, to confirm, have I reached you on your cell phone or a land line?” 1 CELL PHONE SKIPTO CELL2 2 LAND LINE SKIPTO BIR1 99 REFUSED TERMINATE CELL2 "Are you doing any activity that requires your full attention, such as driving a car?" 1 IF YES: “Can I call back at a later time?” MAKE APPOINTMENT 2 NO SKIPTO AGE18 99 NA / REFUSED TERMINATE AGE18 “And are you 18 years old or older?” 1 YES SKIP TO SEX 2 NO "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older." * 99 REFUSAL "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."

18

BIR1 “In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults aged 18 or older who currently live in your household -- including yourself -- who had the most recent birthday? I don’t mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?” 1 INFORMANT SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ________________ SKIP TO INT2 3 DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME CONTINUE WITH BIR2 BELOW 4 DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN SKIP TO SEX * 99 REFUSED -- ENTER NON-RESPONSE INFORMATION BIR2 “Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?” 1 INFORMANT _____ SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): _______________________ GO TO INT2

3 PERSON NOT AVAILABLE MAKE APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSED INT2 ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON “Hello, this is _____________________ calling from the University of New Hampshire. This month the University is conducting a study of politics public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?” 1 YES SKIPTO SEX 2 APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSAL TERMINATE SEX “Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Maine. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.” “Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time.” IF ASKED: “This survey will take about 10 minutes to complete.” RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT 1 MALE 2 FEMALE 3 REFUSES TO DO SURVEY * 99 NA TOWN “First, in what town do you live?” ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET. 997 OTHER – TYPE IN_____________________________ 998 DK - DO NOT PROBE * 999 NA / REFUSED

19

MIP “Let's start with a question about the State of Maine... there are many problems facing the State of Maine today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Maine today?” (PROBE: “Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”) RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE PROBE FOR SPECIFIC ANSWER TRACKME “Do you think things in Maine are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?” 1 RIGHT DIRECTION 2 WRONG TRACK 98 DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) * 99 NA / REFUSED GOVAPP “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?” (IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?” 1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING 4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK 5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE * 99 NA / REFUSED

20

LEGAPP “And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Maine legislature is handling its job?” (IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way it is handling its job, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way it is handling its job, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way it is handling its job?” 1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING 4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK 5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE * 99 NA REGVOTE “Let’s turn to politics.” "Are you registered to vote at your current address?" IF YES: "Are you registered as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?" 1 REGISTERED DEMOCRAT 2 REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED / UNDECLARED 3 REGISTERED REPUBLICAN 4 REGISTERED - OTHER 98 NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED VOTE12 “Think back to the election for President in 2012. Did you vote Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, someone else, or did you skip that election? 1 MITT ROMNEY - REPUBLICAN 2 BARACK OBAMA - DEMOCRAT 3 OTHER 97 DID NOT VOTE 98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED

21

VOTEINT "And as you know, there is an election in November for President, Congress and state offices. How interested would you say you are in the 2016 general election ... extremely interested ...very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?" 1 EXTREMELY INTERESTED 2 VERY INTERESTED 3 SOMEWHAT INTERESTED 4 NOT VERY INTERESTED 98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) 99 NA MELV "Thinking ahead to the 2016 general election for President and Congress. Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5) 1 I will probably NOT vote in the 2016 general election, SKIPTO D1 2 I MAY vote in the 2016 general election, SKIPTO D1 3 Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2016 general election, 4 I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2016 general election, 5 I have already voted EARLY in the 2016 general election or 6 I just don't know at this time." SKIPTO D1 * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO D1 FAV "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of people who are involved in politics in Maine and in the US. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don’t know enough about them to say." "First, how about ... ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV11 FAV1 “Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?" 1 FAVORABLE 2 NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED 3 UNFAVORABLE 98 DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY * 99 NA / REFUSED FAV2 “Businessman Donald Trump?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAV3 “Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAV4 “Political Activist Jill Stein?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"

22

FAV5 “Governor Paul LePage?" (la PAGE) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAV6 “Senator Susan Collins?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?" FAV7 “Senator Angus King?” (READ IF NECESSARY) “Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?” FAV8 “Congresswoman Chellie Pingree?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?" FAV9 “Congressman Bruce Poliquin?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAV10 “Former State Senator Emily Cain?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?" FAV11 “Counselor Mark Holbrook?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?" IF ALREADY VOTED PRESE “In the 2016 Presidential election did you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican … Hillary Clinton, the Democrat… Gary Johnson, the Libertarian… Jill Stein of the Green Party … some other candidate …. or did you skip this election?” ROTATE CANDIDATES 1 DONALD TRUMP SKIPTO CD1/CD2 2 HILLARY CLINTON SKIPTO CD1/CD2 3 GARY JOHNSON SKIPTO CD1/CD2 4 JILL STEIN SKIPTO CD1/CD2 5 OTHER – SPECIFY SKIPTO CD1/CD2 6 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO CD1/CD2 98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO CD1/CD2 SKIPTO CD1

23

PRESDC “Have you definitely decided whom you will vote for President in 2016 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?” 1 DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 3 STILL TRYING TO DECIDE 99 NA / REFUSED PRES1 “If the 2016 presidential election was being held today, would you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican … Hillary Clinton, the Democrat… Gary Johnson, the Libertarian… Jill Stein of the Green Party … some other candidate …. or would you skip this election?” ROTATE CANDIDATES 1 DONALD TRUMP SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 2 HILLARY CLINTON SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 3 GARY JOHNSON SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 4 JILL STEIN SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 5 OTHER – SPECIFY SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 6 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP PRES1LN “Would you say you are leaning towards Donald Trump, the Republican … Hillary Clinton, the Democrat… Gary Johnson, the Libertarian… or Jill Stein of the Green Party?” 1 DONALD TRUMP 2 HILLARY CLINTON 3 GARY JOHNSON 4 JILL STEIN 5 OTHER – SPECIFY 6 WILL NOT VOTE 98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED ROTATE HRC-TRUMP QUESTIONS HRC1 “How much have you seen or read about the release of internal Clinton campaign emails by the group Wikileaks… would you say a great deal… a fair amount… only a little… or nothing at all?” 1 A GREAT DEAL 2 A FAIR AMOUNT 3 ONLY A LITTLE 4 NOTHING AT ALL 98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED

24

HRC2 “Based upon what you have seen or heard does this make you more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, more likely to vote against her or does this make no impact in your decision?” 1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR CLINTON 2 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST CLINTON 3 MAKES NO IMPACT 98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED TRUMP1 “How much have you seen or read about the release of a video in which Donald Trump made statements about his celebrity status and grabbing women … would you say a great deal… a fair amount… only a little… or nothing at all?” 1 A GREAT DEAL 2 A FAIR AMOUNT 3 ONLY A LITTLE 4 NOTHING AT ALL 98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED TRUMP2 “Based upon what you have seen or heard does this make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, more likely to vote against him or does this make no impact in your decision?” 1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR TRUMP 2 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST TRUMP 3 MAKES NO IMPACT 98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED SPLIT BY DISTRICT IF ALREADY VOTED CD1E "In the 2016 Congressional election did you vote for Mark Holbrook, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat … some other candidate …. or did you skip this election?" 1 MARK HOLBROOK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 DID NOT VOTE 98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT

25

CD1 If the 2016 congressional election was being held today, would you vote for Mark Holbrook, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat … some other candidate …. or would you skip this election?” ROTATE CANDIDATES 1 MARK HOLBROOK SKIPTO BALLOT 2 CHELLIE PINGREE SKIPTO BALLOT 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO BALLOT 4 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO BALLOT 98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT CD1LN “Would you say you are leaning towards Mark Holbrook, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat?” 1 MARK HOLBROOK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 OTHER – SPECIFY 4 WILL NOT VOTE 98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT SPLIT BY DISTRICT IF ALREADY VOTED CD2E "In the 2016 Congressional election did you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican… Emily Cain, the Democrat… some other candidate …. or did you skip this election?" 1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 DID NOT VOTE 98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT CD2 If the 2016 congressional election was being held today, would you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican… Emily Cain, the Democrat… some other candidate …. or would you skip this election?” ROTATE CANDIDATES 1 BRUCE POLIQUIN SKIPTO POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN SKIPTO POLIQUIN 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO POLIQUIN 4 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO POLIQUIN 98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO POLIQUIN

26

CD2LN “Would you say you are leaning towards Bruce Poliquin, the Republican … Emily Cain, the Democrat?” ROTATE CANDIDATES 1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 OTHER – SPECIFY 4 WILL NOT VOTE 98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED POLIQUIN “As you may know, Congressman Poliquin has not publicly expressed whether or not he will support Donald Trump for President. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Poliquin in November or does this make little difference in your vote?” 1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR 2 LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR 3 MAKES LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN VOTE 98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED BALLOT “The state of Maine will have six referendum questions on the ballot this year. As I read each initiative, please tell me whether you will vote yes on this question, vote no, or if you are still undecided.” IF EARLY VOTER “As you know the state of Maine had six referendum questions on the ballot this year. As I read each initiative, please tell me whether you voted yes on this question, voted no, or if you did not vote on the question.” REF1 “Do you want to allow the possession and use of marijuana under state law by persons who are at least 21 years of age, and allow the cultivation, manufacture, distribution, testing, and sale of marijuana and marijuana products subject to state regulation, taxation and local ordinance?” 1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION 98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED REF2 “Do you want to add a 3% tax on individual Maine taxable income above $200,000 to create a state fund that would provide direct support for student learning in kindergarten through 12th grade public education?” 1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION 98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED

27

REF3 “Do you want to require background checks prior to the sale or transfer of firearms between individuals not licensed as firearms dealers, with failure to do so punishable by law, and with some exceptions for family members, hunting, self-defense, lawful competitions, and shooting range activity?” 1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION 98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED REF4 “Do you want to raise the minimum hourly wage of $7.50 to $9 in 2017, with annual $1 increases up to $12 in 2020, and annual cost-of-living increases thereafter; and do you want to raise the direct wage for service workers who receive tips from half the minimum wage to $5 in 2017, with annual $1 increases until it reaches the adjusted minimum wage?” 1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION 98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED REF5 “Do you want to allow voters to rank their choices of candidates in elections for U.S. Senate, Congress, Governor, State Senate, and State Representative, and to have ballots counted at the state level in multiple rounds in which last-place candidates are eliminated until a candidate wins by majority? 1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION 98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED REF6 “Do you favor a $100,000,000 bond issue for construction, reconstruction and rehabilitation of highways and bridges and for facilities, equipment and property acquisition related to ports, harbors, marine transportation, freight and passenger railroads, aviation, transit and bicycle and pedestrian trails, to be used to match an estimated $137,000,000 in federal and other funds?” 1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION 98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED

