Lecture18 Globalization

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    Lecture 18:

    Globalization and Health

    Richard Smith

    Reader in Health Economics

    School of Medicine, Health Policy & Practice

    Health EconomicsSOCE3B11Autumn 04/05

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    Overview of lecture

    What is globalization?

    Relationship between globalization and health

    Aspects of globalization that may effect health

    Health, international trade and WTO

    Trade in health services and GATS

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    What is Globalization?

    Easier travel & communication

    Mixing of customs & cultures

    Integration of national economies (removal of

    barriers to international trade & finance)liberalization or openness

    Means cannot view national health, interventions

    and policies in isolation from: other countries

    other sectors (e.g. travel, finance)

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    HEALTH

    health

    services

    risk

    factorshousehold

    economy

    national economy and

    health-related sectors

    Globalization

    economic opening cross-border flows

    international

    rules and

    institutions

    goods, services,capital, people,

    ideas, information

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    Aspects of Globalization that

    may effect Health General effect on health from changes in national

    economic growthlink between health and wealth

    Environmental degradation (e.g. air, water pollution) Improved access to knowledge and technology

    Marketing of harmful products & unhealthy

    behaviours Conflict & security

    Cross-border transmission of disease

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    Cryptosporidiosis

    Lyme Borreliosis

    Reston virus

    VenezuelanEquine Encephalitis

    Denguehaemhorrhagicfever

    Cholera

    E.coli O157

    West Nile

    Fever

    Typhoid

    Diphtheria

    E.coli O157

    EchinococcosisLassa fever

    Yellow fever

    Ebolahaemorrhagic

    fever

    Onyong-nyong fever

    HumanMonkeypox

    Cholera 0139

    Denguehaemhorrhagicfever

    Influenza (H5N1)

    Cholera

    RVF/VHF

    nvCJD

    Ross Rivervirus

    Equinemorbillivirus

    Hendra virus

    BSE

    Multidrug resistantSalmonella

    E.coli non-O157

    West Nile Virus

    Malaria

    Nipah Virus

    Reston Virus

    Legionnaires Disease

    Buruli ulcer

    SARS

    W135

    SARS

    merg ng re-emerg ng n ec ousdiseases 1996 to 2003

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    World Health Organization

    Economic impact, selected infectious diseaseEconomic impact, selected infectious disease

    outbreaks, 1990outbreaks, 199019991999

    UKUKBSEBSE

    US$ > 9 billionUS$ > 9 billion

    19901990--19981998

    UR TANZANIA

    CholeraUS$ 36 millionUS$ 36 million

    19981998

    INDIAINDIAPlaguePlague

    US$ 1.7 billion,US$ 1.7 billion,

    19951995

    PERUPERUCholeraCholera

    SeafoodSeafoodExport BarriersExport Barriers

    19911991

    MALAYSIAMALAYSIANipahNipah

    Pig destruction, 1999Pig destruction, 1999

    HONG KONG SARHONG KONG SAR

    Influenza A (H5N1)Influenza A (H5N1)

    Poultry destruction, 1997Poultry destruction, 1997

    USAUSAE. coli 0157E. coli 0157Food recall/Food recall/destructiondestruction

    PeriodicPeriodic

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    Specific Public Health Issues

    Infectious disease control

    Food safety

    Tobacco Environment

    Access to drugs

    Food security Emerging issues (biotechnology.)

    Health services

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    WTO Agreements

    Goods: GATT

    Technical barriers to trade: SPS, TBT

    Intellectual property and trade : TRIPS

    Services: GATS

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    Specific Health Issues and

    most relevant WTO Agreements

    WTO AGREEMENTS SPS TBT TRIPS GATS

    HEALTH ISSUES

    Infectious Disease Control * *

    Food Safety * Tobacco Control * * * Environment * * Access to Drugs * Health Services * Food Security *Emerging Issues

    Biotechnology * * * Information Technology * Traditional Knowledge *

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    Trade in Health Services/GATS:

