24
7/21/2019 Lecture 21 http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 1/24  Weather Forecasting Assignment For more information please see the links under today’s date on our class webpage

Lecture 21

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

lectures on prediction on cyclones

Citation preview

Page 1: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 1/24

 

• Weather Forecasting Assignment

• For more information please see the links under

today’s date on our class webpage

Page 2: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 2/24

 

 Astrology and Horoscopes

•  Astrology is the study of

how the planets and

stars affect human

affairs.

•  A horoscope consists of

a geocentric map of the

solar system at a given

moment in time basedon a person’s date, time,

and place of birth.

Page 3: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 3/24

 

 Astrology and Horoscopes

• he calculations involved in constructing a horoscope

are based on geocentric models of the solar system

!i.e., earth is at the center".

• he interpretation of horoscopes is based on oral and

written wisdom passed down across generations by

respected astrologers.

• #any of the modern horoscopes that we are familiar

with are highly simplified versions based on a

person’s $odiac sign !e.g., A%uarius, &eo, 'apricorn".

Page 4: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 4/24

 

How do these methods fare(

• How do astrological methods compare with those

discussed in this course(

• What would it take to establish the validity of an

astrological theory(

•  Are these methods !or the evidence derived from

them" part of what is advertised(

Page 5: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 5/24

 

esting Astrology

• What would it take to test astrological principles(

Page 6: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 6/24

 

esting Astrology

• What would it take to test astrological principles(

 ) *ifferent astrologers drawing upon the sameframework should make similar predictions.

 ) he person types based on the +odiac should be

accurate !Aries high e-traversion /emini high

e-traversion, high agreeableness 0isces highopenness".

 ) Horoscope should be correct, within reason.

Page 7: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 7/24

 

How accurate are horoscopes(

• Horoscope class e-ercise

Page 8: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 8/24

 

True

AQUARIUS (Jan. 20-Feb. 18): 

ension creeps into the workday, but youcan turn it around by spending %uality

time in the open air !which brings fresh

ideas your way that will make money

later in the year". onight, tell a loved

one what he or she wants to hear.

PIS!S (Feb. 1"-#arch 20): 

here are two ways to get energy

moving forward in your career now. 1o.

2 Forget about who did what to whom,

and start new. 1o. 3 'all around before

you make any costly decisions. 4ou

make allies by asking for help. 

Fa$se

AQUARIUS (Jan. 20-Feb. 18): 

here are two ways to get energymoving forward in your career now. 1o.

2 Forget about who did what to whom,

and start new. 1o. 3 'all around before

you make any costly decisions. 4ou

make allies by asking for help. 

PIS!S (Feb. 1"-#arch 20): 

ension creeps into the workday, but you

can turn it around by spending %uality

time in the open air !which brings fresh

ideas your way that will make money

later in the year". onight, tell a loved

one what he or she wants to hear.

Page 9: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 9/24

 

25 26

27 22

Valid Not Valid

True

False   T  y  p  e  o   f   h  o  r  o  s  c  o  p  e

Validity of Horoscope

40%

44%

 These two “it felt valid” rates

are fairly similar

Page 10: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 10/24

 

• For the purposes of discussion, we’ll focus today on

the personality and health information you provided

as part of your homework for today’s class.

• We’ll e-amine whether

 ) !a" certain characteristics !e.g., e-traversion,

sub8ective well9being, physical health" vary as a

function of sign and

 ) !b" whether these characteristics vary in some of

the ways that have been hypothesi$ed by certain

astrologers.

Page 11: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 11/24

 

:ust a reminder;

• A%uar&us 9 :anuary 32 9 February 2<

P&sces 9 February 369 #arch 36

Ar&es 9 #arch 32 9 April 36

Taurus 9 April 32 9 #ay 32

'e&n& 9 #ay 33 9 :une 32ancer  9 :une 33 9 :uly 33

eo 9 :uly 3= 9August 32

*&r+o 9 August 33 9 >eptember 3=

&bra 9 >eptember 37 9 ?ctober 3=

Scorp&o 9 ?ctober 37 9 1ovember 33

Sa+&,,ar&us 9 1ovember 3= 9 *ecember 33

apr&corn 9 *ecember 3= 9 :anuary 36• he data are based on the personality ratings provided by 2=6 students who

have participated in this e-ercise over the past few years.

Page 12: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 12/24

 

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  @ -  t r a v e r s  i o n

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 13: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 13/24

 

 9 3

 9 2

 6

 2

 3

 1 e u r o t i c i s m

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 14: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 14/24

 

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  '  o  n  s  c  i  e  n  t  i  o  u  s  n  e  s  s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 15: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 15/24

 

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  ? p e n n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 16: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 16/24

 

 9  =

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  A g r e e a  b  l e n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 17: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 17/24

 

 9  =

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  &  i  f e  > a  t  i s  f a c  t  i o n

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 18: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 18/24

 

 9 3

 6

 3

 7

 0 h y s i c a l  H e a l t h 2

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 19: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 19/24

 

 9 3

 9 2

 6

 2

 3

 =

 0 h y s i c a l  H e a l t h 3

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 20: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 20/24

 

>pecific 0redictions

•  Aries @-traverted

• aurus Agreeable

• /emini Bind of ?pen

• 'ancer Agreeable, ?pen

• &eo ?pen, *isagreeable• irgo ?pen and *isagreeable !critical thinkers"

• &ibra Cntroverted

• >corpio *isagreeable

• >agittarius ?pen and Agreeable

• 'apricorn 'onscientious

•  A%uarius ?pen and Cntroverted

• 0isces Agreeable, not conscientious

• from httpDDwww.bu$$le.comDarticlesDpersonality9characteristics9of9signs9of9$odiac.html

Page 21: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 21/24

 

Aries: Extraverted

Libra: !troverted

   9      3

   9      2

      6

      2

      3

      @     -      t     r     a     v     e     r     s      i     o     n

 A%uarius Aries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

Page 22: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 22/24

 

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  '  o  n  s  c  i  e  n  t  i  o

  u  s  n  e  s  s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

"#apricor!: #o!scie!tious 

Page 23: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 23/24

 

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  ? p e n n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign$ei!i: &i!d of 'pe!

Leo: 'pe!( )isa*reeable

Vir*o: 'pe! a!d )isa*reeable +critical thi!,ers-

.a*ittarius: 'pe! a!d A*reeable

A/uarius: 'pe! a!d !troverted

Page 24: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 24/24

 9  =

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  A g r e e a  b  l e n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ignTaurus: A*reeable

#a!cer: A*reeable( 'pe!

.corpio: )isa*reeable

isces: A*reeable( !ot co!scie!tious