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associated with Panzhihu associated with Panzhihu a Ms 6.1 earthquake a Ms 6.1 earthquake - the preparatory result - the preparatory result Li Junhui Li Junhui 1 1 3 3 Li Qi Li Qi 2 2 Yang Dongmei Yang Dongmei 2 2 1 Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China. 1 Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China. 2 Institutes of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing 2 Institutes of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing 3 3 National Geophysical Observatory at Mengcheng National Geophysical Observatory at Mengcheng Hefei Hefei 230031 e-mail 230031 e-mail [email protected] [email protected]

Li Junhui 1 、 3 Li Qi 2 Yang Dongmei 2 1 Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

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Principal component analysis of geomagnetic data associated with Panzhihua Ms 6.1 earthquake - the preparatory result. Li Junhui 1 、 3 Li Qi 2 Yang Dongmei 2 1 Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China. 2 Institutes of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Principal component analysis of geomaPrincipal component analysis of geomagnetic data associated with Panzhihua gnetic data associated with Panzhihua

Ms 6.1 earthquakeMs 6.1 earthquake - the preparatory result- the preparatory result

Li JunhuiLi Junhui11 、、 33 Li Qi Li Qi22 Yang Dongmei Yang Dongmei22

1 Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China. 1 Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China. 2 Institutes of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing 2 Institutes of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing

33 、、 National Geophysical Observatory at MengchengNational Geophysical Observatory at Mengcheng ,, Hefei 230031 e-Hefei 230031 e-mailmail :: [email protected]@mail.ustc.edu.cn

Page 2: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Table of contentsTable of contents

Ms 6.1 Pan Zhihua earthquake and Ms 6.1 Pan Zhihua earthquake and observations site.

PCA methodPCA method

PCA result of this earthquakePCA result of this earthquake

Discussion and conclusionDiscussion and conclusion

Page 3: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Wenchuan earthquake sequenceWenchuan earthquake sequence

Ms 6.1About 600Km far

from Ms 8.0

一、 about this earthquake

Page 4: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Stations and EarthquakeStations and Earthquake

西昌台阵西昌台阵 99 个磁个磁通门仪器。通门仪器。

88 月月 3030 日日 1616 点点发生发生 Ms6.1Ms6.1 级地级地震。震。

距最近的台站平距最近的台站平地仅地仅 6.4Km6.4Km 、、南山南山 40Km40Km 、会、会理理 60Km.60Km.

仪器:仪器: GM4GM4

Page 5: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Technical parameter of GM4Technical parameter of GM4

ULF geomagnetic dataULF geomagnetic data• ComponentsComponents Geomagnetic 3 component Geomagnetic 3 component

(( H, D[declination], Z[vertical]H, D[declination], Z[vertical] ))• ObservatoryObservatory Nanshan HUILi PingdiNanshan HUILi Pingdi• SamplingSampling 1Hz1Hz• Analysis termAnalysis term Jan 1 Jan 1 200 20088 – Dec 31 200 – Dec 31 20088• Feb march April No data Feb march April No data

Page 6: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

二、二、 procedure of PCAprocedure of PCA

Data: second;Data: second; Stations: NSHStations: NSH 、、 HLCHLC 、、 Pd;Pd; 1800 point;1800 point; Y1=Dnsh(i);Y1=Dnsh(i); Y2=Dhlc(i);Y2=Dhlc(i); Y3=Dpd(i);Y3=Dpd(i); Y=[Y1,Y2,Y3];Y=[Y1,Y2,Y3];

Page 7: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

procedure of PCAprocedure of PCA

1Hz 1Hz sample per 30 min 3 stations yNS(1:1800) ,yPD(1:1800),yHL(1:1800).

Y=[yNST, yPD

T yHLT]; Transpose matrix

variance matrix R=YYT ;

Calculate the eigenvalue of R 入 1 ,入 2 ,入 3 (入 1> 入 2> 入 3 ) .

3 temproal eigenvalue sequence

Page 8: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Signals observed on the ground-Signals observed on the ground-based magnetometerbased magnetometer

Katsumi Hattori 2004

Page 9: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Result of PCA JapanResult of PCA Japan

Page 10: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

三、 三、 PCA result PCA result

Page 11: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

The variation of first principal component with that of Ap index in April, 2008.

Page 12: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

The variation of first principal componentThe variation of first principal component

Page 13: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

The variation of second principal componentThe variation of second principal component

Page 14: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

The variation of third principal component

Page 15: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

analysis of the third analysis of the third principal component

选取台站周围选取台站周围100Km100Km 范围范围内地震。内地震。

计算地震释放计算地震释放能量能量

与第三主成分与第三主成分对比分析。对比分析。

Page 16: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

The variation of third principal component 2008

Page 17: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Select May to SeptemberSelect May to September

Page 18: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

四 四 Discussion and conclusionDiscussion and conclusion The first principal component is found to be thThe first principal component is found to be th

e signal originated in the solar–terrestrial effece signal originated in the solar–terrestrial effects such as geomagnetic pulsation. ts such as geomagnetic pulsation.

the second principal component, the local artithe second principal component, the local artificial noise is included.ficial noise is included.

the smallest third component in the local midthe smallest third component in the local midnight at the Panzhuhua region, it indicated incnight at the Panzhuhua region, it indicated increase in the third eigenvalue about 40 days befrease in the third eigenvalue about 40 days before the large earthquake. ore the large earthquake.

These features are likely to be correlated with These features are likely to be correlated with large earthquake. large earthquake.

Page 19: Li Junhui 1 、 3   Li Qi 2    Yang Dongmei 2 1   Seismological Bureau of Anhui, Hefei, China

Thanks allThanks all