    Background International trade growing, & trade in services is

    increasing percentage of this overall growth

    Of this trade, health sector is already affected by

    liberalization in other areas (e.g. finance)

    Many countries see health as a sector where they

    may have a comparative trade advantage More countries seeking to ascend to WTO and

    therefore make commitments under GATS

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    General Agreement on Trade

    in Services (GATS)

    GATS emerged from 1994 Uruguay Round ofnegotiations that created the WTO (Members agree toprogressive liberalization)

    Subject services trade to same treatment as goods (GATT)Basis = liberalization increases global efficiency (comparative

    advantagelower cost, higher quality, innovation)

    Provides multilateral legal framework for liberalizinginternational services trade (based on existing int. trade law)

    Debate is polarized - Tale of Two Treaties

    GATS is worst of treatiesundermines national sovereignty

    GATS is best of treatiesincrease health (sovereignty)

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    The House that GATS Built

    GATS

    (Services)

    Trade Liberalization

    Preservation of the Right to Regulate Services

    Multilateral Framework

    Front Wall:General

    Obligations

    and

    Disciplines

    Side Wall:

    Market AccessCommitments

    Side Wall:

    National Treatment

    Commitments

    Back Wall:

    Exceptions

    Floor:Dispute Settlement

    GATS Council

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    GATS Timetable

    1994 Uruguay Round of WTO negotiations saw

    initial commitments in health services made by a

    handful of countries

    Current negotiations began following WTO meeting

    in February 2000:

    initial requests for specific commitments made by end

    June 2002

    initial offers due by end of March 2003

    finalised agreement by end of January 2005

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    The GATS Process

    Countries (via MoT) select service sector(s) they

    wish to open to foreign suppliers

    A commitment is then made within this sector within each mode individually or combined

    stating limitations to how much access foreign

    providers are allowed

    Commitments are multilateralno favourites

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    Key Aspects of GATS

    Creates binary system either solely public

    provided (hence not covered by GATS) or not

    Commitments potentially irreversiblechanges

    possible (> 3 years) but entail compensation(offering new commitments in other sectors with a

    view to restoring the balance of commitments

    which existed prior to the modification)

    GATS excludes services supplied in the exerciseof governmental authority debate on coverage

    MFN principle

    Structurefour modes of supply

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    Threshold Question:

    Does GATS Apply?

    Is the health-related service

    supplied by the government?

    Is the health-related service

    supplied on a commercial basis?

    Is the health-related service

    supplied in competition with

    one or more service providers?

    Is the health-related service

    supplied by a private actor

    pursuant to delegated

    governmental authority?

    GATS applies to measures

    of WTO members that affect

    trade in health-related services

    No

    YesYes

    No

    No

    Yes

    GATS does not apply

    No

    Yes

    S

    T

    A

    RT

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    Structure of GATS:

    Four Modes of Supply

    1. Cross border delivery (e-health)

    2. Consumption abroad (movt. of patients)3. Commercial presence (FDI hospitals)

    4. Movement of personnel (doctors abroad)

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    Mode 1:

    Cross border delivery of services

    Shipment of laboratory samples, diagnosis and

    clinical consultations by mail

    E-health Telediagnostic

    Telesurveillance

    Teleconsultation

    Teletreatment

    Teleproducts (especially phamaceuticals)

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    Mode 1 Opportunities

    Enable health care delivery to remote and

    underserviced areaspromoting equity

    Alleviate (some) human resource constraints

    Enable more cost-effective disease surveillance

    Improve quality of diagnosis and treatment

    Upgrade skills, disseminate knowledge through

    interactive electronic means

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    Mode 1 Risks

    Relies on telecommunications and power

    sector infrastructure

    Capital intensive, possible diversion ofresources from basic preventive and

    curative services

    Equity issue if it caters to a small segmentof the population - urban affluent

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    Mode 2:

