Risk management

Dursun DEMRzleme ve Deerlendirme Birimi UzmanORTA KARADENZ KALKINMA AJANSI

Risk Ynetimi

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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kontroln amalar kontrol sisteminin unsurlarRiskin tanmRisk ynetiminin tanmRisk ynetiminde ilkelerMetodolojiRisk ynetim stratejileriRisk ynetim plannn oluturulmasUygulama, izleme ve gzden geirmeRisk ynetiminde kstlar

erik

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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Faaliyetlerin etkinlii ve verimlilii Finansal raporlamann gvenilirlii Mevzuat hkmlere uygunluk kontroln amalar

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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Kontrol sisteminin unsurlar

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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Risk ISO 31000ne gre belirsizliin dourabilecei pozitif veya negatif etki olarak tanmlanmaktadr.Risk Kalknma Ajans alma sistemi ierisinde tehdit unsuru olabilecek herhangi bir olay, eylem veya eylemsizlik olarak tanmlanabilir.

Riskin tanm

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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Risk Ynetimi risklerin tanmlanmas, deerlendirilmesi ve nceliklendirilmesi yoluyla koordineli ve etkin ekilde kaynaklarn ynlendirilerek istenmeyen olaylarn etkisinin veya olaslnn minimize edilmesi, kontrol edilmesi ve izlenmesidir.

Risk ynetiminin tanm

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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Deer yaratmaldr.Kurumsal srelerin tamamlayc bir paras olmaldr. Karar alma srelerinin paras olmaldr.Dorudan belirsizlik ve varsaymlarn zerine gitmelidir.Mevcut olan en salkl verileri kullanmaldr.Risk ynetiminde ilkeler

Spesifik ihtiyalara ve durumlara cevap verebilmelidir.nsan faktrn dikkate alabilmelidir.effaf ve kapsayc (inclusive) olmaldr.Dinamik, yeniliki ve deiimlere ayak uydurabilmelidir. Srekli iyileme ve gelimeyi baarabilmelidir.Risk ynetiminde ilkeler

Riskleri tanmlanmasRisklerin deerlendirilmesiRisk ynetim plannn oluturulmasUygulama ve zlemePlann Deerlendirilmesi ve gzden geirilmesiMetodoloji

Metodoloji

Risk algs ve itah belirleyici konumda..

Doal (Inherent) Risk : Ajans sisteminin bizzat iinde faaliyet gsterdii evreden kaynaklanr.rnekler:Mevzuat RiskiFinansman riskiKalknma Ajans Ynetim Sistemine likin RisklerD destek ihtiyacnn artmasDoal afet sebebi oluacak kayplar

MetodolojiRisklerin tanmlanmas

Kontrol Riski: kontrol sisteminin doal riskleri etkili ekilde ynetememesi sonucu ortaya kan riskler olarak tanmlanabilir. rnekler: Etkinlik RiskiZaman RiskiYetki RiskiBilgiye eriim riskiPayda Memnuniyet Riskinsan Kaynaklar RiskiUsulszlk ve yolsuzluk riski

MetodolojiRisklerin tanmlanmas

Riskler tanmlandktan sonra olumsuz etkilerinin ve bu etkilerin gerekleme olaslnn deerlendirilmesi gerekmektedir.

Bu noktada temel zorluk her olay iin gemie dnk istatistiki veri bulunmad iin gerekleme olaslnn tahmin edilmesidir. Dier bir husus ise istenmeyen durumlarn gereklemesi durumunda ortaya kacak etkinin maddi olmayan varlklar (intangible assets) zerindeki etkisinin tahmin edilmesidir.

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesi

Riskin Derecesi (Risk Magnitude/Composite Risk Index)

Gerekleme Olasl*Etki Dzeyi

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesi

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesi

Riskin derecesi 1 ile 25 arasnda deer alacaktr. Bu aralk da yine keyfi olarak 3 alt kategoriye ayrlabilir. Risk deerlendirmesi endeksin deerine gre dk, orta veya yksek olarak belirlenebilir. rnein 1-8 aras dk, 9-16 aras orta, 17-25 aras yksek risk olarak belirlenebilir.