28

D1 “Now some final questions.” “What is your current age?” ___ ___ : : : : (RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45) : : : : 96 NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA D2 “What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you’ve completed and got credit for ...” [READ RESPONSES] 1 “Eighth grade or less, 2 Some high school, 3 High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.) 4 Technical school, 5 Some college, 6 College graduate, 7 Or postgraduate work?” 98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED D4 “Are you or any person in your household a member or veteran of the armed forces?” 1 YES 2 NO 98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED D5 "Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun?" 1 YES 2 NO 98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED

29

D7 “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?” (IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?” (IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?” (IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?” 1 STRONG DEMOCRAT 2 NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT 3 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS 4 INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER 5 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS 6 NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN 7 STRONG REPUBLICAN 8 OTHER PARTY * 99 DK / NA / REFUSED D10 “How many years have you lived in the State of Maine?” IF “ALL MY LIFE” ASK – “About how many years is that?” RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OF RESIDENCE 1 ONE YEAR OR LESS 96 96 YEARS OF MORE 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA D12 "What is your religious preference? Is it Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, some other religion, or no religion?" 1 PROTESTANT 2 CATHOLIC 3 JEWISH 4 NONE, NO RELIGION 5 OTHER (SPECIFY) 97 REFUSED 98 DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED D13 "How often do you attend religious services apart from occasional weddings, baptisms, or funerals ... more than once a week ... once week ... once or twice a month ... a few times a year ... or never?" 1 MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK 2 ONCE A WEEK 3 ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH 4 A FEW TIMES A YEAR 5 NEVER 98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA

30

D14 “Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?” 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE 98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED D15 “Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?” 0 NO LANDLINE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE 98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED D16 “And on how many different cellphone NUMBERS can your household be reached?” 0 NO CELL PHONE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE 98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED

31

D17 “How much TOTAL income did you and your family receive in 2015, not just from wages or salaries but from ALL sources -- that is, before taxes and other deductions were made? Was it ... (READ CATEGORIES) ANNUAL MONTHLY EQUIVALENT 1 Less than $15,000, LESS THAN $1,250 2 $15,000 - $29,999, $1,250 - $2,499 3 $30,000 - $44,999, $2,500 - $3,749 4 $45,000 - $59,999, $3,750 - $4,999 5 $60,000 - $74,999, $5,000 - $6,249 6 $75,000 - $99,999, or $6,250 - $8,333 7 $100,000 and over?” $8,334 AND OVER 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA D18 “Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we've been talking about?” 1 YES “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ____________ 2 NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE) 99 NA / REFUSED END “Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”

32

Tabular Results

Registered Democrat

Registered Unenrolled/Other

Registered Republican

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter

Extremely Interested in Election

Very Interested

Some/Little Interest

Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less

Technical school/Some college

College graduate

Postgraduate work

Once a week or more often

Once or twice a month

Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine

Downeast/Coastal Maine

Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

11%

24%

18%

0%

3%

2%

6%

4%

0%

6%

3%

3%

2%

3%

6%

10%

8%

1%

4%

6%

28%

17%

18%

12%

43%

32%

29%

14%

20%

21%

1%

3%

3%

6%

3%

1%

3%

2%

4%

2%

5%

4%

13%

5%

1%

4%

6%

24%

18%

15%

14%

38%

41%

27%

29%

18%

14%

2%

5%

4%

4%

2%

4%

5%

5%

4%

7%

6%

10%

7%

12%

19%

20%

16%

8%

29%

34%

35%

24%

23%

13%

3%

1%

2%

3%

2%

5%

3%

3%

5%

2%

4%

5%

8%

6%

6%

6%

10%

18%

18%

18%

13%

35%

33%

34%

22%

16%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

4%

9%

18%

8%

14%

16%

27%

39%

13%

14%

17%

31%

1%

3%

2%

2%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

5%

3%

4%

4%

5%

10%

7%

23%

14%

8%

8%

10%

13%

19%

21%

38%

38%

34%

23%

19%

18%

3%

1%

2%

5%

2%

6%

3%

4%

7%

6%

14%

11%

15%

16%

35%

33%

13%

19%

17%

25%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

5%

2%

4%

2%

6%

3%

3%

7%

4%

3%

2%

1%

6%

9%

8%

24%

9%

13%

8%

12%

12%

19%

20%

37%

37%

33%

27%

24%

15%

8%

19%

3%

3%

2%

2%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

6%

2%

2%

6%

1%

5%

4%

7%

10%

8%

12%

12%

12%

14%

14%

21%

12%

13%

35%

28%

45%

35%

16%

15%

18%

24%

1%

2%

1%

3%

9%

2%

2%

2%

1%

5%

3%

3%

5%

2%

5%

2%

7%

9%

7%

2%

16%

16%

14%

8%

15%

18%

17%

15%

30%

30%

33%

40%

13%

19%

26%

31%

2%

4%

2%

5%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

8%

1%

7%

7%

6%

2%

12%

13%

12%

14%

13%

20%

16%

22%

40%

27%

28%

26%

18%

12%

23%

23%

2%

1%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

3%

2%

3%

6%

5%

2%

7%

4%

3%

6%

5%

6%

8%

15%

11%

12%

10%

20%

17%

12%

11%

30%

40%

32%

35%

19%

18%

1%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

5%

2%

6%

6%

12%

14%

14%

18%

36%

32%

Jobs/Economy Drugs

GovernorLePage Welfare Education

Budget/Govt Taxes

HealthCare Other/DK

Maine Residents 18%2%3%4%4%6%13%16%34%

195

303

238

246

157

309

81

572

87

176

217

341

320

395

156

219

179

177

382

358

148

243

163

177

315

213

71

121

152

140

143

92

375

166

120

73

262

167

134

177

379

362

(N)

740

Most Important Problem in Maine

33

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

20%

52%

86%

6%

6%

3%

74%

42%

11%

21%

52%

86%

5%

7%

2%

75%

41%

12%

46%

54%

70%

13%

4%

3%

41%

42%

27%

47%

54%

59%

11%

5%

2%

42%

41%

39%

72%

41%

5%

5%

23%

54%

58%

54%

55%

52%

5%

4%

5%

6%

38%

41%

40%

42%

60%

50%

5%

5%

35%

45%

79%

55%

52%

37%

2%

6%

4%

7%

19%

39%

44%

56%

62%

54%

43%

46%

5%

4%

3%

6%

33%

42%

54%

48%

51%

61%

52%

54%

5%

0%

6%

8%

44%

39%

42%

38%

49%

57%

66%

64%

4%

4%

7%

5%

47%

39%

27%

31%

62%

49%

58%

48%

6%

4%

4%

5%

32%

47%

38%

47%

50%

60%

4%

6%

45%

35%

Approve Neutral Disapprove

Maine Residents 55%5%40%

198

313

240

252

160

316

88

580

87

186

221

342

329

401

160

220

181

184

391

364

149

244

167

186

324

212

72

124

153

140

150

97

382

164

128

74

272

170

136

177

383

372

(N)

755

Job Approval - Governor Paul LePage

34

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

44%

34%

33%

15%

20%

22%

41%

46%

45%

42%

41%

32%

16%

17%

20%

43%

42%

48%

32%

36%

42%

31%

18%

18%

37%

46%

40%

33%

29%

43%

24%

16%

19%

43%

54%

38%

34%

39%

20%

18%

46%

43%

40%

45%

30%

29%

19%

17%

18%

23%

41%

38%

52%

48%

32%

41%

20%

18%

48%

41%

36%

35%

38%

36%

11%

24%

22%

18%

54%

41%

40%

45%

33%

34%

39%

47%

22%

18%

16%

18%

45%

48%

45%

35%

34%

38%

46%

31%

16%

15%

17%

29%

49%

47%

37%

40%

39%

37%

29%

32%

18%

22%

17%

25%

43%

41%

54%

43%

32%

41%

38%

38%

22%

19%

17%

17%

46%

40%

45%

45%

38%

35%

18%

20%

44%

45%

Approve Neutral Disapprove


194

310

238

247

161

312

88

574

84

187

217

338

323

399

159

218

176

184

386

361

148

241

166

182

322

209

70

123

151

139

144

97

378

163

125

73

267

167

137

176

380

367

(N)

747

Job Approval - Maine State Legislature

35

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

9%

10%

9%

24%

35%

54%

67%

55%

37%

8%

12%

8%

27%

35%

50%

65%

53%

43%

13%

9%

7%

35%

38%

45%

52%

53%

48%

14%

8%

8%

35%

36%

41%

50%

56%

50%

10%

9%

43%

33%

47%

58%

9%

10%

7%

12%

49%

44%

40%

21%

42%

47%

53%

67%

8%

11%

41%

35%

50%

55%

9%

7%

12%

11%

47%

38%

38%

31%

44%

55%

50%

59%

9%

10%

13%

8%

37%

34%

36%

47%

54%

56%

51%

45%

5%

6%

8%

11%

35%

42%

41%

38%

60%

52%

50%

50%

9%

6%

15%

8%

41%

31%

36%

46%

50%

63%

49%

46%

8%

11%

12%

9%

37%

38%

40%

40%

56%

51%

48%

52%

11%

8%

38%

38%

50%

54%

Right Direction Wrong Track Don't Know


198

308

232

252

156

307

87

570

85

183

218

335

322

396

155

217

179

183

383

359

146

242

163

183

315

213

70

123

153

136

149

96

377

164

124

71

265

165

132

180

377

365

(N)

742

Is Maine Going In Right Direction Or Off On Wrong Track?

