6
Long Term Effec Zuraidy bin Adnan Head of Program, Bachelor of CS (Ho (Network Security and Digital Forensi Faculty of CS and IT (FCSIT), Univer Selangor (UNISEL). Dr. Nor Azliana Akmal B Lecturer for Software Engg and undergraduate) cum Software Engg. Cluste Abstract: This paper is focusing simulation model that portrays the predator in biological control t plantation ecosystem. Palm-oil is am agricultural export. The presence however causes a great damage and production of national palm-oil re concentrates to the usage of biol specifically owl to ascertain that the oil plantation is under control an simulation method is applied in th prototype is developed using Stella The simulation in this research is observe the relationships of palm-oil as the relationships of rat and owl simulation is to identify equilibrium these three entities in order to assist determining the usage of biological certain period. The model prototype describe the equilibrium among the t this research. Keywords: Owl, Palm-Oil, Equilibri 1. INTRODUCT In this century, the usage of com learning is rapidly happening. applications is simulation. Time co are prime problems especially delivering the teaching in order to r overcome this, a radical change fr and learning to an active approach of active teaching and learning me and one of them is simulation [1 simulation are broad and unlimited and medical critical missions. In States military and Malaysian technology. Computerized simulation metho studies to eliminate several limi financial resource for studies, usage risk in carrying out studies and ma study, the absence of palm-oil plan to executing system in actual ecosy Therefore, Stella simulation pr Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1169 International Journal of Agricult Volume 3, Iss cts Using Biological Contr Ecosystem ons) ic), rsity Azmi bin Ibrahim Lecturer for Biology Department, Faculty Sainsdan Matematik, University Perguruan Sultan Idris (UPSI). Kha Le Scien Binti Jamaludin g. (Post-graduate m a Head of er (R&D). Dr. Mohd Fahmi b Senior lecturer at Science and Info University Se g on a development of e relationship of prey- technique in palm-oil mong Malaysia’s largest of pest especially rat d negative impact to the esource. This research logical control method rat population in palm- nd in minimal rate. A his research. A model 8 simulation software. specifically designed to resource and rat as well l. The objective of this m of the relationships of t the decision maker in control method within e developed succeeds to three entities involved in ium, Simulation, Rat. TION mputer in teaching and One of the popular onstraint and specialty to academicians in reach its objectives. To rom a passive teaching is indeed needed. Lots ethods in science field 1, 2]. Areas applying d inclusive of military n fact, NASA, United army harnesses this od is used on most itations. For instance, e of area for studies, life any more. In this case ntation is the constraint ystem environment [9]. rogram becomes an alternative to elaborate the biological control techniqu Malaysia is one the lar world. Under Federal Rehabilitation Authority, plantations in Malaysia na 1152.47 ha for each plant palm-oil extraction in M whereby represents the pr ton to 7.0 ton for each indicates that the productio with other oil-producing cr Palm-oil tree, elaeisgu cocoideae subfamily and bears fibrous root. The measurement of its central cm. The height increasing yearly and may achieve its 30 m. The stem is single w fronds at the top. Annua whereby depend on the a matured palm-oil tree be economic life period of a p Rat is identified as the species identified in d rattustiomanicus and rattus and nest in the pile of old f population in palm-oil control, it can reach from 2 The rat lifespan is between sexual maturity of a rat is reproduce between 5 and 1 to 4 months [14]. The propagation of rats many ways. The popular o fruit baits to kill the rats poison used in Malaysia is pesticide is also the cause they eat the rats died du clarifies the reason it is less is too strong that even can k method also affects the in measure therefore to main secure the predator birds po Manuscript Processing Details (dd/mm/ Received : 16/01/2015 | Accepted on : 2 ture Innovations and Research sue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473 rol in Palm-Oil airul Annuar bin Abdullah ecturer at Faculty of Computer nce and Information Technology, University Selangor, Malaysia. bin Mohamad Amran t Faculty of Computer ormation Technology, elangor, Malaysia. relationship of prey-predator in ue [3, 5, 6]. rgest palm-oil exporters in the Land Consolidation and , there are 163 palm-oil ationwide with average area of tation [7]. The average rate of Malaysia is from 20% to 22% roduction of palm-oil from 4.8 h hectare/year. This statistics on of palm-oil is high compared rops. uineensis Jacq. is a part of palmae family. Palm-oil tree e stem is upright and the l line is between 35 cm and 65 g rate is from 45 cm to 70 cm s maximum height from 20 m to with no branches and possesses ually, 20 to 30 fronds appear age of that tree. The mean of ears at least 40 fronds. The palm-oil tree is 25 years [4]. prime pest to palm-oil. The rat damaging palm-oil fruit is s diardi. These rats live on land fronds cut from the tree. The rat plantation if neglected from 200 to 600 rats per hectare [13]. n 10 months and 22 months. The 4 months. Female rat is able to 10 rat pups from every 3 months is handled by planters through one is using poisonous palm-oil s [8, 10]. The popular type of s rodenticide brodifacoun. This of death of predator birds when ue to the poisoning [3]. This s appropriate because the poison kill the untargeted animals. This nfertility of soil [4]. The safer ntain the soil nutrient as well as opulation is biological control. m/yyyy) : 29/01/2015 | Published : 07/02/2015

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Page 1: Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in Palm-Oil · PDF fileLecturer for Software Engg and undergraduate) cum a Head of Software Engg. Cluster (R&D). ... biological control technique

Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in

Zuraidy bin Adnan Head of Program, Bachelor of CS (Hons)

(Network Security and Digital Forensic),

Faculty of CS and IT (FCSIT), Universit

Selangor (UNISEL).

Dr. Nor Azliana Akmal BintiLecturer for Software Engg

and undergraduate) cum a Head of

Software Engg. Cluster (R&D).

