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La chemioterapia neoadiuvante e adiuvante nei sarcomi delle parti molli
Padova, 30 Maggio, 2008
A.Buonadonna, CRO-Aviano
Topics
- Review-1st Italian randomized study - National Survey- 2nd Italian, neo-adjuvant, randomized trial- EORTC Trial - Conclusions
Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
For adult soft tissue sarcomas , stage III encompasses tumors larger than 5 cm, high grade (3-4), located deep to the superficial fascia, that have no evidence of distant metastasis.
Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
After definitive loco-regional treatment only, approximately 50% of these patients will develop a recurrence, and 45% will die of sarcoma within 5 years.
Greene FL, Page DL, Fleming ID, et al. (2002) AJCC cancerstaging handbook, 6th edn. Berlin, Heidelberg, New York: Springer.
Chemioterapia adiuvante: Studi di Ia
generazione(1)Institution
Years of accrual
Stages No. of
pts
Scheme Med. F.U.
(months)
DFS %
F.U. CT P
OS %
F.U. CT P
Last analysis
DFC/MGH, 1978/83
ECOG, ISSG, 1985/87
IIB –
IVA
168 ADM 52 53 66 NS 65 68 NS ANTMAN
1990
RIZZOLI 1981 – 1986 III –
IVA
77 ADM 106 29 56 0.1 49 63 .06 GHERLINZONI
1993
UCLA 1981 - 1984 III 119 ADM 28 54 58 NS 80 85 NS EILBER
1987
SSG 1981 - 1986 III –
IVA
240 ADM 40 56 62 NS 70 75
NS
ALVEGARD
1989
GOG 1973 - 1982 FIGO
I/II
136 ADM 24 47 59 NS 42 45
NS
OMURA
1985
Chemioterapia adiuvante: Studi di Ia generazione(2)
Institution
Years of accrual
Stage Pts Scheme Med F.U. DFS %
F.U. CT
p OS %
F.U. CT
p Author
MDAH 1973 - 1976
Extremities
IIB –
IIIB
43
47
ACVAd 120
120
83 76
35 54
NS
0.05
n.d. n.d
36 65 0.06
BENJAMIN
1987
MAYO
1975 – 1981
I –
IVB
61 AVDAd 64 68 65 n.a 70 70 NS EDMONSON
1984
NCI Extremities II-III 67 ACD 85 75 51 0.04 60 58 NS CHANG
1988
EORTC
1977 – 1988
IA –
IIIB
468 ACVD
q 4w
80 43 56 NS 55 63 NS BRAMWELL
1994
F. BERGONIE
1980 – 1988
IIB –
IVA
59 ACVD
q 3w
52 16 57 0.0003 53 87 .002 RAVAUD
1990
Trials included in the meta-analysis: 14
• Single patient data records analyzed: 1568
• Reliability: evaluated 98% of included patients
• ADM total dose: 200-500 mg/m2
• ADM per cycle: 50-90 mg/m2 either as single agent or in combination
Sarcoma Meta-analysis Collaboration (Lancet, 350:1647-54, 1997)
Survival P value 10 years results Treated Controls
% abs. benefit
Local RFS 0.016 75 81 6
Sarcoma Meta-analysis Collaboration (Lancet, 350:1647-54, 1997)
Survival P value 10 years results Treated Controls
% abs. benefit
Distant RFS
0.70 60 70 10
Sarcoma Meta-analysis Collaboration (Lancet, 350:1647-54, 1997)
Survival P value 10 years results Treated Controls
% abs. benefit
Overall RFS
0.0001 45 55 10
Sarcoma Meta-analysis Collaboration (Lancet, 350:1647-54, 1997)
Survival P value 10 years results Treated Controls
% abs. benefit
Overall Survival
0.12 50 54 4
Chemioterapia adiuvante: Meta-analisiSarcoma Metanalysis Collaboration III
(Lancet, 350:1647-54, 1997)
Subgroups OS Absolute benefit at 10 years
Extremity (886pts) 0.029 7 %Age(<30;30-60; >60 0.31 /
Sex (m vsF) 0.49 /Status (prim. vs rel.) 0.24 /Histology(4 vs others) 0.75 /
Grade (low vs high) 0.97 /Dimension(<5; 5-10; >10) 0.40 /Marginality 0.88 /Radiotherapy 0.40 /
SECOND GENERATION TRIALS IISECOND GENERATION TRIALS II
Institution Date Site Selection
NCI92-CO21
6 / 92 Extremities High-grade> 3 cm
EORTC62931
4 / 92 All sites High gradeAny dimension
RTOG95-14
6 / 95 All sites High-grade> 5 cm
CNR ITALY
6 /92 Extremities High-grade> 5 cm; subfascial
SECOND GENERATION TRIALS IVSECOND GENERATION TRIALS IV
Institution Schedule mg/m2
