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Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital 2021 Investor Day

Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

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Page 1: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital2021 Investor Day

Page 2: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

2

Agenda

1 Kroger’s Growth StrategyRodney McMullen | Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Accelerating Digital Growth & Profitability Yael Cosset | Chief Information Officer2

Media: A Key Driver of Digital Profitability Cara Pratt | Vice President, Kroger Precision Marketing

Network Fulfillment Strategy Supports Growth Gabriel Arreaga | Senior Vice President, Supply Chain

Growing with Food, Leading with Fresh3 Stuart Aitken | Chief Marketing & Merchandising Officer

Elevating the Customer ExperienceMary Ellen Adcock | Senior Vice President, Operations

Delivering Strong & Sustainable TSRGary Millerchip | Chief Financial Officer4Q&A Panel5Closing CommentsRodney McMullen | Chairman & Chief Executive Officer6

Fresh for EveryoneAmanda Rassi | Vice President, Marketing

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3

Safe HarborThis presentation includes forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures, which management believes to be useful to investors and analysts. Kroger is unable to provide a full reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures used in our guidance, including, but not limited to, adjusted FIFO operating profit to operating profit, and adjusted free cash flow, without unreasonable effort because it is not possible to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the information necessary to calculate such measures on a GAAP basis. It is not possible to estimate with a reasonable degree of certainty certain of our adjustment items because such information is dependent on future events that may be outside of our control. The unavailable information could have a significant impact on our GAAP financial results. 3

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Kroger’s Growth StrategyRodney McMullen | Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

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Key Themes

5

Winning Market Share with Fresh Food Leadership

Significant Growth Opportunity in Digital & Clear Path to Profitability

Strategic Moats Position Us to Compete and Win in a Post-COVID World

Page 6: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

6

How We Got Here

Restock Kroger• Eliminated $3B in costs; invested in

people, technology and price

• Strengthened competitive moats: Fresh, Our Brands, Personalization & Seamless

• Established alternative profit flywheel

• Talent investments & development

• Zero Hunger | Zero Waste

• Safety of associates and customers first

• Customer demand for seamless shopping experience

• Enhanced agility and speed-to-market

• Invested $2.5B to safeguard and support associates and customers and better secure pensions

• Innovative meal solutions for food at home

COVID Learnings & TrendsKroger Today• Leader in food

• Digital sales of $10B+

• Stronger customer & associate relationships

• Stronger competitive moats

• Track record of innovation

• Excess cash to invest

6

2017-20202020

2021+

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7

$1.4 TrillionAddressable Market

Leading Share Position with

Greater Opportunity for Growth

~10%Kroger’s Share

of Food at Home

#1 or 2 share Highlyin Majority of Major Markets Fragmented

43%Food Away from Home

47%Food at Home

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8

Trends Shaping Our Industry

*https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-coming-online-grocery-boom-51600724096

** https://www.supermarketnews.com/consumer-trends/pandemic-sways-most-americans-eat-home-more-often

*** https://www.fmi.org/newsroom/latest-news/view/2019/09/04/fmi-releases-annual-exploration-of-grocery-foodservice8

Ecommerce

Cooking at Home

Prepared Foods to Go

+60% online grocery sales +60% YoY* among fastest growing segments of ecommerce

31% eating lunch at home vs. 18% pre-COVID

33% eating dinner at home vs. 21% pre-COVID**

63% of consumers reaching for time-saving solutions***

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99

Digital Sales

>$10B

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10

Grow Share by Leading with Fresh

Drive Profitability by Accelerating with Digital

Leverage Competitive Moats to Drive Sustainable Growth

Go-Forward Strategy

10

8 – 11%TSR

Page 11: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

11

Grow Share by Leading with FreshDrive Profitability by Accelerating with Digital

Leverage Competitive Moats to Drive Sustainable Growth

Go-Forward Strategy

11

Page 12: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

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Grow Share by Leading with Fresh

Drive Profitability by Accelerating with DigitalLeverage Competitive Moats to Drive Sustainable Growth

Go-Forward Strategy

12

Page 13: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

13

Grow Share by Leading with Fresh

Drive Profitability by Accelerating with Digital

Leverage Competitive Moats to Drive Sustainable Growth

Go-Forward Strategy

13

Fresh PersonalizationOur Brands Seamless

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14

Promoting Sustainability Through Our Operations and Leadership

Zero Hunger | Zero Waste

Achieve zero food waste by 2025 in all stores and across the company

Accelerate food donations to give 3 billion meals by 2025, with a focus on safe, nutritious food

Our plan to end hunger in our communities and eliminate waste in our company by 2025

