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h 632.20 603.75 630.06 650.35 4.71% -2.79%
h 1218.6 1187.8 1202.7 1392.2 2.59% -12.47%
h 322.28 312.53 314.87 376.32 3.12% -14.36%
h 0.5154 0.5067 0.5142 0.5687 1.72% -9.37%
Rough Rice h 14.64 14.54 15.11 15.03 0.69% -2.65%
h 639.05 603.50 627.00 840.40 5.89% -23.96%
i 1.487 1.520 1.541 1.645 -2.17% -9.58%
i 1.506 1.550 1.561 1.674 -2.84% -10.01%
h 17.09 17.08 17.12 13.52 0.08% 26.42%
i 1.558 1.580 1.592 2.100 -1.39% -25.81%
h 1.257 1.233 1.230 1.059 2.02% 18.69%
i 2.090 2.212 2.198 2.150 -5.52% -2.79%
h 0.5890 0.5775 0.5730 0.5100 1.99% 15.49%
n 1.19 1.19 1.15 1.20 0.00% -1.25%
h 0.9075 0.9050 0.9030 0.8500 0.28% 6.76%
h 55.20 54.50 54.52 58.80 1.28% -6.12%
h 108.40 108.00 108.08 86.60 0.37% 25.17%
i 99.38 100.04 100.10 87.27 -0.66% 13.87%
h 302.90 302.83 307.00 264.40 0.02% 14.56%
i 384.80 385.40 382.08 343.00 -0.16% 12.19%
i 338.90 339.10 334.38 311.00 -0.06% 8.97%
i 2.018 2.406 2.655 4.437 -16.13% -54.52%
h 1.2807 1.2744 0.0000 1.3653 0.49% -6.20%
*British Pound h 1.5406 1.5393 1.5520 1.5880 0.08% -2.98%
i 1.0144 1.0199 1.0171 0.9969 -0.54% 1.76%
i 6.315 6.324 6.315 6.582 -0.14% -4.06%
i 0.925 0.944 0.941 0.946 -1.97% -2.21%
h 34.25 34.21 36.41 38.16 0.12% -10.25%
i 2.1735 2.2540 1.5125 2.3060 -3.57% -5.75%
* Used as the indexing unit of measure for this exchange rate
January 30, 2012
1/23/2012 This
Week
Last
Week YTD Avg Last Year
vs. Last
Week
Commodity Activity - Weekly Average
Pork Bellies
Butter AA
vs. Last
Year1/16/2012
CME Group
Corn
Soybean
Soy Meal
Soybean Oil
Wheat
Cheddar Barrel
Cheddar Block
Milk Class III
Source: CME Group
USDA Weekly Prices
Live Cattle
Course Ground Beef
Live Hog
Market Commentary
*Euro
Canadian Dollar
Chinese Yuan
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
NYBOT Futures
Sugar 16
Coffee
Source: Intercontinental Exchange
Swiss Frank
Federal Reserve
Chicken Whole (GA Dock)
Crude Corn Oil
On Highway Gasoline
Natural Gas
Source: New York Mercantile Exchange
Crude Oil
Crude Peanut Oil
Source: USDA
NYMEX Futures & Retail
Heating Oil No.2 Spot
On Highway Diesel
Key Commodity Report Weekly
Commodity Information: Commodity information found in this sheet is publically available. It can be found from numerous sources, all of which are noted. This report is for informational purposes only. Please do not make hedging or buying decisions based on this report. Please note that rounding can affect the percent of change values.
