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Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea 15 th Annual Asia Upstrea LNG conference Henry Aldorf President Pacific LNG Operations PTE.LTD April 21, 2010

Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

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Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea. 15 th Annual Asia Upstream LNG conference Henry Aldorf President Pacific LNG Operations PTE.LTD April 21, 2010. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Liquid NIUGINI Gas ProjectPositioned for Success in Papua New

Guinea

15th Annual Asia Upstream LNG conference Henry Aldorf President Pacific LNG Operations PTE.LTD

April 21, 2010

Page 2: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Pacific LNG 100% owned by Clarion Finanz AG.

Pacific LNG owns :

Strictly Private & Confidential

• ~ 20% of Elk Antelope fields • 47.5% of Liquid Niugini Gas• Major Shareholder of InterOil

Page 3: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Condensate>60,000 B/D

Gross

Acquired 2002

First Cargo 2007

Equatorial Guinea Alba Blue Printfor PNG Elk Antelope

LPG>20,000 B/D

Gross Methanol>20,000 BOE/D

Gross LNG75,000 BOE/D

Gross Total>175,000 BOE/D

Gross

Maximizing value through the value chain

Page 4: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Capital Cost / mmtpa of LNG Output

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Qatargas

Nigeria

RasGas

ELNG T1

Oman

ALNG T1

ALNG T1-3

ELNG T1-2

EG LNG

$ MM/MMTPA

EGLNG Train 1 : SIX Months Early and Under BudgetDelivery and Cost Performance

Capital for Expansion Capacity

Train 1 Capital

Commit long lead equipment

Agreements signed with EG Government

Feed gas introductionFID & signed EPC contract

All long lead equipment on site

First LNG cargo

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Source: BG, Marathon internal estimates

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Nigeria

Qatargas

Oman

RasGas

Atlantic LNG

Egyptian LNG

EG LNG T1

Years

LNG Project to EPC Contract

EPC Award to First LNG

Page 5: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

EGLNG & Liquid Niugini Gas share more than just the name Guinea

• Liquids driving the LNG development - allows early cash flow and increases Financing Options• Low marginal gas costs• Strong Alignment with the PNG Government • Favourable tax treatment• Strong Alignment among the Partners• Brown Field LNG Project• Off the Shelf Liquefaction Plants• Close to the premium Asian Markets• High BTU Gas• Similar Management Team Some Market Voices said “Right project wrong Company”

They will be proven wrong again!

Page 6: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Liquid Niugini Advantages vs. EGLNG• The Elk/Antelope Gas Condensate resource is much larger : 8.2TCF vs. EGLNG ‘s. 5.5 TCF Gross gas resource with only 3TCF available for Train I• Upstream Tax and Royalty system• Onshore Development with highly productive Wells resulting in the lowest regional gas cost• Highly prospective Exploration Acreage in a Proven

Basin• Multi Train Development with Economies of Scale, not

dependant on foreign resource • The Fiscal Stabilization Agreement with the PNG

Government signed upfront – (LNG Project Agreement)• PNG is on the LNG Map with Exxon Project• PNG has a Credit Rating

Page 7: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Project Agreement On 23 December 2009, the PNG

National Government signed the Project Agreement with Liquid Niugini Gas for the construction of an LNG Plant(s) in PNG

The agreement secures the fiscal terms for a 20 year period, which include a 30% company tax rate and certain exemptions applicable to large scale projects of this nature

The agreement also provides for a up to 20.5% ownership stake to be held by the Government of Papua New Guinea's nominee, Petromin PNG Holdings Limited

A further 2% ownership stake will be taken by landowners directly affected by the plant

Page 8: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Disadvantages vs. EGLNG• Higher EPC Pricing for Equipment and Pipelines but :

• Liquefaction pricing have come down recently from >$ 1000/ mt - $650 to $500/mt

• Hydrocarbon prices especially liquids are much higher now

• No Australian Labour constraints

Page 9: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

LNG Liquefaction vs Demand (Mid Case Scenario)Existing, under construction and possible liquefaction & regasification projects

Source:- Woodmac

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

MTP

A

Arzew LNG (GL3-Z)

QCLNG - Queensland, BG

PNG LNG

Gorgon

GLNG - Curtis Island

Angola LNG

Pluto

Qatargas-4

Qatargas-3

Peru LNG

Existing Liquefaction

LNG Demand

Mid Case = existing, under construction and possible liquefaction and regasification projects are built

LNG supply & demand gap occurs in 2017 (7 MMTPA) increasing to 70 MMTPA by 2020

70 MMTPA LNG needed

Page 10: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

MTP

A

Darwin Expansion

ELNG 3

Greater Sunrise

Peru LNG Expansion

Wheatstone LNG

Libya Additional

EG LNG 2

Brass LNG

Angola Additional

Yemen LNG Expansion

Tangguh Expansion

Qatari Megatrain Debottlenecking

Sakhalin Expansion

Prelude LNG

Ichthys

GLNG Expansion

Australia Pacific LNG

NLNG Seven Plus

Marsa El Brega Expansion

Damietta 2

Arzew LNG (GL3-Z)