Abstract: This paper is focusing on a development of

simulation model that portrays the relationship of prey

predator in biological control technique in palm

plantation ecosystem. Palm-oil is among Malaysia’s largest

agricultural export. The presence of pest es

however causes a great damage and negative impact to the

production of national palm-oil resource. This research

concentrates to the usage of biological control method

specifically owl to ascertain that the rat population in palm

oil plantation is under control and in minimal rate. A

simulation method is applied in this research. A model

prototype is developed using Stella 8 simulation software.

The simulation in this research is specifically designed to

observe the relationships of palm-oil re

as the relationships of rat and owl. The objective of this

simulation is to identify equilibrium of the relationships of

these three entities in order to assist the decision maker in

determining the usage of biological control method

certain period. The model prototype developed succeeds to

describe the equilibrium among the three entities involved in

this research.

Keywords: Owl, Palm-Oil, Equilibrium, Simulation, Rat.

1. INTRODUCTION

In this century, the usage of computer

learning is rapidly happening. One of the popular

applications is simulation. Time constraint and specialty

are prime problems especially to academicians in

delivering the teaching in order to reach its objectives. To

overcome this, a radical change from a passive teaching

and learning to an active approach is indeed needed. Lots

of active teaching and learning methods in science field

and one of them is simulation [1, 2]. Areas applying

simulation are broad and unlimited inclusive of milit

and medical critical missions. In fact, NASA, United

States military and Malaysian army harnesses this

technology.

Computerized simulation method is used on most

studies to eliminate several limitations. For instance,

financial resource for studies, usage of area for studies, life

risk in carrying out studies and many more. In this case

study, the absence of palm-oil plantation is the constraint

to executing system in actual ecosystem environment [9].

Therefore, Stella simulation program becomes an

Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1169

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319

Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in

Ecosystem

Bachelor of CS (Hons)

(Network Security and Digital Forensic),

Faculty of CS and IT (FCSIT), University

Azmi bin Ibrahim Lecturer for Biology Department,

Faculty Sainsdan Matematik, University

Perguruan Sultan

Idris (UPSI).

KhairulLecturer at Faculty of Computer

Science and Information Technology,

Binti Jamaludin Lecturer for Software Engg. (Post-graduate

undergraduate) cum a Head of

Cluster (R&D).

Dr. Mohd Fahmi bin Mohamad AmranSenior lecturer at Faculty of Computer

Science and Information Technology,

University Selangor, Malaysia.

This paper is focusing on a development of

simulation model that portrays the relationship of prey-

predator in biological control technique in palm-oil

oil is among Malaysia’s largest

agricultural export. The presence of pest especially rat

however causes a great damage and negative impact to the

oil resource. This research

concentrates to the usage of biological control method

specifically owl to ascertain that the rat population in palm-

n is under control and in minimal rate. A

simulation method is applied in this research. A model

prototype is developed using Stella 8 simulation software.

The simulation in this research is specifically designed to

oil resource and rat as well

as the relationships of rat and owl. The objective of this

simulation is to identify equilibrium of the relationships of

these three entities in order to assist the decision maker in

determining the usage of biological control method within

certain period. The model prototype developed succeeds to

describe the equilibrium among the three entities involved in

Oil, Equilibrium, Simulation, Rat.

NTRODUCTION

In this century, the usage of computer in teaching and

learning is rapidly happening. One of the popular

applications is simulation. Time constraint and specialty

are prime problems especially to academicians in

delivering the teaching in order to reach its objectives. To

cal change from a passive teaching

and learning to an active approach is indeed needed. Lots

of active teaching and learning methods in science field

and one of them is simulation [1, 2]. Areas applying

simulation are broad and unlimited inclusive of military

and medical critical missions. In fact, NASA, United

States military and Malaysian army harnesses this

Computerized simulation method is used on most

studies to eliminate several limitations. For instance,

age of area for studies, life

risk in carrying out studies and many more. In this case

oil plantation is the constraint

to executing system in actual ecosystem environment [9].

Therefore, Stella simulation program becomes an

alternative to elaborate the relationship of prey

biological control technique [3, 5, 6].

Malaysia is one the largest palm

world. Under Federal Land Consolidation and

Rehabilitation Authority, there are 163 palm

plantations in Malaysia nationwide with average area of

1152.47 ha for each plantation [7]. The average rate of

palm-oil extraction in Malaysia is from 20% to 22%

whereby represents the production of palm

ton to 7.0 ton for each hectare/year. This statis

indicates that the production of palm

with other oil-producing crops.

Palm-oil tree, elaeisguineensis

cocoideae subfamily and

bears fibrous root. The stem is upright and the

measurement of its central line is between 35 cm and 65

cm. The height increasing rate is from 45 cm to 70 cm

yearly and may achieve its maximum height from 20 m to

30 m. The stem is single with no branches and possesses

fronds at the top. Annually, 20 to 30 fronds appear

whereby depend on the age of that tree. The mean of

matured palm-oil tree bears at least 40 fronds. The

economic life period of a palm

Rat is identified as the prime pest to palm

species identified in damaging palm

rattustiomanicus and rattus

and nest in the pile of old fronds cut from the tree. The rat

population in palm-oil plantation i

control, it can reach from 200 to 600 rats per hectare [13].

The rat lifespan is between 10 months and 22 months. The

sexual maturity of a rat is 4 months. Female rat is able to

reproduce between 5 and 10 rat pups from every 3 months

to 4 months [14].

The propagation of rats is handled by planters through

many ways. The popular one is using poisonous palm

fruit baits to kill the rats [8, 10]. The popular type of

poison used in Malaysia is

pesticide is also the cause of death of predator birds when

they eat the rats died due to the poisoning [3]. This

clarifies the reason it is less appropriate because the poison

is too strong that even can kill the untargeted animals. This

method also affects the infertility

measure therefore to maintain the soil nutrient as well as

secure the predator birds population is biological control.

Manuscript Processing Details (dd/mm/yyyy) :

Received : 16/01/2015 | Accepted on : 2

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473

Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in Palm-Oil

Khairul Annuar bin Abdullah ecturer at Faculty of Computer

Science and Information Technology,

University Selangor,

Malaysia.

