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Dr Chris Baker
11 April 2018
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report
Kingston Resources Ltd (KSN AU, $0.022. Market cap A$26m)
UPDATE: Revisiting the Umuna deposit with an initial 2.8Moz JORC resource ‘Shadow of the headframe’ exploration to commence at Misima
Investment overview
• KSN has acquired 49% of the Misima gold project and will move to 70% within months. The
Misima deposit was one of the core assets of former gold major, Placer Pacific in the 1990’s.
It consistently delivered around 300,000 low cost ounces in its early years from a large scale,
low grade open cut, until mine closure in 1999 with the gold price under US$300/oz. There
has been little significant exploration undertaken for gold on Misima for over 15 years.
• In a review of existing drill data, KSN have established a JORC standard resource of 2.8 million
ounces (82.3Mt at 1.1gpt). This we judge is an excellent base from which to build a stronger
resource to allow the start of a scoping study for mine development.
• Exploration targets include extensions of the main Umuna lode, northern extensions of the
lode, and splay structures in the SE. We are also attracted to the depth potential of the main
Umuna lode where a small number of deeper drill holes suggest that gold grade might increase
with depth.
• Mapping and trenching of key targets has begun and a new target has been discovered
(Ginamwamwa, assays from 53 samples reported, median of 1.4gpt). Drill testing will
commence in April 2018.
• As well, KSN is about to start a follow-up RAB programme at its Livingstone project (Bryah
Basin), WA.
• KSN currently holds around A$6m in cash.
• We can see a short to medium term price target of 4 to 7cps as reasonable, based on a
comparison with KSN’s peers.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 2
Background
In December 2017 KSN merged with Canadian WCB Resources. WCB had been principally exploring a copper porphyry on Misima Island in PNG located to the north of the old Placer Pacific open cut gold mine. Results were disappointing. Investors were reluctant to continue funding WCB.
KSN saw the gold potential of the old Misima gold mine as an opportunity, and proposed a nil-premium merger with WCB Resources. This was completed in late November 2017.
The merged company holds 49% of the Misima project, and is earning its way to 70% with the expenditure of a total of A$9m. (Around $1.7m remains to be spent). The 30% JV partner, Pan Pacific Copper, is owned by Japanese majors, JX Nippon Metals and Mitsui Mining and Smelting.
Since completion of the merger, KSN has upgraded the resource by some 22% to 2.8Moz (at a 1.1gpt grade) with the incorporation of deeper drill holes and with the application of JORC reporting standards, and has commenced exploration of the main Umuna lode and other targets on the island.
The company
Post-merger and a recent capital raise (A$4.5m at 2.2c) the company has 1,214m shares on issue, and a market capitalisation of around $24m. The current cash position is around A$6m.
Kingston’s executive management is led by ex-fund manager, and engineer Andrew Corbett. He is supported by geologist Andrew Paterson who is coordinating exploration, and commercial manager Chris Drew. Recently appointed exploration manager, Michael Woodbury, was involved in exploration at Misima with Placer in the early 2000’s, and will no doubt contribute strongly to the understanding of the deposit. The exploration effort is supported by a number of ex-Placer geologists.
The assets
The Misima project
• Misima was one of Placer Pacific’s best mines in the 1990’s. It was an open cut gold-silver mine
on an island in PNG that produced ca. 250-300kozpa for +10 years at low cash costs. It
produced some 3.7Moz gold and 22Moz silver over its 15 year life. The mill shut down in 2004.
Discussions with previous management confirmed that the low prevailing gold price at the
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 3
time (ca. US$300/oz) would not have allowed another cutback of the main pit. It ceased mining
in 2001 and treated low grade for 3 years. The plant was sold and the mine site rehabilitated.
• Misima was only ever a low grade mine, starting production with a reserve of 56Mt at 1.38gpt
(at a 0.7gpt cutoff grade). However, the mine consistently delivered profits and cash. The strip
ratio was low, rock was soft and the metallurgy simple (the Merrill Crowe process was
employed due to its high silver content). The mine is reported to have generated a +20% call
factor on tonnes and grade.
• The mine was a jewel in the crown of the Placer global operations in the 1990’s, consistently
being one of the company’s lowest cost producers with a life-of-mine average of US$218/oz.
Typical of Placer operations at that time, the miners selectively delivered higher grades to the
mill, stockpiling low grade ore for processing at the end of the mine life.
