10
Disclaimer: This publication constitutes information disclosed to the public and believed to be reliable but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. All opinions, suggestions, or projections are for informational purposes only and shall not be construed as an inducement for the sale or purchase of securities. Amendments to this publication may be made without prior notice. Investors are urged to exercise caution in making a decision to invest in any securities. COMPANY RESEARCH | Company Update 1 July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group (MALEE TB) Share Price: Bt58.00 Target Price: Bt73.00 (+26%) Growing through Coco Channel 2Q16 net profit should grow 43% yoy supported by 24% revenue growth and 3-year high EBIT margin of 9% Revise up FY16F-17F earnings by 12-15% following improving outlook of coconut water export, Philippine JV, and operating profit margin on better cost control and economies of scale OUTPERFORM, raise TP to Bt73/sh (from Bt46/sh) based on FY17F PE of 20x. Current share price trades at 20% discount to peers’ 2Q16 earnings to hit 3-year high MALEE is expected to report Bt116m net profit for 2Q16 (+43% yoy, +6% qoq) on the back of 24% sales growth driven by the strong Malee brand and coconut water exports (+70% yoy). Domestic sales should grow 5% yoy because of a low base amid slow recovery of domestic demand and fierce competition. 2Q16 operating profit margin should hit a 3-year high of 9% due to better cost-efficiency and smaller marketing expenses. MALEE’s capacity utilizati on rose to 58% in 2Q16 from 55% last year. Contribution from the Philippine JV remains minimal due to the delayed launch of RTD coffee products at convenience stores. We remain bullish on 2H16 as strong exports would help to offset seasonally slower domestic sales in 3Q16. Raise FY16F/17F earnings by 12%/15% on brighter export outlook We revised up sales growth for FY15-18F to 22% CAGR from 17% premised on stronger export revenues. We expect coconut water export (c.70% of MALEE’s exports) to grow by 25% CAGR in that period, in line with the global coconut water market (according to Technavio market research), as consumers are increasingly health conscious. Many eateries in the US and UK have started offering coconut water as a mainstream drink on the menu. We also cut SG&A/Sales to 24% from 25-26% after reflecting lower marketing expenses and better cost efficiency. We remain convinced that MALEE’s plans to boost exports to neighboring Asian markets (+c.100% ytd) will help address the slow domestic market, while the Philippine JV is a medium-term growth catalyst. These would support 25% earnings growth (CAGR) to Bt610m (Bt4.35/sh) by 2018. Buy for 25% earnings growth (3-year CAGR) and 3% dividend yield We maintain an OUTPERFORM call for MALEE with a higher TP of Bt73 (from Bt46), pegged to 20x FY17F PE. There is hidden value in its overseas growth market, and it is trading at a substantial discount to the F&B sector PE valuation of 24x. The delayed sugar tax is good news for beverage producers. Financial Summary (Btm) Year to Dec 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F Sales (Btm) 4,771 5,428 6,571 8,104 9,974 Growth (%) (6.2) 13.8 21.0 23.3 23.1 EBITDA (Btm) 499 539 651 760 901 Growth (%) 2.9 8.0 20.7 16.8 18.4 Normalized profit (Btm) 303 314 424 509 610 Growth (%) 9.8 3.7 35.0 20.0 19.9 Net profit (Btm) 306 331 424 509 610 Normalized EPS (Bt) 2.16 2.24 3.03 3.63 4.35 Growth (%) 42.8 3.7 35.0 20.0 19.9 PE (x) 12.7 12.7 19.2 16.0 13.3 DPS (Bt) 1.11 1.20 1.51 1.82 2.18 Yield (%) 4.0 4.2 2.6 3.1 3.8 BVPS (Bt) 7.2 8.9 10.4 12.3 14.4 P/BV (x) 3.81 3.19 5.56 4.73 4.02 Sunthorn THONGTHIP 662 - 659 7000 ext 5009 [email protected] Key Data 12-mth high/low (Bt) 58.25 / 26.25 Market capital (Btm/US$m) 8,050.0 / 229.1 3m avg. turnover (Btm/US$m) 36 / 1 Free float (%) 30.1 Issued shares (m shares) 140 Major shareholders: - ABICO HOLDINGS PCL 25.5 - JUNGRUNGREANGKIT KAM 16.4 - THAI NVDR CO LTD 9.4 Share Price Performance YTD 1Mth 3Mth 12Mth Absolute (%) 101.8 17.3 60.8 74.2 Relative to index (%) 87.4 14.3 54.5 75.1 Krungsri Securities vs Market Positive Neutral Negative Market Recommend 5 0 0 Krungsri Market % +/- Target Price (Bt) 72.0 50.3 43.1 ’16 Net Profit (Btm) 424 419 1.2 ’17 Net Profit (Btm) 509 496 2.6 Krungsri's earnings revision 2016F 2017F Earnings revision (%) 12.0 15.0 Source: Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities

