1
Jonathan Crush WHILE there is much talk in global and national policy arenas about the relationship between migration and development, the link between migration and food security rarely enters discussions. At the same time, those debating food security disregard migration in their focus on enhancing agricul- tural production by smallholders. And while these policy conver- sations are happening, rural house- holds throughout southern Africa are buying more and more of their food, rather than growing it, and doing so with cash that they receive from household members who have moved to cities within the country and across borders to earn money. The reality is that migration is a critical food security strategy for rural, and many urban, households. The evidence for southern Africa is that households that receive re- mittances do not invest this money in agriculture but in basic necessi- ties – mostly food. Research by the Southern Afri- can Migration Programme has found cash remittances to be the most important source of income in all Southern African Development Community countries, with 74 per- cent of all migrant-sending house- holds receiving remittances (with as many as 95 percent in Lesotho and 83 percent in Zimbabwe). In-country wage employment was a source of income for 40 percent of households, followed by remittances in kind, including food (37 percent). At the other end of the spectrum, only 8 percent of households receive income from the sale of agricultural produce and only 5 percent receive social grants. This means that rural food secu- rity may be improved but will not be resolved by the current approach that focuses only on agriculture. The simplest way to examine the relationship between international migration and food security is to ascertain how migrants address their own food and nutrition needs in the country they move to, as well as what happens to the income they earn there. These questions are related be- cause the amount of money avail- able to send home is to some degree contingent on the food-related expenditures of the breadwinner in the destination country. Migrants rarely live alone and their income may often support people in their new households who cannot find work. Migration within and to south- ern Africa has changed significantly and all the evidence suggests that the region is undergoing a rapid urban transition through internal migration and natural population increase. There has also been signi- ficant growth in the numbers of people who cross borders for short time periods. They almost all head for cities. The primary determinant of food insecurity in South Africa’s cities is not production shortfalls but peo- ple’s lack of access to food, which is caused by not having the regular income they need to buy it. In its research, the Cape Town- based African Food Security Urban Network (Afsun) found that even within the poorest areas of Joburg, Cape Town and cities in neighbour- ing states, having enough food to meet households’ needs varies con- siderably. Factors influencing this are wage employment, other income-generating activity, the size and structure of the household, the educational level of members, access to social grants and the strength of social links. Afsun conducted a survey in 11 cities in nine countries in the region and found that four out of five house- holds sampled had insufficient food to meet their needs. Researchers found there is no sim- ple and direct correlation between household income and food security because of many variables, including the price of food and the cost of other necessities such as clothing, shelter and transport. Their statistics also showed a gender dimension to food insecurity, with female-centred households the most insecure. The research probed whether migrants are more food insecure than other residents of the poorer areas of southern African cities and found that, while levels of food inse- curity are alarmingly high among everyone, migrant households have a greater chance of being food inse- cure, with all of its attendant health and nutritional problems. The rapid urbanisation and in- creased movement across borders that has led to the growth in the number of migrants in cities is likely to continue. Most poor house- holds in southern African cities now consist entirely of migrants or a mix of migrants and locally-born. The impact of this on food security needs to be recognised by policy- makers and acted upon. While improving food security for the poor at the same time as addressing the problems inherent in the current growth trajectory of cities is an enormous challenge, it comes with major opportunity. Addressing sustainability from the point of view of food security provides a tangible approach to cre- ating healthier, more economically stable and resilient cities. Crush is the CIGI chair in global migration and development at the Balsillie School of International Affairs and honorary professor at the University of Cape Town. He will be a key speaker at a November 26-27 conference in Cape Town at which the links between food security, urbanisa- tion and migration will be explored. 