LI Immigration Bill Poll - Harstad Strategic Research, Inc

7/28/2019 LI Immigration Bill Poll - Harstad Strategic Research, Inc.

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Survey of Registered Voters on Long Island

May/June 2013

Hello, may I speak with [FIRST NAME ONLY]please?

0\QDPHLVBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB)LUVW,PQRWVHOOLQJDQ\WKLQJRUDVNLQJIRUPRQH\,PIURP HarstadResearch, the national public opinion research firm. We are doing a survey on Long Island, and would liketo ask your opinion on some interesting topics.

SCREENER

First, does anyone in this household work for a radio station, a TV station, or a newspaper?

No ........................................................................................................... 100%

Yes .......................................................................................................... - Terminate

Refused/DK/NS ...................................................................................... - Terminate

Sex [Do not ask][n=755]

Male ........................................................................................................ 46%Female .................................................................................................... 54%

[Asked of a randomof Long Island voters] In your opinion, have immigrants coming to Long Island inrecent years made Long Islanda better place to live, a worse place to live, or hasn't it made muchdifference? [n=376]

Better Place ............................................................................................ 25%Worse Place ........................................................................................... 27%No difference .......................................................................................... 42%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 6%

[Asked of a randomof Long Island voters] In your opinion, have undocumented immigrants coming toLong Island in recent years made Long Islanda better place to live, a worse place to live, or hasn't it mademuch difference? [n=379]

Better Place ............................................................................................ 11%Worse Place ........................................................................................... 39%No difference .......................................................................................... 39%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 12%

755 Registered Voters on Long Island(Nassau and Suffolk Counties),

May 28 - June 2, 2013


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And in your opinion, is illegal immigration onto Long Island [rotate 'increasing / decreasing']increasing,decreasing, or staying about the same? [If respondent answers 'increasing / decreasing,' ask:] Is it[increasing / decreasing]a lot or[increasing / decreasing]a little? [n=755]

Increasing ............................................................................................... 47%Decreasing .............................................................................................. 5%

Increasing a lot ....................................................................................... 30%Increasing a little ..................................................................................... 17%Decreasing a lot ...................................................................................... 2%Decreasing a little ................................................................................... 3%Staying about the same .......................................................................... 32%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 15%

Next, I'd like to describe the bipartisan immigration reform plan recently announced by eight U.S. senators,and get your reaction. The plan has four main elements:

x One, strengthen border security by deploying better surveillance technology, expanding aborder fence with Mexico, and keeping track of immigrants who are here.

x Two, require employers to use a computer on-line verification system that ensures allemployees are legally authorized to work in the United States and FINE those companiesthat employ undocumented immigrants.

x Three, undocumented immigrants already in the United States with no criminal record couldregister for legal status, and could earn citizenship over time if they work, learn English, andpay taxes.

x And four, revise the guidelines for future legal immigration by increasing the number of visasissued for high tech, agricultural, and other workers with the number of new visas going upor down depending on the needs of our economy.

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of this immigration reform plan? [If respondent answersDpprove/dLVDSSURYHDVN@ And do you strongly [approve/disapprove]or somewhat [approve / disapprove]? [n=755]

Approve .................................................................................................. 80%Disapprove .............................................................................................. 17%

Approve strongly .................................................................................. 39%Approve somewhat .............................................................................. 41%Disapprove strongly ............................................................................. 8%Disapprove somewhat ......................................................................... 9%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 4%

If your member of Congress were to vote for this immigration reform plan, would you be more likely or lesslikely to vote to re-elect your member of Congress, or would this issue not affect your vote either way?[n=755]

More likely ............................................................................................... 46%Less likely ............................................................................................... 10%Not affect either way ............................................................................... 39%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 4%


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[Rotate next two questions]

Next, ,PJRLQJWRUHDG\RXWZRpairs of statements about immigrants and immigration on Long Island. Foreach pair of statements, please tell me which one comes closer to your view. [Rotate]

[Some / other]peoplesay immigrants generally come to Long Island to workhard and provide for their families.

[Other / some]peoplesayimmigrants generally come to Long Island to takeadvantage of the system and get benefits like welfare.