July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

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Page 1: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Disclaimer: This publication constitutes information disclosed to the public and believed to be reliable but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. All opinions,

suggestions, or projections are for informational purposes only and shall not be construed as an inducement for the sale or purchase of securities. Amendments to this publication may be made without prior notice. Investors are urged to exercise caution in making a decision to invest in any securities.

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July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM

Malee Group (MALEE TB)

Share Price: Bt58.00 Target Price: Bt73.00 (+26%)

Growing through Coco Channel 2Q16 net profit should grow 43% yoy supported by 24% revenue

growth and 3-year high EBIT margin of 9%

Revise up FY16F-17F earnings by 12-15% following improving

outlook of coconut water export, Philippine JV, and operating

profit margin on better cost control and economies of scale

OUTPERFORM, raise TP to Bt73/sh (from Bt46/sh) based on

FY17F PE of 20x. Current share price trades at 20% discount to

peers’ 2Q16 earnings to hit 3-year high MALEE is expected to report Bt116m net profit for 2Q16 (+43% yoy, +6% qoq) on the back of 24% sales growth driven by the strong Malee brand and coconut water exports (+70% yoy). Domestic sales should grow 5% yoy because of a low base amid slow recovery of domestic demand and fierce competition. 2Q16 operating profit margin should hit a 3-year high of 9% due to better cost-efficiency and smaller marketing expenses. MALEE’s capacity utilization rose to 58% in 2Q16 from 55% last year. Contribution from the Philippine JV remains minimal due to the delayed launch of RTD coffee products at convenience stores. We remain bullish on 2H16 as strong exports would help to offset seasonally slower domestic sales in 3Q16. Raise FY16F/17F earnings by 12%/15% on brighter export outlook We revised up sales growth for FY15-18F to 22% CAGR from 17% premised on stronger export revenues. We expect coconut water export (c.70% of MALEE’s exports) to grow by 25% CAGR in that period, in line with the global coconut water market (according to Technavio market research), as consumers are increasingly health conscious. Many eateries in the US and UK have started offering coconut water as a mainstream drink on the menu. We also cut SG&A/Sales to 24% from 25-26% after reflecting lower marketing expenses and better cost efficiency. We remain convinced that MALEE’s plans to boost exports to neighboring Asian markets (+c.100% ytd) will help address the slow domestic market, while the Philippine JV is a medium-term growth catalyst. These would support 25% earnings growth (CAGR) to Bt610m (Bt4.35/sh) by 2018. Buy for 25% earnings growth (3-year CAGR) and 3% dividend yield We maintain an OUTPERFORM call for MALEE with a higher TP of Bt73 (from Bt46), pegged to 20x FY17F PE. There is hidden value in its overseas growth market, and it is trading at a substantial discount to the F&B sector PE valuation of 24x. The delayed sugar tax is good news for beverage producers.

Financial Summary (Btm) Year to Dec 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F

Sales (Btm) 4,771 5,428 6,571 8,104 9,974

Growth (%) (6.2) 13.8 21.0 23.3 23.1

EBITDA (Btm) 499 539 651 760 901

Growth (%) 2.9 8.0 20.7 16.8 18.4

Normalized profit (Btm) 303 314 424 509 610

Growth (%) 9.8 3.7 35.0 20.0 19.9

Net profit (Btm) 306 331 424 509 610

Normalized EPS (Bt) 2.16 2.24 3.03 3.63 4.35

Growth (%) 42.8 3.7 35.0 20.0 19.9

PE (x) 12.7 12.7 19.2 16.0 13.3

DPS (Bt) 1.11 1.20 1.51 1.82 2.18

Yield (%) 4.0 4.2 2.6 3.1 3.8

BVPS (Bt) 7.2 8.9 10.4 12.3 14.4

P/BV (x) 3.81 3.19 5.56 4.73 4.02

Sunthorn THONGTHIP

662 - 659 7000 ext 5009

[email protected]