9 INSIGHT CAPE TIMES WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2012 Is President Jacob Zuma competent? KEEPING TRACK OF SCANDALS Allister Sparks WHEN Judge Chris Nicholson threw out the corruption charges against Jacob Zuma on procedural grounds four years ago – only to have a full Bench of the Supreme Court of Appeal scathingly overturn him soon afterwards – he warned, prophetically, that unless the arms deal scandal was fully investigated and ventilated, “a cloud of suspicion and scandal” would continue to hang over the government. That little white cloud has now billowed into a dark and thunder- ous-looking cumulus nimbus. Last Saturday night, journalists and lawyers were back in court as the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA) made a desperate last-minute bid to stop the presses rolling out the Sunday Times’s latest exposé of leaked documents throwing further light on acting NPA boss Mokotedi Mpshe’s controversial decision to drop the case against Zuma. And so the arms deal scandal lives on 13 years after the deal itself was signed in November 1999 and seven years after Zuma first appeared in court following the con- viction of his then-financial man- ager, Shabir Shaik. It is also nine years since I wrote the first of many columns warning that if the full details of the scandal were not cleared up swiftly, it would become an ongoing saga that “threatens to tear the government, the country and some of our most important institutions apart”. Which indeed it has done and will continue to do. Citing the Watergate scandal that brought down US President Richard Nixon, I noted, too, that in such cases it was the cover-up that turned out to be more damaging that the scandal itself. Now we appear to have entered a second generation, as it were, of this kind of political folly, with Friday night’s court action amounting to an attempt to cover up the original cover-up of secretly taped conversa- tions, the so-called “spy tapes”, that supposedly provided the grounds for withdrawing the charges. The court action failed, so now we know that in withdrawing the charges against Zuma, Mpshe acted against the overwhelming advice of the top prosecutors involved in the case. The question is, Why? And is that decision now challengeable? Meanwhile, Zuma’s lawyers are in default of a court order to hand over the actual tapes which led to that decision, which compounds the issue and darkens the cloud of sus- picion further. What is it they are so anxious to hide? Who did the secret taping? Was it legally done? And was it legal to hand the tapes over to Zuma’s lawyers for them to use to get him off the hook? I also wrote, when Zuma became president in 2009, that he would go naked into the world as the leader of our country. Naked in the sense that he would have trouble ever defending himself against accusations of malfeasance. Because to sue anyone for libel or slander would require him to enter a witness box and face cross-exami- nation under oath by skilled lawyers who would question him relent- lessly about his role in the arms deal to establish how much of a charac- ter he had to defame. It is something to which I sug- gested he would probably not want to subject himself. I thought of that column again the other day when at the last moment, Zuma dropped his libel action against Zapiro, the cartoonist – offering some unsuspected sensi- tivity to possibly harming free speech as his reason. Now Zuma is grappling with the even more daunting issue of accounting for the public money spent on upgrading his private home, or compound, at Nkandla. The two cases are in fact con- nected: the original charge sheet included the cost of building Nkandla among the many perks Zuma received during his 10-year relationship with Shaik. That charge sheet accused Zuma of receiving 783 payments totalling R4 072 499.85 from Shaik between 1995 and 2005 – a piffling sum com- pared with the R158 million of pub- lic money being spent on upgrading the security features at Nkandla. All of which, of course, makes the funding of Nkandla even more intriguing. If the original building costs came out of the stream of money that allegedly reached Zuma from his crooked financial manager, why then did he still need a bond, which he says he is paying off – but which City Press’s investigative reporters say doesn’t exist? So what kind of bond is this? A loan from another friend or benefac- tor, perhaps? Zuma has also been reported as saying his family paid for the build- ing of Nkandla, and that the R158m of public money being spent on the property is only for security upgrades, including bullet-proof glass, a bunker with elevator and houses for security guards outside the complex. So how much was paid by Shaik, if anything, how much by the family, and how big is the bond, or loan, or whatever it is? Why is there such a staggering difference between build- ing costs and the cost of security upgrades? And why such extrava- gant security? Not even the loathed Ou Krokodil had a bunker. Zuma says he can’t account for these puzzling figures because he is not a bookkeeper, and presenting Parliament with a breakdown of the costs