View
214
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Long live voice!Long live voice!The Voice over DSL OpportunityThe Voice over DSL Opportunity
Long live voice!Long live voice!The Voice over DSL OpportunityThe Voice over DSL Opportunity
Michel PaulinSVP, Network DivisionNovember 20, 2003
2
Apr. 1998
to
2000
2000
to
Early 2001
Early 2001
to
Present
Apr. 1998
to
2000
2000
to
Early 2001
Early 2001
to
Present
Creation of LDCOM by the Louis Dreyfus Group
Launch of the infrastructure activity National and metro fiber networks Colocation and hosting centers
Launch of the network service activities Bandwidth IP connectivity and networks Switched voice services ...
Growth by consolidation of the alternative telecommunications retail sector
• Kertel (January 2001)• Fortel (Squadran) (May 2001)• Kaptech (December 2001)• Belgacom France (March 2002)• FirstMark France (May 2002)• 9 Telecom (August 2002)• Ventelo France (October 2002)• Siris (May 2003)
Mission: To be the leading alternative fixed-line telecommunications operator in France, and an enduring alternative to France Telecom
Strategy• Serve the client with
innovative, high-quality offers at the best prices• Continue to invest to ensure
the best network, reaching closer and closer to the end user•Maintain a solid financial
position through controlled, profitable growth
Mission: To be the leading alternative fixed-line telecommunications operator in France, and an enduring alternative to France Telecom
Strategy• Serve the client with
innovative, high-quality offers at the best prices• Continue to invest to ensure
the best network, reaching closer and closer to the end user•Maintain a solid financial
position through controlled, profitable growth
LDCOM Mission and HistoryLDCOM Mission and HistoryFrom infrastructure builder to full-service wholesaler to integrated telcoFrom infrastructure builder to full-service wholesaler to integrated telco
3
# of custs
.
Network Operators
Largeaccounts
Residential Hosting
Examples
Enterprise
200 70 000 1 200 000 2 000500
Channel partners include:
LDCOM is now active in all segmentsLDCOM is now active in all segments
4
LDCOM is financially strongLDCOM is financially strongGrowing revenue and profitability, decreasing investment, asset-rich, Growing revenue and profitability, decreasing investment, asset-rich, strong net cash positionstrong net cash position
(all amounts in millions of Euros ) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003E
Selected elements of P&L and cash flows
Revenue 3 38 111 182 551 1,000
EBITDA - 9 11 42 18 90
Capital expenditures 18 118 548 415 105 120
Selected elements of balance sheet (EoY)
Cash - - 149 183 539 400
Net PP&E (fixed assets) 18 145 698 1,100 1,232 1,230
Asset-backed financing - - 21 62 66 45
Deferred revenue 12 62 288 641 630 600
Employees 25 150 500 500 2,200 2,200
5
Voice is still the biggest piece, followed by subscriptionsunbundled DSL allows new entrants to attack both!
Voice is still the biggest piece, followed by subscriptionsunbundled DSL allows new entrants to attack both!
Sources: ART, Oddo Securities
French fixed telco market
0
5
10
15
20
25
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003e 2004e 2005e 2006e 2007e 2008e
bil
lio
ns
of
Eu
ros
Broadband internetDial-up internetLeased lines & other dataVoice (incl. special numbers)Subscriptions
French fixed-line market is growing French fixed-line market is growing slightly thanks to high speed internetslightly thanks to high speed internet
CAGR(‘03-’08)
19%-3%
4%
-3%
2%
6
Data & Internet3.5 B€
Voice(incl. dial-up @ mins.)