Fahmi bin Mohamad Amran enior lecturer at Faculty of Computer

Science and Information Technology,

Selangor, Malaysia.

rnative to elaborate the relationship of prey-predator in

biological control technique [3, 5, 6].

Malaysia is one the largest palm-oil exporters in the

world. Under Federal Land Consolidation and

Rehabilitation Authority, there are 163 palm-oil

in Malaysia nationwide with average area of

1152.47 ha for each plantation [7]. The average rate of

oil extraction in Malaysia is from 20% to 22%

whereby represents the production of palm-oil from 4.8

ton to 7.0 ton for each hectare/year. This statistics

indicates that the production of palm-oil is high compared

producing crops.

elaeisguineensis Jacq. is a part of

subfamily and palmae family. Palm-oil tree

bears fibrous root. The stem is upright and the

measurement of its central line is between 35 cm and 65

cm. The height increasing rate is from 45 cm to 70 cm

yearly and may achieve its maximum height from 20 m to

ngle with no branches and possesses

fronds at the top. Annually, 20 to 30 fronds appear

whereby depend on the age of that tree. The mean of

oil tree bears at least 40 fronds. The

economic life period of a palm-oil tree is 25 years [4].

identified as the prime pest to palm-oil. The rat

species identified in damaging palm-oil fruit is

rattus diardi. These rats live on land

and nest in the pile of old fronds cut from the tree. The rat

oil plantation if neglected from

control, it can reach from 200 to 600 rats per hectare [13].

The rat lifespan is between 10 months and 22 months. The

sexual maturity of a rat is 4 months. Female rat is able to

reproduce between 5 and 10 rat pups from every 3 months

The propagation of rats is handled by planters through

many ways. The popular one is using poisonous palm-oil

fruit baits to kill the rats [8, 10]. The popular type of

poison used in Malaysia is rodenticide brodifacoun. This

the cause of death of predator birds when

they eat the rats died due to the poisoning [3]. This

clarifies the reason it is less appropriate because the poison

is too strong that even can kill the untargeted animals. This

method also affects the infertility of soil [4]. The safer

measure therefore to maintain the soil nutrient as well as

secure the predator birds population is biological control.

Manuscript Processing Details (dd/mm/yyyy) :

| Accepted on : 29/01/2015 | Published : 07/02/2015

Page 2: Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in Palm-Oil · PDF fileLecturer for Software Engg and undergraduate) cum a Head of Software Engg. Cluster (R&D). ... biological control technique

The owl concerned as the predator to owl in this

simulation is from species of tytoalba

selection of this type of owl as the predator is due to its

ability to live with the diet of rats amounting 98% [2, 3, 7].

The estimation of rat nutrition by a couple of owls and its

one owlet is 1,300 rats per year [10, 12, 13].

medium-sized owl with 38 cm or 16 in length of body, 106

cm opening of wing has long and strong

The biological control cared is the usage of predator to

control pest population in an area [14, 15]. The rat is the

pest, the owl is the predator and the p

provides the food supply to the pest. These three elements

are taken into considerations in this simulation research.

2. OBJECTIVE OF SIMULATION

The objective of simulation is to observe the

equilibrium resulted from the relationships

rat and relationships of rat and owl. The objective of this

simulation is also to perceive the long

concerned with these three entities.

3. SIMULATED M

A. Software of Simulation This simulated model is developed by using Stella 8

software. It is a graphical simulation program developed

by Isee Systems Inc. in Windows platform.

B. Sector of Palm-Oil Resource The initial value for overall palm

equivalent to 207,000,000 palm-oil pieces. The calculation

concerned in determining the initial value of this palm

resource is based upon the following information:

• 1 bunch = 1500 pieces

• 1 tree = 10 bunches

• 1 hectare plantation =138 trees

• Assumption of overall plantation area in simulation =

100 ha

• Palm-oil resource (Sumbersawit) = 1500 pieces × 10

bunches × 138 trees × 100 ha = 207,000,000 pieces

The size of palm-oil resource yearly relies on the

balance of palm-oil resource in previous years, fruits

growth, damaged fruits due to rats and the fruits cropped

by planters. The correlation among these factors is

explained through the following formula:

• Palm-oil resource (Sumbersawit) (t) = palm

resource (t−dt) + (fruit growth − damaged fruit − the

fruits cropped) × dt

Figure 1 illustrates the sector of palm

simulation performed and it is followed by the constant

and variable values concerned.

• Palm-oil density (Kepadatansumbersawit) =palm

resource (Sumbersawit) / plantation area (Luas

ladang)(ha)

• Fruit maturity rate (Kadar kematanganbuah) = twice

per year = 2/12 = 0.17

• Crop rate assumption = 1/10 of palm

0.1

Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1170

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319

The owl concerned as the predator to owl in this

tytoalba that is barn owl. The

ection of this type of owl as the predator is due to its

ability to live with the diet of rats amounting 98% [2, 3, 7].

The estimation of rat nutrition by a couple of owls and its

one owlet is 1,300 rats per year [10, 12, 13]. Tytoalba is a

l with 38 cm or 16 in length of body, 106

cm opening of wing has long and strong-gripping legs [8].

The biological control cared is the usage of predator to

control pest population in an area [14, 15]. The rat is the

pest, the owl is the predator and the palm-oil plantation

provides the food supply to the pest. These three elements

are taken into considerations in this simulation research.

IMULATION

The objective of simulation is to observe the

equilibrium resulted from the relationships of palm-oil and

rat and relationships of rat and owl. The objective of this

simulation is also to perceive the long-term effects

MODEL

This simulated model is developed by using Stella 8

software. It is a graphical simulation program developed

Isee Systems Inc. in Windows platform.