is not his job. But accounting for the expendi- ture of public money on private property is somebody’s job – some- body in government, of which Zuma himself is the head. I think it was President Harry Truman who said, pointing to his desk, that when it came to govern- ment accountability, “the buck stops here”. So, I’m afraid, President Zuma, that in this whole horribly entan- gled mess of your lavish public and private expenditures, the buck does stop right there, on your desk. You may not be a bookkeeper, but you are accountable for explaining the mess to the taxpaying public, a lot of whose hard-earned money is involved. Even if that requires hir- ing a bookkeeper to disentangle it for you. Meanwhile, that dark cloud is growing darker and heavier. My own suspicion is that our president has become so confused by the multi- tude of scandals and explanations and cover ups of cover-ups that he genuinely doesn’t know what is going on. I think it was probably exaspera- tion at this damn buck that just won’t go away that brought him close to tears in Parliament the other day, rather than outrage at people suggesting he is corrupt. To be fair, there is still the fact that Zuma has agreed to the appoint- ment of a commission of inquiry into the arms deal. It was patently obvious, though, that he did so to ward off the tenacious Terry Craw- ford Browne’s move to have the Con- stitutional Court order such an investigation. However, the pace at which the commission is moving makes it questionable whether it will com- plete its work in Zuma’s lifetime. Packaging all this stuff together gives one cause to ponder the fact that Zuma, with all his problems and cover-ups, is going to be with us for another seven years. And what the ANC needs to realise is that by sticking to him so tenaciously it is making all those issues its own. Zuma comes as a long-term pack- age of problems. Sparks is a veteran journalist and political commentator. NEWS that the French research ship Marion Dufresne had been holed off Crozet Islands in the Southern Ocean last Thursday brought an immediate response from the French operators of the cableship Leon Thevenin who dispatched her from her Cape Town base to the islands on Friday night. As most of her compartments are still watertight, Marion Dufresne is in no danger of sinking and will prob- ably be anchored in the lee of the islands; however, a severe turn in the weather could aggravate the damage. To accommodate the 80 scientists who were aboard the research ves- sel, several crew members disem- barked from Leon Thevenin prior to her departure from Cape Town. Carrying a large consignment of salvage equipment and a Smit sal- vage team that includes divers, the cableship is expected to reach the damaged vessel today. That the cableship could sail from Cape Town that quickly is due to the splendid co-operation among her owners, agents, World Shipping, the salvage team and insurance underwriters. The salvors will assess the dam- age before the ship heads to South Africa for repairs for which East Lon- don’s under-utilised drydock would be ideal. Thevenin will escort the damaged vessel during the voyage. Although the Crozet Islands fall within the SA maritime monitoring zone, the South African Navy could not dispatch a frigate to undertake the transfer of the scientists. For the Antarctic summer win- dow, the first polar ships are heading south. Chartered by the Indian Antarctic team, the ice-breaker Vladimir Ignatyuk left last week to break open a passage through the ice for Ivan Papanin, following a few days astern of the ice-breaker. She is also ready to assist with the Crozet evacuation operation if required. The smart Danish vessel Mary Arctica, carrying supplies for the Belgian, Norwegian and British Antarctic bases, and the German ship Polarstern will arrive in Cape Town next Tuesday, also en route to the ice. SA Agulhas 2 will leave early in December on her maiden voyage to Antarctica with the South African polar research team and stores for the base. On her return voyage from Antarctica, Mary Arctica will bring 50 containers of rubble from the dis- mantled British Antarctic base that was replaced by a modern one, much of which was manufactured in South Africa and moved south two years ago in the Russian vessel Igarka. I understand that a good con- signment of containers has been booked from South Africa to Europe aboard Mary Arctica when she sails from Cape Town in January. Research teams venturing into those high latitudes is understand- able, but the wisdom of passenger ships going south is questionable. No matter how competent the officers, or to what ice standards the ship is built, or how thoroughly certain areas have been surveyed, abnormal conditions can develop very quickly. Only calm weather and the close proximity of another ship saved a perilous situa- tion when a small cruise ship sank two years ago in southern latitudes. Next time a passenger vessel gets into difficulties down there, sea condi- tions could be extreme and the near- est ship may be hundreds of miles away. And our frigates might not be available to help! German cruise ship Deutsch- land