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesi

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesiETK

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesiETK5432112345OLASILIKYksek Risk Orta Risk Dk Risk

MetodolojiRisklerin deerlendirilmesi

Riskleri baka bir tarafa transfer etmek, paylamak, Riskten kanmak,Olumsuz etkileri ya da riskin olasln azaltmakRiskin etkilerinin bir ksmn veya tamamn kabullenmek olabilir.

Risk ynetim stratejileri

Risk homeostasis is a hypothesis about risk, developed by Gerald J.S. Wilde, a professor emeritus of psychology at Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada. This hypothesis is elucidated in Wilde's book.[1] The idea of risk homeostasis has garnered criticism. [2]The hypothesis of risk homeostasis holds that everyone has his or her own fixed level of acceptable risk. When the level of risk in one part of the individual's life changes, there will be a corresponding rise or fall in risk elsewhere to bring the overall risk back to that individual's equilibrium. Wilde argues that the same is true of larger human systems, e.g. a population of drivers.

For example, in a Munich study, half a fleet of taxicabs were equipped with anti-lock brakes (ABS), while the other half had conventional brake systems. The crash rate was the same for both types of cab, and Wilde concludes this was owing to drivers of ABS-equipped cabs taking more risks, assuming that ABS would take care of them, while the non-ABS drivers drove more carefully since ABS would not be there to help in case of a dangerous situation.[3]

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Kontrol faaliyetleri veya dzeltici tedbirler belirlenmelidir. Uygun ynetim kademeleri tarafndan onaylanmaldr. Risk ynetim plan uygulanabilir ve etkin tedbirler iermelidir. yi bir plan eylem plannn uygulanaca dnemi gsteren bir takvime sahip olmal ve her bir eylemle ilgili yetkili kii belirlenmelidir.

Risk ynetim plannn oluturulmas

Balangta hazrlanan plan mkemmel olmayacaktr. Uygulamada edinilen deneyimler, yaanan kayplar veya zararlar sonucu oluan bilgi birikimi plann gzden geirilmesini ve risklerin ynetilmesine ynelik olarak yeni stratejilerin belirlenmesini gerektirecektir.

Plann uygulanmas izlenmesi ve gzden geirilmesi

Eer riskler doru analiz edilemez ise zaman ve kaynak kaybna yol aabilir. Nitel risk deerlendirmesi znel sezgilere dayand iin tutarl olamamaktadr.Genellikle risk deerlendirmesi yasal bir zorunluluk olduu iin yaplmaktadr.Risk ynetim srelerinin ar ekilde bir n koul haline getirilmesi kurumun almalarn olumsuz etkileyebilir. Son olarak risk ve belirsizliin kartrlmamas gerekmektedir. Risk olaslk ve etki ile llebilirken belirsizlik iin bu mmkn deildir.

Risk ynetiminde kstlar

deal risk ynetiminde gerekleme olasl ve olumsuz etkisi en yksek riskler ncelikli olarak ele alnr ve dier riskler bu kurala gre sralanr.

Uygulamada ise gerekleme olasl yksek ancak etki dzeyi dk risklerle gerekleme olasl dk ancak ancak etki dzeyi yksek risklerin nceliklendirilmesi g olabilmektedir.

Risk ynetiminde kstlardeal-Fiili Risk Ynetimi

Bedava le yemei yoktur. Risk ynetimi iin harcanan kaynaklar daha verimli alanlarda harcanabilir. deal risk ynetimi harcanan kaynaklar en aza indirerek risklerin negatif etkilerini en aza indirir.

Risk ynetiminde kstlarRisk ynetiminin frsat maliyeti

Bilgi eksiklii riski-knowledge risk liki riski-relationship riskSre ynetimi riski (Process Management Risk) Bu riskler dorudan bilgi temelli alanlarn verimliliini drr, maliyet etkinliini, karll, hizmet kalitesini, kurum prestijini olumsuz etkiler.

Risk ynetiminde kstlarSoyut (Intangible) risk ynetimi

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