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2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP
Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around
Emerging TechnologiesJanuary 25, 2018
@smartertranspo
Company/BestBestKrieger
HYPE OR REAL? ON THE ROAD NOW
(Sources: drive.com; wired.com)
BREAKING NEWS
HAVE YOU SEEN THESE?
WHAT ARE OUR CHALLENGES?
• Safe Integration • Interoperability and
Harmonization• Crossing state lines • What about transit?• Regional collaboration
• Innovating Procurement • Equity • Public Trust / Adoption
• Can we make the “CASE”?
• Paying for Infrastructure
WHERE TO START?
BACK TO THE BASICS
Shaping anAutomated Future• AVs TNCs & ART
AV Benefits
AV Benefits - Northern CA Case Study
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Tot
al N
etw
ork
Del
ay
Automated Vehicle Fleet Percentage
AUTOMATED VEHICLE FLEET PERCENTAGE
EFFECT ON TOTAL NETWORK DELAY
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Net
wor
k A
vera
ge S
peed
Automated Vehicle Fleet Percentage
AUTOMATED VEHICLE FLEET PERCENTAGE
EFFECT ON NETWORK AVERAGE SPEED
AV Costs
• The reality is that AV could actually make things worse.”
• 35% more miles traveled in personal AVs• 90% more miles traveled in AV taxis*• “The only thing worse than a Single
Occupant Vehicle is a Zero Occupant Vehicle…”
AV Tests
• Decrease access time• Decrease parking costs• Decrease impact of lost
in-auto time• Increase auto availability• Increase non-work trip-
making• Increase auto occupancy• Increase freeway
capacity
AV Tests - What Happened
AV Tests - What Happened
TNC Effects
• Decrease access time• Decrease parking costs• Decrease impact of lost
in-auto time• Increase auto availability• Increase non-work trip-
making• Increase auto occupancy• Increase freeway
capacity
TNCs - Growth
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
2013 2014 2015 2016
Gro
ss B
oo
kin
gs (
bil
lio
ns $
)
TNCs - Growth
TNCs - Growth
TNCs – Market Share
TNCs – Market Share
TNCs – Mode Shifts and Induced Trips
San
FranciscoDenver
Mode Shifts from
- Taxi/Auto 57 % 46 %
- Transit/Carpool 33 % 30 %
- Walk/Bike 10 % 12 %
Induced Trips 8 % 12 %
New Vehicle Trips ~50 % (of TNC)
TNCs: Increased VMT
• Unsustainable? (Bruce Schaller in NYC)
• Net increase of 600 million VMT
• Mode shift to TNC/taxi from transit
• Univ. of Colorado• Small sample size!• TNC drivers travel
69 extra miles for every 100 miles with a passenger
AV transit
Reduced
travel delay
Improvement in travel
time advantage over BRT
20-seat veh. 46% 33%
4-seat veh. 49% 35%
AV Transit
Strategies
Transit Planning
• Maintain highly productive “trunk line” service
• Substitute shared AVs for dispersed service areas
• Partner with DOTs for a managed system for all modes
Dedicated Lanes
Transit/TNC Integration
Transit/TNC Integration
• Private Public Partnership• Bloomberg Philanthropies
Innovation Team Award Centennial, Lyft and Xerox
• Pioneer• First fully subsidized first and last
mile ridesharing program
• On-Demand, Demand Responsive• Optimized using the Lyft platform
• Seamless• Integrated into the GoDenver
transportation planning app
• ADA and Concierge Service• Point to point service for users with
limited mobility
Allocating Public Space - TNCs
Allocating Public Space• Competition will increase
for public space• Curbside
Management• Use of public
roadways• Pricing
• Equity will become more important
Site Design
AV REGULATORY UPDATE
• H.R. 3388 – “SELF DRIVE Act”• Passed House by voice vote on 9/6/17
• S.1885 – “AV START Act”• Passed out of Senate Commerce, Science, and
Transportation Committee on 10/4/17
• NHTSA Automated Driving Systems 2.0: A Vision for Safety – ONLY Guidelines
• At least 21 states and D.C. have passed AV legislation; 6 states have Executive Orders
• NCSL is a great resource
WHAT ABOUT DRONES?
• Registration requirements
• Commercial – Part 107
• Recreational –Registration requirements back in play
• DOT UAS Integration Pilot Program
• City concerns
LEGAL AND POLICY FOUNDATION
PROPOSED “TIPs”
• Opportunity to promote Vision• Important “Smart” Issues:
• Data Sharing• Privacy and Cybersecurity• Land Use • Health and Safety (i.e. Disposal) • Resiliency• Coordination with Law Enforcement
WHAT IS THE SECRET SAUCE?
(Source: Amazon.com)
DATA!!!
• Event Data • Health information • Geolocation data• Travel patterns• Driver behavior• Driver communications• Biometric data• Shopping habits –
“Alexa”
Are WE the problem?
“SMART” INFRASTRUCTURE
• What is going to be needed?
• Sensors?• Antennas?• V2X?
• Local control of ROW
• What is technology of the future?
CHANGING BEHAVIOR: WAIT OR REGULATE?
WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT: OPPORTUNITIES!
• Enhanced mobility• Disabled• Low-income• Seniors
• Economic opportunities • Innovation Districts• Secondary Impacts
• Efficient Use of Funding • First/Last Mile
Projects• Social Impacts (Source: techcrunch.com)
SUGGESTIONS FOR MOVING FORWARD
GETTING RIGHT PEOPLE IN THE ROOM
• Planners• Public Works• IT• Procurement• Policy• Risk Manager • Law Enforcement• Attorneys
• We like talking EARLY! • Private and Public • Elected Officials
GETTING HERE
STAY INFORMED AND BE PROACTIVE, NOT REACTIVE
NEW OPPORTUNITIES TO BE PROACTIVE
Ongoing DOT Request for Comments• NHTSA: Removing Regulatory Barriers for
Vehicles with Automated Driving Systems (Due March 5, 2018)
• FTA: (Due March 2, 2018)• Automated Transit Buses and Related
Technologies• Removing Barriers to Transit Bus
Automation• FHWA: Infrastructure Needs (Due March 5,
2018)
A Potential Message
•Safety•Transparency•Obligate Funding
•Partnerships and Pilots
STAFFING FOR THE FUTURE
• Monitor code for cyber threats?• Partnership opportunity?
• App development• Communications / Public Outreach • Programmers
• Another partnership opportunity • AV Fleet Managers
2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP
GREG RODRIGUEZ@smartertranspo
Best Best & Krieger LLP
Office: Washington, D.C.
Phone: (202) 370-5308
Email: [email protected]
www.bbklaw.com
MATTHEW RIDGWAY@Ridgway3M
Fehr & Peers
Office: Washington, D.C.
Phone: 202-854-2750
Email: [email protected]
www.fehrandpeersdc.com