1
Linear Effects of Subject-Level Variation on Structural Properties of Human Ribs Elina Misicka, Yun-Seok Kang, Michelle M. Murach, Amanda M. Agnew Injury Biomechanics Research Center, The Ohio State University INTRODUCTION ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Thank you to all of the students and staff of the Injury Biomechanics Research Center. Thank you to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and Autoliv for sponsoring testing contributing to this work, OSU’s Body Donor Program, LifeLine of Ohio, and the donors for their generous gifts. MATERIALS & METHODS RESULTS & DISCUSSION CONCLUSIONS The human thorax is commonly injured in motor vehicle crashes. Rib fractures in particular are highly prevalent, and contribute to high mortality rates (Kent et al., 2005). In order to gain a better understanding of variability in response and injury tolerance of the human thorax, an ongoing project is aimed at examining variation in rib structural properties. Age and sex have been identified as significant predictors of various structural properties in univariate models (Schafman et al., 2016), however there has been little attempt to characterize rib properties with respect to body size, and no previous work has been able to take into account interfering effects between such predictors. The objective of this study was to examine the multivariate effects of four subject-level factors (age, sex, weight, and stature) on two structural properties of the human rib which represent its ability to resist loading: peak force and structural stiffness. F PEAK K Multiple Regression (Predictors Only) R 2 0.34 0.15 p(Age) <0.001 0.025 p(Weight) 0.489 0.309 p(Stature) 0.597 0.801 p(Sex) 0.002 0.001 Multiple Regression (Predictors and Predictor Interactions) R 2 0.30 0.20 p(Age) <0.001 0.002 p(Weight) 0.902 0.622 p(Stature) 0.972 0.361 p(Sex) 0.009 0.001 p(Age*Weight) 0.869 0.320 p(Age*Stature) 0.762 0.790 p(Weight*Stature) 0.991 0.098 p(Age*Sex) 0.230 0.094 p(Weight*Sex) 0.354 0.004 p(Stature*Sex) 0.991 0.973 Multiple regression models are a useful tool to better understand sources of variation in rib structural properties. Age and sex were stronger predictors of F PEAK and K than weight and stature, however the amount of variance explained by the models remained low (R 2 = 15-34%). This suggests that utilizing additional predictor variables and alternate modeling techniques may improve our understanding of variability in rib response. Table 1. Multiple Regression Results Schafman et al. (2016) identified statistically significant univariate relationships of age and sex with K and F PEAK . The current study utilized a slightly different sample with similar results. Additionally, multiple regression models showed that when included with age and sex, the effects of weight and stature were insignificant. These findings suggest that subject mass and length based scaling techniques likely cannot capture variances in individual rib response or injury. Recently, structural properties have been shown to be highly correlated with rib size, reflected by robusticity (total cross-sectional area relative to curve length) (Murach et al., 2017). Since a gap still exists in the ability to understand the variation seen in the individual rib in the context of the whole thorax, future work will explore the relationship between rib size (and structural properties) and thoracic anthropometry (and thoracic response). An unbalanced sample with regard to sex is a limitation of this study. Furthermore, not all datasets were normally distributed. REFERENCES CITED 1. Kent R, et al. Structural and material changes in the aging thorax and their role in crash protection for older occupants. Stapp Car Crash J, 2005, 49:231-249. 2. Schafman M, et al. Age and Sex alone are insufficient to predict human rib structural response to dynamic A-P loading. J Biomech, 2016. 49:3516-3522. 3. Murach M, et al. Rib geometry explain variation in dynamic structural response: Potential implications for frontal impact fracture risk . Ann Biomed Eng, 2017, in press. Time = 0 ms Time = 41 ms Time = 46 ms One hundred eighteen sixth-level ribs from one hundred six post-mortem subjects (71 male, 20-97 years; 35 female, 17-108 years) were included in this study. Weight (kg) and stature (cm) of each subject were measured before rib removal. Each rib was impacted in a dynamic (2 m/s) frontal impact bending scenario (Fig. 1). Peak force (F PEAK ) was identified and linear structural stiffness (K) was calculated as the slope of the elastic portion of the Force-Displacement curve (Fig. 2). Univariate and multivariate regressions were performed to model the effects of age, sex, weight, and stature on F PEAK and K (Fig. 2). Specifically, multivariate linear regression was employed to identify the effects of all predictors on a single structural property: 1 st to examine the effects of single predictors in combination on F PEAK and on K, and 2 nd for each structural property, subsequently taking into account first- order interaction terms between predictors. Figure 1. Experimental bending test for an exemplar rib at various times throughout the event Figure 3. Univariate linear regressions between each continuous predictor and F PEAK (top) and K (bottom). R 2 values are presented for males (M), females (F), and the combined sample (M,F). Statistical significance is indicated in bold. 150 100 50 200 150 100 50 0 120 80 40 8 6 4 2 0 200 175 150 Peak Force (N) Age (yrs) Stiffness (N/mm) Weight (kg) Stature (cm) Sex Male Female (M)=0.15 (F)=0.45 (M,F)=0.18 (M)=0.01 (F)=0.08 (M,F)=0.06 (M)=0.01 (F)=0.18 (M,F)=0.11 (M)=0.01 (F)=0.18 (M,F)=0.03 (M)=0.05 (F)=0.01 (M,F)=0.05 (M)=0.00 (F)=0.08 (M,F)=0.07 Univariate trends showed a decline in F PEAK and K with age, and an increase with weight and stature, although none of these relationships were strong (Fig. 3). Females exhibited a sharper decline in F PEAK and K with age than males. However, there were less-discernible sex-specific trends in structural property changes with weight and stature. Age and sex had the strongest effects on response variables in multiple regressions (Table 1). The only significant interaction (Weight*Sex) suggests that weight may be a confounding variable in the prediction of stiffness. Multiple Linear Regression Output Ø Peak Force (F PEAK ) Ø Linear Structural Stiffness (K) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Force (N) Displacement (mm) Typical F-D Curve * Yield Point K = Linear Structural Stiffness Peak Force Input Ø Age Ø Sex Ø Weight Ø Stature Subject-Level Variation Rib-Level Variation Figure 2. Schematic of multiple linear regression model input and output details