Key Data

12-mth high/low (Bt) 58.25 / 26.25

Market capital (Btm/US$m) 8,050.0 / 229.1

3m avg. turnover (Btm/US$m) 36 / 1

Free float (%) 30.1

Issued shares (m shares) 140

Major shareholders: - ABICO HOLDINGS PCL 25.5 - JUNGRUNGREANGKIT KAM 16.4 - THAI NVDR CO LTD 9.4

Share Price Performance

YTD 1Mth 3Mth 12Mth

Absolute (%) 101.8 17.3 60.8 74.2

Relative to index (%) 87.4 14.3 54.5 75.1

Krungsri Securities vs Market

Positive Neutral Negative

Market Recommend 5 0 0

Krungsri Market % +/-

Target Price (Bt) 72.0 50.3 43.1

’16 Net Profit (Btm) 424 419 1.2

’17 Net Profit (Btm) 509 496 2.6

Krungsri's earnings revision

2016F 2017F

Earnings revision (%) 12.0 15.0 Source: Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities

Page 2: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Company Update | MALEE

Krungsri Securities Research

2

July 15, 2016

Why we upgraded target price We are maintaining an OUTPERFORM rating for MALEE despite raising TP to Bt73 (from Bt46), pegged to 20x FY17F PE. We upgraded the TP for the following reasons: 1) 2Q16 earnings should hit a 3-year high We are more positive on MALEE after the 2Q16 earnings preview. It is expected to report strong 2Q16 earnings of Bt116m (+43% yoy, +6% qoq) on the back of 24% sales growth driven by the strong Malee brand and coconut water exports (+70% yoy). Export of Malee brand products should register c.100% growth driven by strong demand from neighboring Asian markets. Coconut water exports should grow more than 50% yoy as demand from the US (which accounts for over 50% of MALEE’s portfolio), Europe and Australia remain robust. RTD coffee exports to the Philippine JV remain minimal due to the delayed launch of RTD coffee products at convenience stores. Domestic sales should grow 5% yoy because of a low base amid the slow recovery of domestic demand and fierce competition. SG&A/Sales is in line with guidance at less than 25%. MALEE’s capacity utilization rose to 58% in 2Q16 from 55% last year. We remain bullish on 2H16 as strong exports would help to offset seasonally slower domestic sales in 3Q16.

2Q15 earnings preview Unit: (Btm) 2Q16F 1Q16 y-o-y 2Q15 q-o-q

Sales 1,571 1,261 24.5% 1,541 1.9%

Cost of sales 1,079 841 28.3% 1,055 2.3%

Gross profit 492 420 17.0% 486 1.1%

SG&A 350 324 8.0% 353 -0.8%

Operating profit 142 96 47.3% 134 6.1%

Other income 13 15 -11.3% 13 1.0%

Other expense - 2 n.a. - n.a.

Equity income (1) - n.a. (1) n.a.

EBIT 154 109 41.0% 146 5.6%

Interest expense 6 8 -21.7% 6 0.0%

EBT 148 101 46.0% 139 5.9%

Income tax 30 20 47.2% 28 5.0%

Minority interests 2 - n.a. 2 n.a.

Net income 116 81 43.2% 110 5.8%

EPS (THB) 0.83 0.58 43.2% 0.78 5.8%

Ratio analysis

Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5

SGA/Total revenue (%) 22.3 25.7 22.9

Operating profit margin (%) 9.0 7.6 8.7

Net profit margin (%) 7.4 6.4 7.1

Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities

2) Strong soft drink exports to drive 22% top-line growth (CAGR) We revised up sales growth for FY15-18F to 22% CAGR from 17%, premised on stronger export revenues. We expect coconut water exports (c.70% of MALEE’s exports) to grow by 25% CAGR in that period, in line with the global coconut water market (according to Technavio market research) as consumers get increasingly health conscious. Coconut water is now the most popular alternative to carbonated drinks, juices and nectars which contain high sugar and fat content. People are opting for coconut water as a natural energy drink as it is free from artificial flavors, sweeteners, preservatives, additives, and gluten, and replenishes body fluids much better than sports drinks. Other benefits of coconut water include reducing blood pressure, weight reduction, smoother skin, and easy digestion. Many eateries in the US and UK have started offering coconut water as a mainstream drink on the menu. Coconut water sales in convenience stores are also expected to outpace sales of milk and other beverages. We remain convinced plans to boost exports to neighboring Asian markets (+c.100% ytd) will help address the slow domestic market, while the Philippine JV is a medium-term growth catalyst.