The initial value for overall palm-oil resource is

oil pieces. The calculation

concerned in determining the initial value of this palm-oil

resource is based upon the following information:

1 hectare plantation =138 trees

plantation area in simulation =

sawit) = 1500 pieces × 10

bunches × 138 trees × 100 ha = 207,000,000 pieces

oil resource yearly relies on the

oil resource in previous years, fruits

amaged fruits due to rats and the fruits cropped

by planters. The correlation among these factors is

explained through the following formula:

oil resource (Sumbersawit) (t) = palm-oil

−dt) + (fruit growth − damaged fruit − the

Figure 1 illustrates the sector of palm-oil in the

simulation performed and it is followed by the constant

oil density (Kepadatansumbersawit) =palm-oil

resource (Sumbersawit) / plantation area (Luas

Fruit maturity rate (Kadar kematanganbuah) = twice

Crop rate assumption = 1/10 of palm-oil resource =

Fig.1. Sector of Palm

• Fruit maturity (Kematanganbuah) =

resource (Sumbersawit) × fruit maturity rate (Kadar

kematanganbuah)

• Damaged fruit (Buahrosak) = rat (Tikus) × total of

palm-oil eaten per rat (Jumlahsawitdimakan per

tikus)

• The fruit cropped (Buahdituai) = (palm

(Sumbersawit) × crop rate by planter (Kadar

tuaianpeladang)) − damaged fruit (Buahr

The total of palm-oil eaten per rat hangs on the palm

density. This simulation describes the total of palm

eaten per rat increases by linear based upon the values of

palm-oil density.

Total_of_palm-oil_eaten_per_rat (Jumlahsawitdima

kan per tikus)= GRAPH(Palm

0.00), (1000, 1.00), (2000, 2.00), (3000, 3.00), (4000,

4.00), (5000, 5.00), (6000, 6.00), (7000, 7.00), (8000,

8.00), (9000, 9.00), (10000, 10.00)

A. Sector of Rat The initial value set for rat is 20,000. With

the rat population in palm

200 to 600 per hectare (Wood, 2001). This simulation

applies the average value based on the range given:

• Rat (Tikus) = 200 × 100 ha = 20000

The size of rat population every year depends

total of rat population in previous years and rats’ birth and

death. The correlation among these factors is explained

through the following formula:

• Rat (t) = Rat (t−dt) + (rat’s birth (Kelahirantikus) −

rat’s death (Kematiantikus)) × dt

Figure 2 illustrates the sector of rat in the simulation

performed and it is followed by the constant and variable

values concerned.

• Rat birth rate (Kadar kelahirantikus) = 3 times yearly

= 3 / 12 = 0.25

• Rat birth (Kelahirantikus) = Rat × Rat birth rate

(Kadar kelahirantikus)

• Rat density (Kepadatantikus) = Rat / Farm area

(Luas ladang)

• Rat death (Kematiantikus) = Owl (BH) × Rats killed

per owl (Tikus yang dibunuh per BH)

Kadar tuaian

peladang

Buah dituai

Buah rosak

~

Jumlah sawit

dimakan per tikus

Luas

ladang

Tikus

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473

1. Sector of Palm-oil

Fruit maturity (Kematanganbuah) = palm-oil

resource (Sumbersawit) × fruit maturity rate (Kadar

Damaged fruit (Buahrosak) = rat (Tikus) × total of

oil eaten per rat (Jumlahsawitdimakan per

The fruit cropped (Buahdituai) = (palm-oil resource

(Sumbersawit) × crop rate by planter (Kadar

− damaged fruit (Buahrosak)

oil eaten per rat hangs on the palm-oil

density. This simulation describes the total of palm-oil

eaten per rat increases by linear based upon the values of

oil_eaten_per_rat (Jumlahsawitdima-

ikus)= GRAPH(Palm-oil_resource_density)(0.00,

0.00), (1000, 1.00), (2000, 2.00), (3000, 3.00), (4000,

4.00), (5000, 5.00), (6000, 6.00), (7000, 7.00), (8000,

8.00), (9000, 9.00), (10000, 10.00)

The initial value set for rat is 20,000. Without control,

the rat population in palm-oil plantation can reach from

200 to 600 per hectare (Wood, 2001). This simulation

applies the average value based on the range given:

Rat (Tikus) = 200 × 100 ha = 20000

The size of rat population every year depends on the

total of rat population in previous years and rats’ birth and

death. The correlation among these factors is explained

through the following formula:

−dt) + (rat’s birth (Kelahirantikus) −

rat’s death (Kematiantikus)) × dt

illustrates the sector of rat in the simulation

performed and it is followed by the constant and variable

Rat birth rate (Kadar kelahirantikus) = 3 times yearly

Rat birth (Kelahirantikus) = Rat × Rat birth rate

hirantikus)

Rat density (Kepadatantikus) = Rat / Farm area

Rat death (Kematiantikus) = Owl (BH) × Rats killed

per owl (Tikus yang dibunuh per BH)

Kadar tuaian

peladang

Kepadatan

sumber sawit

Sumber

sawit

Buah rosak

Kematangan

buah

Kadar kematangan

buah

Page 3: Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in Palm-Oil · PDF fileLecturer for Software Engg and undergraduate) cum a Head of Software Engg. Cluster (R&D). ... biological control technique

Fig.2. Sector of Rat

There are two reasons regarding the rat’s death in this

simulation. The former is due to the lack of food supply

that is palm-oil and it depends upon the palm

density. The latter is because of being eaten by owl. This

simulation indicates that the rat’s death decreases by

exponent based upon the values of palm

Rat_death_rate(Kadar kematiantikus) = GRAPH(Palm

oil_resource_density(Kepadatansumbersawit))(0.00,50.0),

(10.0, 49.0), (20.0, 47.0), (30.0, 44.0), (40.0, 40.0), (50.0,

35.0), (60.0, 29.0), (70.0, 22.0), (80.0, 14.0), (90.0, 3.00),

(100, 0.00)

The owl’s nutrition relies on the rat’s density. This

simulation displays that the rats killed per owl increase

exponentially based upon the rat’s density value.