Time D.I. mg/m2/w)
NCI 92-CO21
ADM 70; d 1 IFO 4; d 1-5 vs control
Every 4 w x 5
+ G-CSF
ADM 17.5 IFO 1000
EORTC 62931
ADM 75; d 1 IFO 5; 24 h inf. vs control
Every 3 w x 5
+ GM-CSF
ADM 25 IFO 1667
RTOG 95-14
ADM 20; d1-3 c.i. IFO 2500; d1-3c.i. DTIC 225; d1-3c.i. vs control
Every 3 w x 2 + 4
+G-CSF
ADM 20 IFO 2500 DTIC 225
CNR ITALY
EPI 60; d 1-2 IFO 1800; d1-5 vs control
Every 3 w x 5
+ G-CSF
EPI 40 IFO 3000
SECOND GENERATION TRIALS SECOND GENERATION TRIALS
Similarities • More homogeneous selection criteria• Use of Ifosphamide• 2 drugs combinations• Use of Growth factorsDifferences• Dose intensity• Sequence of approaches( S/RT/CT)
Topics
- Review-1st Italian randomized study - National Survey- 2nd Italian, neo-adjuvant, randomized trial-EORTC Trial - Conclusions
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
ADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STSADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STS1st 1st ItalianItalian Sarcoma Group Trial: Sarcoma Group Trial: StudyStudy design design
BBIIOOPPSSYY
SSTTAAGG I INNGG
L T - RADL T - RADO R SURG.O R SURG.O EO EC A - SURG.+C A - SURG.+A T POSTOP-RTA T POSTOP-RTL ML M E - PREOP-RT E - PREOP-RT N + SURG. N + SURG. T T
SSTTRRAATTIIFFYY
--PRIMARYPRIMARY < 10 CM < 10 CM-PRIMARY-PRIMARY >> 10 CM 10 CM-RELAPSE-RELAPSE < 10 CM < 10 CM-RELAPSE-RELAPSE >> 10 CM 10 CM
RRAANNDDOOMMIIZZAATTIIOONN
CCTT
FFUU
S. Frustaci et al. JCO; 19: 1238-1247, 2001
•Age >16 <65 years•PS <2 ECOG•High grade (G3-G4 Broder), subfascial spindle cell and polymorphous locally controlled sarcomas•Extremities and/or girdles•No previous radio/chemotherapeutic treatment•Primary >5 cm; relapse of any dimension•Written informed consent
ADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STSADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STS
INCLUSION CRITERIAINCLUSION CRITERIA
4/97
Chemotherapy(one cycle every 21 days)
• Epirubicine 60mg/m2/die, days 1 and 2
• Ifosfamide 3g/m2/die, days 1, 2, 3
• Mesna 1000mg/m2 x 3/die, days 1, 2, 3
• Hydration with 2000 cc/die during days 1, 2, 3
• Anti-HT3 and corticosteroids
• G-CSF from day +7 to complete haematological recovery• Adequate dose modifications according to the nadirs
1ST ITALIAN ADJUVANT STUDY1ST ITALIAN ADJUVANT STUDY
MEDIAN RELATIVE DOSE-INTENSITY (%)
I Cycle II Cycle III Cycle IV Cycle Average
EPI 88 83.1 75.7 73.2 80.0
120/m2 (47.2-106) (37.5-107.0) (36.6-103.4) (25-104.3)
IFO 89.1 89.5 86.2 82.1 86.7
9g/m2 (49.8-101.6) (55.5-107.0) (60-104.5) (30.6-103.4) Average 90.9 85.2 80.9 77.7 83.7
R.D.I. Range (49.9-104.6) (55.5-107.1) (52.2-103.4) (37.4-103.8)
ADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STSADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STS1st Italian Sarcoma Group Trial: Dose intensity1st Italian Sarcoma Group Trial: Dose intensity
P=0.04
ADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STSADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STS1st Italian Trial: Disease free survival1st Italian Trial: Disease free survival
JCO, 2001, Vol. 19, N° 5,
Median F.U.=59 mMinimum F.U.=36 m
P = 0.03
ADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STSADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY IN STS
1st Italian Trial: Overall survival1st Italian Trial: Overall survival
JCO, 2001, Vol 19, N° 5,JCO, 2001, Vol 19, N° 5,
JCO, 2001, Vol. 19, N° 5,
Median F.U.=59 mMinimum F.U.=36 m
Date of analysis
OS DFS l-DFS d-DFS FU Comments
11/96 0.007 0.001 0.009 0.002 Stop of pts accrual due to the foreseen stopping rules
11/97 0.002 0.009 0.02 0.03 24 ASCO 1997; oral pres.