Page 3: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Company Update | MALEE

Krungsri Securities Research

3

July 15, 2016

US: Coconut water sales (Top brands, US$m) US: Estimates size of coconut water market

Source: Euromonitor Source: Technavio’s market research

3) Operating profit margin to hit 3-year high in FY16F with rising utilization rate This would be supported by better economies of scale and cost control. MALEE’s utilization rose to 58% in 2Q16 and should exceed 60% in FY18F from 55% last year. We also cut SG&A/Sales ratio to 24% from 25-26% after reflecting lower marketing expenses and better cost efficiency. MALEE derives higher net margins from contract manufacturing because there is no marketing expenses.

Sales by category Gross margin, EBIT margin and Net profit margin (%)

Source: Company data Source: Company data

4) Philippine JV to support long-term growth The JV with a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn Philippine beverage market. There is growth potential in RTD coffee products in the Philippines which has a market size of Bt200m, or only 2% of the RTD coffee market in Thailand. After launching the products at convenience stores in July this year, we expect RTD coffee sales to surge as they would be widely available to consumers. The JV - Monde Malee - has been promoting the RTD coffee under “Kratos” brand on TV to reach its target consumers since April. RTD coffee is mostly consumed by call-center workers as an alternative to energy drinks to stay alert. The JV also plans to launch a new product in 4Q16. We have revised up the JV’s sales by 2-3 fold for FY17F-18F.

Page 4: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Company Update | MALEE

Krungsri Securities Research

4

July 15, 2016

Thailand: Coffee market (Bt m) Philippines: Coffee market (Bt m)

Source: Company data Source: Company data

Philippines: The call-center capital of the world with a

US$25bn industry employing 1.3 million people

Philippines: KRATOS Coffee advertisement

Source: Nikkei Asian Review Source: Kratos Strong Coffee Facebook

Philippines: 2nd largest population in ASEAN Philippines: Beverage Market (Bt m)

Source: Company data Source: Company data

Assumption 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F

Revenue (mn Bt) 4,771 5,428 6,571 8,104 9,974 12,632 16,646

Revenue Growth % -6.2% 13.8% 21.0% 23.3% 23.1% 26.7% 31.8%

Malee brands 60.0% 54.0% 50.6% 49.9% 49.1% 49.8% 52.4%

Contract Manufacturing 40.0% 46.0% 49.4% 50.1% 50.9% 50.2% 47.6%

Gross margin 33.7% 32.8% 31.4% 30.5% 29.7% 28.7% 27.5%

Malee brands (mn Bt) 2,862 2,931 3,224 3,547 3,902 4,292 4,721

Contract Manufacturing (mn Bt) 1,908 2,497 3,246 4,058 5,072 6,340 7,925

Monde Nissin sales (mn Bt)

100 500 1,000 2,000 4,000

SG&A/Sales 26.2% 26.0% 23.9% 23.3% 22.7% 22.1% 21.4%

Profits from Philippines JV (mn Bt)

4 20 39 78 156

Operating profit margin 6.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8%

Page 5: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Company Update | MALEE

Krungsri Securities Research

5

July 15, 2016

P/E Band P/BV Band

Source: Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities Source: Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities

