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Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families [email protected] Getting to the Finish Line: Where We Have Been, Where We Need to Go, and How to Get There!

Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families [email protected] Getting to the Finish Line:

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Page 1: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M.

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and

Center for Children and [email protected]

Getting to the Finish Line: Where We Have Been, Where We

Need to Go, and How to Get There!

Page 2: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

2

A Brief History of Children’s Health Insurance Expansions

In 1965, Medicaid program enacted as part of the Social Security Act coverage of children initially limited to those in families

participating in welfare and those who were disabled In late 1980’s, Medicaid was expanded to “poverty

related” infants and children through a series of legislation with these expansions Medicaid was de-linked from welfare

In 1997, SCHIP authorized as part of the Balanced Budget Act allowed states to extend public health insurance coverage to

uninsured children not eligible for Medicaid as of June 1997

Page 3: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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But SCHIP Sits on Top of the Medicaid Program

Eligible Children, 2004

35%

65%

Enrolled Children, 2003

82%

5%13%

SCHIP Eligible

Medicaid Eligible Medicaid

SCHIPSeparateProgram

SCHIPMedicaid Expansion

Page 4: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Coverage of Children Improves Access to Care

711

4

30

19

49*54*

22*27* 27*

37*

7*

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

LacksConfidence

No UsualSource of Care

No Well ChildVisit

No DentalVisit

Uninsured Private Medicaid/Public

Source: 1997 National Survey of America’s Families

*Statistically different from Medicaid at the 0.05 level using multivariate analyses.

4

Page 5: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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The Good News and the Bad News:Uninsured Children in 1997 and 2005

1997 2005

Number of Uninsured Children

10.0 million 7.5 million

Percentage of All Children Uninsured

13.5% 9.7%

Percentage of Low Income Uninsured

22.3% 14.9%

Source: Authors tabulations of 1997 and 2005 National Health Interview Survey

Page 6: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Trends in the Percentage of Children Uninsured 1997 – 2005, All Children and Low-Income Children

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

All Children Low-Income Children

Source: Authors tabulations of 1997-2005 National Health Interview Survey.

Page 7: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Eligibility for Public Health Insurance Coverage Expanded with SCHIP

35%

67%

47%

84%

50%

89%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

All Children Low-Income Children

1997 1999 2002

Source: National Survey of America’s Families

Page 8: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Medicaid and SCHIP Participation:

1997, 1999, 2002

74% 73%

48%

82%

68%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Medicaid SCHIP

1997

1999

2002

Source: 1997,1999,2002 National Survey of America’s Families

Note: Excludes children with private coverage and defined for citizen children ages 0 to 17.

8

Page 9: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

9

Who Are the Uninsured Children?

Race/Ethnicity of Child

37%

16%

40%

7%

Age of Child

39%27%

34%

Age 0-5

Age 6-12

Age 13-18White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: March 2005 Current Population Survey

Page 10: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Who Are The Uninsured Children?

Firm Size of Workers

10%

11%34%

23%

23%

Family Work Status

23%

52%

16%

9%

2 Full-Time

1 Full-Time

Only Part-Time

No Worker No Worker

Self-Employed

Less than 25

25-499 500 or More

Source: March 2005 Current Population Survey

Page 11: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Who Are the Uninsured Children?

Citizenship of Child

13%

87%

Region of Residence

28%16%

13%

44%

Midwest

West

South

Northeast

Citizen

Non-Citizen

Source: March 2005 Current Population Survey

Page 12: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Most Uninsured Children are Eligible for Public Health Insurance Coverage, 2004

21%

13%

66%

SCHIP Eligible

Not Eligible

19%

32%

49%

Medicaid Eligible

SCHIP Eligible

Not Eligible

Low-Income Uninsured Children

Uninsured Children

12

Medicaid Eligible

Source: March 2005 Current Population Survey using July 2004 eligibility rules.

6.5 million9.0 million

Page 13: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Knowledge Gaps Among Low-Income Parents with Uninsured Children, 2002

52%

8%40%

Heard of Programs and Aware Child Can Participate

Without Receiving Welfare

Haven't Heard of Medicaid or

SCHIP

Heard of Programs but Not Aware Child Can Participate Without Receiving Welfare

13

Source: Kenney, Haley and Tebay (2003)

Page 14: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Interest in Enrolling in Medicaid and SCHIP is High, 2002

81.7% 89.8%

74.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

All Low-incomeuninsured

Poor uninsured Near-pooruninsured

Lo

w-I

nco

me

Un

insu

red

Ch

ild

ren

Source: Kenney, Haley and Tebay (2003)

Page 15: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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But State Issues Exist as Well

When states enroll children they face higher costs Economic downturns Overall resource capacity

Many states face federal shortfalls under SCHIP currently or in the future

These issues make some states reluctant to implement and maintain effective enrollment strategies

Page 16: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Enrollment in SCHIP Increases Access to Care

3%

15%**

22%**

16%**

10%**

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Confident CanGet Needed

Care

Has UsualSource of

Care

AnyDoctor/HealthProfessional

Visit

Any Well ChildVisit

Any DentalVisitP

erce

nta

ge

Po

int

Ch

ang

e

** Significant at the .01 level.

Source: Urban Institute Analysis of National Survey of America's Families (NSAF).

Page 17: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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How Do We Get to the Finish Line?

Fully fund SCHIP to maintain success of program 24 states estimated to face shortfalls by 2008 36 states estimated to face shortfalls by 2012 Estimated that 1.6 million children would loose coverage

Increase funding under SCHIP to allow states to cover eligible but uninsured

Identify and implement strategies designed to enroll more children in Medicaid and SCHIP

Expand eligibility to ineligible populations

Page 18: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Uninsurance Gap Between Low-Income Children and Parents, 1994 to 2004

363436 36 37

343434323230.3

202021212324

2726252323.4

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Parents Children

Source: Tabulations of 1995-2005 Current Population Survey

Page 19: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Effects of Covering Parents on Children’s Participation in Medicaid

Medicaid Participation Among Poverty-Related Medicaid Eligible Children By Family Coverage Status, 1999

57.1

78.5* 80.8*

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

No FamilyCoverage

Family Coverage-Separate Program

Family Coverage-Medicaid

Expansion

Pe

rce

nt

En

rolle

d in

Me

dic

aid

* Different from rate in states with no family coverage at .05 level using multivariate analysis.

Page 20: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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Covering Parents Leads to Small Increases in Use Among Insured Children

65.4%69.8%*

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Received Well-Child Visit

Low-Income Insured Children with Uninsured Parent

Low-Income Insured Children with Insured Parent

20

Source: 1999 National Survey of America’s Families* Different from low-income insured children with uninsured parent at .05 level using multivariate analysis.

Page 21: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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We are at a crossroads in children’s coverage !

SCHIP and, its partner, Medicaid, have together worked to significantly lower the number and percent of uninsured children.

We should fully fund the SCHIP program to continue this progress and move forward in finding ways to ensure that all uninsured children secure coverage that assures high quality access to care.

Page 22: Lisa Dubay, Ph.D., Sc.M. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Center for Children and Families ldubay@jhsph.edu Getting to the Finish Line:

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THANKS !

Lisa [email protected]