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LBS and leisure market overviewLBS and leisure market overview
Boris KennesR&D and Market Monitoring Officer
European GNSS Supervisory Authority
3
Mobile LBS are finally starting to take off as Mobile LBS are finally starting to take off as remaining obstacles are largely addressedremaining obstacles are largely addressed
More and more devices with GNSS inside (EU-27)
Application stores provide a viable business model for all stakeholders
Consumer and developer awareness is high
38
29
148
0
10
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0
5
10
15
20
25
2010200920082007
GNSS shipments (mln)
GNSS penetration
• 140,000 apps• 3 bn dowloads• $1 bn gross revenues• Driving iPhone sales• 70% of gross
revenues to developers
• Increasing mobile traffic
• Similar concepts by Google, Nokia, RIM
Apple example
80
60
40
20
100
0
5
25
20
15
10
02009
21
100
2008
12
10
2007
10
iPhones sold (mln)
Apps available (000’s)
• In UK, FR, DE, 5 out of 10 best selling i-phone apps in 2009 are related to navigation or LBS – and not the cheapest (!)
• 30% of Android developer’s contest winners used location in the application
• Nokia recorded 1.4 mln map downloads in 4 days when the company launched a new version that includes free navigation
• 5-6000 location based applications on App store
Navigation performance increasing (but still long way to go)
Leading smart-phones display a host of technologies to improve position performance
• Assisted – GPS to reduce Time To First Fix
• Magnetic Compass• Highly sensitive receiver• WiFi and cellular positioning as back-up• Motion sensors and gyroscopes for tilt• Map matching • Reduced power consumption
4
LBS is at the start of an impressive growth curve, LBS is at the start of an impressive growth curve, possibly resulting in a >100bn marketpossibly resulting in a >100bn market
GNSS Devices and penetration
• GNSS becoming a standard feature on medium-high end mobile phones
• Mobile penetration continues to grow in emerging markets
• Replacement sales driving most of the sales
GNSS revenues
• Increasing device sales somewhat offset by declining prices and GNSS adoption on cheaper phones
• Increasing use of value added services driven by success of app stores.
0
200
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800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2030
Mill
ion
units
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
GNSS enabled handsets (Smarphones, PDA's, Mobiles) sales GNSS penetration
0
500
1000
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3000
3500
4000
2010
2011
2012
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2015
2016
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2018
2019
2020
2030
Mill
ions
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
€/ye
ar
Worldwide subscribers Average annual ARPU
5
LBS services, such as emergency call, can save lives LBS services, such as emergency call, can save lives and result in fewer severe injuries and result in fewer severe injuries
VAT
All All Emergency applications
Mobility applications
Mobility applications
Mobility applications
1 mln lives
improved
270.000 Violent crimes avoided
LBS non-monetized benefits (cumulated 2010-2030)
~ 130.000 lives saved**
Benefit for public institutions Benefit for users
Social benefits
GNSS - LBS monetized benefits (Billions of Euros, cumulated 2010-2030)
Applications involved
~2 bln litres ~8 mln tons~640 000 injuries
Equivalent to
~ 25.000new jobs
*Estimates are performed considering Workplace and Home & Leisure accidents**Lives saved include a share of causes of deaths where speed of intervention is critical (ischaemic heart diseases, cerebrovascular diseases and asthma)
159
123
29
Corporate TaxVAT Reduced injuries
Reduced fuel consumption
4
2 1 0
Reduced air pollution
Reduced CO2 emission
total
6
Deve- lopers
Vertical integration has resulted in a more mature Vertical integration has resulted in a more mature value chain and business modelsvalue chain and business models
Chipset manu-
facturersMap data providers App stores
Device Vendors
Top 5 companies (81% market share)
• Nokia• RIM (Blackberry)• Apple• HTC• Samsung
Trends• Fast growing
