Looking Behind the Screen: National development vs local survival in Rwanda, by An Ansoms

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    Looking behind the screen:

    National development versus local survivalin rural Rwanda

    An Ansoms14 June 2012

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    Overview

    A new agricultural model for Sub-Saharan Africa

    The Rwandan development model Rural development policies

    Swampland reorganization

    Two case studies

    Large-scale land deals through foreign investment

    Large-scale land deals through local elite capture Impact of large-scale land deals upon rural

    livelihoods

    Policy recommendations

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    2010 Report Rising Global Interest in Farmland

    Acknowledges potential of large-scale land deals -> improved access totechnology / capital markets / infrastructures / institutions that allowincreased productivity and effectiveness in the utilization of land

    But risks of large-scale deals -> Recommendations in terms of

    promoting responsible corporate behaviour (side of the investors)

    enhancing good land management (side of government)

    The World Bank Discourse:

    a seeming contradiction?

    2008 World Development Report Agriculture for Development

    A Green Revolution for Sub-Saharan Africa ~ a productivity revolutionin smallholder farming

    Analysis of challenges for smallholders

    Analysis of institutional innovations to improve smallholders

    competitiveness

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    2008 World Development Report Agriculture for Development

    Report does not support smallholder farming per se, but commercially-

    oriented, entrepreneurial smallholder farming (Akram-Lodhi, 2008) ->only applicable to minority of small-scale entrepreneurs

    3 pathways out of poverty

    Through agricultural entrepreneurship for smallholders

    Through the rural labor market and nonfarm economy By migrating to towns, cities or other countries

    The World Bank Discourse:

    a seeming contradiction? Not at all

    Dominant view upon the new agriculture for Sub-Saharan Africa

    Focus on maximal production and productivity

    Either through involvement of investors operating at large scale

    Either through transformation of innovative smallholders into agriculturalentrepreneurs

    Ignoring impact of policies upon equity, distribution, local agency, identity

    Requires focus on capacities and needs of different peasant groups Requires focus on political economy dimension and elite incentives

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    The Rwandan model:

    accomplishmentsTechnocratic

    governance: top 45 in

    WB doing businessreport; among 30% leastcorrupt; among 50% bestin terms of government

    effectiveness

    Free and compulsoryprimary education -> net

    enrolment 75% (2001) ->96% (2008); secondary:27%, tertiary 5%

    Aid darling, budget aid:50% raise between

    2007 - 2010

    Economic growth:8% on average;

    8,8% in 2011

    Private investment: 12% ofGDP (6 times more than a

    decade ago)

    Health: infant mortality106 (2000) -> 59

    (2010) + decrease inhealth mortality;

    progress in malariaprevention, improvedhealth infrastructure

    Improvedaccess to waterand electricity

    Gender!! Over50% women in

    parliament

    Food self sufficient;improved agricultural

    production

    Enlightened leadership;friends with Blair, Gates

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    GENERAL OBJECTIVES

    Transformation of agricultural sector in professionalizedmotor for economic growth

    Creating economies-of-scale effects

    Agriculture-dependent population from 85 -> 50% (2020)

    Rural Development :

    policy priorities

    STRATEGIES

    Agrobusiness and role of private capital in agriculture

    Larger land holdings in individual or collective hands

    Enforcing the adoption of modern productiontechniques + market-orientation

    => Re-engineering rural society

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    Swampland valorisation policies

    Economies of scalein production

    Economies of scalein market integration

    From small-scale individual to(collective) large-scale user

    rights => large-scaleproduction

    Monocropping

    Regional

    specialisation

    Market-orientedhigh value

    crops

    Cooperatives

    Collective harvest

    + collective marketisation

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    Understanding peasants logics:

    dealing with risk and uncertainty

    Concentrationon 1 crop in

    monocropping

    Gatheringharvest bycooperative

    Selling cropcollectively on

    the market

    Return ofmoney to

    peasant

    Buying what is

    needed onmarket

    New seeds,fertilisers?

    RISK 1: Cropdisease, climate

    RISK 2: Cropmanagement by

    cooperative

    RISK 3: Prizesof crop on

    market

    RISK 4: Moneymanagement by

    cooperative

    RISK 5: Prizesof other needs

    on market

    RISK 6:Conditions

    imposed bycooperative

    RISK 7: Timing

    Potential profitlarger than

    before???

    Potential riskis also muchlarger than

    before!!!

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    Moreover: elite capture of opportunities

    provided by cooperatives

    Phase 0: Revalorisation of

    marshland allows broker toinstrumentalise adevelopment project WFP

    Phase 1: collective action in

    form of associations ->clientelism - used byinfluential broker to reinforcepower

    Phase 2: collective action inform of cooperative ->extreme exploitation andopen corruption

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    B 1,8%

    C 20,9%

    D 53,6%

    A 0,9%

    E 20,4%

    F 2,3%

    Small-scale

    Large /

    medium-scale

    Farmer

    Non-Farmer?

    RWANDAN CASE

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

    F

    Trickle-

    downeffect?

    Polarization

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    B 1,8%

    C 20,9%

    D 53,6%

    A 0,9%

    E 20,4%

    F 2,3%

    Small-scale

    Large /

    medium-scale

    Farmer

    Non-Farmer

    RWANDAN CASE

    Broad-basedagricultural +derived non-

    agricultural growth

    Increased demand

    for off-farm labour

    TRICKLE - DOWN

    IN TERMS OFPOLICIES?

    Understand risk-

    cooping behaviour

    Enhance agency

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    Need for inventive solution to go beyond current ecologicalbarrier BUT not through the rigid top-downreengineering

    Facilitates new types of land grabs, and accelerates oldtypes of grabs (opportunities captured by elites)

    Need for a voice of the rural poor in policies that concernthem: bringing the peasants back in at all levels, butHOW?

    Real problem = Authoritarian governance structure - lack ofbottom-up accountability => invest in channels thatallow for bottom-up criticism to reach the surface

    Policy recommendations

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    Murakoze cyane

    Interested in the paper?

    To appear with African Studies Review

    Contact me at [email protected]