berthed at A Berth on Monday, the first to berth there for a while. The smaller Hanseatic and large MSC Opera arrived yesterday, the latter to begin her anticipated cruise season in southern African waters. [email protected] Rescue remedy for deep south ANTI-NUCLEAR energy activists put up a rather impressive show on November 10 as they marched to the Department of Energy to pres- ent their memorandum. It is a pity there was no one from that depart- ment to receive them. They looked like a decent num- ber as they marched with their neat posters opposing the inten- tions of our country to build nuclear power stations. South Africa is doing this in an effort to create an electricity generation mix including coal, solar, wind and nuclear in suggested proportions. This is a tough balancing act as none of these sources of electricity is without its pros and cons. Coal is a cheap and plentiful fuel. Although it is dirty and responsible for our country being the biggest polluter on the African continent, it is un- realistic to suggest that our country stop using it with immediate effect. We have such vast reserves of coal that it should be assumed that we are going to burn it for a very long time to come. However, we need to put our scientists to work to find cleaner technologies for the burning of coal and therefore dras- tically reduce its emissions of the undesirable greenhouse gases. Authorities have to contend with protests from business and citizens on the high price of electricity, while environmentalists demand a reduction in our reliance on coal. The imperatives of climate change demand that we do our bit against global warming. Although there is no definitive proof that extreme weather occurrences such as superstorm Sandy that hit the US and Haiti with devastating force are consequences of climate change, it would be foolish to close our minds about this issue. We have had our own experi- ences with destructive floods in Mpumalanga and the Eastern Cape recently, wreaking havoc in their wake. We are duty bound to sit up and take notice of the warnings given frequently by scientists. Nuclear energy is clean, reliable and safe, except when something goes wrong. Japanese nuclear power stations have withstood fre- quent earthquakes, yet the latest tsunami crippled a nuclear station. Radiation from the damaged power station overshadowed the tsunami itself. The storage of nuclear waste, with its long life, continues to pro- vide a headache for scientists. Of course, anti-nuclear energy cam- paigners seize upon these two fac- tors to mount their occasional toyi- toyi against this power source. Wind energy is a sexy, dandy and squeaky clean one that invites a passionate embrace. But its short- comings are daunting. You do not have wind blowing all the time and the technology to store electricity that might be generated when you do not need it, is not yet in place. Further, you need a lot of those windmills to produce enough electricity to make a dent on the power requirements of a country as big as South Africa. There was a faint suggestion by some scientists that the windmills are dangerous to birds and that they affect the breeding habits of some insects. Now, insects have a very big say in every aspect of our lives. We don’t want to mess with them, particularly their ability to reproduce. With wind energy being so expensive and our population being so unwilling or unable to pay for expensive electricity, we cannot plunge head first in that direction. We would be hurt. Solar energy is just as much a darling as wind energy and with us being so blessed with plenty of sun- shine the whole year round, it is capable of playing an important role in our power configuration. However, the technologies asso- ciated with this area are still being developed and are therefore expen- sive. Wholesale adoption of this technology would put the power authority on a collision course with society. The energy area is difficult and complex and requires that we craft a balanced and prudent path. We need to listen to one another and where possible accommodate differ- ent views and concerns. It would have been great if the anti-nuclear protesters had been received by the relevant authori- ties. Let all ideas, protests and pro- posals see the light of day. What should be taken to heart is that it is not helpful to have funda- mentalists who demand that only their way should be embraced by the country. If we have zealots who believe that only their ideas are valid and everybody else should go and jump into the sea, then we would have more problems. By the way, the relevant electri- city generation authorities need to add fuel cells to the mix as an ex- tremely promising source of elec- tricity, especially for rural areas. Recipe to generate right mix of electricity COMPOUNDED: Whether on the arms deal or Nkandla, President Zuma must be confused by the multitude of scandals, explanations and cover ups of cover-ups, says the writer. Rural households are buying more food and growing less and less Four out of five African households surveyed suffered food shortages brian ingpen Port Pourri mosibudi mangena Just a View

