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2040LONG RANGE
PLANTRANSPORTATION
MAY 2016
* List includes members of Board of Directors located within the Metropolitan Planning Organization
Boundary
MVRPCBOARDOFDIRECTORS*
Beavercreek Township
Bethel Township
City of Beavercreek
City of Bellbrook
City of Brookville
City of Centerville
City of Clayton
City of Dayton
City of Englewood
City of Fairborn
City of Franklin
City of Huber Heights
City of Kettering
City of Miamisburg
City of Moraine
City of Oakwood
City of Piqua
City of Riverside
City of Springboro
City of Tipp City
City of Trotwood
City of Troy
City of Union
City of Vandalia
City of West Carrollton
City of Xenia
Clay Township
Concord Township
Five Rivers MetroParks
Greater Dayton Regional Transit Authority
Greene County
Greene County Engineer
Greene County Transit Board
Harrison Township
Jefferson Township
Miami Conservancy District
Miami County
Miami County Engineer
Miami County Transit
Miami Township, Greene County
Miami Township, Montgomery County
Monroe Township
Montgomery County
Montgomery County Engineer
Municipality of Carlisle
Municipality of Germantown
Municipality of New Lebanon
ODOT District 7
ODOT District 8
Perry Township
Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio
Village of Covington
Village of Farmersville
Village of Phillipsburg
Village of West Milton
Village of Yellow Springs
Washington Township
2040LONGRANGETRANSPORTATIONPLAN
Adopted: May5, 2016
Miami Valley Regional Planning Commission 10 North Ludlow Street
Suite 700 Dayton, Ohio 45402
This document is the product of a study financed by the U.S. Department of Transportation (U.S. DOT), the Ohio Department of Transportation (ODOT), and the Miami Valley Regional Planning Commission. The contents of this document reflect the views of the Miami Valley Regional Planning Commission, which is responsible for the facts and accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the views of the U.S. DOT or ODOT. This document does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation.
MVRPC – 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (May 2016) Page i
TABLEOFCONTENTS
Chapter 1: Introduction ................................................................................................................. 1
1.1 Transportation Program Structure .................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Long Range Transportation Plan Overview ....................................................................................... 3
1.3 Transportation Goals and Objectives ................................................................................................ 5
1.4 Federal,State,andLocalRequirementsfortheLongRangeTransportationPlan.........................6
1.5 Fiscal Constraints ............................................................................................................................... 7
1.6 Air Quality Conformity ....................................................................................................................... 7
1.7 Project Implementation ..................................................................................................................... 8
1.8 Process for Amending and Updating the Long Range Transportation Plan ...................................... 8
Chapter 2: Federal, State, and Local Planning Requirements ....................................................... 11
2.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................... 11
2.2 The Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act (FAST Act) .......................................................... 11
2.3 Development and Content of the Regional Transportation Plan .................................................... 14
Chapter 3: State of the Region ..................................................................................................... 19
3.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................... 19
3.2 The Miami Valley Region Today ...................................................................................................... 19
3.3 The Miami Valley Region in the Year 2040 ...................................................................................... 33
3.4 Travel Demand Forecasting Model .................................................................................................. 43
Chapter 4: Long Range Transportation Planning & The Congestion Management Process .......... 47
4.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................... 47
4.2 Roadway Congestion in the Miami Valley Region ........................................................................... 48
4.3 Congestion and Safety ..................................................................................................................... 60
4.4 Public Transportation ...................................................................................................................... 62
4.5 Regional Intelligent Transportation Systems ................................................................................... 64
4.6 Congestion Management Strategies ............................................................................................... 65
Chapter 5: Congestion Management Strategies — Highway ....................................................... 69
5.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................... 69
5.2 Process Overview ............................................................................................................................. 69
5.3 Work Group Meetings ..................................................................................................................... 70
5.4 Public Participation .......................................................................................................................... 71
5.5 Project Evaluation ............................................................................................................................ 73
5.6 Congestion Management Projects .................................................................................................. 74
5.7 Status of Recently Completed and Under Construction Projects .................................................... 75
MVRPC – 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (May 2016) Page ii
5.8 Fiscal Constraint ............................................................................................................................... 77
Chapter 6: Congestion Management Strategies — Transit ........................................................ 107
6.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................ 107
6.2 Greater Dayton Regional Transit Authority ................................................................................... 109