QCLNG - Queensland, BG

PNG LNG

Pluto Expansion

GLNG - Curtis island

Gladstone LNG (Fisherman's Landing)

Gorgon

Angola LNG

Pluto

Qatargas-4

Qatargas-3

Peru LNG

Existing Liquefaction

LNG Demand

LNG Liquefaction vs DemandWoodmac Adjusted Scenario

Source:- Woodmac, Marathon

Page 11: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

0.0 0.

4 0.7

0.7 1.

1 1.4

1.5 1.5 1.7

1.7

1.7 1.8 2.0

2.0

2.0 2.1 2.2 2.

4 2.6 2.7 2.9

2.9 3.

2 3.4 3.5

3.6

5.7 6.

0 6.1 6.

6

7.5 7.

7

8.8

11.2

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

ADG

AS

Qat

arga

s-4

Arun

1. L

iqui

d N

iugi

ni G

as

Atla

ntic

LN

G 1

Bont

ang

Qat

arga

s

Atla

ntic

LN

G 2

&3

Qal

hat L

NG

Atla

ntic

LN

G 4

EG L

NG

ELN

G 2

Dam

ietta

ELN

G 1

Dar

win

Brun

ei L

NG

OLN

G

MLN

G T

iga

Tang

guh

Bras

s LN

G

MLN

G

Yem

en L

NG

MLN

G D

ua

Peru

LN

G

Nor

th W

est S

helf

Ango

la L

NG

Kena

i

US

Sha

le g

as

Snoh

vit

QC

LNG

PNG

LN

G

Plut

o

Gor

gon

Sakh

alin

2

FOB

Bre

akev

en P

rice

(US$

/mm

btu)

FOB Gas Price necessary to yield 12% Return (NPV12=0 )

1. NPV (@ 12%) Breakeven – recovering capex and opexSource: Wood Mackenzie, InterOil data

Page 12: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

571.7

1,363.3

156.5

59.3

0.0

200.0

400.0

600.0

800.0

1,000.0

1,200.0

1,400.0

1,600.0

01-Jan-2008 01-Jan-2009

mm

boe

Condensate

Sales Gas

InterOil Resources

Case

As at 31 December, 2009 Low Best High

Original Gas-In-Place (tcf) 9.65 11.03 12.54

Initial Recoverable Raw Gas (tcf) 6.87 9.08 11.04

Initial Recoverable Sales Gas (tcf) 6.19 8.18 9.94

Initial Recoverable Condensate (mmbbls) 117.1 156.5 194.7

1GLJ certification prepared in accordance with the Canadian Oil & Gas Evaluation Handbook and Canadian Securities Administrators National Instrument 51-101.

31-12-2008 31-12-2009

*Resources are presented on a 2C basis** 6 mmscf = 1 mboe

*

*

*

*~ 9.12tcfe

Additional 5.33 tcfe*

Page 13: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Elk/Antelope – Condensate and LNG

13

Condensate Stripping Project

Q2 -2010 2012Q3 -2010

IOC Refinery

Condensate Stripping Plant

Elk/Antelope

LNG First2015/2016

Land LNG (4 mtpa) – Train #1

Land Based LNG

Q3/Q4 -2011 Condensate

N

Barge Condensateto Napa Napa

Page 14: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Elk/Antelope – Full Development

14

IOC Refinery

Condensate Stripping Plant

Land Based LNGN

Barge Condensateto Napa Napa

Condensate Stripping Project

Q2 -2010 Q3 -2010 Q3/Q4 -2011 2012 CondensateLNG First

Train 22017

Train 32017/2018

Land LNG (4 mtpa) - Train 1/2/3

Train 12015/2016

Elk/Antelope & Condensate Stripping Plant

Page 15: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Elk/Antelope – Fixed Floating LNG – 3 MTPA

15

Fixed Floating LNG

FEED 1 Year Floating LNG 3 Years

First LNG

N

Q3 -2010 2013/2014

Page 16: Liquid NIUGINI Gas Project Positioned for Success in Papua New Guinea

Condensate60,000 B/D

gross

Elk Antelopefields

Train IFirst Cargo 2015

The Pacific LNG Vision for the Elk Antelope fields

LNG75,000 BOE/D

gross

Total>210 000 BOE/D

gross

Maximizing value through the value chain An additional train every 9 months up to 4-5 trains

Condensate splitter

100,000 B/Dgross

LNLNG75,000 BOE/D

gross

Train2

First Cargo 2016