    Consumption abroad

    Movement of patients from home country to the

    country providing the diagnosis/treatment

    Movement of health professionals from home

    to another country to receive medical education

    and training

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    Mode 2 Opportunities

    For exporting countries

    Generate foreign exchange earnings to increase resources

    for health

    Upgrade health infrastructure, knowledge, standards andquality

    For importing countries

    Overcome shortages of physical and human resources in

    speciality areas

    Receive more affordable treatment

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    Mode 2 Risks

    Create dual market structure

    May crowd out local populationunless these

    services are made available to local population

    Diversion of resources from thepublic health

    system

    Outflow of foreign exchange for importingcountries

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    Mode 3:

    Commercial presence

    Establishment of hospitals, clinics, diagnostic and

    treatment centres and nursing homes and training

    facilities through foreign direct investmentcrossborder mergers/acquisitions, joint venture/alliance

    Opportunities for foreign commercial presence also

    in management of health facilities and alliedservices, medical and paramedical education, IT

    and health care

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    Mode 3 Opportunities

    Generate additional resources forinvestment in upgrading of infrastructureand technologies

    Reduce the burden on public resources

    Create employment opportunities

    Raise standards, improve management,quality , improve availability, improveeducation (foreign commercial presence inmedical education sector)

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    Mode 3 Risks

    Large initial public investments to attract FDI

    If public funds/subsidies used - potential diversion

    of resources from thepublic health sector Two tier structure of health care establishments

    Internal brain drain from public to private sector

    Crowding out of poorer patients, cream skimming

    phenomena

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    Mode 4:

    Movement of Health Professionals

    Includes doctors, nurses, paramedics, midwives, consultants,

    trainers, management personnel

    Factors driving cross border movements

    wage differentials between countries search for better working conditions/standards of living

    search for greater exposure/training/qualifications

    demand and supply imbalances between countries

    Approach towards mode 4 trade in health services by exporting

    and receiving countries varies - some countries encourage

    outflow, others create impediments

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    Mode 4 Opportunities

    From sending country

    Promote exchange of knowledge among professionals

    Upgrade skills and standards (provided service

    providers return to the home country)

    Gains from remittances and transfers

    From host country

    Meet shortage of health care providers, improve

    access, quality and contain cost pressures

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    Mode 4 Risks

    From sending country

    Permanent outflows of skilled personnel -

    brain drain Loss of subsidised training and financial

    capital invested

    Adverse effects on equity, availability andquality of services

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    Scope of analysis

    specificcommitments

    Cross-industrial commitment

    Bu

    siness

    Telecommunication

    Construction

    Distribution

    Environment

    Fin

    ance

    Edu

    cation

    Health&Socialservices

    Culture&sport

    Tourism/Courier

    Transportation

    Oth

    ers

    National treatment

    Market access

    1-4 =

    modes

    12

    34

    12

    34

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    Status of GATS Commitments

    (No. WTO Members by Sector)

    0

    50

    100

    Tourism

    Financ

    ial

    Busines

    s

    Commu

    nication

    s

    Transp

    ort

    Constru

    ction

    Recrea

    tion

    Environ

    mentHea

    lth

    Distrib

    ution

    Educati

    on

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    Commitments of WTO

    Members in Health Services

    Number of WTO Members number (~2004) with

    commitments in health (developed/developing):

    Medical/dental services 62 (18/44) (excl. USA)

    Nurses/midwives 34 (17/17) (excl.USA)

    Hospital services 52 (15/37) (incl. USA)

    Other human health 22 (2/20) (excl. USA &

    EC)

    No commitments at all 39 (e.g. Canada, Brazil)

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    CommitmentsMarket Access

    Medical and

    Dental Services

    Midwives,

    Nurses, etc.