36

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter

Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

1%

1%

5%

19%

6%

10%

20%

9%

37%

26%

27%

47%

34%

58%

1%9%

15%

9%

14%

19%

11%

33%

33%

25%

43%

33%

56%

2%

0%

48%

6%

7%

27%

14%

5%

12%

33%

21%

10%

47%

67%

1%

1%

13%

9%

11%

18%

30%

29%

45%

43%

1%

0%

1%

7%

6%

12%

19%

10%

13%

11%

23%

29%

28%

36%

23%

52%

53%

39%

35%

1%

1%

10%

12%

14%

14%

30%

28%

45%

45%

1%

1%

0%

1%

5%

8%

9%

21%

8%

10%

19%

21%

28%

29%

35%

26%

58%

53%

37%

31%

0%

1%

2%

1%

14%

9%

13%

4%

17%

14%

11%

10%

25%

33%

26%

34%

44%

43%

48%

50%

1%

1%

5%

5%

9%

24%

8%

9%

16%

17%

31%

36%

27%

26%

56%

50%

48%

32%

1%9%

11%

12%

18%

15%

15%

13%

12%

31%

26%

30%

28%

44%

48%

46%

42%

0%

1%

2%

11%

8%

9%

16%

15%

14%

13%

15%

29%

32%

26%

29%

45%

46%

52%

39%

1%

1%

12%

10%

14%

14%

30%

28%

43%

47%

Extremely Interested Very Interested Somewhat Interested Not Very Interested Don't Know

Maine Residents 1%11%14%29%45%

199

317

240

253

163

316

90

583

87

331

404

160

221

182

187

393

367

148

247

167

189

326

216

72

123

155

140

150

97

383

167

129

74

272

170

137

181

387

374

(N)

760

Interest in 2016 Election

37

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

1%

6%

1%

9%

6%

20%

4%

8%

4%

83%

63%

73%

2%

6%

1%

2%

11%

1%

4%

3%

2%

9%

6%

17%

6%

9%

4%

75%

65%

72%

3%

7%

2%

4%

10%

3%

26%

100%

8%92%

28%45%

7%

2%

1%

5%

8%

17%

8%

10%

1%

51%

76%

79%

11%

1%

1%

17%

2%

1%

4%

3%

14%

9%

6%

6%

66%

74%

3%

4%

7%

4%

4%

1%

2%

7%

20%

14%

6%

6%

4%

5%

7%

7%

69%

73%

77%

63%

0%

3%

4%

6%

2%

4%

4%

11%

3%

3%

14%

8%

4%

7%

71%

71%

3%

4%

5%

5%

1%

1%

5%

6%

20%

13%

5%

10%

2%

5%

8%

8%

73%

74%

75%

61%

1%

3%

2%

7%

4%

4%

5%

9%

3%

4%

5%

2%

12%

9%

14%

11%

4%

9%

6%

3%

70%

71%

68%

75%

4%

3%

2%

1%

6%

4%

4%

6%

2%

0%

1%

4%

15%

11%

9%

7%

3%

7%

7%

6%

77%

76%

74%

66%

1%

6%

6%

3%

4%

2%

11%

2%

4%

6%

2%

14%

12%

4%

11%

6%

4%

8%

8%

72%

69%

74%

62%

3%

3%

7%

2%

3%

8%

3%

15%

4%

2%

5%

2%

13%

5%

15%

12%

6%

6%

7%

4%

69%

81%

66%

68%

2%

2%

4%

5%

6%

3%

4%

8%

2%

4%

10%

13%

5%

6%

74%

68%

5%

2%

5%

5%

Probably Won'tVote May Vote

Will DefinitelyVote

Will Vote UnlessEmergency Early Voter Unsure

Maine Residents 3%11%6%71%3%5%

199

316

240

254

163

314

90

583

87

190

222

342

330

404

160

222

182

186

393

366

149

246

167

189

325

216

72

124

155

140

150

97

384

167

129

73

273

170

136

181

385

374

(N)

760

Likelihood of Voting in 2016 Election

38

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early

Will Definitely Vote

Will Vote Unless Emergency


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

2%

1%

87%

54%

16%

4%

10%

10%

9%

34%

74%

1%

2%

91%

60%

13%

4%

15%

8%

5%

24%

78%

4%

1%

69%

52%

32%

12%

8%

9%

15%

40%

59%

3%

0%

1%

52%

55%

46%

14%

9%

5%

30%

36%

48%

1%

1%

30%

65%

9%

8%

60%

27%

0%

1%

1%

1%

41%

52%

54%

51%

6%

6%

10%

10%

53%

41%

34%

37%

1%

1%

40%

61%

9%

7%

50%

31%

0%

0%

3%

22%

53%

54%

68%

5%

10%

8%

7%

73%

36%

37%

22%

1%

1%

2%

41%

54%

60%

58%

9%

6%

5%

10%

48%

39%

33%

33%

1%

2%

1%

52%

41%

55%

49%

4%

6%

8%

16%

43%

53%

36%

34%

1%

3%

2%

56%

46%

38%

40%

8%

11%

6%

7%

35%

43%

53%

51%

1%

1%

1%

1%

43%

58%

49%

54%

9%

9%

6%

7%

46%

32%

44%

38%

1%

1%

54%

47%

9%

8%

37%

45%

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don't Know

Maine Likely Voters 1%50%8%41%

189

241

232

225

131

294

43

535

87

122

209

331

284

357

149

202

164

140

350

315

140

224

147

146

281

191

64

109

147

133

134

75

349

143

109

58

237

156

118

153

338

326

(N)

665

Favorability Ratings - Hillary Clinton

39

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

2%

2%

0%

26%

63%

91%

6%

8%

1%

65%

27%

7%

2%

2%

1%

24%

59%

94%

7%

12%

1%

67%

27%

4%

6%

1%

2%

66%

60%

78%

4%

5%

4%

23%

34%

16%

5%

1%

63%

62%

63%

9%

6%

3%

22%

33%

33%

1%

2%

79%

50%

3%

7%

16%

41%

2%

1%

2%

1%

65%

60%

58%

69%

3%

4%

6%

8%

30%

35%

34%

23%

2%

1%

70%

55%

4%

6%

24%

38%

1%

2%

4%

86%

65%

62%

37%

4%

4%

5%

8%

10%

31%

30%

51%

2%

2%

1%

70%

62%

49%

53%

6%

2%

3%

9%

23%

34%

48%

37%

1%

1%

4%

62%

69%

56%

57%

2%

3%

7%

9%

35%

27%

37%

29%

1%

2%

2%

54%

66%

75%

81%

5%

6%

4%

4%

39%

26%

19%

15%

1%

2%

1%

2%

71%

49%

71%

57%

2%

12%

2%

5%

26%

37%

26%

36%

1%

2%

57%

69%

7%

4%

36%

26%



189

241

232

225

131

294

43

536

87

122

209

332

284

357

149

202

164

140

350

315

140

224

147

147

281

191

64

110

147

133

134

75

350

143

109

58

238

156

118

153

338

327

(N)

665

Favorability Ratings - Donald Trump

40

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

39%

39%

42%

37%

27%

42%

5%

12%

10%

19%

21%

7%

46%

35%

38%

29%

26%

42%

8%

12%

10%

17%

27%

10%

54%

39%

41%

16%

36%

36%

11%

9%

9%

19%

15%

14%

57%

39%

34%

10%

36%

43%

13%

7%

10%

19%

18%

13%

44%

39%

35%

33%

10%

9%

11%

19%

41%

42%

41%

36%

44%

38%

28%

29%

6%

11%

8%

12%

9%

10%

22%

23%

45%

35%

34%

36%

9%

10%

13%

19%

32%

36%

40%

56%

41%

39%

36%

19%

13%

10%

8%

7%

14%

15%

16%

18%

41%

37%

41%

46%

33%

39%

37%

30%

10%

10%

5%

8%

16%

14%

17%

16%

31%

43%

34%

50%

43%

31%

44%

26%

7%

9%

10%

9%

20%

17%

12%

15%

45%

35%

40%

29%

33%

29%

38%

49%

8%

14%

8%

9%

14%

23%

13%

14%

37%

45%

38%

42%

37%

31%

35%

35%

11%

8%

10%

8%

14%

16%

18%

16%

43%

37%

33%

37%

8%

11%

16%

15%



189

244

232

228

131

294

44

538

87

124

209

333

285

359

149

204

165

141

351

318

141

224

147

148

281

193

64

111

147

133

134

76

351

143

110

59

241

158

118

153

340

329

(N)

669

Favorability Ratings - Gary Johnson

41

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

58%

60%

54%

33%

20%

20%

5%

8%

8%

4%

12%

18%

63%

59%

52%

29%

20%

20%

4%

9%

9%

4%

12%

19%

58%

58%

55%

26%

24%

19%

6%

7%

7%

10%

11%

20%

71%

62%

50%

14%

19%

29%

7%

6%

8%

8%

12%

13%

59%

56%

21%

25%

9%

6%

11%

12%

61%

61%

60%

46%

28%

22%

22%

23%

5%

8%

6%

10%

6%

9%

12%

21%

66%

49%

15%

33%

9%

6%

11%

13%

49%

55%

59%

69%

25%

22%

25%

22%

14%

8%

4%

3%

11%

15%

13%

7%

54%

59%

65%

64%

23%

22%

23%

23%

6%

10%

5%

5%

16%

9%

7%

8%

56%

57%

58%

59%

31%

26%

26%

12%

4%

6%

7%

10%

9%

11%

8%

19%

63%

59%

41%

53%

22%

24%

27%

23%

6%

6%

8%

15%

9%

11%

24%

9%

60%

60%

49%

59%

24%

22%

22%

24%

6%

9%

9%

7%

11%

9%

20%

10%

57%

58%

23%

24%

8%

7%

12%

11%



189

242

231

227

131

293

44

535

87

123

208

333

285

357

149

204

165

138

350

316

141

223

147

147

279

192

64

111

147

132

134

76

351

143

109

58

239

158

118

151

338

328

(N)

666

Favorability Ratings - Jill Stein

42

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

1%

1%

18%

56%

88%

4%

6%

3%

78%

36%

9%

1%

2%

19%

52%

89%

2%

10%

3%

79%

37%

8%

3%

0%

61%

54%

71%

4%

4%

3%

32%

41%

26%

1%

1%

0%

51%

54%

61%

8%

7%

1%

40%

38%

38%

1%

0%

75%

43%

4%

4%

20%

52%

1%

1%

59%

53%

57%

59%

4%

5%

3%

5%

37%

42%

39%

35%

1%62%

51%

4%

4%

33%

45%

1%

1%

1%

84%

57%

51%

36%

2%

3%

5%

7%

13%

39%

43%

56%

1%

1%

66%

54%

49%

43%

5%

3%

3%

6%

30%

41%

48%

50%

2%

2%

53%

63%

51%

54%

2%

3%

6%

9%

43%

33%

43%

36%

0%

2%

48%

59%

74%

73%

5%

6%

6%

47%

35%

23%

21%

1%

1%

64%

48%

64%

49%

4%

6%

4%

4%

31%

46%

32%

47%

0%

1%

51%

63%

5%

3%

44%

33%



189

242

232

227

131

294

44

537

87

123

209

333

285

358

149

204

165

140

351

316

141

224

147

147

281

192

64

111

147

133

134

76

351

143

109

59

239

158

118

153

340

328

(N)

668

Favorability Ratings - Paul LePage

43

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

1%

5%

4%

35%

14%

14%

4%

11%

11%

60%

70%

71%

3%

5%

3%

29%

19%

14%

8%

8%

11%

61%

68%

72%

7%

3%

2%

8%

20%

23%

2%

10%

11%

83%

67%

64%

10%

2%

2%

11%

20%

24%

10%

5%

12%

69%

74%

63%

4%

3%

13%

23%

9%

10%

74%

64%

2%

1%

3%

9%

21%

27%

17%

11%

11%

7%

8%

11%

66%

64%

72%

69%

3%

4%

18%

22%

10%

9%

69%

65%

2%

2%

3%

8%

17%

21%

16%

25%

13%

8%

8%

9%

69%

69%

73%

58%

5%

4%

1%

2%

17%

17%

31%

23%

13%

6%

8%

5%

65%

74%

60%

70%

3%

3%

2%

4%

21%

20%

21%

16%

7%

11%

13%

5%

69%

66%

64%

75%

2%

1%

8%

12%

25%

13%

15%

11%

8%

13%

13%

4%

65%

74%

64%

73%

3%

4%

4%

4%

19%

22%

17%

23%

8%

12%

10%

7%

71%

62%

69%

67%

4%

3%

22%

17%

10%

9%

64%

71%



190

244

232

228

131

294

44

539

87

124

210

333

285

360

149

205

165

141

351

319

141

225

147

148

281

193

64

111

147

133

134

76

352

143

110

59

241

158

118

154

341

329

(N)

