Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
Interim Results
15 February 2007
2
0
300
600
900
FY06 H1 FY07
Key features - financial
• Sales revenue up 88% to R14.9 billion (US$2.1 billion)
• Gross profit up 112% primarily on higher metal prices
• Headline earnings per share up 135% to R8.24 per share
• Interim dividend of R2.75 per share
• Dividend cover lowered from 1.9 to 1.7 times cover
HEPScps
H1
H2
H1
H1
H2H1
2
3
Key features - operational
• LTIFR improved by 4%
• Gross platinum production rose by 8.5% to 1.018 million ounces
• Group gross margin at 47%
• Group unit costs up 20% due to lower production at Impala Lease
• Group capital expenditure of R1.4 billion
Gross refined platinum production
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
H1 FY06 H1 FY07
oz
4
Key features – corporate
• Agreement reached to convert RBN royalty to equity
• Binding transaction to acquire 29.9% of Afplats’ SA assets concluded
• Possible offer for Afplats plc
• Offtake agreements signed with Ridge Mining and Afplats
• 8:1 share split approved and implemented
• Market capitalization exceeded R120 billion for the first time
• Smelter expansion to support 2.8 million ounces of platinum approved
3
Financial review
6
Group income statement
R million H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY2006Sales 14,860 7,920 88 17,500
Cost of sales (7,869) (4,615) (71) (10,185)
Gross profit 6,991 3,305 112 7,315
Profit before tax 6,269 2,769 126 7,001
Tax (1,876) (943) (99) 2,616
DPS (cps) ordinary 275 125 120 400
(cps) special - 688 - 688
Net profit 4,347 1,815 140 4,345
HEPS (cps) 824 351 135 751
4
7
Headline profit by entity
15894413
261
1,842
4,347
1,579
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
H1 FY06 Impala IRS Zimbabwe Marula Other H1 FY07
Rm
Up 136%
8
Group cash flows
Cash at end of period
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Dec 2005 June 2006 Dec 2006
Rm
5
9
Group capital expenditure
• Capex in excess of R13 billion planned over next five yearsRm
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11Maintenance Expansion
Market review
6
11
Sales volumes by metal
H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY2006
Platinum (000oz) 909 833 9 1,582
Palladium (000oz) 422 440 (4) 896
Rhodium (000oz) 108 93 16 193
Nickel (000t) 8.6 6.7 28 14.8
12
Prices achieved by major metals
H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY2006
Platinum ($/oz) 1,164 911 28 988
Palladium ($/oz) 320 207 55 258
Rhodium ($/oz) 4,664 2,260 106 3,015
Nickel ($/t) 28,526 14,218 101 15,343
Exchange rate (R/$ - ave) 7.25 6.49 12 6.37
7
13
Contribution to sales revenue by metal
H1 FY06
62%8%
17%
8%5%
H1 FY07
7%
24%
12%6%
51%
Platinum Palladium Rhodium Nickel Other
14
Basket revenue per platinum ounce
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 H1 FY07600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400R/Pt oz $/Pt oz
$/Pt ozR/Pt oz
8
15
Platinum
• Diesel autocatalyst growth continues to drive demand
• Increasing diesel share of European light duty vehicles
• Growing demand for particulate filters
• Stricter emission legislation encompassing heavy duty vehicles
• Industrial demand remains robust
• Price sensitive jewellery sector declined – but necessary to balance
overall market
16
Platinum supply and demand
(150)
(100)(50)
0
50
100150
200
CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY070
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
(Deficit)/Surplus Pt Price
000 oz Price ($/oz)
Forecast
9
17
Palladium
• Autocatalyst demand grew further
• Tighter emission legislation in countries outside North America,
Europe and Japan
• Growth in vehicle sales
• Jewellery demand fell
• Inventory draw-down
• Increased recycling
18
Palladium supply and demand
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY070
100
200
300
400
Surplus Pd Price
000 oz Price ($/oz)
Forecast
10
19
Rhodium supply and demand
(50)
(20)
10
40
70
100
CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY070