Kroger associates rescued 100 million pounds of wholesome food from stores, plants and DCs

34 of 36 Kroger-operated food processing plants were zero waste

Committed to phase out single-use plastic grocery shopping bags by 2025

14

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15

Promoting Sustainability Through Our Operations and Leadership

Governance• Recently refreshed Board — four new directors added in last two years

• Board composition is approx. 64% ethnically and gender diverse

Environmental Stewardship• New goal to achieve 100% recyclable, compostable, reusable Our Brands packaging by 2030

• New science-based goal to reduce absolute GHG emissions by 30% by 2030

• New responsible sourcing goals, including zero deforestation in Our Brands products

1515

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16

Life at Kroger

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Positioned to WinWinning Market Share with Fresh Food Leadership

Significant Growth Opportunity in Digital

Strategic Moats Position Us to Compete & Win in a Post-COVID World

17

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Accelerating Digital Growth and Profitability Yael Cosset | Chief Information Officer

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Key TakeawaysWinning Digital Strategy

2x eCommerce Sales

2x Pass-through Profitability Rate

19

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2020A Year of Massive Digital Acceleration Enabled by Our Seamless Ecosystem

5x2019 Growth Rate

2xEcommerce Sales Growth YoY

>$10BDigital Sales

2xEcommerce Household Growth

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21

Kroger Seamless EcosystemFresh Food Destination:Anything, Anytime, Anywhere

PICKUP

Order onlinepickup at a store or

remote location

SHIP TO HOME

Order onlineboxed and

shipped to you

DELIVERY

Order onlinehand delivered

Ready to Eat Ready to Heat Meal Kit Fresh Extended AisleSpecialty

Providing What Customers Need and Want…

When and How They Want It…

IN-STORE

In-store shopping experience for urgent

and daily needs

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22

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Accelerate Share Gains

Increase Profitability

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

Our Digital Strategy

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2x SalesBy End of 2023

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Accelerate Share Gains

Increase Profitability

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

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24

2x Pass-through Profitability Rate by End of 2023

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Accelerate Share Gains

Increase Profitability

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

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Pickup

Ship

In-store

Delivery

Increasing Customer Reach

25

2xBy end of 2023

Capacity Proximity New Geographies

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26

Expanding Assortment

Fresh meals ready to heat… to ready to eat

Ghost Kitchens

Category Experience, Specialty and Marketplace

Meal Solutions Expansion for Pickup, Delivery and Subscription

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Evolving Personalization

+95% Touchpoints with personalization present

500B+ Personalizedrecommendations in 2020

Cohesive Customer Journey Membership Expansion

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2x SalesBy End of 2023

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Accelerate Share Gains

Increase Profitability

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

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29

2x Pass-through Profitability Rate By End of 2023

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Accelerate Share Gains

Increase Profitability

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

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Profitability — Leveraging Our Stores

2021E 2022E 2023E

2020

2019

Productivity improvement

30%2020 Productivity

improvement

14%

Proximity and Process Talent and Technology

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31

2x Sales

2x Pass-through Profitability Rate

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

Accelerate Share Gains

Increase Profitability

Page 32: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

32

2x Sales

2x Pass-through Profitability Rate ECONOMIC ADVANTAGE

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE

Leveraging Our Stores

Expanding Our Network

Accelerating Media

Increasing Reach

Expanding Assortment

Evolving Personalization

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Network Fulfillment Strategy Supports Growth Gabriel Arreaga | Senior Vice President, Supply Chain

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Supply Chain Is a Competitive Advantage

ShipFull Assortment

1–2-day immediacy

Store Fulfillment Network

Direct to Customer Network

Distribution Center NetworkFarm Fresh

DeliveryFull Assortment

4+ hour immediacy

Pickup

Pickup

Full Assortment1-4+ hour immediacy

Other Partnerships

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Supply Chain Enables Seamless

Customer Fulfillment Center

75%of projected population within 90-mile radius

Store

45%of population within 2-mile radius

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36

Dynamic Supply Chain —Anything. Anytime. Anywhere.

Assortment and Immediacy

Assortment Same Day

Next Day

Turn Time(hours)

Reach(miles)

Kroger Stores

Delivery from Store Full 1-2 10

Pickup from Store Full 1-4+ 20

Fulfillment Network

Ship Endless Aisle 24+ Entire U.S.