670

Favorability Ratings - Susan Collins

44

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

6%

10%

6%

47%

16%

2%

9%

8%

4%

39%

66%

87%

9%

10%

4%

40%

21%

4%

10%

8%

5%

41%

61%

87%

18%

7%

3%

21%

21%

11%

4%

7%

8%

57%

64%

78%

15%

7%

5%

13%

18%

24%

9%

7%

6%

63%

68%

64%

6%

9%

9%

26%

7%

7%

78%

58%

2%

4%

7%

19%

20%

26%

17%

13%

6%

4%

11%

7%

71%

66%

64%

61%

7%

8%

14%

26%

7%

7%

72%

59%

4%

4%

8%

14%

8%

20%

18%

32%

3%

10%

7%

7%

84%

66%

67%

48%

8%

10%

5%

4%

15%

20%

29%

25%

7%

8%

4%

6%

69%

62%

61%

64%

3%

6%

10%

12%

22%

14%

22%

16%

10%

5%

4%

10%

65%

75%

64%

62%

3%

5%

18%

20%

26%

14%

15%

7%

7%

10%

4%

7%

65%

70%

62%

66%

6%

9%

3%

11%

14%

28%

18%

23%

8%

5%

8%

7%

72%

58%

70%

60%

8%

6%

26%

14%

6%

8%

59%

72%



189

244

232

226

131

294

44

538

87

124

210

332

285

359

149

205

164

141

350

319

141

225

145

148

279

193

64

111

147

133

133

76

351

143

110

59

241

158

118

152

339

329

(N)

669

Favorability Ratings - Angus King

45

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Southern Maine

15%

21%

13%

53%

25%

4%

10%

9%

5%

21%

45%

79%

16%

21%

15%

56%

21%

4%

10%

12%

5%

19%

46%

76%

33%

17%

5%

25%

24%

22%

3%

9%

1%

39%

50%

72%

27%

26%

8%

20%

26%

23%

11%

4%

8%

42%

44%

61%

14%

20%

16%

30%

9%

6%

62%

44%

3%

10%

25%

31%

23%

31%

27%

12%

6%

4%

8%

14%

69%

56%

40%

43%

18%

15%

16%

32%

7%

8%

60%

44%

10%

14%

24%

25%

6%

26%

24%

34%

3%

11%

5%

8%

81%

50%

47%

32%

21%

12%

11%

18%

16%

25%

33%

32%

8%

8%

4%

10%

55%

55%

52%

40%

7%

23%

22%

25%

34%

17%

21%

17%

8%

5%

4%

10%

50%

56%

53%

49%

6%

25%

26%

36%

34%

12%

18%

6%

8%

8%

7%

5%

51%

55%

50%

53%

19%

5%

17%

23%

20%

33%

8%

8%

4%

50%

67%

46%


Maine First District Likely Voters 17%24%7%52%

70

137

118

94

63

161

24

254

50

59

97

171

164

149

70

98

70

83

171

158

70

127

71

55

142

100

27

47

78

74

62

28

159

85

54

27

239

56

33

(N)

328

Favorability Ratings - Chellie Pingree

46

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

13%

17%

13%

18%

42%

66%

8%

12%

7%

61%

29%

14%

17%

15%

11%

18%

41%

66%

9%

12%

7%

56%

33%

15%

35%

14%

5%

25%

41%

57%

14%

9%

3%

26%

36%

35%

19%

15%

12%

44%

37%

44%

11%

8%

8%

25%

39%

37%

17%

13%

51%

36%

9%

9%

23%

42%

9%

10%

20%

20%

49%

49%

38%

25%

9%

6%

11%

13%

34%

35%

31%

42%

15%

14%

43%

40%

8%

10%

34%

37%

10%

17%

12%

17%

64%

37%

35%

34%

9%

13%

8%

6%

17%

33%

45%

44%

16%

18%

10%

7%

50%

34%

45%

33%

9%

9%

8%

10%

25%

39%

37%

49%

13%

7%

19%

21%

38%

52%

41%

33%

6%

14%

7%

15%

43%

28%

33%

30%

13%

13%

14%

25%

43%

35%

37%

53%

6%

14%

16%

8%

38%

39%

33%

14%

17%

16%

9%

38%

44%

45%

8%

11%

9%

37%

29%

37%


Maine Second District Likely Voters 14%42%9%35%

119

105

114

133

68

133

20

282

37

64

113

162

121

209

79

106

95

57

181

159

70

98

76

92

138

92

37

64

69

59

72

48

192

58

55

32

158

62

120

(N)

340

Favorability Ratings - Bruce Poliquin

47

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

21%

23%

22%

64%

31%

10%

4%

12%

6%

12%

33%

62%

22%

25%

20%

61%

37%

9%

4%

9%

9%

13%

28%

62%

42%

23%

3%

24%

37%

37%

13%

7%

4%

21%

33%

56%

32%

27%

14%

31%

33%

41%

8%

7%

7%

30%

34%

38%

25%

20%

21%

45%

9%

6%

45%

29%

13%

22%

27%

27%

32%

36%

37%

39%

11%

2%

6%

13%

44%

41%

30%

22%

23%

20%

33%

40%

5%

10%

39%

30%

16%

17%

26%

27%

23%

39%

36%

42%

7%

11%

5%

4%

53%

32%

32%

27%

25%

19%

18%

22%

29%

31%

44%

50%

7%

9%

7%

4%

39%

41%

31%

23%

20%

19%

19%

43%

50%

32%

28%

21%

1%

10%

8%

10%

29%

39%

45%

26%

21%

19%

21%

38%

40%

44%

18%

25%

5%

6%

16%

5%

34%

30%

46%

32%

21%

20%

24%

41%

30%

32%

4%

10%

10%

33%

40%

34%



119

105

112

133

68

132

20

281

37

64

111

162

121

208

79

106

95

56

179

159

70

96

76

92

137

92

37

64

69

57

72

48

192

58

55

31

158

62

118

(N)

338

Favorability Ratings - Emily Cain

48

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Southern Maine

75%

75%

81%

4%

6%

11%

5%

12%

5%

16%

7%

4%

77%

73%

80%

1%

5%

11%

8%

13%

5%

14%

10%

3%

72%

79%

75%

13%

6%

11%

8%

8%

6%

7%

7%

9%

82%

79%

76%

1%

6%

10%

8%

10%

6%

9%

5%

8%

79%

77%

7%

7%

8%

6%

6%

9%

74%

73%

83%

80%

11%

10%

6%

3%

6%

6%

7%

12%

9%

11%

4%

5%

79%

76%

7%

7%

8%

7%

5%

10%

74%

76%

84%

75%

15%

8%

1%

5%

7%

9%

6%

7%

4%

7%

8%

13%

80%

78%

78%

77%

8%

3%

9%

7%

7%

7%

3%

12%

5%

12%

9%

4%

83%

83%

76%

82%

7%

7%

8%

6%

5%

6%

7%

4%

5%

9%

12%

74%

84%

76%

81%

8%

4%

10%

7%

8%

8%

7%

9%

10%

5%

7%

3%

79%

72%

74%

5%

17%

6%

8%

5%

10%

7%

7%

10%



70

137

118

94

63

161

24

254

50

59

97

171

164

149

70

98

70

83

171

158

70

127

71

55

142

100

27

47

78

74

62

28

159

85

54

27

239

56

33

(N)

328

Favorability Ratings - Mark Holbrook

49

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

15%

23%

10%

10%

17%

8%

75%

59%

82%

18%

32%

8%

15%

15%

10%

67%

53%

83%

35%

15%

18%

12%

47%

73%

30%

21%

8%

18%

14%

8%

52%

64%

84%

14%

19%

11%

14%

75%

67%

14%

14%

21%

18%

5%

10%

13%

23%

81%

76%

66%

60%

17%

16%

8%

17%

74%

67%

9%

18%

16%

22%

12%

16%

14%

8%

79%

66%

71%

69%

15%

18%

18%

19%

11%

16%

10%

12%

74%

65%

72%

69%

10%

14%

19%

31%

9%

12%

14%

12%

80%

74%

67%

57%

17%

21%

15%

7%

11%

14%

16%

11%

71%

65%

69%

81%

16%

18%

15%

17%

13%

13%

12%

12%

70%

69%

73%

71%

17%

17%

12%

13%

71%

71%

Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide

Maine Likely Voters 17%13%71%

172

223

183

206

120

240

44

537

112

192

275

236

323

117

173

153

129

295

286

111

193

138

130

242

173

53

97

124

117

121

70

297

123

105

49

203

149

98

131

303

278

(N)

581

Decided On Vote For US President

50

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early



Definitely Decided

Leaning Towards Someone

Still Trying To Decide


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

4%

7%

3%

1%

7%

1%

1%

4%

3%

7%

8%

1%

12%

40%

85%

75%

35%

8%

5%

12%

2%

4%

5%

1%

1%

6%

3%

4%

13%

2%

8%

30%

87%

78%

34%

5%

16%

5%

5%

3%

3%

3%

0%

16%

4%

6%

28%

46%

70%

32%

39%

24%

32%

3%

1%

11%

5%

1%

11%

5%

1%

8%

8%

4%

10%

38%

53%

28%

40%

40%

12%

7%

1%

8%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

7%

6%

4%

38%

44%

54%

31%

38%

37%

5%

6%

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

6%

68%

33%

18%

49%

5%

4%

8%

3%

1%

2%

5%

3%

1%

3%

3%

5%

2%

1%

7%

11%

58%

49%

41%

46%

34%

42%

36%

32%

7%

3%

3%

3%

1%

5%

4%

6%

56%

39%

29%

45%

1%

8%

2%

6%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

6%

3%

7%

79%

46%

45%

25%

14%

34%

41%

57%

3%

5%

7%

9%

4%

1%

4%

2%

3%

4%

1%

4%

4%

4%

6%

56%

46%

37%

36%

29%

39%

47%

46%

5%

2%

8%

7%

2%

2%

3%

5%

1%

3%

2%

4%

6%

4%

4%

8%

48%

57%

40%

41%

38%

32%

43%

35%

6%

7%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

4%

3%

8%

7%

5%

43%

49%

57%

62%

43%

32%

25%

27%

8%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

4%

2%

1%

5%

4%

2%

2%

3%

9%

8%

55%

39%

51%

42%

32%

44%

29%

42%

4%

7%

3%

2%

4%

1%

6%

4%

43%

53%

40%

33%


Maine Likely Voters 5%3%3%5%48%37%

183

232

229

220

124

289

41

523

82

88

71

405

112

203

329

276

347

142

197

162

137

338

309

134

219

143

143

276

186

61

106

143

133

133

70

338

142

107

54

230

153

117

147

330

317

(N)

