Lecture 4 Objects

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    Geological Modeling:Deterministic and Stochastic Models

    Irina Overeem

    Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System

    University of Colorado at Boulder

    September 2008

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    Course outline 1

    Lectures by Irina Overeem:

    Introduction and overview Deterministic and geometric models Sedimentary process models I Sedimentary process models II

    Uncertainty in modeling

    Lecture byOvereem & Teyukhina : Synthetic migrated data

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    Geological Modeling: different tracks

    Static

    Reservoir Model

    Reservoir Data

    Seismic, borehole and wirelogs

    Sedimentary

    Process ModelStochastic ModelDeterministic

    Model

    Data-driven modeling Process modeling

    Flow Model

    Upscaling

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    Deterministic and Stochastic Models

    Deterministic model- A mathematical model which contains norandom components; consequently, each component and input isdetermined exactly.

    Stochastic model -A mathematical model that includes some

    sort of random forcing.

    In many cases, stochastic models are used to simulatedeterministic systems that include smaller- scale phenomena thatcannot be accurately observed or modeled. A good stochasticmodel manages to represent the average effect of unresolved

    phenomena on larger-scale phenomena in terms of a randomforcing.

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    Deterministic geometric models

    Two classes:

    Faults (planes)

    Sediment bodies (volumes)

    Geometric models conditioned to seismic

    QC from geological knowledge

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    Direct mapping of faults andsedimentary units from seismic data

    Good quality 3D seismic data allows recognition of subtle faults and sedimentarystructures directly.

    Even more so, if (post-migration) specific seismic volume attributesarecalculated.

    Geophysics Group at DUT worked on methodology to extract 3-D geometricalsignal characteristics directly from the data.

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    09 June 2014 7

    L08 Block, Southern North Sea

    Seismic volume attribute analysisof the Cenozoic succession in theL08 block, Southern North Sea.Steeghs, Overeem, Tigrek, 2000.Global and Planetary Change, 27,245262.

    Cenozoic succession in the

    Southern North Sea consistsof shallow marine, delta andfluvial deposits.

    Target for gas exploration?

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    Cross-line through 3D seismic amplitude data,

    with horizon interpretations (Data courtesy Steeghs et al, 2000)

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    Combined volume dip/azimuth display at T = 1188 ms.Volume dip is represented by shades of grey. Shades of blue indicate theazimuth (the direction of dip with respect to the cross-line direction).

    The numerous faults have been interpreted as synsedimentarydeformation, resulting from the load of the overlying sediments.Pressure release contributed to fault initiation and subsequent fluidescape caused the polygonal fault pattern.

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    from retrodeformation (geometries of

    restored depositional surfaces)

    Fault modellingFault surfaces

    Example from PETREL COURSE NOTES

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    More faultmodelling

    in Petrel

    Check plausibility of implied stressand strain fields

    Example from PETREL COURSE NOTES

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    Combined volume dip / reflection strength slice at T=724 ms

    Fan

    Fan Feederchannel

    Delta Foresets

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    Combined volume dip / reflection strength slice at T= 600 ms

    Delta Foresets

    Delta front slump channels

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    Combined volume dip / reflection strength slice at T= 92 ms

    Gas-filled meandering channel

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    Deterministic sedimentary modelfrom seismic attributes

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    Object-based Stochastic Models

    Point process: spatial distribution of points (object centroids) inspace according to some probability law

    Marked point process: a point process attached to (marked with)

    random processes defining type, shape, and size of objects

    Marked point processes are used to supply inter-well objectdistributions in sedimentary environments with clearly definedobjects:

    sand bodies encased in mud shales encased in sand

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    Ingredients of marked point process

    Spatial distribution (degree of

    clustering, trends) Object properties (size, shape,

    orientation)Multi-storey sandbodies

    1

    10

    100

    1.000

    10.000

    100.000

    1,0 10,0 100,0 1.000,0

    Thickness(m)

    Width(m)

    Single storey sandbodies

    1

    10

    100

    1.000

    10.000

    100.000

    1,0 10,0 100,0

    Thickness(m)

    Width(m)

    Object-based stochastic

    geological model conditioned towells, based on outcropanalogues

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    An example: fluvial channel-fill sands

    Geometries have become more sophisticated, but conceptualbasis has not changed: attempt to capture geological knowledgeof spatial lithology distribution by probability laws

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    Examples of shape characterisation:

    Channel dimensions (L, W) andorientation

    Overbank deposits

    Crevasse channels

    Levees

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    Exploring uncertainty of objectproperties (channel width)

    W = 100 m

    W = 800 m

    W = 800 m

    R = 800 m

    How can one quantify the differences between different realizations?

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    Major step forward:object-based model ofchannel belt generatedby random avulsion atfixed point

    Series of realisationsconditioned to wells(equiprobable)

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    Stochastic Model constrained bymultiple analogue data

    Extract as much information as possible from logs andcores (Tilje Fm. Haltenbanken area, offshore Norway).

    Use outcrop or modern analogue data sets for faciescomparison and definition of geometries

    Only then Stochastic modeling will begin

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    09 June 2014 23

    Lithofacies types from coreExample: Holocene Holland Tidal Basin

    Tidal Channel Tidal Flat Interchannel

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    #

    #

    #

    #

    #

    Diamond

    harbour

    Kulpi

    Kakdwip

    RaidighiHaldia

    MatlaRiv

    er

    Th

    ak

    uran

    S

    aptamukhiRiver

    Muri

    HugliRiv

    er

    River

    Ganga

    SELECTED WINDOW

    FOR STUDY

    Modern Ganges tidaldelta, India

    distance50km

    Channel width

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    Tidal channels

    Conceptual model of tidal basin

    (aerial photos, detailed maps)

    Interchannel

    heterolithics

    Branching

    main tidal

    channels

    Tidal flats Fractal

    pattern of

    tidal creeks

    Growth of fractal channels is governed by a branching rule

    Q tif th l d t i t l t

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    Quantify the analogue data into relevantproperties for reservoir model

    Channel width vs distance to shoreline

    Tidal channel width vs distance to shoreline

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    1800

    2000

    10 15 20 25 30 35

    distance to shoreline [km]

    Width[m]

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    The resulting stochastical model

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    Some final remarks onstochastic/deterministic models

    Stochastic Modeling should be data-driven modeling

    Both outcrop and modern systems play an importantrole in aiding this kind of modeling.

    Deterministic models are driven by seismic data.

    The better the seismic data acquisition techniquesbecome, the more accurate the resulting model.

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    References

    Steeghs, P., Overeem, I., Tigrek, S., 2000. SeismicVolume Attribute Analysis of the Cenozoic Successionin the L08 Block (Southern North Sea). Global and

    Planetary Change 27, 245-262.

    C.R. Geel, M.E. Donselaar. 2007. Reservoir modellingof heterolithic tidal deposits: sensitivity analysis of an

    object-based stochastic model, Netherlands Journal ofGeosciences, 86,4.

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