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Best Practices
Our Challenge:
• Best Practices for Action-Focused and Resource-Focused analyses are distinct
• Distinct best practices are not readily complimentary
Best Practices
Sources:
• Legal Decisions– key standards of judicial review
• Communities of Practice – handbooks – reports
• FHWA and IDT
Best PracticesResource-Focused
The Fritiofson v. Alexander Five Part Test:
1. What is the geographic area affected by the project?
2. What are the resources affected by the project?
3. What are the other past, present, and reasonably foreseeable actions that have impacted these resources?
4. What were those impacts?
5. What is the overall impact on these various resources from the accumulation of the actions?
Fritiofson v. Alexander
Fritiofson v. Alexander
•Decision•Induced Growth•Affected Resources•Stressors and Limiting Factors•Sustainability of Resource in Space and Time•Mitigation, Monitoring, Adaptive Management
Best PracticesResource-Focused
•The Sierra Club v. Marsh Three Part Test:1. Confident that impacts are likely to occur?
2. Can impacts be sufficiently described and specified now to allow for useful evaluation?
3. If impacts are not evaluated now, will future evaluation of impacts be irrelevant?
Sierra Club v. Marsh
Best Practices Action-Focused
Sierra Club v. Marsh
•Decisions•Reasonably Foreseeable Future Actions•Induced Growth•Affected Resources•Overlap of Decisions and Resources•Resource Effects in Space and Time
Best PracticesAction-Focused
Best PracticesAction-Focused
• NCHRP Report No. 403
• NCHRP Report No. 466
• 2 categories of Indirect effects:– Encroachment-Alteration– Induced Growth and Related
Best PracticesResource-Focused
• “Considering Cumulative Effects” Table 1-5, page 10;
• “EIA Components” blocks can and do match more than the “CEA Steps” listed in each row.
Resource-Focused Community of Practice
• CEQ’s 8 Principles:
• “Considering Cumulative Effects” Table 1-2, page 8
• “Each affected resource, ecosystem, and human community must be analyzed in terms of its capacity to accommodate additional effects, based on its own time and space parameters” (item #8)
Best Practices
Key Points:
• Communities of Practice have published best practices
• Less than ideal word choices, some author confusion still exist
• Consistent theme … action-focus is part of input to resource-focused (risk to sustainability)
Best PracticesScoping
Key Points:
• Scoping is the collaborative process of identifying and prioritizing information that will be useful to the decision-maker and publics
• Focus in on possible impacts to resources for that may influence the decision
• Establish REC model, spatial, temporal parameters
• Investment in long range transport and resource management plans pay off here
Best PracticesScoping
For All Steps, Define and Reach Consensus on…
• Study Approach or Methodology• Sources of Data• For Field Work, Allow for Murphy’s Law • Level of Effort• Work Product
Results Must Be of Use to Decision-Makers
Scoping Identifies Useful Information
Exposure – Response Profile↓
Stressors and Limiting FactorsResilience and Thresholds
Adjustments and FeedbacksDynamic Equilibrium
↓Risk to Sustainability
Scoping Identifies Useful Information
Exposure – Response Profile↓
Stressors and Limiting FactorsResilience and Thresholds
Adjustments and FeedbacksDynamic Equilibrium
↓Risk to Sustainability
Thinking About …
Is there a reason they call it Baseline
and not Basepoint?
Can a snapshot in time provide useful information?
Best Practices Analysis
Key Points:
• Determining the consequences is the two-part analysis of effects
• Action-focused analyses is input to resource-focused analyses, target is sustainability
Best PracticesAnalytic Principles
• Sustainability – Dynamic Equilibrium
• Additive, Countervailing, and Synergistic Responses
• Look Beyond the Life of the Action
Best Practices Forecast and Comparison
►Base line (no-action) forecast …… future conditions in the absence of the project
►With Project forecast …… conditions in future following implementation of the alternative►Often called “but for …” effects ►Two Categories of action-focused exposure-
response
Induced Development Forecasting
• Qualitative methods …… evaluate context or overall situation where little data exist or existing data is questionable or inconsistent
• Quantitative methods …
… model/search for causal factors
• Utilize forecasts by regional planning and transportation agencies
Best Practices Methodologies
• Literature review/comparative case analysis
• Scenario writing
• Trend extrapolation
• Expert panel surveys or Delphi technique
• Build-out or carrying capacity analysis
• Regression/econometric techniques
• Gravity models
Best Practices
Key Points:
• Communities of Practice have published best practices
• Less than ideal word choices, some author confusion still exist
• Consistent theme … action-focus is input to resource-focused look at sustainability
Best PracticesDocumentation
Key Points:
• Narrative sequence describes assessment and analysis, and discusses … – what we know– what we don’t know – the relative importance of what we don’t know– mitigation and monitoring opportunities
Assessment
Framework
Identifyand
model the RECf(x) = y
Identify the Decision
and Action(s)
Draw Conclusions
and Disclose
Implications
Assess Exposure(project –
REC interaction)
Deconstructthe Action
IncorporateFeedbacks and
adjustments
Evaluate Risk to
Sustainability (thresholds, resilience)
ConsiderMitigation,
Monitoring, and Adaptive
Management
Predict the REC’s
Response
Best PracticesDocumentation
Evaluation
• Issues– Communicating judgments, uncertainty,
assumptions
• Basic technique– Uncertainty and Assumptions– Sensitivity analysis