market (15% in 09), resulting in higher share of mobile market (15% in 09)
• Highly competitive market
• Increasing emphasis on luring software developers
• Relentless innovation
Top 5 companies• Broadcom (Motorola,
Apple, Samsung)• SiRF / CSR (HTC)• Texas Instrument• Qualcomm• ST Microelectronics
Trends• Increasing
integration of technologies (GPS + Cellular + Wifi,…)
• Vertical integration and disappearance of independent chipset manufacturers
• Low cost and power consumption
• Diversification of markets (cameras, PNDs, watches)
Global map data providers:
• Navteq (Nokia)• TeleAtlas (TomTom)
Regional map data providers:
• Google (US), Navinfo(CN), Autonavi (CN), Mapmyindia (IN)
Trends• Maps offered for free
(Nokia and Google)• Innovation (3D,
detailed maps)
Major stores• Apple: App store
(140,000 aps)• Google: Android market
(20,000 aps)• Nokia: Ovi Store• Blackberry: app world
rends• Increasing importance of
app stores: working business model (revenue sharing)
• Developer contests• Explosive growth of
applications (140,000 in app store)
• Navigation free, basic service
Main categories:• Navigation• Games• Information
Services• News• Social Networking
Developers• Huge population
(iPhone developer SDK downloaded 100,000 times in 6 days)
Trends• Larger companies
entering the arena
• Global market with local accents
Increasing integration
Mobile opera-
tors
Major types• 3-5 mobile
networks per country
• Several alternatives based on WiFi and FWA
Trends• Increasing
network speeds 3G, 3.5G, WiFi etc.
• Decreasing data pricing, roaming charges still high
• Major operators have own services and applications
7
GSA is planning specific actions for stimulating GSA is planning specific actions for stimulating driversdrivers
• Positioning performance (Indoor positioning, TTFF, Position accuracy, energy consumption)
• Lower Cost• Content availability and developer
ecosystem
• Visibility on market opportunities
• Funding• Availability of talented
developers• Content availability
• Visibility on market opportunities
• R&D funding• Pricing information• Stable specifications
Applications R&D funding
47 projects in 2 calls total €40mln
3rd call expected later this year (€38 mln)
Horizontal actions
EGNOS market stimulating actions
Co-marketing with stakeholders
Awareness and EGNOS portal
Adapting EGNOS for different circumstances
Market monitoring
Market forecasts
Indirect benefits and public utility of satellite navigation
Galileo and EGNOS added value
Deve- lopers
Chipset manu-
facturersMap data providers App stores
Device Vendors
Increasing consolidation
Mobile opera-
tors
Dri
vers
fo
r LB
S
ad
op
tio
nG
SA
mark
et
stim
ula
tio
n a
ctio
ns
• Safety• Environm
ent• Economic
Growth
8
11stst call: covers major user segmentscall: covers major user segments
Project Maturity
Technology
Development
Demon‐
stration
Product
Development
OPTI‐TRANS
MUGGES
MOW‐BY‐SAT
> 750k
< 750k
Segm
ent P
oten
tial
+
‐
MLBS
ROAD
OTTP
OTH
EPR
EC
IEGLO
GALAPAGOS
TIGER
SIGNATUREGSW
GSC
GINA
GalileoCast
MetaPos
SEAGAL
GACELA
Horizontal
PEGASE
HEDGE
GIANT‐2
ImaGeo
9
Some random examples of the 1Some random examples of the 1stst callcall……
The IEGLO project, developing sat-nav-based aids for the elderly, Alzheimer's sufferers and other at-risk groups, drew public and media attention at this year's Intersana trade fair in Augsburg, Germany.
MowBySat; BigMow, an autonomous mower, moved across a football pitch located at Toulouse, France, stopping neatly at its edge, then turned around to complete a manoeuvre. It then neatly wove through a line of obstacles, demonstrating its ability to navigate close to centimetre precision.
The TIGER project is creating a security token with an in-built satellite navigation receiver that allows access to information based on location. The trusted receiver and software will authenticate and protect the integrity of the data and signalling type so that an attacker cannot access confidential information.
The Concept of GIANT-2 is to introduce the EGNOS enabled operations to the End Users of the identified niche markets, with a final goal of using integrated avionics on board the aircraft and rotorcraft and perform pre-operational flight demonstrations.