    Hospital

    Services

    Other Human

    Health Services

    Full 21 (4/17) 8 (2/6) 18 (0/18) 11 (0/11)

    Partial 12 (1/11) 6 (1/5) 1 (0/1) 1 (0/1)Mode 1

    Unbound 29 (13/16) 20 (14/6) 35 (15/20) 10 (2/8)

    Full 35 (5/30) 12 (2/10) 44 (14/30) 15 (0/15)

    Partial 24 (13/11) 21 (15/6) 5 (1/4) 5 (2/3)Mode 2

    Unbound 3 (0/3) 1 (0/1) 3 (0/3) 2 (0/2)

    Full 29 (13/16) 7 (2/5) 18 (0/18) 12 (0/12)

    Partial 26 (4/22) 25 (15/10) 31 (15/16) 9 (2/7)Mode 3

    Unbound 7 (2/5) 2 (0/2) 3 (0/3) 1 (0/1)

    Full 0 (0/0) 0 (0/0) 0 (0/0) 0 (0/0)

    Partial 56 (16/40) 32 (17/15) 48 (14/34) 21 (2/19)Mode 4

    Unbound 6 (2/4) 2 (0/2) 4 (1/3) 1 (0/1)

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    CommitmentsNational TreatmentMedical and

    Dental Services

    Midwives,

    Nurses, etc.

    Hospital

    Services

    Other Human

    Health Services

    Full 24 (4/20) 9 (2/7) 21 (0/21) 12 (0/12)

    Partial 10 (1/9) 6 (1/5) 1 (0/1) 1 (0/1)Mode 1

    Unbound 28 (13/15) 19 (14/5) 30 (15/15) 9 (2/7)

    Full 34 (5/29) 12 (2/10) 44 (14/30) 15 (0/15)

    Partial 23 (13/10) 21 (15/6) 5 (1/4) 5 (2/3)Mode 2

    Unbound 5 (0/5) 1 (0/1) 3 (0/3) 2 (0/2)

    Full 19 (1/18) 10 (2/8) 33 (13/20) 11 (0/11)

    Partial 37 (16/21) 22 (15/7) 15 (2/13) 9 (2/7)Mode 3

    Unbound 6 (1/5) 2 (0/2) 4 (2/2) 2 (0/2)

    Full 3 (0/3) 1 (0/1) 3 (0/3) 1 (0/2)

    Partial 54 (17/37) 31 (17/14) 44 (14/30) 19 (2/17)Mode 4

    Unbound 5 (1/4) 2 (0/2) 5 (1/4) 2 (0/2)

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    Summary of GATS Commitments

    Generally, number of sectors committed positivelyrelated to the level of economic development

    But - pattern in health services less clear

    Far more developing than developed country commitments E.g Canada no commitments, USA/Japan only one whereas LDCs(Burundi, Gambia, Zambia etc) have 3 or 4 subsectors

    Of 4 subsectorsmedical/dental most heavily committed(62), followed by hospital (52).

    Highest share of full market access recorded for mode 2 Developed countries use limitations on modes 2 & 3 morethan developing countries

    No Member undertaken full commitments for mode 4 (highlyrestricted area)

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    GATS3 Key Questions

    Why are current levels of trade in health services low? presence of government monopolieslikely to be rare

    no pace setters in health (c.f. telecommunications/financial services)

    different economic value (c.f. telecommunications/financial services)

    How will GATS effect a countrys health sovereignty/system? depends on interpretation of commercial basis and in competition general obligationsMFN, pursuing increased liberalization, exception for

    measures necessary to protect health, dispute settlement

    horizontal commitments made for other sectors

    What effect might liberalization have on national health/wealth? currently data free environmenteven extent of openness/liberalization!

    research required on impact of liberalization on: population health status,distribution of health services/status, economic factors (GDP, BoP etc) andhow GATS compares with other agreements

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    Further References

    See references for Seminar 6

    Smith RD. Foreign direct investment and trade in

    health services: a review of the literature. SocialScience and Medicine, 2004; 59: 2313-2323.

    For future ref: Blouin C, Drager N, Smith RD (eds). Trade in Health

    Services, developing countries and the GATS. Oxford

    University Press (in press). Smith RD. Trade in Health Services: Current Challenges

    and Future Prospects of Globalisation. In: Jones AM (ed).Elgar Companion to Health Economics. Edward Elgar (inpress).