6.3 Greene County Transit Board ........................................................................................................ 115
6.4 Miami County Transit System ........................................................................................................ 116
6.5 Public Transit Human Services Transportation .............................................................................. 118
Chapter 7: Alternative Modes and Development Choices .......................................................... 121
7.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................ 121
7.2 Funding Outlook ............................................................................................................................ 122
7.3 Ridesharing Programs .................................................................................................................... 123
7.4 Air Quality Program ....................................................................................................................... 124
7.5 Bikeway and Pedestrian Program and Projects ............................................................................. 125
7.6 Development Choices – Going Places ............................................................................................ 136
Chapter 8: Environmental Planning ........................................................................................... 141
8.1 Air Quality Planning ....................................................................................................................... 141
8.2 Transportation and Climate Change .............................................................................................. 144
8.3 Environmental Mitigation in SAFETEA‐LU/FAST Act ...................................................................... 144
Chapter 9: Community Impact Assessment ................................................................................ 155
9.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................ 155
9.2 Background .................................................................................................................................... 155
9.3 MVRPC’s Approach to Environmental Justice ............................................................................... 157
9.4 Defining Environmental Justice Populations ................................................................................. 157
9.5 Identifying Environmental Justice Target Areas ............................................................................ 159
9.6 Community Impact Analysis .......................................................................................................... 161
9.7 Environmental Justice and Public Participation ............................................................................ 172
Chapter 10: Public Participation and Consultation ..................................................................... 175
10.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................ 175
10.2 Plan2040.mvrpc.org Webpage ...................................................................................................... 175
10.3 Public Participation Meetings ........................................................................................................ 176
10.4 Community Outreach and Public Participation ............................................................................. 179
10.5 Participation in Other Public Outreach Efforts .............................................................................. 180
10.6 Consultation Requirements in the FAST Act .................................................................................. 181
MVRPC – 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (May 2016) Page iii
LISTOFFIGURES
Figure 1.1 — MVRPC Transportation Planning Area ............................................................................ 2
Figure 1.2 — MVRPC Transportation Program Structure ..................................................................... 3
Figure 1.3 — 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan Update Process Overview.................................. 5
Figure 2.1 — Organization of MAP‐21 Performance‐Related Provisions ........................................... 13
Figure 3.1 — Urbanization Trends: 1950‐2010 .................................................................................. 21
Figure 3.2 — Generalized Land Use/Land Cover in 2007 ................................................................... 22
Figure 3.3 — Population Distribution: Population Density by Block Group ....................................... 24
Figure 3.4 — Highway Functional Classification ................................................................................. 26
Figure 3.5 — Multimodal Passenger Facilities .................................................................................... 29
Figure 3.6 — Multimodal Freight Facilities ......................................................................................... 31
Figure 3.7 — Journey‐to‐Work Characteristics ................................................................................... 35
Figure 3.8 — Adopted Land Use Plans ................................................................................................ 37
Figure 3.9 — Projected Areas of Concentrated Growth: 2010 – 2040 ............................................... 38
Figure 3.10 — Population Changes: 2010 – 2040 ............................................................................... 41
Figure 3.11 — Basic Model Structure ................................................................................................. 44
Figure 4.1 — Level of Service: Existing (2010) .................................................................................... 51
Figure 4.2 — Level of Service: Existing+Committed (2040) ................................................................ 53
Figure 4.3 — Level of Service: Long Range Plan (2040) ...................................................................... 55
Figure 4.4 — Map of Corridors ........................................................................................................... 58
Figure 4.5 — Regional Public Transit Use ........................................................................................... 64
Figure 5.1 — Congestion Management Projects Development Process Overview ........................... 70
Figure 5.2 — LRTP Work Group Meetings .......................................................................................... 72
Figure 5.3 — Project Evaluation System Design Concept .................................................................. 73
Figure 5.4 — Congestion Management Projects: Greene County ..................................................... 99
Figure 5.5 — Congestion Management Projects: Miami County ..................................................... 101