Grant = 300k Grant = 300k
Grant = 300k Grant = 1070k
10
What more can we expect in the 2What more can we expect in the 2ndnd call?call? Some examples Some examples ……
LS4P - LiveSailing for Professionals, a High precision and reliable positioning system for sailing professionals.
Grant = 484k
CLOSE-SEARCH - Accurate and safe EGNOS-SoL Navigation for UAV- based low-cost SAR operations. Prototype a small unmanned helicopter with integrated thermal sensor and a multisensor GPS- EGNOS-based navigation system with an Autonomous Integrity Monitoring capability, to support search in SAR operations in remote, difficult-to-access areas and/or in time critical situations.
SCUTUM - SeCUring the EU GNSS adopTion in the dangeroUs Material transportImplementation of an EGNOS/EDAS based system for the monitoring of dangerous goods transport
ATLAS - Authenticating Time and Location within Liability- critical Applications and ServicesDevelop a GNSS Evidential Support Service and Authenticated GNSS Service to provide authenticated position and time information for multimedia captures.
Grant = 1,407kGrant = 271k
Grant = 308k
11
In the 2nd call, we are also supporting horizontal In the 2nd call, we are also supporting horizontal activitiesactivities
G-TRAIN – Supporting Education and Training in GNSS
Framework for higher education in GNSS at European level, addressing: MSc, a Specializing Master, support to PhD training and networking, creation of a Satellite University Network (SUN).
GAINS - Galileo Advanced INnovation Services
Implementation of ‘innovation valleys’ in the GNSS downstream market by validating and supporting GNSS ideas from Galileo Masters in Living Labs
12
2 Support Facilities
6 Navigation Land Earth Stations
GPS & GLONASS
Users & Service Providers
34 Ranging & Integrity Monitoring Stations (RIMS)
3 GEO Satellites
4 Mission Control Centres
EGNOS is there EGNOS is there –– use it!use it!
EGNOS awareness campaign
EGNOS system architecture
13
EGNOS value propositionEGNOS value proposition
• Co-marketing with stakeholders• Events and workshops• Technology development and demonstrations• Cost Benefit Analysis• Marketing and Awareness campaigns• Informing policymakers
Aviation Agriculture Road
Actions
14
EGNOS Data Access Service EGNOS Data Access Service (EDAS)(EDAS)
Phased approach:
Phase 1: prototyping since March 2008
Free-of-charge
Helpdesk
No guarantee of service
Phase 2: commercial exploitation
Feature enhancement
Enhancement of service level
Pricing (cost recovery)
Value-addedservice provider
End users
User-specificinformation
EGNOS data (real-time):
RIMS raw observations
SBAS messages
Online content: new website http://egnos-edas.gsa.europa.e
15
EGNOS portal EGNOS portal -- http://www.egnoshttp://www.egnos--portal.euportal.eu//
16
Market monitoring in support of GNSS programme Market monitoring in support of GNSS programme and GNSS industryand GNSS industry
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2030
Bill
ion
€
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
European Union North AmericaRest of the World GNSS Penetration European UnionGNSS Penetration North America
Road45.81%
LBS51.46%
PA1.62%
Aviation1.12%
European GNSS revenues by civil applicationGlobal GNSS revenues
Mark
et
Mo
nit
ori
ng
Pro
cess
Exam
ple
ou
tpu
ts
17
Afternoon programmeAfternoon programme
Market and industry overview
ESNC success stories
New applica- tion ideas - Elevator pitches
FP7 project presen- tations
Business speed dating*
Reception and concert
Break Break
* only for registered participants
Keynote presentations on the LBS market and trends
Presentations of past winners of Galileo masters
Short presentations other ESNC idea with live feedback
Presentations of ongoing EU funded projects on satnav applications
Short one-to- one meetings
Networking cocktail and piano concert in the village
18
Keynote speakers Keynote speakers -- changedchanged
14:20: Dominique Bonte – ABI Research - Practice Director, Telematics & Navigation - The future of Location in Consumer Markets
14:40: Laurent De Hauwere – Managing Partner – PTOLEMUS – Do you really mean business in LBS?
15:00: Rainer Horn – Managing Partner – SpaceTecCapital Partners - Market Challenges for LBS Developers
Thank you !Thank you !