647

US President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

51

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early



Definitely Decided




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

3%

5%

1%

1%

7%

1%

1%

4%

3%

7%

8%

1%

12%

41%

85%

76%

35%

9%

4%

8%

1%

4%

6%

1%

1%

6%

3%

4%

13%

2%

8%

33%

87%

79%

34%

5%

9%

3%

7%

3%

5%

3%

0%

16%

4%

6%

31%

47%

70%

32%

39%

24%

22%

1%

0%

14%

5%

1%

11%

6%

1%

10%

8%

4%

14%

40%

53%

30%

40%

40%

10%

5%

8%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

7%

6%

4%

39%

45%

54%

33%

38%

38%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

6%

69%

34%

19%

49%

3%

3%

6%

1%

1%

3%

5%

4%

1%

3%

3%

5%

2%

1%

8%

11%

58%

49%

43%

46%

34%

42%

36%

33%

5%

1%

3%

3%

1%

5%

4%

6%

57%

39%

29%

46%

1%

7%

1%

2%

2%

3%

5%

4%

2%

2%

5%

2%

2%

6%

3%

8%

79%

48%

45%

26%

14%

34%

41%

58%

3%

3%

5%

6%

4%

1%

5%

4%

3%

4%

1%

5%

4%

4%

6%

57%

48%

37%

36%

29%

39%

49%

47%

3%

2%

5%

4%

2%

2%

4%

7%

1%

3%

2%

5%

6%

4%

5%

8%

50%

57%

40%

41%

38%

32%

44%

35%

4%

4%

2%

3%

5%

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

3%

8%

8%

5%

43%

49%

60%

62%

44%

33%

25%

27%

4%

4%

1%

2%

3%

5%

4%

2%

1%

5%

5%

2%

2%

3%

9%

9%

56%

39%

52%

43%

33%

44%

29%

43%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

1%

6%

4%

43%

54%

40%

34%


Maine Likely Voters 3%3%3%5%48%37%

183

232

228

220

124

288

41

522

82

87

71

405

112

203

328

275

347

140

197

162

137

338

308

134

219

143

142

276

185

61

106

143

133

133

70

337

142

107

54

230

153

117

146

329

317

(N)

646

US President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein With Leaners

52

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early



Definitely Decided




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Southern Maine

4%

6%

1%

7%

1%

2%

2%

5%

6%

1%

13%

44%

89%

78%

34%

7%

6%

8%

1%

1%

8%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

12%

1%

9%

37%

90%

80%

33%

5%

10%

4%

12%

3%

3%

2%

10%

3%

5%

40%

52%

74%

26%

37%

21%

27%

1%

16%

3%

1%

6%

6%

8%

5%

2%

18%

40%

60%

25%

46%

36%

14%

6%

6%

4%

2%

3%

1%

5%

5%

3%

46%

45%

62%

28%

38%

33%

3%

6%

3%

3%

1%

2%

4%

3%

69%

40%

20%

45%

4%

3%

8%

2%

1%

2%

4%

5%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

8%

4%

61%

54%

48%

55%

33%

37%

32%

31%

6%

3%

3%

4%

1%

2%

3%

5%

63%

44%

25%

42%

7%

3%

3%

4%

2%

6%

3%

1%

4%

1%

1%

6%

7%

85%

57%

41%

30%

10%

28%

46%

56%

3%

4%

6%

10%

4%

1%

5%

3%

1%

4%

3%

2%

5%

7%

65%

56%

36%

33%

24%

35%

48%

48%

3%

3%

6%

2%

1%

5%

10%

2%

1%

2%

3%

5%

2%

2%

11%

56%

62%

45%

45%

32%

33%

41%

29%

5%

5%

5%

1%

7%

4%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

8%

5%

48%

58%

64%

63%

41%

28%

22%

27%

4%

1%

8%

3%

3%

3%

1%

4%

2%

11%

3%

56%

54%

35%

33%

26%

51%


Maine First District Likely Voters 4%3%1%4%54%34%

68

131

116

92

60

156

23

248

46

42

34

194

54

94

168

160

142

67

94

68

81

163

155

67

123

69

54

139

98

26

45

78

74

61

26

152

84

54

24

230

55

32

(N)

317

US President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein With Leaners (CD1 Only)

53

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early



Definitely Decided




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

2%

4%

2%

1%

8%

1%

2%

7%

4%

9%

9%

1%

12%

37%

81%

75%

35%

10%

2%

8%

1%

6%

4%

1%

1%

10%

4%

5%

14%

4%

8%

29%

84%

78%

35%

6%

8%

3%4%

6%

4%

1%

25%

5%

6%

19%

42%

65%

41%

42%

28%

17%

3%

12%

7%

2%

16%

7%

2%

11%

10%

5%

10%

39%

47%

34%

35%

45%

5%

5%

9%

1%

3%

6%

4%

3%

9%

7%

5%

33%

45%

45%

37%

39%

43%

2%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

8%

69%

29%

17%

53%

3%

2%

4%

1%

3%

5%

3%

1%

4%

4%

8%

2%

8%

21%

56%

45%

39%

32%

36%

46%

39%

36%

5%4%

3%

1%

7%

6%

7%

51%

34%

33%

49%

2%

6%

1%

1%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

5%

3%

2%

7%

6%

8%

73%

36%

49%

24%

17%

42%

36%

59%

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

2%

5%

4%

6%

5%

2%

6%

7%

4%

5%

49%

40%

38%

39%

33%

44%

50%

47%

2%

2%

4%

5%

4%

5%

3%

6%

1%

6%

2%

7%

6%

6%

7%

6%

42%

51%

36%

39%

45%

30%

47%

38%

3%

4%

5%

2%

3%

4%

2%

6%

7%

3%

15%

8%

5%

40%

36%

55%

61%

46%

41%

27%

27%

4%

2%

1%

5%

4%

1%

5%

5%

2%

3%

7%

10%

39%

50%

45%

44%

32%

40%


Maine Second District Likely Voters 3%3%4%6%43%40%

115

101

112

128

64

132

18

274

36

45

37

211

58

109

160

115

204

74

103

93

56

175

153

67

96

74

88

137

88

35

61

65

59

72

44

185

58

54

30

153

62

114

(N)

329

US President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein With Leaners (CD2 Only)

54

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

0%

2%

2%

8%

5%

14%

19%

19%

36%

33%

35%

47%

38%

42%

0%

2%

5%

6%

5%

17%

16%

20%

30%

38%

36%

47%

37%

39%

3%

1%

9%

5%

27%

17%

33%

35%

27%

43%

2%

1%

16%

4%

2%

22%

21%

14%

31%

39%

32%

29%

36%

51%

1%

1%

4%

7%

22%

15%

34%

34%

40%

43%

0%

1%

2%

4%

3%

4%

10%

14%

17%

25%

14%

31%

38%

33%

34%

51%

41%

37%

40%

1%

1%

6%

5%

19%

16%

35%

34%

39%

45%

1%

2%

4%

7%

10%

21%

19%

14%

17%

37%

34%

38%

29%

42%

42%

41%

42%

6%

0%

1%

9%

8%

5%

5%

18%

7%

23%

19%

16%

32%

30%

28%

38%

32%

42%

63%

36%

38%

46%

2%

1%

6%

4%

5%

8%

20%

18%

18%

11%

32%

36%

29%

38%

41%

42%

49%

43%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

6%

6%

17%

19%

18%

25%

32%

36%

30%

41%

49%

44%

44%

26%

0%

2%

1%

5%

5%

6%

10%

18%

17%

10%

31%

33%

38%

37%

28%

44%

37%

46%

30%

1%

1%

1%

5%

5%

4%

7%

23%

14%

16%

15%

34%

32%

39%

35%

37%

47%

41%

43%

1%

1%

6%

5%

15%

21%

34%

35%

45%

37%

A Great Deal A Fair Amount Only a Little Nothing At All Don't Know

Maine Likely Voters 1%5%18%34%42%

170

223

183

205

121

239

43

537

113

190

274

237

321

117

172

152

130

293

287

111

193

138

129

54

18

28

256

218

241

174

53

97

124

117

121

70

296

123

104

51

203

149

98

130

302

278

(N)

580

How Much Heard About Leaked Clinton Campaign Emails?

55

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

2%

1%

3%

35%

56%

77%

61%

42%

17%

2%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

33%

52%

81%

64%

43%

15%

1%

1%

3%

2%

62%

56%

38%

39%2%

4%

3%

0%

54%

53%

60%

38%

42%

38%

4%

2%

1%

1%

2%

69%

48%

29%

47%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

63%

58%

64%

44%

33%

37%

35%

53%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

65%

48%

31%

48%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

76%

58%

55%

41%

22%

39%

41%

54%

1%

1%

3%

2%

5%

8%

1%

2%

47%

25%

27%

88%

30%

48%

67%

73%

6%

68%

4%

0%

2%

2%

3%

65%

55%

48%

48%

31%

43%

48%

45%

1%

2%

1%

4%

1%

1%

5%

60%

67%

46%

49%

39%

30%

50%

42%

1%

3%

3%

4%

1%

4%

1%

56%

50%

65%

62%

40%

45%

32%

36%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

63%

50%

59%

53%

34%

44%

39%

42%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

1%

52%

62%

43%

35%

2%

2%

More Likely to Vote ForMore Likely to Vote

Against Makes No Impact Don't KnowMaine Likely Voters 2%57%39%2%

169

222

182

203

120

237

44

532

112

190

271

234

320

113

170

152

130

290

286

111

191

137

128

53

18

28

254

216

240

174

52

94

123

117

121

68

293

122

105

51

202

149

97

128

299

277

(N)

576

Effect of Leaked Clinton Campaign Emails On Vote For Clinton

56

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

4%

7%

5%

4%

10%

10%

9%

34%

30%

18%

49%

51%

69%

2%

2%

7%

6%

4%

12%

13%

7%

30%

28%

25%

49%

51%

64%

3%

1%

7%

5%

11%

10%

28%

27%

52%

56%

1%

1%

2%

12%

6%

3%

17%

12%

5%

27%

30%

25%

43%

51%

65%

1%

1%

6%

5%

7%

13%

27%

28%

58%

53%

1%

2%

4%

8%

6%

3%

6%

7%

9%

14%

10%

19%

29%

29%

28%

65%

56%

52%

53%

0%

2%

7%

4%

10%

11%

28%

26%

55%

57%

1%

1%

3%

1%

3%

8%

9%

7%

8%

9%

18%

25%

34%

30%

17%

67%

54%

52%

53%

6%

0%

2%

4%

9%

3%

8%

18%

3%

9%

7%

13%

25%

24%

27%

27%

28%

53%

73%

50%

63%

48%

1%

2%

4%

5%

6%

9%

12%

10%

16%

4%

23%

31%

24%

32%

59%

52%

54%

55%

1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

6%

13%

10%

7%

9%

10%

26%

25%

29%

34%

61%

63%

55%

43%

1%

3%

1%

3%

6%

4%

3%

10%

11%

8%

8%

14%

26%

35%

24%

18%

56%

50%

64%

55%

1%

3%

1%

5%

6%

7%

5%

9%

12%

11%

9%

28%

27%

22%

30%

58%

52%

60%

55%

2%

1%

7%

4%

11%

9%

25%

29%

56%

56%

A Great Deal A Fair Amount Only a Little Nothing At All Don't Know

Maine Likely Voters 1%5%10%27%56%

171

223

183

205

121

238

43

536

113

189

274

237

320

116

172

152

130

294

286

111

193

138

129

54

18

28

255

218

240

174

53

97

124

117

121

70

297

123

103

51

202

149

98

130

303

277

(N)

579

How Much Heard About Trump Video?