• One of the key cost advantages of the mine was its ability to undertake marine discharge of
tailings, eliminating the need a tailings dam tailing dams. Environmental consultants
monitored the behaviour of the largely benign waste products, and consistently gave it the
‘thumbs up’. Some of the waste was discharged into the sea as well, while much found its way
back into old pits and nearby waste dumps.
• The decision to close the mine was late 90’s when gold hit $250/oz.
Geology of the Misima orebody
The main Umuna orebody appears to be fault-hosted within Cretaceous/Paleogene metamorphic
rocks. It is believed by some geologists to be a dilatational jog within a 3km long fault/breccia zone.
Source: The Geology and Mineral Potential of PNG, Corbett (ed). 2003
Epithermal mineralisation in the Umuna lode is characterised as two styles. A low sulphidation
carbonate-base metal phase is commonest and is hosted within a multiphase extensional breccia.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 4
Minor base metals are common. The high silver is thought to have been derived from the near-surface
oxidation of silver-bearing sulphides.
Recent mapping by a consultant structural geologist has confirmed this theory, with strike slip
movement on the Umuna fault having developed an extensional component, providing an ideal host
for mineralisation.
The remnant Misima resource
• WCB undertook several NI43-101 compliant resource estimates on the remaining gold
mineralisation and at 0.5gpt COG the last reported was 73Mt at 1gpt for 2.3Moz .
• Since its acquisition, KSN has revisited the resource estimate, and incorporated a number of
drillholes which had not been used in the earlier estimate. The new resource estimate is as
follows, with the headline 2.8Moz reported for a 0.5gpt cut-off grade:
Source: KSN announcement, 27 November 2017. See Appendix 1 for more detail.
• Note that 54% of the resource is currently in an inferred category.
• What is interesting in these results is the relative steepness of the grade curve. As in its past
life, there appears to be the potential to selectively mill higher grade ore, and stockpile the
lower grade material for later processing. (This is referred to as grade streaming).
Source: KSN announcement, 27 November 2017
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 5
• It is interesting to note that at a 0.4gpt cut-off, while the grade drops to 0.9gpt, tonnes expand
to around 110mt, for some 3.2Moz. We are not suggesting that a 0.4gpt is ‘the right number’
but it does show how sensitive reserves might be to project economics.
Where did the additional resource ounces come from?
The recently added 800koz in resources emerged from:
• The incorporation of drill results previously not used in the estimate, and
• The difference in resource classification methods between Canadian NI41-101 and JORC. JORC
has a ‘reasonable expectation of being economic’ test around mineral in the ground. The 43-
101 report requires a conceptual mining method (in this case a conceptual open cut). The
shape of this open pit will have been based on reasonably conservative pit dimensions, given
this project is nowhere near at a scoping or PFS stage.
The plan below shows that most of the incremental ounce emerged from beneath the existing resource
(“Umuna US$1200 pit shell” is the 43-101 resource), with a little more to the north and some in the
east Umuna lodes/
Note that around 220koz of 2.8Moz resource is associated with a nearby satellite deposit,
Ewatinona/Quartz Mountain, which was mined by Placer in the late 1990’s.
It is worth noting that the resource consultant identified a further 10-20Mt at 0.8 to 1.2gpt as an
exploration target. This 257 to 772koz target is very much that, and there has been insufficient drilling
to define a resource.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 6
Exploration opportunities
• KSN has presented the opportunities for further resource ounces into 4 groups: the two
deposits with existing resources, the old Umuna and Quartz Mountain pits, Umuna East and
Misima North.
• In total there are over 7 kilometres of strike potential to be evaluated.
• Not to say that previous owners (Placer in particular) did not undertake regional exploration.
They did. But a sub US$300/oz gold price and political uncertainties in PNG might well have
seen the precious exploration dollar directed elsewhere. WCB’s main exploration target was
for copper.
Misima – Umuna and Quartz Mountain lodes
• The down dip extension of the Umuna lode likely represents the ‘easiest’ additional ounces.
Moreover, there seems to be a suggestion that grades might improve at depth.
• Looking back at the long section above, we can see a smattering of deeper drill holes (400-
500m), testing down-plunge extensions of the richer section of the orebody. Grades reported
are over twice the resource grade. The section below is though this zone.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 7
Source: KSN corporate presentation, September 2017
• We understand that under 9% of the numerous drill holes were over 200 metres in depth. Its
fair to say that the depth potential of the Umuna deposit is open.
• Other comments in the technical literature refers to marked primary zonation at depth.