KEEPING TRACK OF SCANDALS Is President Jacob Zuma …(NPA) made a desperate last-minute bid to stop the presses rolling out the Sunday Times’s latest exposé of leaked documents

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Page 1: KEEPING TRACK OF SCANDALS Is President Jacob Zuma …(NPA) made a desperate last-minute bid to stop the presses rolling out the Sunday Times’s latest exposé of leaked documents

Jonathan Crush

WHILE there is much talk in globaland national policy arenas about therelationship between migration anddevelopment, the link betweenmigration and food security rarelyenters discussions.

At the same time, those debatingfood security disregard migration intheir focus on enhancing agricul-tural production by smallholders.

And while these policy conver-sations are happening, rural house-holds throughout southern Africaare buying more and more of theirfood, rather than growing it, anddoing so with cash that they receivefrom household members who havemoved to cities within the countryand across borders to earn money.

The reality is that migration is acritical food security strategy forrural, and many urban, households.

The evidence for southern Africais that households that receive re-mittances do not invest this moneyin agriculture but in basic necessi-ties – mostly food.

Research by the Southern Afri-can Migration Programme hasfound cash remittances to be themost important source of income inall Southern African DevelopmentCommunity countries, with 74 per-cent of all migrant-sending house-holds receiving remittances (with asmany as 95 percent in Lesotho and83 percent in Zimbabwe). In-countrywage employment was a source ofincome for 40 percent of households,followed by remittances in kind,including food (37 percent).

At the other end of the spectrum,only 8 percent of households receiveincome from the sale of agriculturalproduce and only 5 percent receivesocial grants.

This means that rural food secu-rity may be improved but will not beresolved by the current approachthat focuses only on agriculture.

The simplest way to examine therelationship between internationalmigration and food security is toascertain how migrants addresstheir own food and nutrition needsin the country they move to, as wellas what happens to the income theyearn there.

These questions are related be-cause the amount of money avail-able to send home is to some degreecontingent on the food-relatedexpenditures of the breadwinner inthe destination country. Migrantsrarely live alone and their incomemay often support people in theirnew households who cannot findwork.

Migration within and to south-ern Africa has changed significantly

and all the evidence suggests thatthe region is undergoing a rapidurban transition through internalmigration and natural populationincrease. There has also been signi-ficant growth in the numbers ofpeople who cross borders for shorttime periods. They almost all headfor cities.

The primary determinant of foodinsecurity in South Africa’s cities isnot production shortfalls but peo-ple’s lack of access to food, which iscaused by not having the regularincome they need to buy it.

In its research, the Cape Town-based African Food Security UrbanNetwork (Afsun) found that evenwithin the poorest areas of Joburg,Cape Town and cities in neighbour-ing states, having enough food tomeet households’ needs varies con-siderably. Factors influencing thisare wage employment, other

income-generating activity, the sizeand structure of the household, theeducational level of members,access to social grants and thestrength of social links.

Afsun conducted a survey in 11cities in nine countries in the regionand found that four out of five house-holds sampled had insufficient foodto meet their needs.

Researchers found there is no sim-ple and direct correlation betweenhousehold income and food security

because of many variables, includingthe price of food and the cost of othernecessities such as clothing, shelterand transport. Their statistics alsoshowed a gender dimension to foodinsecurity, with female-centredhouseholds the most insecure.

The research probed whethermigrants are more food insecurethan other residents of the poorerareas of southern African cities andfound that, while levels of food inse-curity are alarmingly high amongeveryone, migrant households havea greater chance of being food inse-cure, with all of its attendant healthand nutritional problems.

The rapid urbanisation and in-creased movement across bordersthat has led to the growth in thenumber of migrants in cities islikely to continue. Most poor house-holds in southern African cities nowconsist entirely of migrants or a mix

of migrants and locally-born. Theimpact of this on food securityneeds to be recognised by policy-makers and acted upon.

While improving food securityfor the poor at the same time asaddressing the problems inherent inthe current growth trajectory ofcities is an enormous challenge, itcomes with major opportunity.

Addressing sustainability fromthe point of view of food securityprovides a tangible approach to cre-ating healthier, more economicallystable and resilient cities.

● Crush is the CIGI chair in

global migration and development at

the Balsillie School of International

Affairs and honorary professor at the

University of Cape Town. He will be

a key speaker at a November 26-27

conference in Cape Town at which the

links between food security, urbanisa-

tion and migration will be explored.

9INSIGHTCAPE TIMES WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2012

Is President Jacob Zuma competent?KEEPING TRACK OF SCANDALS

Allister Sparks

WHEN Judge Chris Nicholsonthrew out the corruption chargesagainst Jacob Zuma on proceduralgrounds four years ago – only tohave a full Bench of the SupremeCourt of Appeal scathingly overturnhim soon afterwards – he warned,prophetically, that unless the armsdeal scandal was fully investigatedand ventilated, “a cloud of suspicionand scandal” would continue tohang over the government.

That little white cloud has nowbillowed into a dark and thunder-ous-looking cumulus nimbus.