57

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Clinton Voter

Trump Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

1%

2%

0%

79%

55%

44%

19%

40%

54%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

0%

80%

61%

39%

16%

35%

60%

3%

2%

1%

3%

1%

56%

59%

39%

38%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

61%

55%

61%

36%

40%

37%

1%

4%

1%

1%

1%

46%

68%

52%

28%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

1%

60%

60%

57%

59%

34%

38%

39%

40%

4%

1%

3%

1%

2%

54%

63%

44%

32%

1%

3%

0%

1%

4%

49%

54%

63%

69%

51%

44%

35%

22%

2%

1%

5%

1%

6%

1%

1%

55%

71%

56%

91%

32%

44%

29%

33%

4%

67%

6%

4%

1%

1%

1%

57%

55%

78%

61%

40%

42%

18%

36%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

61%

52%

64%

66%

38%

47%

33%

28%

1%

2%

2%

6%

1%

1%

1%

63%

55%

53%

54%

33%

43%

44%

46%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

54%

66%

56%

59%

42%

31%

43%

37%

3%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

62%

55%

35%

41%

2%

2%

More Likely to Vote ForMore Likely to Vote

Against Makes No Impact Don't KnowMaine Likely Voters 1%59%38%2%

171

224

183

206

121

239

44

537

113

191

274

237

321

117

172

152

130

294

287

111

193

138

129

54

18

28

219

256

241

174

53

97

124

117

121

70

297

123

105

51

203

149

98

130

303

278

(N)

581

Effect of Trump Video On Vote For Trump

58

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Southern Maine

14%

19%

6%

1%

6%

2%

19%

54%

89%

66%

20%

4%

16%

28%

6%

2%

7%

2%

20%

45%

89%

62%

20%

3%

25%

15%

1%

9%

3%

1%

57%

56%

80%

8%

26%

19%

22%

15%

10%

4%

4%

3%

53%

48%

67%

21%

33%

20%

13%

14%

3%

3%

72%

48%

12%

35%

5%

10%

23%

15%

2%

2%

4%

5%

68%

59%

50%

61%

25%

29%

24%

19%

14%

12%

5%

2%

68%

50%

13%

35%

8%

15%

8%

21%

1%

4%

8%

81%

55%

56%

47%

10%

26%

28%

32%

15%

8%

7%

23%

9%

10%

1%

4%

42%

66%

49%

86%

20%

34%

34%

33%

5%

53%

8%

16%

16%

20%

6%

1%

3%

2%

71%

55%

49%

45%

15%

28%

32%

33%

12%

15%

14%

15%

1%

3%

4%

53%

60%

60%

75%

33%

23%

21%

9%

10%

19%

13%

10%

2%

7%

2%

57%

61%

59%

76%

31%

13%

25%

14%

16%

7%

7%

3%

5%

3%

58%

72%

50%

23%

16%

40%

Holbrook Pingree Other Undecided


64

120

113

83

57

150

20

233

47

51

85

162

150

135

64

91

62

76

153

146

68

118

62

48

23

4

11

163

94

130

90

25

44

73

73

60

25

143

81

47

23

215

52

32

(N)

299

US Congress District 1 - Pingree vs. Holbrook

59

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Southern Maine

6%

13%

3%

1%

6%

2%

19%

56%

91%

75%

25%

4%

6%

24%

3%

2%

7%

2%

20%

45%

92%

72%

24%

3%

20%

8%

9%

3%

1%

62%

57%

80%

8%

31%

19%

14%

7%

6%

4%

4%

3%

55%

51%

68%

27%

39%

22%

9%

7%

3%

3%

74%

49%

14%

40%

2%

7%

12%

10%

2%

2%

4%

5%

69%

59%

56%

61%

27%

31%

29%

23%

9%

7%

5%

2%

71%

51%

16%

40%

6%

8%

5%

12%

1%

4%

8%

81%

58%

57%

49%

12%

30%

30%

39%

15%

5%

12%

9%

10%

1%

4%

42%

66%

49%

88%

21%

34%

34%

41%

5%

63%

6%

10%

6%

9%

6%

1%

3%

2%

72%

56%

49%

50%

16%

33%

41%

39%

7%

8%

8%

11%

1%

3%

4%

56%

62%

61%

75%

35%

27%

27%

14%

7%

10%

8%

5%

2%

7%

2%

57%

62%

65%

80%

34%

21%

25%

14%

10%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

60%

74%

50%

28%

18%

43%

Holbrook Pingree Other Undecided


64

120

113

83

57

150

20

233

46

51

85

162

149

135

64

91

62

76

153

146

68

118

62

48

23

4

11

163

94

130

90

25

44

73

73

60

25

143

81

47

23

215

52

32

(N)

299

US Congress District 1 - Pingree vs. Holbrook With Leaners

60

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

10%

18%

5%

4%

5%

3%

10%

38%

82%

76%

39%

10%

9%

22%

6%

3%

7%

2%

9%

31%

82%

79%

40%

10%

43%

10%

4%

4%

16%

43%

63%

41%

43%

34%

27%

11%

5%

7%

2%

3%

33%

41%

49%

33%

45%

43%

11%

11%

3%

4%

63%

33%

24%

52%

3%

14%

10%

16%

4%

3%

5%

3%

57%

44%

46%

19%

36%

39%

39%

61%

11%

11%

4%

3%

46%

40%

39%

46%

2%

16%

5%

17%

4%

3%

3%

4%

66%

38%

44%

31%

28%

43%

48%

48%

25%

13%

15%

8%

9%

4%

9%

2%

5%

21%

60%

7%

83%

7%

50%

27%

68%

6%

79%

9%

15%

17%

8%

7%

6%

53%

37%

31%

39%

31%

49%

47%

54%

11%

8%

10%

15%

2%

3%

6%

4%

31%

55%

40%

48%

56%

34%

43%

33%

10%

8%

13%

16%

3%

2%

3%

11%

42%

36%

50%

58%

45%

54%

34%

16%

12%

12%

9%

3%

1%

5%

39%

53%

45%

46%

34%

41%

Poliquin Cain Other Undecided


114

92

110

121

61

130

17

267

34

53

107

156

111

198

73

101

91

51

169

148

66

93

71

85

24

13

16

138

124

131

83

32

63

66

57

69

40

183

55

50

28

150

57

110

(N)

317

US Congress District 2 - Poliquin vs. Cain

61

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

7%

10%

1%

4%

5%

3%

10%

44%

86%

79%

41%

10%

4%

19%

1%

4%

7%

2%

10%

32%

87%

83%

41%

10%

29%

5%4%

28%

45%

65%

43%

45%

35%

14%

8%

2%

7%

3%

3%

40%

43%

51%

39%

46%

44%

2%

8%

3%

4%

70%

33%

24%

54%

1%

6%

7%

10%

4%

3%

5%

3%

58%

49%

46%

26%

37%

42%

42%

61%

8%

3%

4%

3%

48%

44%

40%

49%

2%

12%

1%

7%

4%

3%

3%

5%

66%

41%

46%

36%

28%

44%

49%

53%

20%

15%

3%

5%

4%

9%

2%

5%

23%

73%

7%

88%

7%

53%

27%

68%

7%

83%

5%

7%

9%

5%

7%

6%

1%

55%

42%

35%

40%

33%

50%

50%

55%

7%

6%

6%

2%

2%

3%

7%

4%

33%

56%

43%

58%

58%

35%

45%

36%

5%

5%

11%

4%

3%

2%

3%

11%

44%

36%

53%

70%

47%

57%

34%

16%

6%

8%

4%

3%

2%

5%

43%

54%

48%

48%

36%

43%

Poliquin Cain Other Undecided


114

90

109

119

61

129

16

266

32

52

106

155

108

197

72

100

90

51

168

146

66

91

71

83

23

13

16

137

123

130

82

32

62

66

56

68

40

180

55

50

28

149

56

109

(N)

314

US Congress District 2 - Poliquin vs. Cain With Leaners

62

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

2%

4%

4%

78%

78%

77%

18%

17%

17%

1%

1%

2%

1%

5%

3%

85%

80%

70%

12%

14%

26%

2%

1%

3%

87%

77%

9%

18%

4%

1%

6%

3%

2%

83%

75%

78%

11%

20%

18%

2%

1%

2%

4%

83%

74%

15%

20%

1%

2%

1%

3%

9%

77%

80%

77%

79%

23%

17%

19%

9%

2%

1%

3%

4%

2%

80%

76%

15%

20%

1%

2%

1%

6%

4%

78%

72%

83%

79%

21%

19%

15%

17%

3%

2%

10%

3%

1%

98%

61%

77%

70%

84%

2%

39%

9%

24%

14%

5%

3%

5%

3%

4%

72%

78%

85%

83%

22%

17%

11%

15%

1%

2%

1%

4%

1%

4%

80%

75%

73%

81%

16%

25%

23%

15%

3%

1%

5%

5%

8%

81%

79%

73%

67%

17%

14%

17%

25%

1%

1%

5%

4%

1%

3%

76%

78%

81%

18%

18%

17%

2%

3%

More Likely to Vote For Less Likely to Vote ForMakes Little Difference in

Vote Don't KnowMaine Likely Voters 3%78%18%1%

108

96

94

119

62

111

19

280

57

101

139

99

191

61

93

90

53

152

147

57

86

71

81

25

13

18

118

120

121

82

30

57

60

54

65

43

165

50

52

30

148

49

101

(N)

299

Effect of Poliquin Not Endorsing Trump On Vote

63

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

6%

11%

10%

61%

38%

28%

32%

51%

62%

6%

10%

11%

60%

44%

24%

33%

46%

65%

5%

11%

2%

19%

42%

46%

76%

47%

53%

13%

8%

9%

31%

45%

42%

56%

48%

49%

10%

8%

35%

45%

55%

46%

10%

9%

6%

12%

48%

44%

44%

26%

42%

47%

50%

62%

13%

5%

42%

39%

45%

55%

7%

11%

10%

8%

41%

43%

35%

44%

52%

47%

55%

48%

7%

11%

11%

8%

43%

29%

26%

28%

59%

50%

60%

74%

61%

33%

9%

11%

7%

8%

32%

35%

44%

71%

59%

54%

49%

20%

8%

10%

9%

7%

52%

36%

42%

36%

40%

54%

49%

56%

10%

6%

11%

7%

50%

32%

28%

34%

40%

62%

61%

58%

12%

7%

7%

8%

32%

52%

34%

48%

55%

41%

59%

43%

7%

11%

47%

34%

45%

55%

Yes No Undecided


187

243

230

224

130

292

44

535

84

120

207

333

282

357

149

203

164

138

344

319

138

224

145

147

54

18

33

310

237

281

189

64

110

144

133

133

76

347

143

109

59

238

156

118

151

336

327

(N)