(References available on request). One particular paper refers to a move from low iron
sphalerite (zinc sulphide) nearer to surface, to higher iron sphalerite at depth. The epithermal
experts will say that this is low temperature moving to higher temperatures of deposition. And
with that might come differing grades and differing ratios of gold to silver.
• So is it possible that grades will consistently improve with depth. This is a completely
reasonable exploration model which is yet to be tested.
• Note as well that the old Umuna pit was part-filled with waste. So, there will be additional
cost required to access the deeper ore.
• At Quartz Mountain, KSN report that mineralisation remains open at depth. The average drill
hole depth here was only 90m.
Umuna East and Misima North targets
• The historic soil geochem plan, above, shows the exploration opportunity here.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 8
• Umuna East seems to consist of splay structures of the main Umuna lode. Here the exploration
opportunities are over a 2 to 3km strike, with historic trenching, and limited drilling suggesting
the potential for moderate grade mineralisation near to the surface. KSN reports two zones
of mineralisation in the splays, one 40m at 1.19gpt the other 90m at 1.65gpt. These are
believed to be undrilled. Exploration success here could be very important, as it could deliver
near surface, low strip ounces, which could assist the average stripping ratio of the main pit
itself.
• The Misima North targets represent a 3km plus potential extension of the Umuna lode. This
target is supported by underground historic mining and surface geochem. Recent mapping by
a consultant has reaffirmed Misima North as a key target.
To stress, its not to say that these targets were not drilled during the Placer era. As the following plan
shows, exploration was very much focussed on the Umuna deposit itself. Much of the step-out
exploration was undertaken using RC drilling, not an issue in itself, but clearly the drill spacing is
considerably wider, and quite possibly shallower.
Source: AMC Technical Report, September 2013
The recent Ginamwamwa (“Gina”) discovery
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 9
Channel sampling by KSN geologists have identified satellite mineralisation to the south of the Umuna
mine. Mineralisation was highlighted by artisanal miners working to recover alluvial gold in an area
immediately NE of the old Placer mill site.
Some 53 surface samples have delivered assays of 0.5gpt (minimum reported) to 39.5gpt with a
median of 1.4gpt, coincidently close to the original resource grade of the deposit. We would be
cautious reading too much into these chip samples, but the discovery is certainly encouraging.
2018 drill programme
Drilling is scheduled to commence April 2018. Key targets are:
• The main Umuna shear, under existing workings (see “Figure 3” above).
• Quartz Mountain.
• The recent Ginamwamwa discovery.
KSN have proposed a 2800m diamond drilling program, some 12-14 holes which should be completed
within 3 months. The cost for drilling alone is likely to be around A$800,000, we estimate. The
company has sufficient cash to allow drilling to continue, if warranted.
Misima…what could it be?
The old Misima Mine, its satellites and surface gold anomalies deserve further exploration. From what
we have seen of historic reporting there has been little attention paid to the gold potential of the
island. Previous explorers, WCB Resources, were focussed on the area’s porphyry copper potential.
(This was a valid target, but results were disappointing). So often have we seen gold mines of the 70’s,
80’s and 90’s revisited with a drill rig to see substantial additional reserves identified.
The 2.8moz of measured, indicated and inferred is a great place to start. An aggressive drill programme
should rapidly upgrade the inferred resource to M&I, thereby allowing some preliminary economic
scoping studies. Remember, Misima was an exceptional mine for Placer in the 90’s: simple geology,
simple bulk scale mining and no-nonsense metallurgy. This is a good place to start.
Simultaneously, the geologists will be looking hard for higher grade satellite deposits to provide
additional mill feed.
It is far too early to speculate as to what “New Misima” might be. But unless the project passes an
initial sniff test, it would not be worth our while spending time.
Resource potential: let’s assume that exploration in 2018 and possibly 2019 delivers a M&I resource
of 2.8Moz plus 25% = 3.5Moz.
Reserve potential: let’s assume a 60% resource to reserve conversion, so reserves on this basis would
be 2.1Moz. At a reserve grade of 1.1gpt, this would represent a tonneage of 60Mt.
The following table summarises a ‘what if’ scenario:
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 10
It should be stressed that this is educated guesswork and should not be used in formulating a valuation
for KSN, but it does suggest that with a 2Moz reserve, and modest grade streaming early in the mine’s
life, a 170-180kozpa project at around US$800/oz could be targeted for a +10 year life. So, this is a
target worth testing.
Note in the above example, we have assumed that in the early years that higher grade ore would be
streamed to the mill.