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Linear Effects of Subject-Level Variation on Structural Properties of Human Ribs

Elina Misicka, Yun-Seok Kang, Michelle M. Murach, Amanda M. Agnew

Injury Biomechanics Research Center, The Ohio State University

INTRODUCTION

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Thank you to all of the students and staff of the Injury Biomechanics Research Center. Thank you to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and Autoliv for sponsoring testing contributing to this work, OSU’s Body Donor Program, LifeLine of Ohio, and the donors for their generous gifts.

MATERIALS & METHODS

RESULTS & DISCUSSION

CONCLUSIONS

•  The human thorax is commonly injured in motor vehicle crashes. Rib fractures in particular are highly prevalent, and contribute to high mortality rates (Kent et al., 2005). In order to gain a better understanding of variability in response and injury tolerance of the human thorax, an ongoing project is aimed at examining variation in rib structural properties.

•  Age and sex have been identified as significant predictors of various structural properties in univariate models (Schafman et al., 2016), however there has been little attempt to characterize rib properties with respect to body size, and no previous work has been able to take into account interfering effects between such predictors.

•  The objective of this study was to examine the multivariate effects of four subject-level factors (age, sex, weight, and stature) on two structural properties of the human rib which represent its ability to resist loading: peak force and structural stiffness.

FPEAK K

Multiple Regression (Predictors

Only)

R2 0.34 0.15 p(Age) <0.001 0.025 p(Weight) 0.489 0.309 p(Stature) 0.597 0.801 p(Sex) 0.002 0.001

Multiple Regression

(Predictors and Predictor

Interactions)

R2 0.30 0.20 p(Age) <0.001 0.002 p(Weight) 0.902 0.622 p(Stature) 0.972 0.361 p(Sex) 0.009 0.001 p(Age*Weight) 0.869 0.320 p(Age*Stature) 0.762 0.790 p(Weight*Stature) 0.991 0.098 p(Age*Sex) 0.230 0.094 p(Weight*Sex) 0.354 0.004 p(Stature*Sex) 0.991 0.973

•  Multiple regression models are a useful tool to better understand sources of variation in rib structural properties. Age and sex were stronger predictors of FPEAK and K than weight and stature, however the amount of variance explained by the models remained low (R2 = 15-34%). This suggests that utilizing additional predictor variables and alternate modeling techniques may improve our understanding of variability in rib response.