Last Saturday night, journalistsand lawyers were back in court asthe National Prosecuting Authority(NPA) made a desperate last-minutebid to stop the presses rolling out theSunday Times’s latest exposé ofleaked documents throwing furtherlight on acting NPA boss MokotediMpshe’s controversial decision todrop the case against Zuma.

And so the arms deal scandallives on 13 years after the deal itselfwas signed in November 1999 andseven years after Zuma firstappeared in court following the con-viction of his then-financial man-ager, Shabir Shaik.

It is also nine years since I wrotethe first of many columns warningthat if the full details of the scandalwere not cleared up swiftly, it wouldbecome an ongoing saga that“threatens to tear the government,the country and some of our mostimportant institutions apart”.Which indeed it has done and willcontinue to do.

Citing the Watergate scandal thatbrought down US President RichardNixon, I noted, too, that in suchcases it was the cover-up that turnedout to be more damaging that thescandal itself.

Now we appear to have entered asecond generation, as it were, of thiskind of political folly, with Fridaynight’s court action amounting to anattempt to cover up the originalcover-up of secretly taped conversa-tions, the so-called “spy tapes”, thatsupposedly provided the groundsfor withdrawing the charges.

The court action failed, so now

we know that in withdrawing thecharges against Zuma, Mpshe actedagainst the overwhelming advice ofthe top prosecutors involved in thecase.

The question is, Why? And is thatdecision now challengeable?

Meanwhile, Zuma’s lawyers arein default of a court order to handover the actual tapes which led tothat decision, which compounds theissue and darkens the cloud of sus-picion further.

What is it they are so anxious tohide? Who did the secret taping?Was it legally done? And was it legalto hand the tapes over to Zuma’slawyers for them to use to get him offthe hook?

I also wrote, when Zuma became

president in 2009, that he would gonaked into the world as the leader ofour country.

Naked in the sense that he wouldhave trouble ever defending himselfagainst accusations of malfeasance.Because to sue anyone for libel orslander would require him to entera witness box and face cross-exami-nation under oath by skilled lawyerswho would question him relent-lessly about his role in the arms dealto establish how much of a charac-ter he had to defame.

It is something to which I sug-gested he would probably not wantto subject himself.

I thought of that column againthe other day when at the lastmoment, Zuma dropped his libel

action against Zapiro, the cartoonist– offering some unsuspected sensi-tivity to possibly harming freespeech as his reason.

Now Zuma is grappling with theeven more daunting issue ofaccounting for the public moneyspent on upgrading his privatehome, or compound, at Nkandla.

The two cases are in fact con-nected: the original charge sheetincluded the cost of buildingNkandla among the many perksZuma received during his 10-yearrelationship with Shaik.

That charge sheet accused Zumaof receiving 783 payments totallingR4 072 499.85 from Shaik between1995 and 2005 – a piffling sum com-pared with the R158 million of pub-

lic money being spent on upgradingthe security features at Nkandla.

All of which, of course, makesthe funding of Nkandla even moreintriguing. If the original buildingcosts came out of the stream ofmoney that allegedly reached Zumafrom his crooked financial manager,why then did he still need a bond,which he says he is paying off – butwhich City Press’s investigativereporters say doesn’t exist?

So what kind of bond is this? Aloan from another friend or benefac-tor, perhaps?

Zuma has also been reported assaying his family paid for the build-ing of Nkandla, and that the R158mof public money being spent on theproperty is only for security

upgrades, including bullet-proofglass, a bunker with elevator andhouses for security guards outsidethe complex.

So how much was paid by Shaik,if anything, how much by the family,and how big is the bond, or loan, orwhatever it is? Why is there such astaggering difference between build-ing costs and the cost of securityupgrades? And why such extrava-gant security? Not even the loathedOu Krokodil had a bunker.

Zuma says he can’t account forthese puzzling figures because he isnot a bookkeeper, and presentingParliament with a breakdown of thecosts is not his job.

But accounting for the expendi-ture of public money on private

property is somebody’s job – some-body in government, of which Zumahimself is the head.

I think it was President HarryTruman who said, pointing to hisdesk, that when it came to govern-ment accountability, “the buck stopshere”.

So, I’m afraid, President Zuma,that in this whole horribly entan-gled mess of your lavish public andprivate expenditures, the buck doesstop right there, on your desk.