Delivery & PickupCustomerFulfillment Centers

Full 4+ 90

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37

Customer Fulfillment Centers Drive Profitability

• Economies of Scale• Route Density

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

EBITDA Drivers

• Training & Retention• Continuous Improvement

37

Superior Customer Experience

EBITD

A

Break Even

Increasing Profitability

95%orders delivered on time

99%order accuracy

Current Ocado UK Operating statistics

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Media: A Key Driver of Digital ProfitabilityCara Pratt | Vice President, Kroger Precision Marketing

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Retail Media Is Creating a New Ad Channel

39

of CPG respondents shared that their digital media spend with retailers is incremental to existing shopper or trade programs

—Merkle, The Growth of eRetail, August 2020

95%29.8%GrowthRetail Media $ 22.54 billion(2020 - 2021E)

16% GrowthTotal US Media Spend $ 269 billion(2020 - 2021E) Source: eMarketer

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4040

KPM is designed to make advertising more effective by closing the loop between media exposure and store sales

We’re Built to Meet the New Demands of Marketing

ActionableConnect shoppers to buy

your brand

Accountable1:1 verified sales match with

Kroger sales data

AddressableReach the right shopper with

first-party data

Third party cookies are going away

Consumers expect seamless commerce

Brands want data-driven ad investments

Page 41: Leading with Fresh, Accelerating with Digital

41

Best-in-Class Media Capabilities

Source: Path to Purchase IQ 2021 Trends Report, % respondents rating retailer platform excellent or good

60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95

Targeting Effectiveness

Measurement

ROI

Data Sharing

Sales Growth

● ● ●

●●●●● ●

●● ●

●●●

KPM leads in CPG performance ratingsPath-to-Purchase Institute Survey, 2021 Trends Report (Kroger vs. Large National Retail and Ecommerce Players)

●●●

Company ACompany BCompany C

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Opt-in Membership

Savings & Rewards

The Kroger DifferenceCustomer Relationships

42

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4343

Identifying the Best Households

Reducing Wasted Ad Impressions

Optimizing Media Mix

Helping Brands Make Data-Driven Advertising Investments

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500%Average campaign

ROAS

“Kroger’s precision-level data and media capabilities have helped Kraft Heinz expand our consumer base by serving up the right messages at the right time, uncovering consumer-led insights that inform platform solutions, and drive trial plus repeat purchases across our portfolio.”

How It Comes to Life for Brands

44

Elizabeth Bennett, VP Global eCommerce, Kraft Heinz

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45

Strong Performance Drives Brand Engagement

45

135%Revenue Growth

>1,300Total Brands Using KPM

85%Brand Retention from 2019

200%Increase in Spend from

Retained Brands

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Growing with Food, Leading with Fresh Stuart Aitken | Chief Marketing & Merchandising Officer

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47

Competitive Moats Drive Growth

47

Fresh PersonalizationOur Brands Seamless

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48

2020A Remarkable Year

$14.4BSupermarket Sales

Growth

14.1%Identical Store

Sales

48

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2015 2020

Kroger Is Connecting with Customers and Outpacing the Market

Market Share Growth

49

Delete

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The Fresh Experience — Farm to Consumer in as Little as One Day

Inbound OutboundStore OperationsDistribution Center Store FrontSupplier

Fresh PerceptionFreshness & Quality

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51

Kroger Leads Largest National Retailers in FRESH

Fresh Equity Score is our balanced measure for equity. It provides a 360 view of our performance; customer perception of us as well as how we measure up to other food retailers

2020 Fresh Equity Scores

National Retailer

A

National Retailer

B

National Retailer

C

51

Fresh Equity Score

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52

Driving Growth with Fresh Meal Solutions

Home Chef and Simple Truth Fresh, Hot Chicken

Convenient ready-to-heat fresh meal solutions

Home Chef ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat, and ready-to-cook solutions

Chicken Dinners Dinner Tonight Home Chef

52

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5353

Strategic Partnerships

A delivery or pickup solution to satisfy everyone’s cravings Fresh, prepared healthy options

ClusterTruck SaladWorks

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5454

Fresh Is Available to Customers Where and When They Want It

Shop In-Store Pickup Curbside Delivered to Home

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We Differentiate with Our Brands

55

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Customers Prefer Our Brands

56

Over a Quarter of Sales Come from Our Brands

Customers Tell Us They Love Our Brands

Our Trends and Innovation Team KNOWS FOOD

100%of new items rated as good or better

than leading CPG

Net promoter score is

30% – 40%higher for Kroger, Simple Truth,

and Private Selection vs comparable tier of competitive store brand

Our brands sales are

8x the largest CPG in-store

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57

Innovation Is Worth Billions

57

National Brands Our Brands: New Items in 2021

660+ New Item Launches in 2021

240 new items

102 new items

238 new items

82 new items

AdditionalOur BrandsProducts

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58

Fresh for EveryoneAmanda Rassi | Vice President, Marketing

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59Source: iSpot data, 2020

Fresh for Everyone Is Working

Big Box Retailer Back to School

Big Box Retailer Super Bowl 2019

Kroger Average Before Fresh for

Everyone (pre-November 2019)