Rats_killed_per_owl (Tikus yang dibunuh per BH)=

GRAPH(Rat_density (Kepadatantikus))(0.00, 0.00),

250), (100, 720), (150, 1080), (200, 1640), (250, 2160),

(300, 2800), (350, 3700), (400, 4700), (450, 6080), (500,

8000)

B. Sector of Owl The initial value stipulated for owl is 12. In Indonesia, 1

cage of owl is placed to monitor a plantation of

(Sudharto, 2000). 1 cage of owl consists of 1 male owl, 1

female owl and 1 owlet (Duckett and Karuppiah, 1989).

The early size of owl population therefore can be

explained via the following formula:

• Owl (BH) = (100 ha / 25 ha) × 3 owls = 12

The size of owl population each year hangs on the total

of owl population in years before and owl’s birth and

death. The correlation among these factors is explained

through the following formula:

• Owl (t) = owl (t−dt) + (owl’s birth (Kelahiran BH) −

owl’s death (Kematian BH)) × dt

Figure 3 illustrates the sector of owl in the simulation

performed and it is followed by the constant and variable

values concerned.

• Owl birth rate (Kadar kelahiran BH)= 0.17

• Owl birth (Kelahiran BH) = Owl (BH) × Owl birth

rate (Kadar kelahiran BH)

• Owl death (Kematian BH) = Owl (BH) × Owl death

rate (Kadar kematian BH)

The owl’s death rate is in accordance to the rat’s

density. This simulation shows the owl’s death rate drops

exponentially to the rat’s density value.

Owl_death_rate (Kadar kematian BH) = GRAPH

(Rat_density (Kepadatantikus))(0.00, 50.0), (10.0, 49.0),

Tikus

Kelahiran

tikusKadar kelahiran

tikus

Kadar kematian

tikus

Kepadatan

tikus

Luas

ladang

sumber sawit

Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1171

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319

2. Sector of Rat

There are two reasons regarding the rat’s death in this

former is due to the lack of food supply

oil and it depends upon the palm-oil resource

use of being eaten by owl. This

at the rat’s death decreases by

exponent based upon the values of palm-oil density.

Rat_death_rate(Kadar kematiantikus) = GRAPH(Palm-

oil_resource_density(Kepadatansumbersawit))(0.00,50.0),

(10.0, 49.0), (20.0, 47.0), (30.0, 44.0), (40.0, 40.0), (50.0,

35.0), (60.0, 29.0), (70.0, 22.0), (80.0, 14.0), (90.0, 3.00),

owl’s nutrition relies on the rat’s density. This

simulation displays that the rats killed per owl increase

exponentially based upon the rat’s density value.

Rats_killed_per_owl (Tikus yang dibunuh per BH)=

GRAPH(Rat_density (Kepadatantikus))(0.00, 0.00), (50.0,

250), (100, 720), (150, 1080), (200, 1640), (250, 2160),

(300, 2800), (350, 3700), (400, 4700), (450, 6080), (500,

The initial value stipulated for owl is 12. In Indonesia, 1

cage of owl is placed to monitor a plantation of 25 acre

(Sudharto, 2000). 1 cage of owl consists of 1 male owl, 1

female owl and 1 owlet (Duckett and Karuppiah, 1989).

The early size of owl population therefore can be

explained via the following formula:

Owl (BH) = (100 ha / 25 ha) × 3 owls = 12

e of owl population each year hangs on the total

of owl population in years before and owl’s birth and

death. The correlation among these factors is explained

−dt) + (owl’s birth (Kelahiran BH) −

Kematian BH)) × dt

Figure 3 illustrates the sector of owl in the simulation

performed and it is followed by the constant and variable

Owl birth rate (Kadar kelahiran BH)= 0.17

Owl birth (Kelahiran BH) = Owl (BH) × Owl birth

Owl death (Kematian BH) = Owl (BH) × Owl death

The owl’s death rate is in accordance to the rat’s

density. This simulation shows the owl’s death rate drops

exponentially to the rat’s density value.

kematian BH) = GRAPH

(Rat_density (Kepadatantikus))(0.00, 50.0), (10.0, 49.0),

(20.0, 47.0), (30.0, 44.0), (40.0, 40.0), (50.0, 35.0), (60.0,

29.0), (70.0, 22.0), (80.0, 14.0), (90.0, 3.00), (100, 0.00)

Fig.3. Sector of Owl

4. DISCUSSION

The discussion of this study will divide into three

sections. Each section will discuss on the equilibrium of

relationships of the entities involved, the impact produced

by the rat population to palm

the equilibrium of rat and owl r

A.Equilibrium Among EntitiesThe relationships of palm

achieve equilibrium on constant and variable values are

included in Section 3 in this paper. Figure 4 shows a graph

population for these three entities involved.

by ‘BH’, Palm-oil resource represent by ‘Sumbersawit’,

and rat represent by ‘Tikus’.

Fig.4. Population Graph for Palm

The relationship of rat and owl produced is positive.

Observing the graph, when the rat popul

the owl population follows the same pattern as rat due to

the lack of food supply. In timeframe of 1.25 years, the rat

population increases back whereby in line with the

increment of palm-oil resource. In year 12, the rat

population is found falling down because of nutrition rate

by owl is higher than the rat’s birth rate. In timeframe of

21.75 years, the owl population declines as the rat

population reduces.

The palm-oil resource enhances exponentially due to the

presence of rat population that can be controlled by the

owl. Nevertheless, the rat’s presence still impacts the

palm-oil resource. In time of rat population is highest that

Kematian

tikus

~

Kadar kematian

tikus

Kepadatan

sumber sawit

~

Tikus y ang dibunuh

per BH

BHBH

Kelahiran

BH

Kadar kelahiran

BH

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473

(20.0, 47.0), (30.0, 44.0), (40.0, 40.0), (50.0, 35.0), (60.0,

29.0), (70.0, 22.0), (80.0, 14.0), (90.0, 3.00), (100, 0.00)

3. Sector of Owl

ISCUSSION

discussion of this study will divide into three

sections. Each section will discuss on the equilibrium of

relationships of the entities involved, the impact produced

by the rat population to palm-oil resource and explaining

the equilibrium of rat and owl relationships.