Table 1. Multiple Regression Results •  Schafman et al. (2016) identified statistically significant univariate relationships of age and sex with K and FPEAK. The current study utilized a slightly different sample with similar results. Additionally, mul t ip le regress ion models showed that when included with age and sex, the effects of weight and stature were insignificant. These findings suggest that subject mass and length based scaling techniques likely cannot capture variances in individual rib response or injury.

•  Recently, structural properties have been shown to be highly correlated with rib size, reflected by robusticity (total cross-sectional area relative to curve length) (Murach et al., 2017). Since a gap sti l l exists in the abil i ty to understand the variation seen in the individual rib in the context of the whole thorax, future work will explore the relationship between rib size (and structural properties) and thoracic anthropometry (and thoracic response).

•  An unbalanced sample with regard to sex is a limitation of this study. Furthermore, not all datasets were normally distributed.

REFERENCES CITED 1.  Kent R, et al. Structural and material changes in the aging thorax and their role in crash protection for older occupants. Stapp Car Crash J, 2005, 49:231-249. 2.  Schafman M, et al. Age and Sex alone are insufficient to predict human rib structural response to dynamic A-P loading. J Biomech, 2016. 49:3516-3522. 3.  Murach M, et al. Rib geometry explain variation in dynamic structural response: Potential implications for frontal impact fracture risk . Ann Biomed Eng, 2017, in press.

Time = 0 ms Time = 41 ms Time = 46 ms

•  One hundred eighteen sixth-level ribs from one hundred six post-mortem subjects (71 male, 20-97 years; 35 female, 17-108 years) were included in this study. Weight (kg) and stature (cm) of each subject were measured before rib removal. Each rib was impacted in a dynamic (2 m/s) frontal impact bending scenario (Fig. 1). Peak force (FPEAK) was identified and linear structural stiffness (K) was calculated as the slope of the elastic portion of the Force-Displacement curve (Fig. 2).

•  Univariate and multivariate regressions were performed to model the effects of age, sex, weight, and stature on FPEAK and K (Fig. 2). Specifically, multivariate linear regression was employed to identify the effects of all predictors on a single structural property: 1st to examine the effects of single predictors in combination on FPEAK and on K, and 2nd for each structural property, subsequently taking into account first-order interaction terms between predictors.

Figure 1. Experimental bending test for an exemplar rib at various times throughout the event

Figure 3. Univariate linear regressions between each continuous predictor and FPEAK (top) and K (bottom). R2 values are presented for males (M), females (F), and the combined sample (M,F). Statistical significance is

indicated in bold.

15010050

200

150

100

50

0

1208040

8

6

4

2

0200175150

Peak

Force(N

)

Ag e(yrs)

Stiffness(N

/mm)

Weig ht(kg ) Stature(cm)

Sex Male ■ Female ●

(M)=0.15 (F)=0.45

(M,F)=0.18

(M)=0.01 (F)=0.08

(M,F)=0.06

(M)=0.01 (F)=0.18 (M,F)=0.11

(M)=0.01 (F)=0.18

(M,F)=0.03

(M)=0.05 (F)=0.01

(M,F)=0.05

(M)=0.00 (F)=0.08 (M,F)=0.07

•  Univariate trends showed a decline in FPEAK and K with age, and an increase with weight and stature, although none of these relationships were strong (Fig. 3). Females exhibited a sharper decline in FPEAK and K with age than males. However, there were less-discernible sex-specific trends in structural property changes with weight and stature.

•  Age and sex had the strongest effects on response variables in multiple regressions (Table 1). The only significant interaction (Weight*Sex) suggests that weight may be a confounding variable in the prediction of stiffness.

Multiple Linear

Regression

Output

Ø Peak Force (FPEAK) Ø  Linear Structural Stiffness (K)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Forc

e (N

)

Displacement (mm)

Typical F-D Curve

*Yield Point

K = Linear Structural Stiffness

Peak Force

Input Ø Age Ø Sex

Ø Weight Ø Stature

Subject-Level Variation

Rib-Level Variation

Figure 2. Schematic of multiple linear regression model input and output details