11/98 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.05 36 n.r.
11/99 0.03 0.04 0.09 0.48 59 JCO, 2001, Vol 19, N° 5,
11/00 0.04 0.06 n.v. n.v. 74 n.r.
09/02 0.07 0.08 n.v. n.v. 89 5 years OS: 66 vs 46% (p=0.04)
Classic Paper & Current Comments 2002, Vol 7N°4 Oncology 2003,Suppl.2:80-84
The First Adjuvant I.S.G. Trial; 06/92- 11/96
Summary of performed analyses
Adjuvant therapy in soft tissue sarcomasISG Study:06/’92-11/’96
Analysis of 09/02Disease free survival
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 1200.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Treatment
Control
Treat F.U.
N°pts 53 51Cens 24 19Events 29 32m.DFS 48.8 16.2
p=0.08
Median follow-up: 89.4m
Adjuvant therapy in soft tissue sarcomasISG Study:06/’92-11/’96
Analysis of 09/02 Overall survival
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 1200
25
50
75
100
Treatment
Control
Treat F.U.
N°pts 53 51Cens 31 23Events 22 28m. OS n.r. 50.4
p=0.07
Median follow-up: 89.4m
5 years OS: 66 vs 46% (p=0.04)
1st ISG Study: 06/’92-11/’96; Analysis of 09/02 Subgroup analysis: Efficacy of chemotherapy
7 pts never started CT because of early relapse or refusal
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 1200
25
50
75
100
Treatment
Control
p = 0.038
time (months)
Per
cent
sur
vivi
ng
Treat F.U.
N°pts 46 51Cens 28 23 Events 18 28m.Surv n.r. 54.3
p=0.038
Median follow-up: 89.4m
Overall Survival
1st ISG Study: 06/’92-11/’96 Analysis of 09/02 Subgroup analysis: Dose intensity of chemotherapy
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 1200
25
50
75
100
TreatmentControl>/=85%
<85%
months
perc
ent
surv
ivin
g
Median follow-up: 89.4m
Overall Survival
1st ISG Study: 06/’92-11/’96 Analysis of 09/02 Subgroup analysis: Dose intensity of chemotherapy
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 1200
25
50
75
100
TreatmentControl>/=85%
<85%
months
perc
ent
surv
ivin
g
Median follow-up: 89.4m
Overall Survival
MEDIAN RELATIVE D.I. %
Cycle 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Average
EPI 88 83.1 75.7 73.2 80.0
IFO 89.1 89.5 86.2 82.1 86.7% 90.9 85.2 80.9 77.7 83.7
Adjuvant therapy in soft tissue sarcomas1st ISG Study: 06/’92-11/’96 Analysis of 09/02
Post relapse survival
0 25 50 75 1000
25
50
75
100
Treatment
Control
Treat F.U.
N°pts 29 32Cens 7 4Events 29 32m.Surv 21.8 17.8
p=0.37
Topics
- Review-1st Italian randomized study - National Survey- 2nd Italian, neo-adjuvant, randomized trial-EORTC Trial - Conclusions
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Survey dell’Italian Sarcoma Group.- Aims: to verify the reproducibility, efficacy, reliability of the prospective trial when applied spontaneously outside the protocol.
- Period: 11/’96 to 06/’99
- Methods:1) Call for data launched in June ‘992) Prospective data collection, spontaneous
referral of unregistered patients, homogeneous selection criteria and treatment modality.