Equilibrium Among Entities The relationships of palm-oil resource, rat and owl

achieve equilibrium on constant and variable values are

included in Section 3 in this paper. Figure 4 shows a graph

population for these three entities involved. Owl represent

oil resource represent by ‘Sumbersawit’,

and rat represent by ‘Tikus’.

4. Population Graph for Palm-oil Resource, Rat and

Owl

The relationship of rat and owl produced is positive.

Observing the graph, when the rat population deteriorates,

the owl population follows the same pattern as rat due to

the lack of food supply. In timeframe of 1.25 years, the rat

population increases back whereby in line with the

oil resource. In year 12, the rat

found falling down because of nutrition rate

by owl is higher than the rat’s birth rate. In timeframe of

21.75 years, the owl population declines as the rat

oil resource enhances exponentially due to the

presence of rat population that can be controlled by the

owl. Nevertheless, the rat’s presence still impacts the

oil resource. In time of rat population is highest that

Kepadatan

tikus

BH

Kematian

BH

~ Kadar kematian

BH

Page 4: Long Term Effects Using Biological Control in Palm-Oil · PDF fileLecturer for Software Engg and undergraduate) cum a Head of Software Engg. Cluster (R&D). ... biological control technique

is 1.25 to 12 years, the palm-oil increment rate is lower

than the state when the rat population experiences

decrement as a result being killed by the owl.

B. Relationships of Crop and Damaged FruitApart from the equilibrium issue, the relationships of

crop and damaged fruit are also studied. Figure 5

illustrates the correlation of crops by planters and the fruits

damaged by rats. Crops represent by ‘Buahdituai’, and

damaged fruits represent by ‘Buahrosak’.

Fig.5(a). Graphs of Crop and Damaged Fruit per Year

Fig.5(b). Graphs of Crop and Damaged Fruit per Year

Based upon Figure 5(a), the fruits cropped by planters

are in accordance with the increment of palm

Meanwhile, the increment and decrement of damaged

fruits are influenced by ups and downs of rat populatio

This graph is a result of the rat control available by the

owl. Should the rats are let without control, the rat

population sooner or later reduces the palm

and affects negatively to the planters. Within longer

timeframe, the rat is capable to finish up all palm

resources. Figure 5(b) predicts that circumstance.

C. Relationships of Rat and Owl

Fig.6(a). The Relationships of Rat and Predator in 25 years.

The owl in this simulation is able to control the rat

population. Within 25 years of palm

Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1172

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319

oil increment rate is lower

than the state when the rat population experiences

decrement as a result being killed by the owl.

Relationships of Crop and Damaged Fruit Apart from the equilibrium issue, the relationships of

also studied. Figure 5

illustrates the correlation of crops by planters and the fruits

damaged by rats. Crops represent by ‘Buahdituai’, and

damaged fruits represent by ‘Buahrosak’.

5(a). Graphs of Crop and Damaged Fruit per Year

of Crop and Damaged Fruit per Year

Based upon Figure 5(a), the fruits cropped by planters

are in accordance with the increment of palm-oil resource.

Meanwhile, the increment and decrement of damaged

fruits are influenced by ups and downs of rat population.

This graph is a result of the rat control available by the

owl. Should the rats are let without control, the rat

population sooner or later reduces the palm-oil resource

and affects negatively to the planters. Within longer

to finish up all palm-oil

resources. Figure 5(b) predicts that circumstance.

6(a). The Relationships of Rat and Predator in 25 years.

The owl in this simulation is able to control the rat

population. Within 25 years of palm-oil economic

duration, the graph roughly is unable to indicate the

equilibrium pattern of rat and owl relationships. Therefore,

100 years are chosen to observe the eq

prey-predator relationship. Figure 6(a) and Figure 6(b)

respectively display the relationships of rat and predator in

25 years and 100 years. Owl represent by ‘BH’, and rat

represent by ‘Tikus’.

Fig.6(b). The Relationships of Rat and P

As perceived in Figure 6(a), it only depicts the

relationships of owl and rat is at rate of 1 cycle only in 25

year palm-oil economic period. Within 100

timeframe, the pattern of owl population is clearly

identified in Figure 6(b) to decrease the rat population in

palm-oil plantation.

5. CONCLUSION

The result of the simulation performed proves the

equilibrium of relationship among palm

Through this simulation developed as well, the method of

biological control can be planned to control the rat’s

propagation along 25-year palm

outcome assists the plantation management to make

decision earlier pertaining to rat issues as the pest in palm

oil plantation ecosystem. In future, the study will

further action to take into account another possibility to

reduce the pests agent from rat and increase the biological

of palm-oil.

Appendix1.

Kadar tuaian

peladang

Tikus

Kelahiran

tikusKadar kelahiran

tikus

Kepadatan

tikus

Buah dituai

Luas

ladang

Buah rosak

~

Jumlah sawit

dimakan per tikus

Luas

ladang

Tikus

Kelahiran

BH

Kadar kelahiran

BH

MODEL SIMULASI EKOSISTEM KELAPA SAWIT DENGAN

MENGGUNAKAN KAWALAN BIOLOGI BAGI MENGAWAL AGEN

PEROSAK (TIKUS).

Palm-oil Ecosystem Simulation Model using

Biological to Control Pests Agent.

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473

duration, the graph roughly is unable to indicate the

equilibrium pattern of rat and owl relationships. Therefore,

100 years are chosen to observe the equilibrium of this

predator relationship. Figure 6(a) and Figure 6(b)

respectively display the relationships of rat and predator in

25 years and 100 years. Owl represent by ‘BH’, and rat

hips of Rat and Predator in 100years.

As perceived in Figure 6(a), it only depicts the

relationships of owl and rat is at rate of 1 cycle only in 25-

oil economic period. Within 100-year

timeframe, the pattern of owl population is clearly

) to decrease the rat population in

ONCLUSION

The result of the simulation performed proves the

equilibrium of relationship among palm-oil, rat and owl.