Boris KennesR&D and Market Monitoring Officer
European GNSS Supervisory Authority
How GSA can help youHow GSA can help you
Boris KennesR&D and Market Monitoring Officer
European GNSS Supervisory Authority
21
Introduction to PEGASEIntroduction to PEGASE
PEGASE funded within FP7 1st
call as a support action
One of the parts is devoted to Support to Technology Transfer:
To assist SMEs in their networking activities across Europe
To provide methodological support for maximum exploitation
22
Council andEuropean Parliament
European GNSSProgramme Committee
European Commission
Independantadvisors
European Space Agency
IOV contracts
FOC contracts
GNSS SupervisoryAuthority
MarketpreparationResearchAssistance tasks to EC
Tasks delegated by EC
Political oversight
Programme oversight and Programme Management
Execution
Others
dele
gatio
n
assi
stan
ce a
ndde
lega
tion
Accreditation
GSA supports European Commission on market development GSA supports European Commission on market development and security accreditationand security accreditation
Role of GSA being revised
23
GSA Market Development GSA Market Development visionvision
We believe that …
The GNSS market is developing very fast
GNSS is benefiting citizens, businesses and governments alike
Galileo and EGNOS are essential to capture full GNSS potential in Europe
GNSS enabled market (€
bn)
Public benefits of Galileo estimated at over
€50 bn
(cumulative)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Bill
ion
€
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
European Union North AmericaRest of the World GNSS Penetration European UnionGNSS Penetration North America
24
GSA Market Development GSA Market Development initiativesinitiatives
Applications R&D funding
47 projects in 2 calls total €40mln
3rd call expected later this year (€38 mln)
Horizontal actions
EGNOS market stimulating actions
R&D projects
Co-marketing with stakeholders
Awareness and EGNOS portal
Market monitoring
Market forecasts
Indirect benefits and public utility of satellite navigation
Galileo and EGNOS added value
25
Galileo R&D in FP7Galileo R&D in FP7
Cooperation
Ideas
Capacities
People
4 main blocks of activities
10 themes in cooperation
1. Health
10. Security
7. Transport (including
Aernautics)
4 sub themes in transport
Different calls for Galileo
Aeronautics and transport
Sust. surface transport
Galileo
Horizontal activities
2007, 1st call: €25m*
2008, 2nd
call: €40m**
€50.5bn €32.4bn €4.2bn
FP7 covers period 2007-2013* 19 mln for CP and CSA** 28 mln for CP and CSA
2011, 3rd call€38m
€103m+
26
FP7 1FP7 1stst and 2and 2ndnd call funding*call funding*
* Collaborative Projects and Coordination and Supporting Actions
(excludes tenders)
4%
6%16%
20%
Other
BE13%
AT 3%
NL3%
CH
UK
IT
10%
FR12%
DE
14%
ES
Funding per countryFunding per topic
4%
4%
9% 17%
20%
Scientific applications
2%
Rail
3%
Education and innovation
3%Precision and professional
3%Support3%SAR
International
Maritime
Aviation
LBS
9%
SME11%
Road
13%
Receivers
27
11stst call: covers major user segmentscall: covers major user segments
Project Maturity
Technology
Development
Demon‐
stration
Product
Development
OPTI‐TRANS
MUGGES
MOW‐BY‐SAT
> 750k
< 750k
Segm
ent P
oten
tial
+
‐
MLBS
ROAD
OTTP
OTH
EPR
EC
IEGLO
GALAPAGOS
TIGER
SIGNATUREGSW
GSC
GINA
GalileoCast
MetaPos
SEAGAL
GACELA
Horizontal
PEGASE
HEDGE
GIANT‐2
ImaGeo
28
22ndnd call: diversified portfolio of projectscall: diversified portfolio of projects
ACCEPTA
INCLUSION
SMART-WAY
SafePort
GRAIL-2
PERNASVIP
LS4P
PUMA
CLOSE SEARCH
CoSuDEC
GOLDEN-ICE
ERSEC
GNSSmeter
ATLAS
LIVELINE
I2GPS
ASPHALT
SX5
SIRAJ
ENCORE
CIGALA
ESESA
EEGS
GSARSED
SCUTUM
COVEL
GENEVA
G-TRAIN
GAINS
29
Some random examples of the 1Some random examples of the 1stst callcall……
The IEGLO project, developing sat-nav-based aids for the elderly, Alzheimer's sufferers and other at-risk groups, drew public and media attention at this year's Intersana trade fair in Augsburg, Germany.