Kroger Fresh for Everyone Launch

(November 2019)

Kroger 2020Free Pickup

Kroger 2020Get Low

2.4 9.7 4.1 8.3 9.6 9.8

59

Commercial Engagement Scores

2019 2020

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60

We Will Double Our Personalized Media

• Email• Loyal Customer

Mailer

• Point of Sale• Circular• Traditional Radio• Linear TV

Personalization at Scale

• My Magazine• Push/Mobile Messaging

Personalized

Rea

ch • Social• Digital Display• OTT/OLV (Roku,

YouTube)• Streaming Audio

60

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61

In 2021, We Will Be:

61

“Fresher Than Fresh”

“Lower Than Low”

An eCommerce Growth Engine

Personalized at Scale

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Elevating the Customer ExperienceMary Ellen Adcock | Senior Vice President, Operations

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6363

2018-2019 2020

TEMPORARY DIP DUE TO COVID-19

ESTABLISHED TRACK RECORD OF STRONG YOY

RESULTS

RETURN TO GROWTH

TRAJECTORY

2020 FRESH & FRIENDLY RESULTS

ALL-TIME BEST

FULLFRESHFRIENDLY

Operational Excellence on Key Customer Experience Drivers, Even in a Pandemic – Full, Fresh & Friendly

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Full, Fresh & Friendly Remain Essential to the Customer Experience and New Expectations Have Emerged

Products are consistently in stock Fresh products are high quality Associates are friendly

Established Customer Behaviors

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New Customer Expectations

Pickup is easy, fast & contact free Contactless checkout Store is safe (masks & cleanliness)

Full, Fresh & Friendly Remain Essential to the Customer Experience and New Expectations Have Emerged

Established Customer Behaviors

Products are consistently in stock Fresh products are high quality Associates are friendly

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66

Kroger Leads Largest National Retailers in FRESH

Fresh Equity Score is our balanced measure for equity. It provides a 360 view of our performance; customer perception of us as well as how we measure up to other food retailers

2020 Fresh Equity Scores

National Retailer

A

National Retailer

B

National Retailer

C

66

Fresh Equity Score

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Competitive Moat: Next-Level Fresh

67

70%of Customers Choose Grocery Retailers Based on Quality of Fresh Categories

SupplierDistribution Center & Logistics

Store Customer

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68

Driving Growth Through Pickup & Delivery

68

+240 Pickup Locations Added in 2020

2,200+Total Pickup Locations

+128%Orders Per Day Growth in 2020

240+Pickup Locations Added in 2020

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6969

Improves Bottom-line

Improves Top-line

Pickup and Delivery Drive Increased Profitability

Strong improvement in customer pickup experience

Double-digit improvement in pickup cost to serve

Increased Profitability =

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70

Pickup & Delivery Are Important to the Customer Experience

Customer ExperienceAchieved Strong

Improvement

Pickup has changed the way my family shops FOREVER, it’s so fast and the people working are

so friendly!

“ “Double-Digit Improvement

in Pickup Cost to Serve

Feedback from Kroger Pickup Customers

I have switched from [key competitor] to Kroger. I’m enjoying

the fast and friendly service. My orders have been great!!

“ “

70

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Delivering Strong & Sustainable TSRGary Millerchip, Chief Financial Officer

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72

Key TakeawaysStrong Value Creation Model

Delivering Profitable Growth

Disciplined Capital Allocation

72

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73

8% – 11%Total Shareholder

Return

3% – 5%Net Earnings Growth

5% – 6%Share Repurchase &

Dividends

Fast Growing Alternative Profits

Strong, Durable Retail Supermarket

Business

Food Platform

High Return Capital Investments

Traffic &

Dat

a

Strong Value Creation Model, Consistently Delivering Attractive TSRStrong Value Creation Model, Delivering Sustainable TSR

73Total shareholder return assumes no change in Kroger’s PE ratio.