It is far too early to speculate the capex required for a project of this scale.
Other assets held by Kingston
Livingstone Gold project, Bryah Basin WA.
The Livingstone Gold Project (KSN 75%) is an advanced exploration project with an existing JORC2004
Inferred mineral resource of 49,900 ounces and a number of high-grade drilling intersections that
indicate excellent potential for additional discoveries.
Located 140km northwest of Meekatharra in the Peak Hill mineral field of Western Australia,
Livingstone covers 204km2 of the western Bryah Basin.
Recent drilling has generated encouraging results including 7m at 12.6gpt and 18m at 3gpt. Recent
auger sampling has identified a large (4x5km) area of gold anomalism worthy of further drill testing.
The project is within trucking distance of other deposits within the Bryah Basin. Westgold
recommissioned the old Fortnum plant in 2017 and is undoubtedly looking for satellite feed.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 11
A follow-up drilling programme is planned for April 2018, with 8000m of RAB drilling designed to follow
up last years auger programme.
Source: KSN release, 4/4/18
Lithium projects
KSN was recapitalised in 2016 as a lithium play. The company’s lithium assets include:
• Bynoe/Wingate Projects: Both projects are within the 180km long Litchfield Pegmatite Belt,
which lies close to Darwin. This is probably the most interesting of KSN’s lithium plays as it
adjoins the Bynoe and Finnis lithium projects of Core Exploration (CXO AU, not covered). The
Core tenements were bought in November 2017 from Liontown Resources for $1.5m and
approx. $2.7m in CXO shares. KSN’s Lei deposit, located adjacent to Core’s tenements, has
already yielded encouraging drill results, including one intercept of 12m at 1.43% Li2O.
• North Arunta Projects: Kingston holds a number of tenements within the Alcoota Pegmatite
Region and the Barrow Creek Pegmatite Field within the Arunta Region.
• Mt Cattlin Project: Within the project area, the Deep Purple South Prospect lies 14km south-
west of the established Mt Cattlin lithium mine (GXY) and 15km from the town of
Ravensthorpe, providing an ideal infrastructure setting.
• Greenbushes Project: The Greenbushes tenement adjoins the southern border of Talison’s
Greenbushes mine, the largest hard rock lithium mine in the world. The site contains a series
of mineralised pegmatites which have intruded along the Donnybrook-Bridgetown shear zone.
Should KSN deliver a successful project out of Misima, it would be realistic to imagine that the lithium
assets would be sold, or spun out into a separate vehicle.
What could Misima be worth to KSN?
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 12
Valuation of ounces gold in the ground is always one of the great imponderables as the implicit value
of ounces (ie NPV per ounce) will vary so much depending on the quality of those ounces. Nonetheless
it is appropriate to try and make an estimate as to what a company could be worth when judges against
its peers. For consistency, we have used much the same peer group reported by KSN in recent
presentation. Updating for current share prices (and resource additions) the median EV per resource
ounce for 22 small to mid cap pre development gold companies is A$44/resource ounce. Excluding
the pre-development companies (such as Dacian and Gascoyne) the median score drops to A$38/oz.
Needless to say, the spread is wide. At the low end, we see Azumah, Nusantara and Geopacific in the
$10-20/resource ounce range. These hold projects which carry some baggage with the market. At the
high end, again excluding financed projects, in construction, we see the market favourites like West
African Resources (at $96/oz), Echo (at $79/oz). Even OreCorp, despite its Tanzanian exposure, is
trading at $44/oz.
The following analysis is very much a ‘what if’ for Kingston. What if the market was to pay roughly half
the peer group average for KSN’s current resource, the stock could trade at 4cps. What if the
forthcoming drilling programme added 10% to resources and then valued these ounces in line with its
peers, we could expect a per share value of 7-9cps.
We see a realistic share price target range of 4 to 7cps over the medium term.
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 13
Appendix 1
Misima resources statement, November 2017
KINGSTON RESOURCES (ASX: KSN) | Research report Page | 14
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Disclosures
Dr Chris Baker, an authorised representative of BCP, certifies that the advice in this report reflects his honest
view of the company. He has 29 years investment experience in wholesale capital markets. He worked as a
mining analyst for brokers BZW and UBS for 11 years and has a further 16 years’ experience as a mining analyst
and portfolio manager with Colonial First State and Caledonia Investments. He now provides independent
financial advice on a part time basis. He may own securities in companies he recommends, but will declare this
when providing advice. He currently owns shares in KSN. He is remunerated from corporate finance fees.