Figure 5.6 — Congestion Management Projects: Montgomery County, Carlisle, Franklin and Springboro ................................................................................................................... 103
Figure 5.7 — Congestion Management Projects: Montgomery County Insets ................................ 105
Figure 6.1 — Transit Agency Service Areas ...................................................................................... 108
Figure 6.2 — GDRTA Trolleybus Service ........................................................................................... 110
MVRPC – 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (May 2016) Page iv
Figure 7.1 — Bikeway Level of Stress Analysis ................................................................................. 127
Figure 7.2 — Regional Bikeway Network ......................................................................................... 137
Figure 7.3 — Concentrated Development Vision ............................................................................. 139
Figure 8.1 — Air Quality Standards Designations ............................................................................. 141
Figure 8.2 — Significant Projects ...................................................................................................... 148
Figure 8.3 — Environmental Mitigation Analysis ............................................................................. 149
Figure 9.1 — Environmental Justice Target Group Populations ....................................................... 163
Figure 9.2 — Major Facilities in the Dayton Region ......................................................................... 165
Figure 9.3 — Transit Accessibility in Montgomery County .............................................................. 168
Figure 9.4 — Regional Bikeway Accessibility .................................................................................... 171
Figure 9.5 — Pedestrian Activity Centers by Sidewalk Availability .................................................. 173
Figure 9.6 — Sidewalk Gap Analysis ................................................................................................. 174
Figure 10.1 — Features and Content: plan2040.mvrpc.org ............................................................. 176
MVRPC – 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (May 2016) Page v
LISTOFTABLES
Table 1.1 — Fiscal Constraints of the 2040 LRTP Projects ................................................................... 7
Table 2.1 — Required Transportation Plan Elements ........................................................................ 14
Table 3.1 — 2010 Socioeconomic Data .............................................................................................. 23
Table 3.2 — Functional Classification System .................................................................................... 27
Table 3.3 — Population Projections: 2010 – 2040 ............................................................................. 40
Table 3.4 — Population Density by Area Type: 2010 – 2040 (Persons per Acre) .............................. 42
Table 3.5 — Employment Projections: 2010 – 2040 .......................................................................... 42
Table 3.6 — Employment Density by Area Type: 2010 – 2040 (Jobs per Acre) ................................. 43
Table 3.7 — Employment Classification by SIC Code ......................................................................... 45
Table 3.8 — Year 2010 and 2040 Forecasted Socioeconomic Variables ............................................ 45
Table 3.9 — Typical Weekday Trip Summary ..................................................................................... 46
Table 4.1 — Regional Report Card ...................................................................................................... 49
Table 4.2 — Corridor Performance Comparison ................................................................................ 59
Table 4.3 — Transit Vehicle LOS and Load Factor ............................................................................. 62
Table 4.4 — Maximum Load Factor Level of Service .......................................................................... 63
Table 4.5 — Sample Congestion Mitigation Strategies ...................................................................... 67
Table 5.1 — Congestion Management Projects Costs and Revenues ................................................ 77
Table 5.2 — Congestion Management Projects ................................................................................. 78
Table 5.3 — Congestion Management Projects Vision List ................................................................ 98
Table 6.1 — GDRTA 2040 LRTP Projects ........................................................................................... 114
Table 6.2 — Greene CATS 2040 LRTP Operating Statistics ............................................................... 116
Table 6.3 — Greene CATS 2040 LRTP Expenses Summary ............................................................... 116
Table 6.4 — Miami County Transit 2040 LRTP Projects ................................................................... 117
Table 7.1 — 2040 Forecasted Cost and Revenues for Alternative Modes ....................................... 122
Table 7.2 — Short Range Regional Bikeway and Pedestrian Projects (Funded) .............................. 129
Table 7.3 — Long Range Regional Bikeway and Pedestrian Projects (Unfunded) ........................... 130
Table 8.1 — Dayton/Springfield Region PM 2.5 Regional Emissions Analysis ................................. 143
Table 8.2 — Cincinnati Region 8‐Hour Ozone Regional Emissions Analysis ..................................... 143
Table 8.3 — Cincinnati Region PM 2.5 Regional Emissions Analysis ................................................ 143
Table 8.4 — Environmental Resources for Mitigation ..................................................................... 146
MVRPC – 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (May 2016) Page vi
Table 8.5 — Superfund Sites on Final NPL ........................................................................................ 151
Table 8.6 — Environmental Conservation Organizations in the Region .......................................... 153
Table 9.1 — Target Population Thresholds ...................................................................................... 160
Table 9.2 — Average Travel Time to Major Facilities by EJ Status in Minutes ................................. 162
Table 9.3 — Average Travel Time to Work by EJ Status in Minutes ................................................. 167
Table 10.1 — Public Participation Meeting Summary ...................................................................... 177