Through this simulation developed as well, the method of

can be planned to control the rat’s

year palm-oil economic period. This

outcome assists the plantation management to make

decision earlier pertaining to rat issues as the pest in palm-

oil plantation ecosystem. In future, the study will do a

further action to take into account another possibility to

reduce the pests agent from rat and increase the biological

Appendix1.

Kadar tuaian

Tikus

Kematian

tikus

~

Kadar kematian

tikus

Kepadatan

sumber sawit

Sumber

sawit

Buah rosak

Kematangan

buah

Kadar kematangan

buah

BH

Kematian

BH

~ Kadar kematian

BH

~

Tikus y ang dibunuh

per BH

BH

MODEL SIMULASI EKOSISTEM KELAPA SAWIT DENGAN

MENGGUNAKAN KAWALAN BIOLOGI BAGI MENGAWAL AGEN oil Ecosystem Simulation Model using

Biological to Control Pests Agent.

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Appendix2.

REFERENCES

[1] Aniyar, S. (2002). The Impacts of Changes in the Size of the

Mangrove Forest and Property Right System in The Fishermen’s

Rent – A Simulation Model. 9th Proceeding of Ulvon Conference on

Environmental Economics Sweden. Retrieved from

http://www.sekon.slu.se/~bkr/ulv02papani.pdf.

[2] Duckett, J. E. (1982). Barn Owl (Tyto Alba)

Predator of Rats in Oil Palm. The Oil Palm in the Eighties, Kuala

Lumpur.

[3] Duckett, J. E. and Karuppuah, S. (1989).

Utilizing Barn Owl (Tyto Alba) as an Effective Biological Control

of Rats in Mature Oil Palm Plantations.

Palm Development Conference.

[4] FelcraSdn. Bhd. http://www.felcra.com.my

[5] Focus on Rodent Management. http://www.new

3focuson.html

[6] Hawkins, J. M. (2001). Kamus Dwibahasa Oxford Fajar. 3

Edition. Fajar BaktiSdn. Bhd.

[7] Lim, J. L., Visalingan, M., Buckle & M. and Fenn, M. G. P. (1991).

Prey Selection by Barn Owl (Tyto Alba) and its Impact on Rats

Control in an Oil Palm Plantations.

International Oil Palm Conference.

[8] Montana Species of Concern (2004).

Owl. Retrieved from

http://www.fwp.state.mt.us/fieldguide/detail_ABNSA01010.aspx.

[9] Padilla, M., Chinchilla, C., Arias, E. and Flores,

Predatory Birds and Damaged Caused by Rats in Oil Palm (Elaeis

Guineensis Jacq.) in Honduras. ASD Oil Palm Papers

from http://www.asd-cr.com/ASD-Pub/Bol10/B10c1Ing.htm.

[10] Plant Protection Research Group. http://www.iopri.co.id/p

on/protection.htm.

[11] Richmond, B. (2001), An Introduction to Systems Thinking

Systems.

[12] Sanchez, S. (2000). Wild Vertebrates Associated with an Oil Palm

Plot in Tabasco, Mexico. ASD Oil Palm Papers

http://www.asd-cr.com/ASD-Pub/PubOnLine.htm.

[13] Stella Software (2004). Software Reference Guide.

[14] Torres, R. and Salazar, A. (2002). Notes on Rat Damage in Oil

Palm in Costa Rica.

Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1173

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319

EFERENCES

Aniyar, S. (2002). The Impacts of Changes in the Size of the

Mangrove Forest and Property Right System in The Fishermen’s

Proceeding of Ulvon Conference on

. Retrieved from

http://www.sekon.slu.se/~bkr/ulv02papani.pdf.

Duckett, J. E. (1982). Barn Owl (Tyto Alba) – A Proven Natural

The Oil Palm in the Eighties, Kuala

Duckett, J. E. and Karuppuah, S. (1989). A Guide to the Planter in

zing Barn Owl (Tyto Alba) as an Effective Biological Control

of Rats in Mature Oil Palm Plantations. PORIM International Oil

FelcraSdn. Bhd. http://www.felcra.com.my

http://www.new-agri.co.uk/02-

Dwibahasa Oxford Fajar. 3rd

Lim, J. L., Visalingan, M., Buckle & M. and Fenn, M. G. P. (1991).

Prey Selection by Barn Owl (Tyto Alba) and its Impact on Rats

ions. Proceeding of PORIM

Montana Species of Concern (2004). Animal Field Guide – Barn

http://www.fwp.state.mt.us/fieldguide/detail_ABNSA01010.aspx.

Padilla, M., Chinchilla, C., Arias, E. and Flores, I. (1995). Diurnal

Predatory Birds and Damaged Caused by Rats in Oil Palm (Elaeis

ASD Oil Palm Papers. Retrieved

Pub/Bol10/B10c1Ing.htm.

http://www.iopri.co.id/protecti-

An Introduction to Systems Thinking. Isee

Sanchez, S. (2000). Wild Vertebrates Associated with an Oil Palm

ASD Oil Palm Papers. Retrieved from

Pub/PubOnLine.htm.

Software Reference Guide. Isee Systems.

Torres, R. and Salazar, A. (2002). Notes on Rat Damage in Oil

[15] ASD Oil Palm Papers.

cr.com/ASD-Pub/Bol23/B233ing.htm.

AUTHOR

Zuraidy bin AdnanSpecial Interest Group (SIG) and Head of

Program, Bachelor of Computer Science

(Hons)(Network Security and Digital Forensic),

Faculty of Computer Science and Informatio

Technology (FCSIT), University

Zuraidy received his first degree in 2001 from Universit

and Master of Science in Information Technology in 2008 also from

University Utara Malaysia. He has additional professional certifica

such as Certified Ethical Hacker (CEH) from EC Council (2011),

Certified Network Engineer for IPv6 (CNE6 (Silver)) (2012) from IPv6

Forum, and Cybersecurity Malaysia

DFA) (2013). He has worked in industries for more tha

well-known Malaysian’s GLC companies such as FOMEMA, SYABAS

and Yayasan Pelajaran Mara (YPM). In 2009, he joined Universit

Selangor where he is employed as a Lecturer and Head of Program for

Bachelor of Computer Science (Hons)(Network Secur

Forensic). His research interests are in computer and network security,

digital forensic, simulation, and trend mining. His PhD research currently

relate with simulation and trend mining.

