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Opower Low Income Oversight Board Meeting July 10 th , 2012

Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

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Page 1: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Opower

Low Income Oversight Board Meeting

July 10th, 2012

Page 2: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Conservation messages printed on door hangers and lefton homes

Applied behavioral science: At the core of our products

Schultz & Cialdini (OPOWER Scientists)Hewlett Foundation San Marcos Study

$$$

Turn off AC &Turn on Fan

Environment

Turn off AC &Turn on Fan

Citizenship

Turn off AC &Turn on Fan

Zero Impact on Consumption

Neighbors

Turn off AC &Turn on Fan

6% Drop inConsumption

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Page 3: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Opower Overview

3

Customer engagement platform that helps all save energy and money

Company• 70+ utility partners

• 250 people in Washington, San Francisco and London

Consumer DNA• Behavioral science software

• Data analytics

• User-centric design

Proven efficiency results» 85% customer engagement

» 1.5% - 3.5% demand reduction

» Over 1TWh of energy savings

» More than $120 million in bill savings

3

Page 4: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Working with 70+ utilities, reaching more than 11 million households

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Page 5: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Opower uses a broad spectrum of messaging

5 - 10%

15 - 25%

50 - 75%

90%~99%

SMS Email Online Access (Portal,Social and Online

Advertising)

Telephone(IVR. Call Center)

Mail

Accessible to nearly all households

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Page 6: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38

Results are predictable, consistent & sustained across all geographies & fuels

Average Steady State Savings = ~1.5 – 3.5%

Months since program start

Energy saved

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Page 7: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Measurement & verification approach called “gold standard” by U.S. DoE

Random Allocation

Control Group

Test Group

Statistically equivalent

groups

+

ReceiveReports

Energy Usage

No Reports+

Targeted households in

utility footprint

Randomized Control Trials

» Follows experimental design

» Clearly isolates impact of program

» Endorsed by U.S. DoE and LBNL

» Follows NAPEE guidelines

» Used in PUC filings in 24 states

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Page 8: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Opower independent evaluations

Evaluator* Utility Results

Hunt Allcott, MIT 17 deployments 1.4 – 3.3%

Opinion Dynamics & Navigant National Grid (MA) 1.61%

EDF 11 deployments 0.9 – 2.9%

Navigant Consulting SMUD (CA) 1.3 – 2.9%

KEMA Puget Sound Energy (WA) 1.26 & 1.84%

LBNL (meta-analysis) Puget Sound Energy (WA) 1.26 & 1.84%

Power System Engineering Connexus (MN) 2.05 – 2.10%

Power System Engineering Lake Country Power (MN) 2.73 – 2.81%

Hunt Allcott, MIT N/A 2.70%

Hunt Allcott, MIT Connexus (MN) 2.3 – 2.4%

Ian Ayres, Yale SMUD (CA) & Puget Sound Energy (WA) 2.1% & 1.2%

Summit Blue (d/b/a Navigant) SMUD (CA) 2.13 – 2.24%

* In reverse chronological order based on time of publication

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Page 9: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Energy Savings by Age

Energy Savings by Household EfficiencyEnergy Savings by # of Residents

Energy Savings by Income

Impact across all segments

>100k75-100k50-75k25-50k0-25k 60+50-5940-4930-3918-29

3 Residents2 Residents1 Resident “Efficient”“Average”“More than Average”

Impact Variance Very Low Across Demographic Groups and Energy Profiles

>4 Residents

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Page 10: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

» Energy costs for average and low income households are similar, but are a higher burden for low income consumers

» Low income households benefit from energy savings by more than 2X compared to average

» Improving efficiency may also lead to better health & comfort, including more retained heat in winter

Big savings for low income

* Assumes median “average” income of $50,000, median “low income” of $20,000, and $1800 /year in energy costs

Energy spending as a % of income

Low incomehouseholds

Average incomehouseholds

3.6% 9%

Benefit of a 3% reduction in energy usage (as a % of household income)

Low incomehouseholds

Average incomehouseholds

>2x0.11%

0.27%

Greater proportional savings for low income households

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Page 11: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Some Opower deployments specifically target low-income households

Utility Total Opowerhouseholds* (Low-income households)

Launch date

Midwest Utility 225,000 (17,000) 8/2010

Southwest Utility 80,000 (10,000) 5/2011

Midwest Utility 100,000 (3,750) 10/2011

Northwest Utility 50,000 (13,000) 9/2009

Midatlantic Utility 25,000 (2,500) 11/2010

* Total households includes expansion households in contract but not yet deployed** Saving rate for overall utility program

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Page 12: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Northern California Utility Southern California Utility Midwestern Utility

Opower increases participation in other efficiency programs

Promoted Programs Include

Appliance recycling Pool pump replacementHome energy audits AC tuning

Control Group

Report Recipients

Control Group

Report Recipients

Control Group

Report Recipients

17.6% +25%+59%

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Page 13: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Opower benefits to low income programs in California

1. Ability to reach tens of thousands more eligible and willing households at a new, minimum, treatment level

2. Opportunity to lift overall cost-effectiveness of the portfolio

3. Address education and awareness gaps, a significant barrier to capturing and sustaining energy savings

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Page 14: Low Income Oversight Board Meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/Item 8. Opower LIOB July 10, 2012... · 2016-10-16 · Opower independent evaluations Evaluator* Utility Results Hunt Allcott,

Thank You

Jeff LyngDirector, Market Development & Regulatory [email protected], 303.818.2302

Rachel GoldRegulatory Affairs [email protected]