11.1 B€
Access & Subscriptions5.4 B€
2002 French fixedtelco market: 20 B€
New entrants France TelecomMkt. share Revenue Margin Value Mkt. share Revenue Margin Value
20%
35%
3%
0.7
3.9
0.2
4.8(24%)
60%
50%
70%
0.4
1.9
0.1
2.4(12%)
80%
65%
98%
100%
100%
100%
SOURCES: ART, LDCOM ESTIMATES
2.8
7.2
5.2
15.2(76%)
0.32.8
2.07.2
0.15.2
17.6(88%)
Competition is still not a realityCompetition is still not a realityFT holds ~75% of market and ~90% of value via ownership of FT holds ~75% of market and ~90% of value via ownership of access and subscriptionsaccess and subscriptions
Unbundled ADSL can change this situationUnbundled ADSL can change this situation
7
Brief history of unbundlingBrief history of unbundling1998 : opening of the French telephony market to competition
Impact is immediate as prices are roughly cut in half
No significant new product development
Customers still obliged to pay monthly subscription to FT2000 : ADSL trials and unbundling negotiations with FT and ART2002 : extension of competition to access market
Summer 2002: start of deployment with first DSLAMs installed
19 December 2002 : LDCOM has unbundled 2,000 lines for our ISP customers (Claranet,
Nerim, Oreka, Maiah, ICT and 9 Online)
End 2002 : 50 million Euros invested2003
March : contract signed with Club Internet
First quarter: total investment by LDCOM reaches 100 million Euros
June : Tele2 and la Poste/FirstStream select LDCOM as supplier of ADSL
September: Connecting 1,000 new lines per day
Investment to date stands at 150 million Euros
8
With 600 installed DSLAMs, LDCOM has most With 600 installed DSLAMs, LDCOM has most aggressive deployment in France after Faggressive deployment in France after F
LDCOM Unbundled ADSL coverage
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Sep-02
Nov-02
Jan-03
Mar-03
May-03
Jul-03Sep-03
Nov-03
Jan-04
Mar-04
May-04
Jul-04
UR
As
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
% o
f in
tern
et
ma
rke
t
URAs
Residential
Enterprise
9
Driven by unbundled ADSL,Driven by unbundled ADSL,LDCOM access business is explodingLDCOM access business is exploding
LDCOM access lines
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Dec-02
Jan-03
Feb-03
Mar-03
Apr-03
May-03
Jun-03
Jul-03 Aug-03
Sep-03
Oct-03
Unbundled ADSL
Other ADSL
Other technologies(WLL, LL, etc.)
Currently provisioning 6,000 unbundled lines per weekCurrently provisioning 6,000 unbundled lines per week
10
A deep fiber network is criticalA deep fiber network is criticalto profitability in unbundled DSLto profitability in unbundled DSLExample: LDCOM Paris region networkExample: LDCOM Paris region network
11
Price trend
(100% driven by
unbundlers!)
Large-scale unbundling and deep fiber network Large-scale unbundling and deep fiber network allow high-speed internet at very low pricesallow high-speed internet at very low prices
* = only in areas unbundled by FreeSource: SVM
ADSL subscriptions
49.9
29.99
80
2728
32
44.99
39.9
29.99
24.95
18.95
40
20
30
45.52
23
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
128/64 512/128 1024/256
Speed in kbps (Downstream/upstream)
Eu
ros
/mo
nth
9Online
AOL France
Club-Internet
Free
Tele2
Tiscali
Wanadoo
9Online (with voice)
* *
12
Voice over DSL is also now a realityVoice over DSL is also now a reality
Réseau Voix
ATM 9T
New ATM
DHCP1
DHCP2
Call AgentBase abonné
Ordinateur
Téléphone
IAD
Ordinateur
Téléphone
IAD
Interco ISUP, 6 faisceaux
Unbundling ATM IPTDM
Moving toward an all-IP architectureMoving toward an all-IP architecture
13
Without VoDSL, an aggressive NATIONAL offerWithout VoDSL, an aggressive NATIONAL offerWITH VoDSL, a major shift in value for priceWITH VoDSL, a major shift in value for price
14
VoDSL selling pointsVoDSL selling points
A 2nd line Additional numbers are possible Total unbundling will allow number portability if preferred
Two pricing alternatives Unlimited local/national calls for 40€/month Local/national calls at 0.01€/minute for 27€/month
Calls to other Tout9 customers are always free
Bundle price is lower than France Telecom price for ADSL 1024 (or even 512!) alone
Allows simultaneous calls and internet access
15
Tout 9 enables future services todayTout 9 enables future services todayModem is triple-play readyModem is triple-play ready
• Enhanced voice services
• TV broadcast
• WiFi