Chemotherapy(one cycle every 21 days)
• Epirubicine 60mg/m2/die, days 1 and 2
• Ifosfamide 3g/m2/die, days 1, 2, 3
• Mesna 1000mg/m2 x 3/die, days 1, 2, 3
• Hydration with 2000 cc/die during days 1, 2, 3
• Anti-HT3 and corticosteroids
• G-CSF from day +7 to complete hematologic recovery• Adequate dose modifications according to the nadirs
UPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEYUPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEY
UPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEYUPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEY
Evaluation of the “post-trial” treatmentEvaluation of the “post-trial” treatment
TREATMENT TREATMENT
- Completed CT (5 cycles) 43/55 (78.2%)
- Interrupted - for toxicity G3 - G4 8/55- for other reasons 4/55
UPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEYUPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEY
Dose Intensity Dose Intensity
Cycles I II III IV Average
EPI 96.4 94.2 86.6 77.7 88.7Range (38.1-116) (48.3-111) (43.5-106) (24-109)
IFO 99.3 95.8 91.1 74.4 90.1Range (38.1-117) (41.6-111) (26.6-105) (23-105)
Median 97.9 94.8 88.2 75.0 89.4Range (38.1-116.5) (52-111) (35.5-105.5) (23.5-105) (52 - 116)
UPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEYUPDATED RESULTS OF THE ITALIAN SURVEY
Survival: comparison with CNR study(11/98)
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 960
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100TREATMENTCONTROLSURVEY
MONTHS
% O
S
Topics
- Review-1st Italian randomized study - National Survey- 2nd Italian, neo-adjuvant, randomized trial-EORTC Trial - Conclusions
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Italian Sarcoma Group
Localized adult soft tissue sarcoma of the extremities and trunk:
Integrated approach of 3 neodjuvant cycles or 3 neoadjuvant and 2 adjuvant cycles.
Controlled prospective randomized studyClinical coordinators Coordinating and Data Center
S.Frustaci, Aviano P.Valagussa, Milano
A.Gronchi, Milano
M.Mercuri, Bologna Statistical analysis
P.Verderio, Milano
Activation September 2001
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Italian Sarcoma GroupLocalized adult soft tissue sarcoma of the
extremities and trunk:Local Treatments (multiple options)
RADICAL SURGERY SEQUENTIAL APPROACH Surgery and Radiation therapy: - Post-op radiation therapy - Peri-op brachyther.& post-op RT - Pre-op radiation therapy Chemo-ipertermic perfusion and SurgeryINTEGRATED APPROACH Synchronous chemo & pre-op RT
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Localized adult soft tissue sarcoma of the extremities and trunk:
Inclusion Criteria•Adult STS, primary or relapsed or considered inadequately locally treated.
•Spindle or polimorphous (Fibrosarcoma, MFH, Lipos., Leiomios., Synovial s., m. Schwannoma, A ngiosarcoma, Rabdomios.)
• Diagnosys in accordance with Enzinger e Weiss criteria(10).
• High grade (2-3/3, according to Coindre et al.) (11).
• Deep seated
• SITE: limbs, girdles, sup. Trunk.
• SIZE: primary >5 cm (Clinical evalutaion:CT, RM)
relapse of any size.
• Age: > 18, < 65 years.
• Performance status <1 secondo ECOG (12).
STAGE III only
1st Trial
Random
Survey
Neo-adj.
Random
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Italian Trials
1st Trial
Random
Survey
Neo-adj.
Random
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
1st Trial
Random
Survey
Neo-adj.
Random
Italian Sarcoma Group
Localized adult soft tissue sarcoma of the extremities and trunk:
Integrated approach of 3 neodjuvant cyclesor 3 neoadjuvant and 2 adjuvant cycles.
Controlled prospective randomized studyClinical coordinators Coordinating and Data CenterS.Frustaci, Aviano P.Valagussa, MilanoA.Gronchi, MilanoM.Mercuri, Bologna Statistical analysis
P.Verderio, MilanoActivation September 2001
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
1st Trial
Random
Survey
Neo-adj.
Random
Italian Sarcoma Group
Localized adult soft tissue sarcoma of the extremities and trunk:
Integrated approach of 3 neodjuvant cyclesor 3 neoadjuvant and 2 adjuvant cycles.