663

Question 1 - Legalizing Marijuana

64

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

8%

11%

7%

63%

30%

15%

29%

60%

78%

10%

10%

6%

56%

41%

14%

34%

49%

80%

11%

9%

2%

20%

35%

35%

69%

56%

62%

15%

9%

6%

22%

42%

34%

64%

49%

60%

7%

10%

25%

40%

67%

51%

11%

9%

4%

10%

35%

40%

35%

23%

54%

51%

61%

67%

10%

7%

29%

40%

61%

53%

7%

6%

11%

11%

30%

38%

32%

32%

63%

55%

57%

57%

20%

5%

10%

7%

8%

28%

7%

33%

18%

59%

53%

88%

56%

75%

32%

7%

10%

10%

9%

26%

34%

45%

46%

68%

55%

45%

44%

6%

8%

8%

13%

52%

27%

29%

19%

42%

65%

63%

68%

9%

10%

6%

6%

41%

27%

25%

24%

50%

63%

69%

71%

9%

10%

6%

8%

33%

38%

28%

36%

58%

52%

66%

56%

9%

8%

35%

32%

56%

59%

Yes No Undecided


189

239

232

225

129

292

44

534

86

122

206

333

284

355

149

202

163

140

346

318

140

220

147

147

53

18

32

312

238

279

192

61

110

146

132

133

76

349

139

110

59

235

158

118

153

340

324

(N)

663

Question 2 - Tax on Personal Income Over $200,000 For Education Fund

65

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

3%

7%

4%

76%

45%

16%

21%

49%

80%

4%

6%

5%

73%

53%

15%

23%

41%

81%

6%

5%

1%

48%

45%

33%

46%

50%

66%

10%

6%

2%

46%

43%

43%

44%

51%

55%

4%

6%

21%

60%

76%

34%

6%

4%

6%

4%

29%

46%

48%

48%

64%

50%

45%

48%

6%

3%

31%

57%

63%

39%

2%

3%

12%

4%

16%

46%

45%

62%

82%

51%

44%

34%

11%

5%

4%

45%

39%

77%

10%

80%

44%

61%

23%

84%

16%

6%

4%

2%

4%

39%

44%

48%

47%

55%

52%

50%

49%

4%

4%

7%

5%

45%

39%

44%

41%

52%

58%

50%

54%

5%

4%

4%

11%

49%

44%

36%

18%

46%

53%

61%

71%

5%

5%

3%

6%

35%

52%

43%

47%

60%

43%

54%

46%

5%

5%

49%

38%

47%

57%

Yes No Undecided


189

242

232

226

129

294

44

536

86

121

210

332

285

356

149

204

165

138

350

316

140

223

145

148

54

18

33

312

237

280

192

64

110

147

133

133

76

351

140

110

59

238

158

118

152

339

327

(N)

666

Question 3 - Expand Background Checks on Gun Purchases

66

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

8%

9%

7%

63%

36%

11%

29%

56%

82%

6%

11%

8%

62%

41%

9%

32%

48%

83%

8%

9%

1%

47%

34%

32%

45%

57%

67%

10%

8%

7%

30%

42%

32%

60%

49%

62%

8%

7%

23%

43%

69%

49%

8%

8%

10%

5%

22%

35%

37%

46%

70%

57%

53%

50%

10%

6%

30%

40%

60%

54%

8%

9%

7%

5%

21%

38%

39%

38%

70%

53%

54%

56%

10%

6%

4%

8%

7%

44%

37%

66%

11%

60%

46%

56%

29%

80%

33%

6%

10%

11%

7%

26%

39%

44%

42%

68%

51%

46%

52%

8%

8%

7%

9%

45%

32%

40%

19%

47%

60%

54%

73%

8%

7%

8%

7%

38%

38%

23%

27%

54%

55%

69%

65%

11%

6%

7%

6%

30%

42%

33%

36%

59%

52%

60%

58%

7%

9%

37%

32%

56%

59%

Yes No Undecided


186

240

232

224

129

291

43

532

86

122

209

327

282

354

149

201

164

137

348

313

140

222

144

146

54

18

30

312

236

278

192

62

109

144

132

133

76

347

140

109

59

237

158

117

149

335

326

(N)

661

Question 4 - Increasing the Minimum Wage to $12 by 2020

67

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

18%

22%

18%

56%

26%

17%

26%

53%

65%

17%

22%

18%

52%

30%

15%

31%

48%

66%

18%

22%

5%

24%

31%

34%

58%

47%

61%

30%

20%

15%

21%

37%

31%

49%

43%

53%

19%

19%

25%

34%

56%

46%

19%

18%

25%

15%

34%

34%

27%

29%

47%

48%

48%

55%

27%

11%

26%

37%

46%

52%

20%

15%

22%

22%

25%

31%

37%

33%

56%

54%

42%

45%

26%

14%

7%

20%

18%

24%

17%

49%

17%

50%

49%

69%

44%

63%

31%

19%

17%

17%

24%

23%

35%

36%

41%

57%

48%

47%

36%

15%

19%

16%

18%

37%

28%

32%

27%

47%

53%

53%

54%

24%

11%

21%

9%

35%

30%

24%

26%

41%

60%

55%

64%

19%

26%

11%

19%

33%

27%

32%

32%

48%

47%

57%

49%

21%

18%

30%

33%

49%

50%

Yes No Undecided


184

239

230

220

127

292

44

528

84

118

204

331

277

354

146

201

162

138

343

313

139

219

144

145

51

18

33

310

233

278

188

62

109

143

131

132

75

344

142

108

57

234

155

117

150

335

321

(N)

656

Question 5 - Rank Choice Voting

68

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Voted Early




Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Trump Voter

Clinton Voter

Johnson Voter

Stein Voter

Other/Undecided



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

6%

13%

10%

45%

22%

9%

49%

64%

82%

9%

10%

10%

39%

29%

9%

52%

61%

81%

21%

10%

27%

25%

18%

52%

65%

82%

17%

9%

8%

21%

24%

25%

62%

66%

67%

11%

8%

17%

29%

72%

63%

6%

6%

11%

17%

18%

32%

19%

24%

76%

62%

70%

59%

12%

8%

23%

25%

65%

67%

6%

9%

14%

9%

12%

25%

25%

32%

82%

66%

60%

59%

12%

6%

11%

10%

9%

23%

12%

28%

9%

44%

65%

82%

61%

81%

47%

9%

10%

10%

10%

18%

27%

22%

32%

72%

64%

67%

58%

4%

9%

13%

10%

29%

20%

26%

18%

66%

71%

61%

72%

5%

11%

22%

12%

30%

23%

11%

12%

65%

66%

67%

77%

10%

8%

9%

12%

19%

28%

22%

29%

71%

64%

69%

59%

10%

10%

26%

22%

64%

68%

Yes No Undecided


189

242

227

225

129

290

43

534

84

120

208

331

281

356

149

203

163

137

346

315

138

221

145

148

54

18

33

306

239

276

191

64

110

146

132

133

76

348

141

109

57

235

156

118

152

338

324

(N)

661

Question 6 - Bond Issue For Infrastructure Improvements

69

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

63%

15%

4%

36%

76%

27%

1%

9%

69%

10%

30%

22%

82%

39%

22%

8%

32%

57%

16%

33%

28%

66%

37%

32%

19%

30%

41%

14%

36%

44%

41%

42%

23%

30%

32%

27%

16%

26%

33%

47%

62%

45%

35%

27%

22%

24%

29%

39%

45%

37%

26%

16%

28%

30%

28%

29%

40%

43%

54%

54%

33%

27%

17%

18%

28%

30%

42%

45%

44%

44%

29%

36%

29%

27%

29%

39%

22%

28%

18%

29%

37%

43%

52%

32%

40%

29%

29%

33%

20%

22%

10%

39%

51%

40%

42%

28%

29%

39%

48%

21%

37%

21%

28%

44%

37%

42%

43%

34%

26%

37%

29%

32%

20%

37%

47%

30%

33%

Registered Democrat Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered Republican


252

161

316

90

580

86

189

222

341

330

402

159

220

181

187

392

365

148

245

167

188

324

215

72

122

155

140

150

96

379

167

129

74

269

170

137

180

386

371

(N)

757

Voter Registration

70

Registered Democrat



Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

82%

30%

1%

13%

41%

6%

6%

29%

92%

33%

36%

25%

40%

21%

11%

27%

42%

63%

33%

39%

32%

32%

25%

16%

35%

36%

52%

23%

44%

19%

25%

58%

31%

32%

35%

38%

34%

13%

23%

26%

26%

55%

42%

37%

41%

29%

41%

24%

20%

47%

39%

17%

34%

38%

47%

22%

23%

16%

27%

61%

43%

46%

27%

25%

41%

36%

47%

23%

18%

30%

23%

52%

40%

35%

30%

43%

29%

37%

26%

16%

17%

20%

35%

42%

54%

43%

38%

41%

30%

33%

18%

21%

28%

20%

18%

38%

42%

46%

64%

32%

44%

27%

36%

20%

25%

24%

21%

48%

31%

49%

43%

37%

32%

24%

20%

39%

48%

Democrat Independent Republican


194

298

237

79

567

86

177

214

337

325

389

159

218

174

176

382

351

146

237

161

185

312

211

70

124

150

136

146

96

374

162

125

70

263

169

133

167

373

359

(N)

732

Party Identification

71

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

24%

47%

59%

76%

53%

41%

30%

39%

61%

70%

61%

39%

52%

42%

56%

48%

58%

44%

42%

46%

46%

58%

54%

54%

49%

42%

44%

46%

51%

58%

56%

54%

53%

36%

47%

64%

57%

47%

40%

37%

43%

53%

60%

63%

47%

44%

33%

50%

53%

56%

67%

50%

43%

39%

42%

61%

57%

61%

58%

39%

40%

46%

48%

63%

60%

54%

52%

37%

57%

31%

45%

40%

43%

69%

55%

60%

38%

52%

62%

48%

Gun Owner Non-Gun Owner

Maine Residents 45%55%

189

310

233

248

157

310

90

561

85

190

215

325

153

214

176

187

382

353

144

241

165

184

322

209

72

118

152

138

147

95

371

167

124

72

262

165

135

174

377

358

(N)

