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Large PV power plants stakes in South Africa
Schneider Electric
Philippe Dif – Arnaud ALLIX
The 19th, September 2011
Schneider Electric 2- Division - Name – Date
Agenda
● Schneider Electric Introduction
● Large PV power plants stakes in S.A.
●Obtain Low LCOE●Financing & Risk mitigation●Local content
● Conclusion
Schneider Electric 3- Division - Name – Date
Agenda
● Schneider Electric Introduction
● Large PV power plants stakes in S.A.
●Obtain Low LCOE●Financing & Risk mitigation●Local content
● Conclusion
Schneider Electric 4- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric – the global specialist in Energy Management
billion € sales in 2010
% of sales in new economies
people in 100+ countries
of sales devoted to R&D Residential 9%
Utilities & Infrastructure 20%
Industrial & machines 24%
Data centres 17%
Non-residential buildings 30%
Balanced geographies – FY 2010 salesYear-end 2010 employees
Diversified end markets – FY 2010 sales1
North America
24% Asia Pacific
24%Rest of World18%
WesternEurope
34%
1 Proforma with Areva D integrated on 12-month basis
26,000
41,700
31,900
19,200
Listed on the Paris Stock Market – CAC40
Schneider Electric 5- Division - Name – Date
… with Local Presence in Southern Africa
+ 1,200 people
in more than16 Offices
and 5 Projects and Service Execution Centres
1 Global Manufacturing Facility – Conlog (Durban)
Head Office – MidrandWarehouse: Bartlett (Isando)Regional Offices: R-Bay, DBN, PE, CPT, BLM, Nelsp, George
Schneider Electric 6- Division - Name – Date
Strongly involved in PV Market with different business Models on different market segments
FarmsOff-grid Residential Buildings
250 kW to 1 MW > 1 MWp > 1 MWp36 to 250 kWc0 to 36 kW
Private Customers
Local communitiesSmall buildingsAgricultureIndustries
IndustriesRetailLogistic centres
InvestorsUtilities
TelecomsRural electrification
(With batteries)
LocalcommunitiesSmall buildingsAgriculture
Products retailing Electrical Turnkey Solution
1 2 3 EPC businessModel
Schneider Electric 7- Division - Name – Date
Field with irradiation level& PV Modules
Grid & Energy usage
A unique positioning in PV Market…
Global specialist in Energy Management
Making energy:•Safe•Efficient•Productive•Reliable•Green
A Global Solution &associated Local Services
Schneider Electric 8- Division - Name – Date
Field with irradiation level& PV Modules
Grid & Energy usage
A unique positioning in PV Market…
Global specialist in Energy Management
Making energy:•Safe•Efficient•Productive•Reliable•Green
A Global Solution &associated Local Services
Field with irradiation level& PV Modules
Make the most of your Energy
Schneider Electric 9- Division - Name – Date
Agenda
● Schneider Electric Introduction
● Large PV power plants stakes in S.A.
●Obtain Low LCOE●Financing & Risk mitigation●Local content
● Conclusion
Schneider Electric 10- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
(Levelized Cost Of Electricity)
Schneider Electric 11- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
CAPEX
Irradiation
● Main impacts come from Irradiation level and Capex
Schneider Electric 12- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
CAPEX
Irradiation
● Main impacts come from Irradiation level and Capex● Capex impact is reinforced by debt and equity remunerations
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
Schneider Electric 13- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
CAPEX
● The way the Capex and Opex is done will impact the Debt Interest Rate
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
Schneider Electric 14- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
Availability
Performance
● More Capex can improve the PR● More Capex can Decrease Opex (by using more reliable components)● More Opex can improve Availability and Reliability
Schneider Electric 15- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
● LCOE is not affected by fuel price fluctuation during the lifetime of the power plant (Gas, Petrol, Coal, Uranium,…)
OPEX
Schneider Electric 16- Division - Name – Date
How is a power plant built ?