Which is closer to your view? [n=755]

Work hard / provide for families .............................................................. 60%Take advantage of system / get benefits like welfare ............................ 31%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 9%

Next, ,PJRLQJWRUHDG\RXWZRpairs of statements about immigrants and immigration on Long Island. Foreach pair of statements, please tell me which one comes closer to your view. [Rotate]

[Some / other]people say immigrants generally come to Long Island to workin low-skill, low-paying jobs.

[Other / some]people say immigrants generally come to Long Island to workin a wide range of jobs including high-skill work and starting businesses.

Which is closer to your view? [n=755]

Work in low-skill / low-pay jobs ............................................................... 61%Work in range of jobs including high-skill / start businesses .................. 29%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 9%

[Asked of a randomof Long Island voters] Do you favor or oppose including a provision in thisimmigration reform plan to guarantee same-sex couples the right to seek citizenship for their partners

the same right as exists for any other couple? [If respondent answersfavor / opposeDVN@ And do youstrongly [favor / oppose]or somewhat [favor / oppose]?

Favor ....................................................................................................... 71%Oppose ................................................................................................... 22%

Strongly favor.......................................................................................... 46%Somewhat favor ...................................................................................... 25%Strongly oppose ...................................................................................... 16%Somewhat oppose .................................................................................. 6%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 7%


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DEMOGRAPHICS

Our last few questions are about you and your family and are for statistical purposes only.

May I ask how old you are? [n=755]

18 to 34 years ......................................................................................... 21%

35 to 49 years ......................................................................................... 26%50 to 64 years ......................................................................................... 32%65 years or older ..................................................................................... 22%Refused/DK/NS ...................................................................................... *%

Thinking about your approach to political issues, would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhatliberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative? [n=755]

Liberal ..................................................................................................... 31%Moderate ................................................................................................. 29%Conservative ........................................................................................... 34%

Very liberal .............................................................................................. 10%Somewhat liberal .................................................................................... 21%Moderate ................................................................................................. 29%Somewhat conservative ......................................................................... 24%Very conservative ................................................................................... 10%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 6%

What is the last grade or level of school you have completed? [Read list if necessary] [n=755]

High school graduate or less .................................................................. 20%Some college but less than two years of college ................................ 10%Some college two years or more/AA degree ...................................... 16%

College graduate/bachelors degree/BA/BS ........................................... 28%Postgraduate courses ............................................................................. 4%Masters degree / MBA / Law degree ...................................................... 16%PhD or MD .............................................................................................. 3%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 2%

Do you RU\RXUSDUHQWVKDSSHQWRFRPHIURPD/DWLQR+LVSDQLFRU6SDQLVK -speaking, an AfricanAmerican, or an Asian background? >,I\HVDVNZKLFKRQH@>,IQRDVN@ -XVWWREHVXUHZHUHrepresenting everybody, may I ask your race? [n=755]

Latino / Spanish-speaking / Hispanic ..................................................... 10%White / Anglo / WASP / Caucasian, etc ................................................. 72%

African-American / Black ........................................................................ 7%Asian ....................................................................................................... 3%Native American / American Indian ........................................................ 1%Other / Mixed .......................................................................................... 1%Refused .................................................................................................. 4%DK/NS ..................................................................................................... 2%

Thank you for taking our survey, youranswers have been extremely helpful.


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METHODOLOGY

The May 2013 Long Island Voter Survey was conducted by HARSTAD STRATEGIC RESEARCH, INC, thenational public opinion research firm in Boulder, Colorado. The survey results are based upon 755random telephone interviews among active voters in Nassau and Suffolk Counties. Sample was obtainedfrom a list of registered voters. Interviews were conducted by live interviewers reaching land lines and cellphones from May 28-June 2, 2013.

This random sample of 755 has a worst-case 95% confidence interval of plus or minus 3.6% about anyone reported percentage. For some questions, the sample was randomly assigned into two halves.Certain questions were asked of one half, while other questions were asked of the other. For questionslabeled Asked of a random of Long Island voters, the results have a worst-case 95% confidenceinterval of plus or minus 5.0% about any one reported percentage.

Documents

LI Immigration Bill Poll - Harstad Strategic Research, Inc