You may not be a bookkeeper, butyou are accountable for explainingthe mess to the taxpaying public, alot of whose hard-earned money isinvolved. Even if that requires hir-ing a bookkeeper to disentangle itfor you.

Meanwhile, that dark cloud isgrowing darker and heavier. My ownsuspicion is that our president hasbecome so confused by the multi-tude of scandals and explanationsand cover ups of cover-ups that hegenuinely doesn’t know what isgoing on.

I think it was probably exaspera-tion at this damn buck that justwon’t go away that brought himclose to tears in Parliament theother day, rather than outrage atpeople suggesting he is corrupt.

To be fair, there is still the factthat Zuma has agreed to the appoint-ment of a commission of inquiryinto the arms deal. It was patentlyobvious, though, that he did so toward off the tenacious Terry Craw-ford Browne’s move to have the Con-stitutional Court order such aninvestigation.

However, the pace at which thecommission is moving makes itquestionable whether it will com-plete its work in Zuma’s lifetime.

Packaging all this stuff togethergives one cause to ponder the factthat Zuma, with all his problems andcover-ups, is going to be with us foranother seven years.

And what the ANC needs torealise is that by sticking to him sotenaciously it is making all thoseissues its own.

Zuma comes as a long-term pack-age of problems.

● Sparks is a veteran journalist

and political commentator.

NEWS that the French research shipMarion Dufresne had been holed offCrozet Islands in the SouthernOcean last Thursday brought animmediate response from theFrench operators of the cableshipLeon Thevenin who dispatched herfrom her Cape Town base to theislands on Friday night.

As most of her compartments arestill watertight, Marion Dufresne isin no danger of sinking and will prob-ably be anchored in the lee of theislands; however, a severe turn in theweather could aggravate the damage.

To accommodate the 80 scientistswho were aboard the research ves-sel, several crew members disem-barked from Leon Thevenin prior toher departure from Cape Town.

Carrying a large consignment ofsalvage equipment and a Smit sal-vage team that includes divers, thecableship is expected to reach thedamaged vessel today. That thecableship could sail from Cape Townthat quickly is due to the splendidco-operation among her owners,agents, World Shipping, the salvageteam and insurance underwriters.

The salvors will assess the dam-age before the ship heads to SouthAfrica for repairs for which East Lon-don’s under-utilised drydock wouldbe ideal. Thevenin will escort thedamaged vessel during the voyage.

Although the Crozet Islands fallwithin the SA maritime monitoringzone, the South African Navy couldnot dispatch a frigate to undertakethe transfer of the scientists.

For the Antarctic summer win-dow, the first polar ships are headingsouth. Chartered by the IndianAntarctic team, the ice-breakerVladimir Ignatyuk left last week tobreak open a passage through theice for Ivan Papanin, following a fewdays astern of the ice-breaker. She isalso ready to assist with the Crozetevacuation operation if required.

The smart Danish vessel MaryArctica, carrying supplies for theBelgian, Norwegian and BritishAntarctic bases, and the Germanship Polarstern will arrive in CapeTown next Tuesday, also en route tothe ice. SA Agulhas 2 will leaveearly in December on her maidenvoyage to Antarctica with the SouthAfrican polar research team andstores for the base.

On her return voyage fromAntarctica, Mary Arctica will bring50 containers of rubble from the dis-mantled British Antarctic base that

was replaced by a modern one,much of which was manufacturedin South Africa and moved southtwo years ago in the Russian vesselIgarka. I understand that a good con-signment of containers has beenbooked from South Africa to Europeaboard Mary Arctica when she sailsfrom Cape Town in January.

Research teams venturing intothose high latitudes is understand-able, but the wisdom of passengerships going south is questionable. Nomatter how competent the officers, orto what ice standards the ship is built,or how thoroughly certain areas havebeen surveyed, abnormal conditionscan develop very quickly. Only calmweather and the close proximity ofanother ship saved a perilous situa-tion when a small cruise ship sanktwo years ago in southern latitudes.Next time a passenger vessel gets intodifficulties down there, sea condi-tions could be extreme and the near-est ship may be hundreds of milesaway. And our frigates might not beavailable to help!

● German cruise ship Deutsch-land berthed at A Berth on Monday,the first to berth there for a while.The smaller Hanseatic and largeMSC Opera arrived yesterday, thelatter to begin her anticipated cruiseseason in southern African waters.