Controlled prospective randomized studyClinical coordinators Coordinating and Data CenterS.Frustaci, Aviano P.Valagussa, MilanoA.Gronchi, MilanoM.Mercuri, Bologna Statistical analysis
P.Verderio, MilanoActivation September 2001
Local Treatments (multiple options)
RADICAL SURGERY
SEQUENTIAL APPROACH
Surgery and Radiation therapy: - Post-op radiation therapy - Peri-op brachyther.& post-op RT - Pre-op radiation therapy Chemo-ipertermic perfusion and Surgery
INTEGRATED APPROACH Synchronous chemo & pre-op RT
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Study period
1st Trial
Random
06/’92
11/’96
Survey11/’96
06/’99
Neo-adj.
Random
09/’01
03/’07
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Study period Pts
1st Trial
Random
06/’92
11/’96
CT: 53
FU: 51
Survey11/’96
06/’99CT: 55
Neo-adj.
Random
09/’01
03/’07
CT: 150
CT: 150
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Study period Pts Selection
1st Trial
Random
06/’92
11/’96
CT: 53
FU: 51
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Survey11/’96
06/’99CT: 55
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Trunk
Neo-adj.
Random
09/’01
03/’07
CT: 150
CT: 150
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Trunk
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Study period
Pts Selection Treatment/m2
1st Trial
Random
06/’92
11/’96
CT: 53
FU: 51
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
EPI 60mg x2dIFO3g x3dX 5 cycles
//
Survey11/’96
06/’99CT: 55
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Trunk
id
Neo-adj.
Random
09/’01
03/’07
CT: 150
CT: 150
emended
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Trunk
id
3pre-op
+2 post
3pre-op
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Study period
Pts Selection Treatment/m2
5-y-OS
1st Trial
Random
06/’92
11/’96
CT: 53
FU: 51
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
EPI 60mg x2dIFO3g x3dX 5 cycles
//
64%
P=0.004
46%
Survey11/’96
06/’99CT: 55
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Trunk
id 66%
Neo-adj.
Random
10/’01
Ongoing
CT: 150
CT: 150
emended
High grade
Deep
>5cm
Limbs/girdle
Trunk
id
3pre-op
+2 post End point:
No diff.3pre-op
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
Topics
- Review-1st Italian randomized study - National Survey- 2nd Italian, neo-adjuvant, randomized trial- EORTC Trial - Conclusions
Controversy: Adjuvant chemotherapy in STS
A systematic meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials for adjuvant
chemotherapy for localized resectable soft-tissue sarcoma
Nabeel PervaizNigel Colterjohn
Forough FarrokhyarRichard Tozer
Alvaro FigueredoMichelle Ghert
Ten years later…
• Further published RCTs
• Intensification of doxorubicin dosage and addition of ifosfamide to regimens
Objective
• To update the 1997 meta-analysis with data from subsequent published randomized controlled trials
• Increase statistical power and narrow confidence intervals
Methods: Study Identification
• Databases: Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane
• Search criteria: sarcoma, chemotherapy, randomized controlled trial
• Over 700 results
• Inclusion criteria: soft-tissue, localized, resectable, control arm: no chemotherapy, adult
• Exclusion criteria: bone sarcoma, advanced disease, no control arm, pediatric (rhabdomyoscaromca), non-randomized
Study Evaluation
• Studies evaluated by 2 independent reviewers
• Modified Detsky Quality Scale for Randomized trials