MowBySat; BigMow, an autonomous mower, moved across a football pitch located at Toulouse, France, stopping neatly at its edge, then turned around to complete a manoeuvre. It then neatly wove through a line of obstacles, demonstrating its ability to navigate close to centimetre precision.
The TIGER project is creating a security token with an in-built satellite navigation receiver that allows access to information based on location. The trusted receiver and software will authenticate and protect the integrity of the data and signalling type so that an attacker cannot access confidential information.
The Concept of GIANT-2 is to introduce the EGNOS enabled operations to the End Users of the identified niche markets, with a final goal of using integrated avionics on board the aircraft and rotorcraft and perform pre-operational flight demonstrations.
Grant = 300k Grant = 300k
Grant = 300k Grant = 1070k
30
What more can we expect in the 2What more can we expect in the 2ndnd call?call? Some examples Some examples ……
LS4P - LiveSailing for Professionals, a High precision and reliable positioning system for sailing professionals.
Grant = 484k
CLOSE-SEARCH - Accurate and safe EGNOS-SoL Navigation for UAV- based low-cost SAR operations. Prototype a small unmanned helicopter with integrated thermal sensor and a multisensor GPS- EGNOS-based navigation system with an Autonomous Integrity Monitoring capability, to support search in SAR operations in remote, difficult-to-access areas and/or in time critical situations.
SCUTUM - SeCUring the EU GNSS adopTion in the dangeroUs Material transportImplementation of an EGNOS/EDAS based system for the monitoring of dangerous goods transport
ATLAS - Authenticating Time and Location within Liability- critical Applications and ServicesDevelop a GNSS Evidential Support Service and Authenticated GNSS Service to provide authenticated position and time information for multimedia captures.
Grant = 1,407kGrant = 271k
Grant = 308k
31
In the 2nd call, we are also supporting horizontal In the 2nd call, we are also supporting horizontal activitiesactivities
G-TRAIN – Supporting Education and Training in GNSS
Framework for higher education in GNSS at European level, addressing: MSc, a Specializing Master, support to PhD training and networking, creation of a Satellite University Network (SUN).
GAINS - Galileo Advanced INnovation Services
Implementation of ‘innovation valleys’ in the GNSS downstream market by validating and supporting GNSS ideas from Galileo Masters in Living Labs
32
The 2The 2ndnd call in numberscall in numbers
104 proposals were received
From 486 different companies and institutions
Originating from 40 countries
In total, €108m in grants were requested
About 4 times the €28.5m budget that was announced
Almost 70% of proposals were above threshold with an average score of 10.9
29 projects selected for funding
SMEs were present in 90% of the winning proposals and received 36% of the funds
Average consortium consisted of 6 partners and requested 1 mln EUR
33
33rdrd call: it is not too early to startcall: it is not too early to start
To be announced later this year
Total amount of funding €38mln covering all areas in the Galileo Work Programme
Applications
Receivers
Tools
Programme support
International and horizontal activities
34
2 Support Facilities
6 Navigation Land Earth Stations
GPS & GLONASS
Users & Service Providers
34 Ranging & Integrity Monitoring Stations (RIMS)
3 GEO Satellites
4 Mission Control Centres
EGNOS is there EGNOS is there –– use it!use it!