735

Gun Ownership

72

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

24%

13%

30%

36%

23%

33%

25%

27%

20%

16%

37%

17%

20%

13%

28%

30%

31%

29%

26%

28%

20%

24%

28%

23%

12%

20%

37%

19%

30%

37%

19%

27%

13%

50%

23%

13%

15%

22%

25%

22%

29%

34%

22%

30%

21%

41%

20%

19%

23%

20%

28%

31%

24%

25%

26%

25%

21%

21%

29%

30%

26%

22%

23%

27%

27%

18%

22%

21%

32%

30%

28%

29%

26%

27%

16%

25%

15%

25%

34%

24%

17%

21%

29%

28%

24%

30%

33%

40%

29%

22%

17%

23%

30%

27%

21%

9%

14%

21%

22%

24%

31%

30%

28%

29%

39%

27%

25%

15%

15%

22%

25%

32%

32%

8%

10%

13%

36%

24%

22%

20%

27%

16%

25%

31%

5%

51%

43%

36%

20%

17%

30%

20%

28%

35%

29%

27%

22%

29%

21%

26%

31%

19%

19%

26%

22%

21%

30%

29%

26%

22%

21%

29%

18 to 34 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and older

Maine Residents 21%30%24%25%

197

312

237

252

160

315

91

573

87

189

218

338

327

403

388

363

148

244

166

189

323

214

71

124

154

139

150

97

381

165

129

74

268

168

136

179

384

367

(N)

751

Age of Respondent

73

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

47%

48%

61%

53%

52%

39%

44%

56%

57%

56%

44%

43%

46%

51%

64%

54%

49%

36%

50%

54%

52%

50%

46%

48%

61%

44%

39%

56%

51%

52%

56%

48%

49%

48%

44%

52%

57%

53%

51%

47%

43%

47%

49%

53%

49%

48%

60%

60%

51%

52%

40%

40%

49%

50%

51%

57%

51%

50%

49%

43%

51%

52%

51%

56%

49%

48%

49%

44%

51%

49%

54%

54%

49%

51%

46%

46%

52%

52%

48%

48%

Male Female


199

317

240

254

163

316

91

583

87

191

222

342

331

404

160

222

182

187

149

247

167

189

326

216

72

124

155

140

150

97

384

167

129

74

273

170

137

181

387

374

(N)

761

Sex of Respondent

74

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

12%

14%

34%

35%

31%

34%

26%

23%

19%

27%

32%

14%

10%

20%

28%

32%

34%

33%

24%

16%

23%

34%

30%

16%

9%

19%

34%

24%

34%

35%

22%

24%

10%

45%

23%

21%

10%

19%

26%

23%

32%

39%

25%

27%

18%

42%

22%

17%

25%

15%

34%

32%

20%

25%

21%

29%

25%

21%

22%

12%

27%

33%

37%

33%

23%

21%

15%

30%

25%

25%

26%

25%

22%

18%

34%

32%

22%

23%

23%

28%

19%

18%

29%

22%

33%

36%

27%

31%

24%

21%

26%

19%

25%

26%

19%

29%

31%

25%

11%

8%

36%

36%

39%

24%

19%

24%

23%

25%

14%

14%

28%

43%

16%

20%

27%

25%

32%

40%

24%

37%

21%

22%

26%

21%

30%

19%

22%

17%

21%

17%

22%

20%

37%

27%

38%

29%

20%

20%

19%

29%

22%

36%

22%

22%

19%

20%

29%

37%

22%

22%

29%

21%

High school or lessTechnical school/Some

college College graduate Postgraduate workMaine Residents 20%33%22%25%

196

315

238

253

161

316

91

574

87

189

221

337

331

403

160

221

179

187

390

362

326

214

72

123

155

140

150

97

380

167

129

74

269

169

136

178

383

369

(N)

752

Highest Level of Education

75

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

31%

48%

51%

31%

31%

26%

11%

10%

8%

27%

12%

15%

31%

45%

53%

35%

24%

27%

10%

13%

8%

24%

18%

12%

51%

43%

47%

25%

31%

24%

9%

9%

12%

15%

17%

17%

54%

38%

43%

27%

33%

28%

9%

9%

10%

9%

20%

19%

46%

43%

28%

30%

7%

12%

18%

15%

35%

36%

52%

54%

30%

29%

26%

32%

13%

11%

7%

8%

22%

23%

16%

6%

42%

46%

27%

32%

11%

8%

20%

14%

42%

44%

48%

44%

26%

32%

27%

30%

14%

8%

11%

7%

18%

16%

14%

19%

38%

48%

42%

42%

34%

27%

32%

24%

17%

8%

8%

12%

11%

16%

18%

22%

37%

53%

48%

54%

31%

23%

35%

22%

12%

10%

6%

5%

20%

13%

11%

19%

43%

43%

48%

43%

33%

28%

30%

24%

9%

8%

6%

16%

15%

21%

16%

17%

44%

45%

27%

32%

11%

8%

19%

15%

Once a week or moreoften Once or twice a month Few times a year Never


191

308

234

250

159

309

88

566

82

184

215

333

325

396

155

215

179

182

381

357

147

240

163

185

153

140

146

97

372

165

126

74

265

167

135

171

375

363

(N)

752

Frequency Attending Religious Services

76

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

40%

21%

28%

21%

25%

32%

28%

30%

25%

12%

24%

16%

35%

22%

27%

22%

21%

31%

30%

26%

27%

14%

31%

16%

15%

29%

39%

13%

27%

28%

30%

28%

22%

41%

16%

12%

16%

29%

33%

17%

31%

27%

32%

25%

28%

35%

16%

12%

28%

29%

22%

29%

26%

29%

24%

13%

21%

30%

40%

19%

27%

26%

25%

25%

31%

26%

25%

30%

22%

18%

10%

25%

27%

30%

25%

27%

27%

28%

20%

16%

44%

30%

24%

18%

33%

27%

28%

16%

15%

31%

28%

33%

8%

12%

20%

33%

26%

32%

42%

19%

30%

24%

19%

26%

27%

29%

20%

30%

18%

15%

19%

25%

30%

26%

32%

23%

24%

32%

28%

19%

28%

27%

25%

31%

18%

14%

16%

26%

34%

21%

28%

29%

28%

26%

28%

21%

26%

31%

25%

29%

12%

22%

19%

21%

26%

31%

23%

29%

30%

26%

22%

14%

Less than $30,000 $30,000 to $59,999 $60,000 to $99,999 $100,000 or more


150

212

178

184

109

236

51

432

58

115

164

259

239

292

108

159

151

121

279

262

108

187

122

124

228

160

61

87

280

120

81

60

188

125

89

139

277

264

(N)

541

Household Income

77

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

64%

47%

44%

17%

27%

20%

14%

16%

21%

4%

10%

15%

60%

48%

46%

19%

28%

22%

16%

16%

18%

5%

8%

14%

35%

52%

62%

27%

21%

23%

21%

18%

6%

17%

9%

10%

48%

53%

50%

23%

20%

24%

17%

17%

17%

12%

9%

9%

45%

55%

23%

22%

18%

16%

14%

7%

77%

62%

56%

10%

9%

18%

14%

46%

8%

13%

18%

30%

6%

7%

13%

14%

50%

52%

22%

22%

17%

17%

11%

9%

42%

49%

49%

62%

22%

27%

22%

16%

24%

13%

20%

15%

12%

11%

9%

7%

42%

54%

60%

60%

27%

18%

24%

17%

19%

21%

11%

11%

12%

8%

5%

11%

54%

48%

53%

53%

21%

28%

21%

18%

17%

16%

13%

13%

9%

8%

13%

16%

46%

55%

50%

55%

26%

19%

19%

22%

18%

17%

19%

15%

10%

9%

12%

9%

54%

47%

19%

26%

17%

18%

10%

9%

10 years or less 11 to 20 years 21 to 30 years More than 30 years


196

316

238

254

162

316

90

577

87

188

221

340

331

403

160

220

182

187

389

365

148

247

166

188

326

216

71

124

155

140

150

97

270

168

137

179

384

371

(N)

754

Years Lived in Maine

78

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

29%

38%

39%

31%

20%

18%

14%

18%

21%

25%

24%

22%

33%

32%

40%

30%

26%

16%

14%

20%

21%

23%

22%

23%

36%

35%

42%

14%

26%

10%

21%

17%

23%

30%

23%

25%

36%

35%

36%

19%

25%

23%

16%

16%

21%

29%

24%

21%

45%

28%

16%

28%

18%

18%

21%

26%

33%

34%

32%

44%

18%

27%

26%

17%

26%

18%

16%

14%

23%

22%

26%

25%

35%

36%

21%

24%

19%

17%

25%

23%

37%

40%

33%

32%

19%

19%

21%

32%

20%

21%

15%

16%

24%

21%

31%

21%

35%

40%

33%

32%

22%

22%

19%

28%

20%

19%

11%

17%

23%

19%

38%

23%

41%

38%

32%

24%

17%

23%

26%

29%

16%

18%

15%

17%

26%

21%

27%

30%

32%

42%

38%

35%

24%

19%

21%

21%

18%

16%

20%

23%

26%

23%

20%

22%

73%

44%19%

17%

37%

10%

Central Maine Downeast/Coastal Maine Northern Maine Southern Maine


199

317

240

254

163

316

91

583

87

191

222

342

331

404

160

222

182

187

393

368

149

247

167

189

326

216

72

124

155

140

150

97

384

167

129

74

387

374

(N)

761

Region of Maine

79

Registered Democrat



Democrat

Independent

Republican

Early Voter

Likely Voter

Non-Likely Voter


Very Interested


Gun Owner

Non-Gun Owner

18 to 34

35 to 49

50 to 64

65 and older

Male

Female

High school or less


College graduate

Postgraduate work



Few times a year

Never

Less than $30,000

$30,000 to $59,999

$60,000 to $99,999

$100,000 or more

10 years or less

11 to 20 years

21 to 30 years

More than 30 years

Central Maine


Northern Maine

Southern Maine

62%

45%

49%

38%

55%

51%

55%

55%

46%

45%

45%

54%

50%

52%

42%

50%

48%

58%

53%

53%

48%

47%

47%

52%

44%

58%

56%

42%

53%

52%

56%

44%

47%

48%

44%

56%

51%

51%

49%

49%

50%

45%

51%

59%

50%

55%

49%

41%

50%

47%

57%

56%

50%

53%

43%

44%

47%

45%

55%

62%

53%

55%

45%

38%

54%

43%

49%

53%

46%

57%

51%

47%

100%

53%

79%

100%

47%

21%

First Cong. Dist Second Cong. Dist


199

317

240

254

163

316

91

583

87

191

222

342

331

404

160

222

182

187

393

368

149

247

167

189

326

216

72

124

155

140

150

97

384

167

129

74

273

170

137

181

(N)

761

Congressional District

80

Documents

M 2016 GENERAL ELECTION - FiveThirtyEight · PORTLAND PRESS HERALD POLL #6 MAINE 2016 GENERAL ELECTION Prepared by: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. The Survey Center