• Interobserver reliability
Outcome measures
• Local recurrence
• Distant recurrence
• Overall recurrence
• Overall survival
Background
• Sarcoma Meta-analysis Collaboration (SMAC)---originated at Hamilton Regional Cancer Centre
• Landmark publication, Lancet 1997• 14 RCTs• Results:
– Hazard ratio 0.75 (95% CI .64-0.87) for overall recurrence– Hazard radio 0.89 (95% CI 0.76-1.03)* for survival (absolute
benefit of 4%)– *not statistically significant
Statistical Methods
• Funnel plot for publication bias
• Test for heterogeneity between studies
• Pooled odds ratio
• 95% confidence intervals
• Fixed effect method (statistical control for non-analzyed variables)
Results
• 4 studies met inclusion and exclusion criteria, 385 patients
• Total 18 studies and 1953 patients
• One study: neo-adjuvant vs control (analysis performed with and without data)
• Mean follow-up 4.9 years (3.4-7.8 years)
1. Brodowicz et al, Sarcoma 2000
2. Frustaci et al, JCO 2001
3. Gortzak et al, EJC 2001
4. Petrioli et al, AJCO 2002
Local Recurrence
• 17 trials
• 1700 patients
• 296 events
• Overall hazard ratio of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.56- 0.94) in favor of chemotherapy
• Absolute risk reduction of 4% (15% vs. 19%)
Citation NTotal Treated Control PValue Effect Lower Upper
Bergonie et al 54 6 / 28 8 / 26 .43 .61 .18 2.10Brodowicz et al 59 2 / 31 6 / 28 .09 .25 .05 1.38DFCI/MGH 46 3 / 21 3 / 25 .82 1.22 .22 6.81EORTC 381 30 / 193 51 / 188 .01 .49 .30 .82Frustaci et al 104 9 / 53 11 / 51 .55 .74 .28 1.98GOG 221 20 / 112 16 / 109 .52 1.26 .62 2.59Gortzak et al 134 11 / 67 13 / 67 .65 .82 .34 1.98IGSC 86 6 / 40 8 / 46 .76 .84 .26 2.66Mayo 45 4 / 22 5 / 23 .77 .80 .18 3.47MDA 35 2 / 18 5 / 17 .18 .30 .05 1.82NCI4 25 2 / 17 4 / 8 .04 .13 .02 1.01NCI5 79 8 / 38 9 / 41 .92 .95 .32 2.78NCI6 41 0 / 21 0 / 20 .98 .95 .02 50.34Petrioli et al 88 6 / 45 9 / 43 .34 .58 .19 1.80Rizzoli et al 38 1 / 16 6 / 22 .10 .18 .02 1.66SAKK 24 0 / 12 0 / 12 1.00 1.00 .02 54.46SSG 240 19 / 121 13 / 119 .28 1.52 .71 3.23
Fixed Combined (17) 1700 129 / 855 167 / 845 .02 .73 .56 .94
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Chemotherapy Control
Odds ratio for local recurrence
Test for heterogeneity Q=15.81, df=16, p=0.4664
Distant Recurrence
• 17 trials
• 1700 patients
• 553 events
• overall hazard ratio of 0.65 (95% CI: 0.53-0.80) in favor of chemotherapy
• Absolute risk reduction 9% (28% vs 37%)
Odds ratio for distant recurrence
Citation NTotal Treated Control PValue Effect Lower Upper
Bergonie et al 54 8 / 28 14 / 26 .06 .34 .11 1.06Brodowicz et al 59 6 / 31 10 / 28 .16 .43 .13 1.41DFCI/MGH 46 6 / 21 7 / 25 .97 1.03 .28 3.73EORTC 381 51 / 193 56 / 188 .47 .85 .54 1.32Frustaci et al 104 23 / 53 26 / 51 .44 .74 .34 1.60GOG 221 21 / 112 36 / 109 .02 .47 .25 .87Gortzak et al 134 26 / 67 31 / 67 .38 .74 .37 1.46IGSC 86 4 / 40 13 / 46 .03 .28 .08 .95Mayo 45 6 / 22 6 / 23 .93 1.06 .28 3.98MDA 35 8 / 18 8 / 17 .88 .90 .24 3.41NCI4 25 4 / 17 3 / 8 .47 .51 .08 3.16NCI5 79 12 / 38 16 / 41 .49 .72 .29 1.82NCI6 41 7 / 21 10 / 20 .28 .50 .14 1.77Petrioli et al 88 7 / 45 11 / 43 .24 .54 .19 1.54Rizzoli et al 38 6 / 16 10 / 22 .62 .72 .19 2.68SAKK 24 3 / 12 4 / 12 .65 .67 .11 3.93SSG 240 41 / 121 53 / 119 .09 .64 .38 1.08
Fixed Combined (17) 1700 239 / 855 314 / 845 .00 .65 .53 .80
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Chemotherapy Control
Test for heterogeneity Q=7.8451, df=16, p=0.9533
Overall Recurrence
