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© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
Emotions Matter!
Part 1
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
Fear = Freezing
© 2013. All Rights Reserved.
Moving Beyond Won’t or Can’t Say
3
95% of mental activity is
subconscious.
What % of mental activity is
subconscious?
Thoughts &
Self-reported
Feelings
Intuitive
Emotions
© 2013. All Rights Reserved.
SENSE – FEEL – think- DO
4 ©Sensory Logic 2012
© 2013. All Rights Reserved.
Brain Exchange: 10x Ratio
5
Emotional
Rational (10%)
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Testing Issues
71% 44% 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Not Pre-tested Pre-tested
Effectiveness Success Rate %
“Cases with favorable pre-testing results
did significantly worse in market than those that were not tested.”
Binet and Field,
Marketing in the Era of Accountability, 2007
© 2013. All Rights Reserved.
The Future of Marketing
7
Information
Talking Points
On-Message On-Emotion
Feeling Points
Satisfaction
20th
Century
21st Century
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Step Closer… Step Ahead.
sensory emotive
non-verbal
conscious
verbal
rational
subconscious
rational
verbal
conscious
Traditional Economics Behavioral Economics vs.
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
QUANTIFYING EMOTIONS:
FACIAL CODING
Part 2
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
Mona Lisa
10
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Mona Lisa
11
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“Lie to Me”
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History of Facial Coding
1872
• Scientific Theory: Charles Darwin
– Universal
– Spontaneous
– Abundant
• Theory Refined: Paul Ekman, Ph.D.
– 43 facial muscles,
express universal core
emotions
• Business Inventor:
Dan Hill, Ph.D.
– Pioneer in using facial
coding to create
emotional metrics
– U.S. Patent Portfolio Science Psychology Business
1965 1998
© 2013. All Rights Reserved.
History of Facial Coding
2005
2009-2011
Which tool will have the most transformative
impact on MR?
“The reviewers felt that neuroscience suggests
that neurological methods (fMRI)and facial
coding are best suited to assess the emotional
valence of viewer reactions”
- The ARF NeuroStandards
Collaboration Project
2011
2010
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Sales Correlation to Super Bowl TV Spots
Electroencephalography (EEG)
Facial Coding
USA Today .0003
EEG .232
Facial Coding .6112
Seventeen automotive TV spots were
analyzed over the past 3 years.
Rating
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
FROM FLEETING TO ENDURING:
PERSONALITY
Part 3
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
The Problem
In general, “evidence indicates
that demographic measures,
outside of education, are not an
accurate predictor of consumer
behavior.”
Sales/Marketing Management (11/09)
Only 15% of major companies surveyed derive real value from
creating segmentation typology.
(Marakon 2006)
Only 6% of marketers have
excellent knowledge of customers, 51% have fair to little
knowledge.
(CMO Council 2008)
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Solution: Big 5 Traits Model
“Surprisingly, most marketers have
no idea how well the Big 5 can
predict consumer behavior. The Big 5 predict attitudes, values, self-
concepts, and motivations.”
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Myers-Briggs Inadequate
19
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The Elements
20
“The fifth element is mud.”
-Napoleon Bonaparte
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Male Version: Big 5 Examples
Openness Conscientiousness Extraversion
Agreeableness Neuroticism
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Female Version: Big 5 Examples
Openness Conscientiousness Extraversion
Agreeableness Neuroticism
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Traits by State
• States that vote Democratic tend to be higher on openness and extraversion, vs. conscientiousness for Republicans
Neuroticism Openness
Extraversion
Source: Gosling, Snoop: What Your Stuff Says About You
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
White vs. Wheat Bread
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White Bread Supporters
0%
0%
13%
0%
0%
7%
23%
21%
29%
7%
0% 50% 100%
True Smile
Robust Smile
Weak Smile
Micro Smile
Surprise
Skeptical
Dislike
Sadness
Frustration
Anxiety
Emotional Profile
13%
87%
1 – White Bread Traditionalists 2 – White Bread Neutralists 0%
4%
15%
0%
1%
4%
39%
5%
27%
6%
0% 50% 100%
True Smile
Robust Smile
Weak Smile
Micro Smile
Surprise
Skeptical
Dislike
Sadness
Frustration
Anxiety
Emotional Profile
20%
80%
Traditionalists exhibit 2x more sadness than any of the other three segments. Meanwhile, the Neutralists are notable for showing 1/3rd more dislike than any other segment.
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
Whole Wheat Supporters
0%
6%
0%
0%
6%
12%
10%
0%
55%
12%
0% 50% 100%
True Smile
Robust Smile
Weak Smile
Micro Smile
Surprise
Skeptical
Dislike
Sadness
Frustration
Anxiety
Emotional Profile3 – Healthy Whole Wheaters 4 – Sophisticated Whole Wheaters
12%
88%
0%
36%
9%
0%
0%
0%
21%
9%
18%
6%
0% 50% 100%
True Smile
Robust Smile
Weak Smile
Micro Smile
Surprise
Skeptical
Dislike
Sadness
Frustration
Anxiety
Emotional Profile
45%
55%
The Healthy Whole Wheaters are most notable for having 2x more frustration than any other segment. Sophisticated Whole Wheaters, in contrast, are all about enjoyment.
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
SUMMARY
Part 4
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Facial Coding: Big Micro Data
• Walmart’s transaction
databases – 2.5
petrabytes
• 40 billion Facebook
photos
• Amount of digital
information increases 10x
every 5 years
28
• Walmart’s transaction
databases – 2.5
petrabytes
• 40 billion Facebook
photos
• Amount of digital
information increases 10x
every 5 years
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.
And Then You and the Client Can Be (Really) Smiling
True Fake Fake Fake True
Fake True Fake True Fake
Fake Fake True True True
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Go Deeper Than Online Behavior or Social Media Chatter
30
Emotions
Personality
Traits Values
Immediate
Lifetime
© 2014. All Rights Reserved.