Schneider Electric 17- Division - Name – Date
Civil work :
the land is leveled if needed,
screws or piles are positioned to support structures
Schneider Electric 18- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 19- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 20- Division - Name – Date
Structures :
In aluminum or steel
Easily assembled in a factory or on the spot
Schneider Electric 21- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 22- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 23- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 24- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 25- Division - Name – Date
Modules :
Crystalline or thin film
Fastened on structures by clamps
Schneider Electric 26- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 27- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 28- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 29- Division - Name – Date
Array boxes :
to connect strings and stands together
Cables are put in trenches
Schneider Electric 30- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 31- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 32- Division - Name – Date
Kiosks for Power conversion
Includes Inverters, transformersMV protectionCooling equipment
Standard Power : 1MW
Schneider Electric 33- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 34- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 35- Division - Name – Date
Large power plants are made of 1MW parts put in place together
Schneider Electric 36- Division - Name – Date
Grid connection sub-station
Includes transformersCircuit breakersenergy meters
Schneider Electric 37- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric 38- Division - Name – Date
Large power plants are just " Copy-and-Paste “ of smaller ones
Olmedilla, Spain 60 MWp
● The basic pattern is often 1MW, on about 20 000m², ● built with robust and standardized equipment
●Main difference comes from sub-station power and voltage
Schneider Electric 39- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
(Levelized Cost Of Electricity)
Schneider Electric 40- Division - Name – Date
Utility Scaled Capex et Opex optimization
●Centralized Architecture●Based on large inverters with high input voltage allowing the best cost
●Find the right field to minimize Civil and connection Works
●A standardized global design● To limit engineering works
●Equipment Industrialization●Based on reliable products● Totally standardized
●Efficient Monitoring ● To leverage O&M team capabilities
●Skilled O&M team● locally
Schneider Electric 41- Division - Name – Date
Generation Output optimization
●Choose the right place with the best environmental conditions (Irradiation, temperature, wind, dust, etc…)
●Use reliable component with the right expected life time and a controlled ageing
●Do maintenance with a skilled team knowing the electrical equipment performing the electrical conversion
●Efficient Monitoring ●To leverage O&M team capabilities and increase generation
Schneider Electric 42- Division - Name – Date
Power conversion Grid connection
●High volumes and in depth industrialization leads to price optimization ●Schneider Electric is leader a in:
●Electronic power conversion (PV inverters, UPS, transformers● and on LV and MV components & switchgears as well as SCADA Systems
Schneider Electric optimizes Capex through its own Industrialized Offer
Schneider Electric 43- Division - Name – Date
Schneider Electric Products and Equipment
45 % - Modules
55 % - Civil work / Structures / Electricals
13 % - Engineering,Commissioning &Execution Management
10 % - Cables & Electrical installation
27 % - Schneider Electricequipment
35 % - Screws, structures& panel mounting
15 % - Civil works
● 22 % of the global cost of a power plant● 40 % of the BOS (without modules)● 80 % of the electrical turnkey solution
● Schneider Electric products & solutions represent a strong share of a PV Power Plant cost structure
Schneider Electric 44- Division - Name – Date
SCADA-Monitoring system architectureCompares and checks energy production through 4 levelsMeasurement is organized at these 4 levels
1. Irradiance level
Measures: IrradianceCell temperature
Calculates: Energy of light entering into the module s
2. Array Box level
Measures: String Voltage and CurrentCalculates: Energy produced by the modules
3. Inverter level
Measures: Inverter output power Auxiliary consumption
Calculates: Energy produced by the inverters
4. Power Plant level
Measures: Plant output power Auxiliary consumption
Calculates: Energy produced by the Power plant
Sub-station
Schneider Electric 45- Division - Name – Date
Operations & Maintenances Services
●Schneider Electric has local service teams to supply efficient Operations & Maintenance services●Each time a first power plant is built in a country, the local team is
trained to ensure its maintenance, and spare parts storage is put in place
●Operations & maintenance are supported by a very efficient monitoring system and SCADA
Schneider Electric 46- Division - Name – Date
Agenda
● Schneider Electric Introduction
● Large PV power plants stakes in S.A.
●Obtain Low LCOE●Financing & Risk mitigation●Local content
● Conclusion
Schneider Electric 47- Division - Name – Date
PV is the most capital intensive way to produce electricity●Financing has to be optimized to limit the LCOE Level
CAPEX30%
OPEX 10%EQUITY
REMUNERATION25%
TAXES10%
DEBT COST25%
Levelized energy cost for plants entering service in 2011 (2011 DoE Report)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Gas Coal Nuclear Solar
Levelized Capital cost
Fixed 0&M
Variable O&M
LCOE split(South African conditions)
Schneider Electric 48- Division - Name – Date
Reduce perceived risks allow to optimize financing
CAPEX - 30%
OPEX - 10%
EQUITY REMUNERATION
- 25%
TAXES - 10%
DEBT COST - 25%
● Interests rates have to be decreased has much as possible●Equity remuneration has to be reasonable