1.92
1.925
1.93
1.935
1.94
1.945
1.95
Paul's U.S. Currency Index
$0.2800
$0.3800
$0.4800
$0.5800
$0.6800
$35.00
$55.00
$75.00
$95.00
$115.00
$135.00
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Soybean Oil & Crude Oil Relationship
Crude Soybean Oil
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
$110.00
$120.00
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX
580
590
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
This WeekLast Week YTD Avg Last Year
Corn
1.40
1.45
1.50
1.55
1.60
1.65
1.70
ThisWeek
LastWeek
YTD Avg Last Year
Cheddar Block
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
ThisWeek
LastWeek
YTD Avg Last Year
Coffee
Commentary: The markets rallied last week and data would suggest that it was speculators jumping in and buying. It also appears that the AG markets are oversold suggesting a decline next week. The markets are still very much range locked, but we may move toward the low side of that range for the coming week. The rally for last week had nothing to do with demand. Demand from China was down, and the USDA report about calf/cattle supply was the lowest since 1952. Bad news for the price of beef and demand for soybean meal. Feed prices and drought in Texas and Oklahoma have contributed to the lower cattle numbers, in fact it is the fifth consecutive annual contraction of the feeder cattle in the U.S. This is very important fact for soybean meal and soybean oil spread. Usually meal is processed for feed and the oil is a byproduct of that production. When demand is upside down and we crush beans to get the oil versus the meal, crush margins are affected negatively and storage for meal becomes and issue. It usually sends basis levels higher for soybean oil too. The U.S. dollar lost a lot of ground last week and is at its lowest point so far for the year suggesting higher prices. Also weather is still very hot and dry in South America. Rains that have materialized are not what was expected, and many areas of the growing region are expecting a poor harvest. Corn futures closed between $6.20 and $6.41-3/4 per bushel, ending the week at $6.41-3/4. Soybean futures closed between $12.17-1/2 and $12.22-3/4 per bushel, ending the week at $12.19. Soybean meal futures closed between $321.00 and $323.60 per short ton, ending the week at $322.20. Soybean oil futures closed between $0.5135 and $0.5194 per pound, ending the week at $0.5159. Wheat futures closed between $6.19-3/4 and $6.53-1/2 per bushel, ending the week at $6.47-1/4.
Corn - CBOT Weekly Futures Price
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Corn - CBOT Average Weekly Price - Dollars / Bushel
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
2
Soybeans - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / Bushel
800.00
900.00
1,000.00
1,100.00
1,200.00
1,300.00
1,400.00
1,500.00
1,600.00
1,700.00
1,800.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Soybeans - CBOT Average Weekly Price Dollars / Bushel
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
3
Soybean Meal - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / US Ton
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
400.00
450.00
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Soybean Meal - CBOT Average Weekly Price Dollars / U.S. (short ton)
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
4
Soybean Oil - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Cents / Pound
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Soybean Oil - CBOT Average Weekly Price - Cents / Pound
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
5
Rough Rice - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / CWT
9.00
11.00
13.00
15.00
17.00
19.00
21.00
23.00
25.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Rough Rice - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / CWT
2011 2010 2009 2008 Average
6
Wheat - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / Bushel
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
800.00
900.00
1,000.00
1,100.00
1,200.00
1,300.00
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Wheat - CBOT Average Weekly Price - Dollars / Bushel
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
7
Coffee - (KC) NYBOT Average Weekly Price - Dollars per Pound
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
Ap
ril
Jun
e
July
July
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Coffee - (KC) NYBOT Average Weekly Price Dollars / Pound
2011 2010 2009 2008 Average
8
Barrel Cheddar - CME Average Weekly Price / Pound
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20
2.40
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Barrel Cheddar - CME Average Weekly Dollars per Pound
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
9
40 LB Block Cheddar - CME Average Weekly Price / Pound
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Block Cheddar 40 #- CME Average Weekly Dollars per Pound
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
10
Milk Class III - CME Average Weekly Price CWT
9.00
11.00
13.00
15.00
17.00
19.00
21.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Milk Class III- CME Average Weekly Price cwt
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 4-Yr-Avg*
11
Butter AA - CME Average Weekly Price lb
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Butter AA- CME Average Weekly Price lb
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
12
Live Cattle - Average Weekly Price USDA - 6 State Average
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Live Cattle - Average Weekly Price
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
13
USDA Coarse ground 81% Steer & Heifer Source
1.15
1.35
1.55
1.75
1.95
2.15D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
USDA Coarse ground 81% Steer & Heifer Source
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
14
USDA Live Hogs - Average Weekly Price
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Live Hogs - Average Weekly Price
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
15
USDA Bellies, Skin-On, Trimmed 14-16#
0.45
0.65
0.85
1.05
1.25
1.45
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
USDA Bellies, Skin-On, Trimmed 14-16#
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 4-Yr-Avg*
