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AgendaMarket drivers & dynamics
• Megatrends impacting mobility & driving alternative forms of mobility
• The future of urban air mobility & new types of airspace users
Safety considerations
• New types of safety risks introduced by new low level airspace use cases
• Some recent key UAV incidents around the world
• Case studies on recent International developments in low level airspace management
Our role and Low Level Airspace Management Program
• Overview of our role
• The Low Level Airspace Management Program
• Overview of our pilot programs
Global megatrends are driving a need for alternative forms of mobility
Demographic shift: the burden of growing population
Sources: 1Australian Government, (Feb. 2018), Future cities – Planning for our growing population, 2IATA, (Nov. 2018), IATA’s 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast Report; 2EY, (2017), The upside of disruption: Megatrends shaping 2016 and beyond
Australia’s population is expected to increase by 11.8m or over
145% between 2017 and 20461
Urbanisation: the rise of megacities & megaregions
75% of this population growth will occur in Sydney, Melbourne,
Brisbane and Perth1
Globalisation: the rising mobility of populations
The number of air passengers will double by 2037 to reach 8.2bn
globally2, 50% of the rise is forecast to come from the APAC region
Digitalisation: the proliferation of devices & IoT
In 2015, cities used 1.1bn connected things globally, this figure
will reach 9.7bn in 20203
Industry convergence: the disruptive blurring of distinct industries
Alphabet is competing hard to win the race of driverless transport,
logging more than 3m miles per day in simulations3
Increased urban congestion and associated congestion costs
Public transport infrastructure is unable to support forecasted growth
Supply capacity needs to grow or be optimised to meet increased demand
New entrants are likely to disrupt the transport ecosystem
Increasing need for road and airspace to alleviate growing traffic congestion issues
New low altitude airspace use cases are introducing new types or safety risks
Sources: Forrester; (2018), Guide to drone security risks; Forrester, (2019), Protect your firm from drones; FAA, (Feb. 2019), Reported UAS Sightings; Press articles; EY analysis
Crashes & technical failures
Technical incidents without malicious intent such as loss of control from untrained operators, overflight of unauthorised zones, system failure or frequency interference
• Hundreds of drone crashes have occurred over the past few years, even caused by registered & licensed drone operators
• Drone crashes during Christmas have their own hashtag -#dronecrashmas - as drones become mass market gifts
Drones are used with the intent to disrupt day-to-day business operations of enterprises and public authorities (e.g. airport / aviation, logistics / delivery, surveillance)
• The number of reported drone sightings to the FAA has experienced a sharp increase over the past few years (now ~150 per month)
• A number of recent incidents involving drones around airports (e.g. Heathrow and Gatwick Airports) have caused disruption to operations
Drone usage is violating the rights to privacy of individuals (e.g. images, videos) and the rights to IP protection of businesses (e.g. competitive aerial snooping)• The topic of aerial surveillance is generating a heated debate between the
rights to operate drones and the rights for privacy / IP protection• Regulation has been adapted to address privacy issues in the EU where drone
operators are now responsible for complying with the though privacy requirements of the GDPR1 (even if personal data is collected unintentionally)
Hacking & hijacking
Business disruptions
Privacy violations
Weaponisation
Activism & provocation
Criminal attempt to take control and compromise drones, through physical manipulations (e.g. manufacturing, malware), over the air (e.g. radio connection) or sensor interference (e.g. GPS spoofing)
• Several organisations (such as Johns Hopkins, Kaspersky or RSA Security) have recently hacked drones to expose safety flaws and demonstrate that compromising a drone does not require a sophisticated skillset
Malicious use of drones with the intent to cause harm to public assets, including both physical assets (e.g. monuments, stadiums) as well as the community• As drones become mass market products and are able to carry
large payloads (e.g. bomb, explosives), malicious use are becoming a rising concern for public safety
• The rising potential of using drones in such an offensive manner is creating a new market for drone deterrence
Drones are used by individuals or activists to conduct provocative and destabilising actions to harm the credibility of governments, public authorities (e.g. police) or even businesses• Even if they often do not result in physical damage, these actions significantly
impact public safety as they often take place in crowded places (e.g. airports) or during crowded events (e.g. sport)
Notes: 1GDPR = EU General Data Protection Regulation