Inflation rate: 5.5%Debt ratio: 70%Interests rate: 10%ROI: 14%Taxes rate: 28%Op. duration: 20 yInitial Prod.: 1600 Kwh/KWp
Schneider Electric 49- Division - Name – Date
The Financier point of view
●Financier’s first bird-eye view: ● Long term financing
●Non recourse financing to a SPV to develop & operate a PV plant●Only Pledging of future cash flows
●Amount of financing typically exceeds :
●Investor’s equity in the project (20% - 30%)●The value of the project’s component parts which could be resale
●Project revenues are the only source of financier’s repayment● Identify the factors that may impact project income
●Decide if the level of risk is acceptable●Determine the risk reward trade off (cost of financing)
Schneider Electric 50- Division - Name – Date
LCOE content and parameters for PV
OPEX
GEBERATIONOUTPUT
Taxes
Ageing
LCOE
Availability
IrradiationPerformance
CAPEX
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
CAPEX
● The way the Capex and Opex is done will impact the Debt Interest Rate
debtInterests
rate
EquityROI
Schneider Electric 51- Division - Name – Date
Characteristics of a bankable solar PV project (when regulations, PPA, permits, land rights, grid access, irradiation levels are already assessed)
●Qualified experienced & financially sound project partners
●Project investors
●Equipment manufacturers (Modules and electrical equ ipment)●Performance warranties & relevant track record●Adoption of manufacturing standards would provide a benchmark and allow financiers to make appropriate brand risk assessment (supplier bankability index)●Low risk suppliers will decreased cost of capital
●EPC and O&M contractors●Proven experience & relevant track record●Financial strength to provide adequate project completion performance and availability warranties ●Appropriate certification●Capable to design, procure and built in a very short time
Schneider Electric 52- Division - Name – Date
EPC companies participation or help in financing
Objectives:● Leverage their expertise to facilitate project financing for their
customers and reduce global financing costs● Provide concrete solutions , on a case-by-case basis
2 Levers:● Equity
● Constitution of direct financing capability (in co-investment)
● Ability to leverage networks of first-class investors
● Debt● Validation of EPC Offers from major banks
● Animation of a network of bank partners close to group activity able to provide debt structuration services to our customers
Schneider Electric 53- Division - Name – Date
Performance warranties are generally needed
●Performance Ratio (PR) measures the efficiency level of the Power plant● It is calculated during the power plant test
●But also, each year during operations
●Availability Level (AL) measures the operations rate● It is calculated only during operations
Power Plant in Operations
Power plant delivery
Operations & Maintenance ContractEPC Contract
Power Plant building Test
Availability LevelPR
Generally EPC companies offers all needed guarantees
Schneider Electric 54- Division - Name – Date
Agenda
● Schneider Electric Introduction
● Large PV power plants stakes in S.A.
●Obtain Low LCOE●Financing & Risk mitigation●Local content
● Conclusion
Schneider Electric 55- Division - Name – Date
Local Content, and jobs creations are important criteria to achieve PV projects ●Even if modules are not built locally, local added value can be significant , about 50%
● It’ s also an efficient way to decrease costs and gain time during construction ● Mandatory during operations and maintenance phase
● Natural, easy to be done, if historical local presence of the EPC
Note :; the reference is a 50-MW PV power plant installation in MENA. MY = Man.Year. FTE: Full Time Equivalent
Schneider Electric 56- Division - Name – Date
Agenda
● Schneider Electric Introduction
● Large PV power plants stakes in S.A.
●Obtain Low LCOE●Financing & Risk mitigation●Local content
● Conclusion
Schneider Electric 57- Division - Name – Date
PV business needs confidence & experience● Stable and reliable regulatory regime● Qualified power purchase agreement (PPA duration > financing duration)● Tested technology● No uncertainties
● Finalized licences & permits● Clear land rights● Grid access (connexion costs and feasibility)● All inclusive insurance (liability/damage/loss of income)
● Independent solar potential evaluation● Qualified, experienced & financially solid project partners
● Equipment manufacturers & EPC● Performance warranties
● EPC & O&M contractors● Proven experience/relevant track record● Financial strength to provide adequate project completion and performance
warranties
Schneider Electric 58- Division - Name – Date
References: Over 400MWp in operation in Europe4MWp - Vinon
24MWp - Les Mées
22MWp - Gabardan
9MWp - Ste Clar
17MWp - Reunion15MWp - Roma
43MWp - Puglia
SunPowe rEPC Contract/O&M Services
AES SolarEPC ContractO&M Services
SolarezoElectrical solutionO&M Services
EDF-EN / ExosunElectrical SolutionO&M Services
Solaire DirectElectrical EPC ContractO&M Services
Solaire DirectElectrical EPC ContractO&M Services
Green Yellow (Roof top)
Electrical EPCO&M Services
23MWp - Lanuvio
TernaElectrical Solution
Schneider Electric 59- Division - Name – Date
… as well as in Asia Pacific
Gunkul PowergenEPC contractO&M Services
3.3MWp-Petchabun Thailand
Yunan PowerEngineering assistancePackage - O&M Services
4MWp - ShiLin (Yunan) PRC
Schneider Electric 60- Division - Name – Date
34 MWp PV Roof Installation on 18 shops
Customer: Green-Yellow (Casino Group) -FranceLocation: South of France, Reunion, MayotteServices & Solutions: Electrical Turnkey projectOperation and Maintenance contract for a 20 years period
Schneider Electric 61- Division - Name – Date
43MWP Cellino San Marco Solar Farm -Puglia Italy
Customer: AES Sole ItaliaPower: 43MWp - 100 ha on 3 sitesContract: EPC Number of solar panels: 600 00012 000 structures - 400 array boxes -36 inverter substations - 3x 20kV grid substations Execution: 9 monthsMax number of workers on site: 500Operation and Maintenance contract for a 5 years period