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
(Deficit)/Surplus Rh Price
000 oz Price ($/oz)
Forecast
Group operational review
11
21
Safety
Fatality Frequency Rate
0.1390.128
0.104
0.0630.069
0.000
0.050
0.100
0.150
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 H1 FY07
(per
mill
ion
man
hou
rs)
Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate5.65
4.80
3.573.41 3.26
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 H1 FY07(p
er m
illio
n m
an h
ours
)
22
Tonnes milled
000 t H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY2006
Group* 10,714 10,394 3 20,197
Impala 8,526 8,555 0 16,441
Marula 739 463 60 971
Mimosa 833 764 9 1,532
Zimplats 1,032 995 4 2,019
* Group includes 50% of Mimosa
12
23
Refined platinum production
000 oz H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY2006
545
29
37
46
Other IRS 361 249 45 529
Group 1,018 938 9 1,846
1,125(8)591
18 37
35
62
6 66
3 8945
Impala
Marula
Mimosa
Zimplats
24
Cost per platinum ounce
R/oz H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY 2006(Refined) (22)
12Zimplats (In matte) 7,050 6,760 (4) 6,458
(4)
(20)
(In concentrate)
4,604
9,443
5,133
4,912
(In concentrate)
Group* (Refined) 5,647 4,690
5,369
8,235
4,919
4,398
9,397
4,721
Impala*
Marula*
Mimosa
* Excluding share based payments
13
25
Operating margins
% H1 2007 H1 2006 % change FY2006
63
53
73
47
IRS 11 15 (29) 14
Group 47 42 13 42
532650
34 42
49
55
50 53
- 19(1)
Impala
Zimplats
Mimosa
Marula
26
Impala
14
27
Impala
• Fatality rate deteriorated
• LTIFR improved marginally
• Grade marginally up at 3.82 g/t (4.67 g/t 6PGE)
• Recoveries down 1.8% on lower Merensky volumes and grade
• Refined platinum down 7.8% at 545,000 ounces
28
Platinum production comparison
571
526 526535
545
20
259
10
155
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
H1 FY06 Merensky UG2 UG2 Opencast H1 FY07
Reclaim
Grade
Tonnage
Recoveries
000 oz
15
29
Solutions and timeframes
End March 2007
June 2008
End March 2007
• 11 Shaft
People and logistics
• 12 Shaft
Panel re-establishment
• 14 Shaft
Partial mine layout redevelopment
• Additional issues
In-stope roof bolting
DDT’s
Skills shortage
30
Marula
16
31
Marula
• Excellent safety performance
• Ramp-up to full production on schedule
• Tonnes milled 60% higher at 739,000
• Grade 2% higher at 4.06 g/t (6PGE)
• Platinum production in concentrate up 76% to 33,200 ounces
• Unit cost per platinum ounce 12% lower mainly due to higher volumes
• Conversion to conventional mining ahead of schedule
32
Zimplats
17
33
Zimplats
• Excellent safety performance
• Platinum production in matte up 6% at 46,100 ounces
• Unit cost per platinum ounce increased by 4% to R7,050/oz
• Portal 2 underground mine at full production and completed well under
budget
• Pebble crusher has been commissioned and throughput increased
• Phase 1 expansion to 160,000 ounces of platinum commenced
34
Mimosa
18
35
Mimosa
• Safety disappointing
• Tonnes milled up 9%
• Platinum production up 5% at 38,400 ounces
• Unit costs per platinum ounce increased by 4% to R4,919/oz
• Phase V expansion to 100,000 ounces of platinum per annum
commenced
36
Two Rivers
19
37
Two Rivers
• Plant fully operational after initial commissioning problems
• Produced 31,000 ounces of platinum in concentrate in first six months
• Ramp-up to full underground production back on track following
industrial action
Corporate issues
20
39
Corporate issues
• RBN royalty transaction replaced IRS transaction
• Shareholder approval received
• Awaiting promulgation of the Amendment to Income Tax Act
• Approval by Minister of Land Affairs outstanding
• Applications for conversion of mineral rights remain work in progress
Prospects
21
41
Prospects
• Robust PGM market
• Increase in production to 2.3 million platinum ounces by FY2010
on track
• Smelter expansion to support 2.8 million ounces
• Significant further upside potential in Zimbabwe
• Safety, volumes and grade management remain operational priorities
• Highly cash generative
• Excellent dividend yield
One Team, One Vision … With Pride