• 18 trials
• 1747 patients
• 884 events
• Overall hazard ratio of 0.67 (95% CI: 0.56-0.82) in favor of chemotherapy
• Absolute risk reduction 10% (46% vs 56%)
Odds ratio for overall recurrence
Citation NTotal Treated Control PValue Effect Lower Upper
Bergonie et al 54 11 / 28 19 / 26 .01 .24 .08 .75Brodowicz et al 59 7 / 31 12 / 28 .10 .39 .13 1.20DFCI/MGH 46 7 / 21 8 / 25 .92 1.06 .31 3.66ECOG 47 9 / 24 11 / 23 .47 .65 .20 2.09EORTC 381 92 / 193 105 / 188 .11 .72 .48 1.08Frustaci et al 104 28 / 53 32 / 51 .31 .66 .30 1.46GOG 221 52 / 112 62 / 109 .12 .66 .39 1.12Gortzak et al 134 30 / 67 35 / 67 .39 .74 .38 1.46IGSC 86 14 / 40 25 / 46 .07 .45 .19 1.08Mayo 45 12 / 22 11 / 23 .65 1.31 .41 4.23MDA 35 12 / 18 15 / 17 .13 .27 .05 1.57NCI4 25 9 / 17 5 / 8 .65 .67 .12 3.77NCI5 79 22 / 38 24 / 41 .95 .97 .40 2.38NCI6 41 9 / 21 11 / 20 .44 .61 .18 2.11Petrioli et al 88 13 / 45 20 / 43 .09 .47 .19 1.13Rizzoli et al 38 7 / 16 13 / 22 .35 .54 .15 1.98SAKK 24 4 / 12 4 / 12 1.00 1.00 .18 5.46SSG 240 65 / 121 69 / 119 .51 .84 .51 1.40
Fixed Combined (18) 1747 403 / 879 481 / 868 .00 .67 .56 .82
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Chemotherapy Control
Test for heterogeneity Q=10.2308, df=17, p=0.8937
Overall Survival
• 18 trials
• 1953 patients
• 829 deaths
• overall hazard ratio of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.64-0.93) in favor of chemotherapy
• Absolute risk reduction of 6% (40% vs 46%)
Citation NTotal Treated Control PValue Effect Lower Upper
Bergonie et al 65 10 / 33 18 / 32 .03 .34 .12 .94Brodowicz et al 59 1 / 31 3 / 28 .25 .28 .03 2.84DFCI/MGH 46 6 / 21 7 / 25 .97 1.03 .28 3.73ECOG 47 9 / 24 10 / 23 .68 .78 .24 2.51EORTC 467 94 / 234 96 / 233 .82 .96 .66 1.39Frustaci et al 104 20 / 53 28 / 51 .08 .50 .23 1.09GOG 225 51 / 113 55 / 112 .55 .85 .50 1.44Gortzak et al 134 22 / 67 28 / 67 .28 .68 .34 1.38IGSC 92 16 / 43 23 / 49 .35 .67 .29 1.54Mayo 57 14 / 28 12 / 29 .51 1.42 .50 4.03MDA 54 15 / 26 20 / 28 .29 .55 .18 1.69NCI4 25 9 / 17 5 / 8 .65 .67 .12 3.77NCI5 79 22 / 38 23 / 41 .87 1.08 .44 2.62NCI6 41 8 / 21 9 / 20 .65 .75 .22 2.61Petrioli et al 88 13 / 45 23 / 43 .02 .35 .15 .85Rizzoli et al 77 12 / 34 25 / 43 .05 .39 .16 .99SAKK 29 5 / 14 3 / 15 .34 2.22 .42 11.83SSG 240 57 / 121 57 / 119 .90 .97 .58 1.61
Fixed Combined (18) 1929 384 / 963 445 / 966 .01 .77 .64 .93
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Chemotherapy Control
Odds ratio for overall survival
Test for heterogeneity Q=15.9325, df=17, p=0.5286
Discussion
• Additional 385 patients narrowed confidence intervals
• Overall survival became statistically significant
• Definite but minimal benefit of chemotherapy in reducing LR, DR, OR and overall survival (6% risk reduction, 40% vs 46%)
EORTC 62931
• Presented at ASCO meeting June 2007 RCT adjuvant chemo (Dox and Ifos) vs. control in resectable STS
• 351 patients recruited 1995-2003
• 5 yr RFS 52% in both groups, OS 64% (control) and 69% (chemo)
• Conclusion: “The hypotheses that adjuvant CT improves RFS and OS…can both be rejected”
EORTC 62931
• Data not available for inclusion in this analysis (authors felt that release of information would be premature)
Conclusions
• Absolute risk reductions:– Local recurrence 4%– Distant recurrence 9%– Overall recurrence 10%– Overall survival 6% (40% vs. 46%)
• Individual patient care: These real but small benefits must be weighed against the toxicities associated with intensive chemotherapy