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Rescue remedy for deep southANTI-NUCLEAR energy activistsput up a rather impressive show onNovember 10 as they marched tothe Department of Energy to pres-ent their memorandum. It is a pitythere was no one from that depart-ment to receive them.

They looked like a decent num-ber as they marched with theirneat posters opposing the inten-tions of our country to buildnuclear power stations. SouthAfrica is doing this in an effort tocreate an electricity generation mixincluding coal, solar, wind andnuclear in suggested proportions.

This is a tough balancing act asnone of these sources of electricityis without its pros and cons. Coal isa cheap and plentiful fuel. Althoughit is dirty and responsible for ourcountry being the biggest polluteron the African continent, it is un-realistic to suggest that our countrystop using it with immediate effect.

We have such vast reserves ofcoal that it should be assumed thatwe are going to burn it for a verylong time to come. However, weneed to put our scientists to work tofind cleaner technologies for theburning of coal and therefore dras-tically reduce its emissions of theundesirable greenhouse gases.

Authorities have to contend withprotests from business and citizens

on the high price of electricity,while environmentalists demand areduction in our reliance on coal.

The imperatives of climatechange demand that we do our bitagainst global warming. Althoughthere is no definitive proof thatextreme weather occurrences suchas superstorm Sandy that hit theUS and Haiti with devastating forceare consequences of climatechange, it would be foolish to closeour minds about this issue.

We have had our own experi-ences with destructive floods inMpumalanga and the Eastern Caperecently, wreaking havoc in theirwake. We are duty bound to sit upand take notice of the warningsgiven frequently by scientists.

Nuclear energy is clean, reliableand safe, except when somethinggoes wrong. Japanese nuclearpower stations have withstood fre-quent earthquakes, yet the latesttsunami crippled a nuclear station.Radiation from the damaged powerstation overshadowed the tsunamiitself.

The storage of nuclear waste,

with its long life, continues to pro-vide a headache for scientists. Ofcourse, anti-nuclear energy cam-paigners seize upon these two fac-tors to mount their occasional toyi-toyi against this power source.

Wind energy is a sexy, dandy andsqueaky clean one that invites apassionate embrace. But its short-comings are daunting.

You do not have wind blowing allthe time and the technology to storeelectricity that might be generatedwhen you do not need it, is not yetin place. Further, you need a lot ofthose windmills to produce enoughelectricity to make a dent on thepower requirements of a country asbig as South Africa.

There was a faint suggestion bysome scientists that the windmillsare dangerous to birds and thatthey affect the breeding habits ofsome insects. Now, insects have avery big say in every aspect of ourlives. We don’t want to mess withthem, particularly their ability toreproduce.

With wind energy being soexpensive and our population beingso unwilling or unable to pay forexpensive electricity, we cannotplunge head first in that direction.We would be hurt.

Solar energy is just as much adarling as wind energy and with us

being so blessed with plenty of sun-shine the whole year round, it iscapable of playing an importantrole in our power configuration.

However, the technologies asso-ciated with this area are still beingdeveloped and are therefore expen-sive. Wholesale adoption of thistechnology would put the powerauthority on a collision course withsociety.

The energy area is difficult andcomplex and requires that we crafta balanced and prudent path. Weneed to listen to one another andwhere possible accommodate differ-ent views and concerns.

It would have been great if theanti-nuclear protesters had beenreceived by the relevant authori-ties. Let all ideas, protests and pro-posals see the light of day.

What should be taken to heart isthat it is not helpful to have funda-mentalists who demand that onlytheir way should be embraced bythe country. If we have zealots whobelieve that only their ideas arevalid and everybody else should goand jump into the sea, then wewould have more problems.

By the way, the relevant electri-city generation authorities need toadd fuel cells to the mix as an ex-tremely promising source of elec-tricity, especially for rural areas.

Recipe to generate right mix of electricity

COMPOUNDED: Whether on the arms deal or Nkandla, President Zuma must be confused by the multitude of scandals, explanations and cover ups of cover-ups, says the writer.

Rural households are buying more food and growing less and lessFour out of fiveAfrican householdssurveyed sufferedfood shortages

brian ingpen

Port Pourrimosibudi mangena

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