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Exceeding TSR Commitments in 2020 and 2021E

*Without Fuel**TSR Calculation: (EPS Projected Growth + Dividend Yield as of 3/26/2021)

2020-2021E TSR Model Vs. Model

ID Sales* (Stack) 9.1 – 11.1%

Adj. FIFO Operating Profit (CAGR) 5.4 – 8.5% 3.0 – 5.0%

TSR** 14 - 18% 8.0 – 11.0%

74

Beyond 2021

$200MHigher adjusted FIFO operating profit base (vs. TSR model mid-point)

Future growth of

+3 – 5%From new higher base

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Clear Plans to Deliver 3 – 5% Net Earnings Growth

75

+2 – 4%ID Sales Growth (ex. Fuel)

+1 – 2%Margin Expansion

DriversCost Savings

Alternative Profits

InvestmentsAssociateCustomer +3 – 5%

Net Earnings Growth

Growing Food Share

Accelerating Digital

Disciplined Capital Allocation

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76

Margin ExpansionCost Savings Are a Core Competency

Administrative Efficiencies

Sourcing

Waste Reduction

Productivity Improvements

2021E $1BTarget

2018

>$1BDelivered

2019 >$1BDelivered

2020 >$1BDelivered

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77

Kroger Personal Finance

Media Future Innovation

VenturesData Insights

$350M –$400M

Incremental Profit Growth Expected 2019 – 2021E

Margin ExpansionAlternative Profit Streams Are a Growth Accelerator

77

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Margin ExpansionBringing Digital Margins In Line with Store Margins

Opportunity to Drive Long Term Digital Margin Beyond Store Rate

Cost Efficiency

Sales Mix

Digital Media

DIGITAL MARGIN

Mid-Single Digits

STORE MARGIN

~15%

2020 Medium Term

78

Kroger DeliveryPowered by Ocado

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Investing in Our Associates

20212018 20202019

Incremental Associate

Investment in 2021E

$350M

>$800M Wage Investments Since 2017

Average Hourly Wage

>$20

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80

Disciplined Approach to Financial Management

80

Investing in the Business for Long-Term Sustainable

Growth

Maintaining Current

Investment Grade Rating

Consistently Growing Dividends

Returning Excess Free Cash

Through ShareBuybacks

3 – 5% Net Earnings Growth

2.3x–2.5x Net Debt to EBITDA Range

~13% CAGR Since 2006

Reinstatement

$7.3B Returned2017 – 2020

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Capital Allocation Drives Net Earnings Growth

Maintain the Business: 20 – 25%

Margin Expansion: 15 – 25%Cost Saving Initiatives

Digital Acceleration: 20 – 30%Digital (Includes Ocado) / Strategic

Sales Growth: 30 – 40% Stores / Competitive Moats / Fuel

2021 Spend Allocation Targets2021 Target

3-YR AverageFY18 – FY20

81

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Improving ROIC Performance

Continued Strong Business Performance

Disciplined Approach to Capital Deployment with Focus on Growth Enhancing Initiatives

Beyond 2021

82

202020192018

12.9%11.2%11.0%

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8383

Generating Strong Free Cash Flow

Adjusted Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flow (before company sponsored pension contributions and payments related to restructuring of multi-employer pension plans) – Capital Expenditures and excluding the tax effect of the sale of strategic assets.

>$11BAdjusted Free Cash Flow

>8%Average Free Cash Flow Yield

2017 – 2021E

Committed to Returning Cash to Shareholders

>$7BCash to ShareholdersVia Dividends & Share Repurchases (2017 – 2020)

~13%Dividend CAGR Since Reinstatement(2006 – 2020)

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Investment Thesis

84

Leading Market Position with Exciting Growth Opportunities

Proven Value Creation Model

Strong Balance Sheet & Resilient Free Cash Flow

• No 1 or No 2 Market Share in majority of markets

• Unmatched Data on 60 million Households

• $26B Our Brands Business

• Fast Growing Digital Business, >$10B

• Net Earnings Growth, 3-5%

⎻ ID Sales Growth (ex. Fuel), 2-4%

⎻ Margin Expansion (net of investments), 1-2%

⎻ Cost Savings, $1B Annually

⎻ High Growth, Margin Accretive Alternative Profits

• Disciplined Capital Investments

• Cash Payout 5-6% (Dividends & Share Repurchases)

• Strong Free Cash Flow Yield

• Investment Grade Debt Rating

• Current Debt: EBITDA 1.75X

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Positioned to WinWinning Market Share with Fresh Food Leadership

Significant Growth Opportunity in Digital

Strategic Moats Position Us to Compete & Win in a Post-COVID World

85

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Safe HarborThis presentation includes forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures, which management believes to be useful to investors and analysts. Kroger is unable to provide a full reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures used in our guidance, including, but not limited to, adjusted FIFO operating profit to operating profit, and adjusted free cash flow, without unreasonable effort because it is not possible to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the information necessary to calculate such measures on a GAAP basis. It is not possible to estimate with a reasonable degree of certainty certain of our adjustment items because such information is dependent on future events that may be outside of our control. The unavailable information could have a significant impact on our GAAP financial results. 86