EGNOS awareness campaign
EGNOS system architecture
36
EGNOS portal EGNOS portal -- http://www.egnoshttp://www.egnos--portal.euportal.eu//
37
EGNOSEGNOS Data Access Service Data Access Service (EDAS)(EDAS)
Phased approach:
Phase 1: prototyping since March 2008
Free-of-charge
Helpdesk
No guarantee of service
Phase 2: commercial exploitation
Feature enhancement
Enhancement of service level
Pricing (cost recovery)
Value-addedservice provider
End users
User-specificinformation
EGNOS data (real-time):
RIMS raw observations
SBAS messages
Online content: new website http://egnos-edas.gsa.europa.e
38
Market monitoring in support of GNSS programme and GNSS Market monitoring in support of GNSS programme and GNSS industryindustry
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2030
Bill
ion
€
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
European Union North AmericaRest of the World GNSS Penetration European UnionGNSS Penetration North America
Road45.81%
LBS51.46%
PA1.62%
Aviation1.12%
European GNSS revenues by civil applicationGlobal GNSS revenues
Mark
et
Mo
nit
ori
ng
Pro
cess
Exam
ple
ou
tpu
ts
40
All major CA/GA device manufacturers acknowledge EGNOS value proposition
CBA outcomes proved to be positive for the key players
Cooperation being defined with device manufacturers
Marketing campaign– Participate to key events (e.g. EBACE, Le Bourget)– Communication (e.g. video, print ads with EC, …)
Co-finance of landing procedures to create airports cluster (e.g., FP7 projects)
Flight and ground handling demos for business aviation, helicopters, private planes and regional airlines
Garmin committed to promote EGNOS receivers
Procedures are being developed in Spain, France, UK, Poland, Italy
“High precision landing, low investment” value proposition
CBA to support adoption decision (in cooperation with Eurocontrol)
Assess market situation and opportunities for adoption
Follow-up on progress of pre-conditions for adoption with EC, EASA, ESSP and RNAV task force
Market adoption info to key players; also ready to be included in upcoming EGNOS portal
Actions Results
Mark
et
kn
ow
led
ge
Pu
shin
g f
or
ad
op
tio
nM
ark
et
en
try
Aviation: fostering accelerated adoption from 2010Aviation: fostering accelerated adoption from 2010
41
Major Electronic Tolling service providers now acknowledge the EGNOS potential
Results of business case with road operator expected by March 2010
Field trials to demonstrate EGNOS benefits
Marketing campaign with decision makers:- increase knowledge of the GNSS potential- promote EGNOS value added
ENI: early EGNOS adopter (FP6 Mentore)
EGNOS trials in progress:– 2 Service Providers evaluating EGNOS
(results by 2010)– 1 nationwide trial in the Netherlands in
March 10 (FP7 GINA)
Road Operators (e.g., ASECAP members) and relevant National Authorities (e.g., ABvM) being reached
Creation of the EGNOS value proposition: “high flexibility, low investment “
GNSS/ EGNOS CBA in RUC: a tool to show competitive advantage to the different actors
Assess EU market situation andopportunities for adoption
Analyze GNSS/ EGNOS value
Identification of: – Potential next adopters of GNSS
RUC schemes– Potential adopters of EGNOS
Actions Results
Mark
et
kn
ow
led
ge
Pu
shin
g f
or
ad
op
tio
nM
ark
et
en
try
Road: positioning EGNOS as Road: positioning EGNOS as ““the solutionthe solution””
42M
ark
et
kn
ow
led
ge
Pu
shin
g f
or
ad
op
tio
n
Build active cooperation with device and tractor manufacturers
Marketing campaign– Participation at key European events (e.g.,
JIAC, Agritechnica)– Communication (e.g., brochures, video,
flyers)
4 leading brands decided to introduce new EGNOS products to their portfolio
Other major brands declared interest in a partnership
Actions Results
Create the “affordable precision” value proposition
Build CBA to support adoption decision
Assess current market situation and opportunities for adoption
Analyse existing technologies
Analysis on market size and EGNOS market share
Demonstrated EGNOS ability to fulfill user needs in a wide range of applications
Mark
et
en
try
09E 10F
25
50
75
100
0
EGNOS
DGPS
RTK
12F11F
EGNOS penetration
136k 165k 200k 240k
Major device and tractor manufacturers acknowledge EGNOS value proposition
…
Precision Agriculture Market share (%)
Precision Agriculture: Harvesting EGNOS benefitsPrecision Agriculture: Harvesting EGNOS benefits