Azmi bin IbrahimDepartment, Fa

Perguruan Sultan Idris (UPSI). Azmi received his

Diploma Pendidikan (Sains), Universit

Malaysia (UKM) (1995), Bachelor of Science

(Biology), Universit

(1993), and Master Science (Multimedia System), Universit

Malaysia (UPM) (2002). His research interests are in biology, simulation,

and multimedia in education.

Khairul Annuar AbdullahFaculty of Computer Science and Information

Technology, Universit

possesses qualifications of MSc (IT

BSc (Computer) from Universit

Nor AzlianaLecturer for Software Engineering (Post

undergraduate) cum a Head of Software

Cluster (R&D). In a past,

for Master Degree Software Engineering program at

University Selangor.

Computer Science, specialize in Software Engineering at Universit

Technology Malaysia. She received the Master Degree in Computer

Science (Real-Time Software Engineering) from Advanced Informatics

School (formerly known as Centre for Advanced Software Engineering

(CASE), University Technology

Malaysian Software Engineering Interest Group, Malaysia. Her field of

expertise is in software requirement, requirement engineering, analysis,

system integration, e-learning, software maintenance and Software

Engineering Education. Her current research interest is on

can enhance skill among Software Engineering undergraduate of higher

institutions using eLearning. Her current project involved with palm

system. She has been very active in scholarly journals writing and

publishing citation index/impact factor journal papers.

Dr. Mohd Fahmibin

an. Mohd Fahmi Mohamad Amran is a senior lecturer

at Faculty of Computer Science and Information

Technology, Universit

Doctoral of Philosophy in Computer Science, specialize

in Visual Informatics. He received his Bachelor of

Science (Computer) majoring Industrial Computing in 2004 from

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473

ASD Oil Palm Papers. Retrieved from http://www.asd-

ub/Bol23/B233ing.htm.

UTHOR’S PROFILE

Zuraidy bin Adnan is a Lecturer for Network

Special Interest Group (SIG) and Head of

Bachelor of Computer Science

(Hons)(Network Security and Digital Forensic),

Faculty of Computer Science and Information

Technology (FCSIT), University Selangor (UNISEL).

Zuraidy received his first degree in 2001 from University Utara Malaysia

and Master of Science in Information Technology in 2008 also from

Utara Malaysia. He has additional professional certification

such as Certified Ethical Hacker (CEH) from EC Council (2011),

Certified Network Engineer for IPv6 (CNE6 (Silver)) (2012) from IPv6

Forum, and Cybersecurity Malaysia – Digital Forensic Analyst (CSM-

DFA) (2013). He has worked in industries for more than 8 years in a

known Malaysian’s GLC companies such as FOMEMA, SYABAS

Pelajaran Mara (YPM). In 2009, he joined University

Selangor where he is employed as a Lecturer and Head of Program for

Bachelor of Computer Science (Hons)(Network Security and Digital

Forensic). His research interests are in computer and network security,

digital forensic, simulation, and trend mining. His PhD research currently

relate with simulation and trend mining.

Azmi bin Ibrahim is a Lecturer for Biology

nt, Faculty Sainsdan Matematik, University

Perguruan Sultan Idris (UPSI). Azmi received his

Diploma Pendidikan (Sains), University Kebangsaan

Malaysia (UKM) (1995), Bachelor of Science

(Biology), University Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM)

Science (Multimedia System), University Putra

Malaysia (UPM) (2002). His research interests are in biology, simulation,

Annuar Abdullah is a lecturer at

Faculty of Computer Science and Information

Technology, University Selangor, Malaysia. He

possesses qualifications of MSc (IT-Manufacturing) &

BSc (Computer) from University Teknologi Malaysia.

Nor Azliana Akmal Jamaludin is a

Lecturer for Software Engineering (Post-graduate and

undergraduate) cum a Head of Software Engineering

Cluster (R&D). In a past, she is a Head of Developer

for Master Degree Software Engineering program at

Selangor. Her Doctoral of Philosophy in

Computer Science, specialize in Software Engineering at University

received the Master Degree in Computer

Time Software Engineering) from Advanced Informatics

School (formerly known as Centre for Advanced Software Engineering

Malaysia, in 2004. She is a member of

ftware Engineering Interest Group, Malaysia. Her field of

expertise is in software requirement, requirement engineering, analysis,

learning, software maintenance and Software

Engineering Education. Her current research interest is on techniques that

can enhance skill among Software Engineering undergraduate of higher

institutions using eLearning. Her current project involved with palm-oil

system. She has been very active in scholarly journals writing and

t factor journal papers.

Fahmibin Mohamad Amr-

Fahmi Mohamad Amran is a senior lecturer

at Faculty of Computer Science and Information

Technology, University Selangor, Malaysia. His

Doctoral of Philosophy in Computer Science, specialize

in Visual Informatics. He received his Bachelor of

Science (Computer) majoring Industrial Computing in 2004 from

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University Technology Malaysia and Master of Science (Informati

Technology - Manufacturing) in 2006 from Universit

Malaysia. He has been an academic staff at Faculty of Computer Science

and Information Technology since 2006. His research interest covers

various Industrial Computing knowledge areas such a

Design, Augmented Reality, Information Extraction, Scheduling and

Simulation.

Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved 1174

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319

Malaysia and Master of Science (Information

Manufacturing) in 2006 from University Technology

Malaysia. He has been an academic staff at Faculty of Computer Science

and Information Technology since 2006. His research interest covers

various Industrial Computing knowledge areas such as Computer Aided

Design, Augmented Reality, Information Extraction, Scheduling and

International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research

Volume 3, Issue 4, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473