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Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering Director, Center for Land use Education and Resarch Climate Change: Science, Policy and Strategies for Life in a Changing World November 1, 2007

Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

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Page 1: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Land use and land cover change:

a driving force in affecting global climate

Daniel L. Civco, Professor of GeomaticsNatural Resources Management and Engineering

Director, Center for Land use Education and Resarch

Land use and land cover change:

a driving force in affecting global climate

Daniel L. Civco, Professor of GeomaticsNatural Resources Management and Engineering

Director, Center for Land use Education and Resarch

Climate Change:Science, Policy and Strategies for

Life in a Changing World November 1, 2007

Climate Change:Science, Policy and Strategies for

Life in a Changing World November 1, 2007

Page 2: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

What is Global Warming?

Page 3: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

IPCC Predicts 2 to 6 oC ↑ Over Next Century

Page 4: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Cars, factories, and other anthropogenic sources greenhouse gases 0.6 to 0.9 oC ↑ over past century

Page 5: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Cars, factories, and other anthropogenic sources

Page 6: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Atlanta: Daytime Thermal View of the Heat Island

Page 7: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Baltimore - Washington: 200 Years of Urban Growth

Page 8: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

The Connecticut LandscapeThe Connecticut Landscape

In the beginning, there was forest...In the beginning, there was forest...

Page 9: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

After near total conversion to farmland, much forest has returned...

After near total conversion to farmland, much forest has returned...

The Connecticut LandscapeThe Connecticut Landscape

Page 10: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Now, farm and forest are being converted to developed land, particularly subdivisions.

Now, farm and forest are being converted to developed land, particularly subdivisions.

The Connecticut LandscapeThe Connecticut Landscape

Page 11: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Is sprawl our future?Is sprawl our future?

The Connecticut LandscapeThe Connecticut Landscape

Page 12: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Landsat TM Apr. 26, 1985Landsat TM Apr. 26, 1985 Landsat TM Aug. 30, 1990Landsat TM Aug. 30, 1990

Landsat TM Aug. 28, 1995Landsat TM Aug. 28, 1995 Landsat ETM Sep. 9, 2002Landsat ETM Sep. 9, 2002

East Hartford and Manchester AreaEast Hartford and Manchester Area

Satellite Remote Sensing ImagesSatellite Remote Sensing Images

Page 13: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Land Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester AreaLand Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester Area

1985

Utility

Barren

Tidal Wet.

For Wet.

Non-for Wet.

Water

Coniferous

Deciduous

Agr & Other

Turf & Grass

Developed

Land Cover Class

Land Use and Land CoverLand Use and Land Cover

Page 14: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Land Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester AreaLand Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester Area

1990

Utility

Barren

Tidal Wet.

For Wet.

Non-for Wet.

Water

Coniferous

Deciduous

Agr & Other

Turf & Grass

Developed

Land Cover Class

Land Use and Land Cover

Page 15: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Land Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester AreaLand Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester Area

1995

Utility

Barren

Tidal Wet.

For Wet.

Non-for Wet.

Water

Coniferous

Deciduous

Agr & Other

Turf & Grass

Developed

Land Cover Class

Land Use and Land Cover

Page 16: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Land Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester AreaLand Use Change in East Hartford and Manchester Area

2002

Utility

Barren

Tidal Wet.

For Wet.

Non-for Wet.

Water

Coniferous

Deciduous

Agr & Other

Turf & Grass

Developed

Land Cover Class

Land Use and Land Cover

Page 17: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

The Lights of EarthThe Lights of Earth

DMSP Satellite Imagery Provides an Indicator of Urban ExtentDMSP Satellite Imagery Provides an Indicator of Urban Extent

Page 18: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Five-Year Average Global Temperature Anomalies from 1880 to 2006

Five-Year Average Global Temperature Anomalies from 1880 to 2006

Page 19: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

The Dynamics of Global Urban Expansion The Dynamics of Global Urban Expansion

UConn Research Sponsored by The World Bank and NSFUConn Research Sponsored by The World Bank and NSF

Page 20: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Houston, TexasHouston, Texas

64 km

Houston December 1990Houston December 1990Houston October 1999Houston October 1999Houston December 1990Houston December 1990Houston October 1999Houston October 1999Houston Urban Growth: December-October Houston Urban Growth: December-October 1999 1999 29 % Total / 3.3 % Per Annum29 % Total / 3.3 % Per Annum

Urban GrowthUrban Growth

Page 21: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Leipzig, GermanyLeipzig, Germany

16 km

Leipzig July 1989Leipzig July 1989Leipzig September 1999Leipzig September 1999Leipzig July 1989Leipzig July 1989Leipzig September 1999Leipzig September 1999Leipzig Urban Growth: July 1989–September Leipzig Urban Growth: July 1989–September 19991999104 % Total / 10.2 % Per Annum104 % Total / 10.2 % Per Annum

Urban GrowthUrban Growth

Page 22: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Yiyang, ChinaYiyang, ChinaYiyang, ChinaYiyang, China

Yiyang July 1994Yiyang July 1994Yiyang September 1999Yiyang September 1999Yiyang July 1994Yiyang July 1994Yiyang September 1999Yiyang September 1999

16 km

Yiyang Urban Growth: July 1994–September Yiyang Urban Growth: July 1994–September 19991999104 % Total / 20.1 % Per Annum104 % Total / 20.1 % Per Annum

Urban GrowthUrban Growth

Page 23: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Yulin, ChinaYulin, China

Yulin October 1991Yulin October 1991Yulin October 2000Yulin October 2000Yulin October 1991Yulin October 1991Yulin October 2000Yulin October 2000Yulin Urban Growth: October 1991-October 2000 Yulin Urban Growth: October 1991-October 2000 142 % Total / 15.8 % Per Annum142 % Total / 15.8 % Per Annum

16 km

Urban GrowthUrban Growth

Page 24: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Urban Growth ↑ Greenhouse Gases and

Thermal Capacity ↑ Global Temperature

Urban Growth ↑ Greenhouse Gases and

Thermal Capacity ↑ Global Temperature

2020 - 2029 2090 - 2099

Page 25: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

DMSP Satellite Imagery Provides an Indicator of Urban ExtentDMSP Satellite Imagery Provides an Indicator of Urban Extent

The Lights of EarthThe Lights of Earth

Page 26: Land use and land cover change: a driving force in affecting global climate Daniel L. Civco, Professor of Geomatics Natural Resources Management and Engineering

Land use and land cover change:

a driving force in affecting global climate

Daniel L. Civco, Professor of GeomaticsNatural Resources Management and Engineering

Director, Center for Land use Education and Resarch

Land use and land cover change:

a driving force in affecting global climate

Daniel L. Civco, Professor of GeomaticsNatural Resources Management and Engineering

Director, Center for Land use Education and Resarch

Climate Change:Science, Policy and Strategies for

Life in a Changing World November 1, 2007

Climate Change:Science, Policy and Strategies for

Life in a Changing World November 1, 2007