16
Georgia Dock Chicken - Final Weekly Price
0.75
0.77
0.79
0.81
0.83
0.85
0.87
0.89D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Georgia Dock Chicken Whole Bird - Final Weekly Price
2012 2011 2010 2009
17
USDA Weekly Price - Crude Corn Oil
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
USDA Illinois Weekly Price - Crude Corn Oil
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
18
USDA Weekly Price - Crude Peanut Oil
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
130.00
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
USDA Weekly Price - Crude Peanut Oil
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
19
Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX
35
55
75
95
115
135
155D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX
2010 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
20
$30.00
$50.00
$70.00
$90.00
$110.00
$130.00
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX
21
Heating Oil - Average Weekly Spot Price - NY Harbour
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
400.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Heating Oil - Average Weekly Spot Price - NY Harbour
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
22
Diesel - Average Weekly Highway Price
180.00
230.00
280.00
330.00
380.00
430.00
480.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Diesel - Average Weekly Highway Price
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
23
Gasoline Unleaded - Average Weekly Highway Price
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
400.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Gasoline - Average Weekly Highway Price
2012 2010 2009 2008 4-Yr-Avg* 2011
24
Natural Gas Futures - New York Mercantile Exchange
2.80
4.80
6.80
8.80
10.80
12.80D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Natural Gas Futures - New York Mercantile Exchange
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
25
Sugar #16 - New York Board of Trade (ICE)
18.00
23.00
28.00
33.00
38.00
43.00
48.00D
ece
mb
er
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Sugar #16 - New York Board of Trade (ICE)
2011 2010 2009 2008
26
$-
$100.00
$200.00
$300.00
$400.00
$500.00
$600.00
$700.00
$800.00
$900.00
$35.00
$55.00
$75.00
$95.00
$115.00
$135.00
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Corn & Crude Relationship
Crude Corn
$0.2800
$0.3300
$0.3800
$0.4300
$0.4800
$0.5300
$0.5800
$0.6300
$0.6800
$0.7300
$35.00
$55.00
$75.00
$95.00
$115.00
$135.00
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Soybean Oil & Crude Oil Relationship
Crude Soybean Oil
Foreign Exchange Rate - Euro, EMU Members
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
1.50
1.55
1.60
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Foreign Exchange Rate - Euro, EMU Members Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
29
Foreign Exchange Rate - Canadian Dollar
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Foreign Exchange Rate - Canadian Dollar Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
30
Foreign Exchange Rate - Chinese Yuan
6.00
6.20
6.40
6.60
6.80
7.00
7.20
7.40
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Foreign Exchange Rate - Chinese Yuan Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010 2009 4-Yr-Avg*
31
Foreign Exchange Rate
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
De
cem
ber
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Thailand - Baht Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010 2008
32
Foreign Exchange Rate
5.3
5.5
5.7
5.9
6.1
6.3
6.5
6.7
6.9
Jan
uar
y
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Nowegian Krone Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010
33
Foreign Exchange Rate
460
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
Jan
uar
y
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Chile Peso Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010
34
Foreign Exchange Rate
17000
17500
18000
18500
19000
19500
20000
20500
21000
Jan
uar
y
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Vietnam Dong Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010
35
Foreign Exchange Rate
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
Jan
uar
y
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
India Rupee Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010
36
Foreign Exchange Rate
2.7
2.75
2.8
2.85
2.9
2.95
3
3.05
3.1
Jan
uar
y
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
be
r
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
be
r
De
cem
ber
Peruvian New Sol Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2012 2011 2010
37
Consumer Price Index - Monthly
200.0
205.0
210.0
215.0
220.0
225.0Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Ap
r
May Jun
Jul
Au
g
Sep
Oct
No
v
De
c
Consumer Price Index - Monthly Bureau of Labor and Statistics
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Average
38
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Electricity
Fuel Oil
Bread White
Ground Beef
Chicken
Eggs
Milk
Electricity Fuel Oil Bread White Ground Beef Chicken Eggs Milk
DEC 11 vs. DEC 10 0.025328244 0.182900094 0.024531025 0.113574352 0.046875 0.045175683 0.074442435
YTD 0.02093795 0.276464221 0.051941748 0.096400402 0.022298456 0.066177947 0.096082042
Consumer Price Index- Growth Percentage Bureau of Labor & Standards
DEC 11 vs. DEC 10 YTD
Producer Price Index - Monthly
155
160
165
170
175
180
185
190
195
200Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Ap
r
May Jun
Jul
Au
g
Sep
Oct
No
v
De
c
Producer Price Index - Monthly Bureau of Labor and Statistics
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
40
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%
Flour
Corn Sweetners
Dairy
Shortening & Cooking Oil
Bakery
Beef
Pork
Chicken
Turkey
Meat
Bottled Beer
FlourCorn
Sweetners
Dairy
Shortening &
CookingOil
Bakery Beef Pork Chicken Turkey MeatBottled
Beer
DEC 11 vs. DEC 10 -0.0042250.10946590.11627910.16334360.04848480.1525157 0.07 0.05728430.09490580.1181760.0353982
YTD 0.00657280.11369650.12308560.15989260.04727270.16116350.11333330.08203680.11235170.11881820.0328698
PPI Commodities - Growth Percentage Bureau of Labor & Standards
DEC 11 vs. DEC 10 YTD