Peer Comparison

Market PE P/BV EPS Div Yid ROE Share Price

Cap (x) (x) G% (%) (%) Performance

BB Ticker Name US$ 16F 17F 16F 17F 16F 17F 16F 16F 1M 3M 6M YTD

Thailand MALEE TB MALEE SAMPRAN PUBLIC CO LTD 232 18.8 15.7 5.5 4.7 35.0 20.0 2.7 28.9 17.3 60.8 107.1 101.8

CBG TB CARABAO GROUP PCL 1,605 38.2 32.1 8.1 7.4 16.8 19.0 1.4 21.9 16.6 43.3 44.2 63.0

TIPCO TB TIPCO FOODS PCL 467 19.0 NA 3.6 NA 20.9 NA 2.8 19.5 0.3 12.9 37.4 39.6

OISHI TB OISHI GROUP PCL 479 19.6 18.0 2.7 2.6 4.4 8.8 3.7 13.6 4.9 3.2 5.7 4.9

ICHI TB ICHITAN GROUP PCL 463 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA (12.9) 7.0 27.1 19.0

SSC TB SERMSUK PCL 181 18.0 15.3 3.3 2.9 16.8 17.9 2.7 18.4 13.5 33.8 18.6 19.3

SAPPE TB SAPPE PCL 176 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA (4.5) 2.4 (33.7) (26.9)

Average (Simple)

22.7 20.3 4.6 4.4 18.8 16.4 2.7 20.5

Regional

PIP PM PEPSI-COLA PRODUCTS PHILIPPI 271 13.8 11.9 1.4 1.3 13.6 16.0 2.3 10.3 2.1 (9.9) 9.2 (6.3)

2587 JP SUNTORY BEVERAGE & FOOD LTD 13,568 33.0 28.0 2.4 2.3 2.6 17.9 1.5 7.5 (7.4) (4.8) (11.6) (12.6)

FNN SP FRASER AND NEAVE LTD 2,205 30.1 28.5 1.3 1.3 NA 5.9 2.0 4.3 (1.4) 3.0 (1.4) (1.4)

FNH MK FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD 2,424 22.5 20.6 4.6 4.3 NA 8.8 3.1 21.4 6.2 29.0 40.2 40.5

PWRT MK POWER ROOT BHD 189 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 3.7 19.1 1.6 (9.5)

Average(simple) 23.6 21.1 3.7 3.4 16.1 14.5 2.5 16.6

Source: Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities

MALEE: Quarterly Earnings

Unit: (Btm) 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16

Sales 1,285 1,261 1,330 1,552 1,541

Cost of sales 869 841 877 1,061 1,055

Gross profit 416 420 453 491 486

SG&A 335 324 384 370 353

Operating profit 81 96 69 121 134

Other income 36 15 18 16 13

Other expense - 2 6 (4) -

Equity income - - - - (1)

EBIT 118 109 81 141 146

Interest expense 10 8 8 8 6

EBT 107 101 72 133 139

Income tax 22 20 14 26 28

Minority interests - - - - 2

Net income 85 81 58 107 110

EPS (THB) 0.61 0.58 0.41 0.77 0.78

Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities

Page 6: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Company Update | MALEE

Krungsri Securities Research

6

July 15, 2016

INCOME STATEMENT (Btm) 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F

Turnover 4,771 5,428 6,571 8,104 9,974

Cost of sales (COGS) (3,246) (3,740) (4,599) (5,728) (7,116)

Depreciation &amortization 82 92 92 92 101

Gross profit 1,606 1,780 2,063 2,469 2,958

S&A expenses (1,248) (1,413) (1,570) (1,884) (2,263)

Operating profit 358 367 494 585 695

Other operating income 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 358 367 494 585 695

Interest expense (37) (34) (29) (31) (36)

Interest income 0 0 0 0 0

Other income 59 60 62 64 66

Goodwill amortization 0 0 0 0 0

Pre-tax profit 380 393 527 617 725

Income tax on company & subsidiaries (75) (82) (106) (127) (153)

Profit after tax 306 310 421 490 572

Minority interests (0) (1) (1) (1) (1)

Share of associate net income (3) 0 4 20 39

Preferred dividends 0 0 0 0 0

Recurring attributable net profit 302 310 424 509 610

Extraordinary items 4 21 0 0 0

Reported net profit 306 331 424 509 610

Shares in issue (Y/E, m) 140 140 140 140 140

Shares in issue (weighted avg, m) 140 140 140 140 140

EPS (before extraordinary items, Bt) 2.16 2.24 3.03 3.63 4.35

DPS (Bt) 1.11 1.20 1.51 1.82 2.18

DPS/EPS (%) 51 51 50 50 50 CASHFLOW (Btm) 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F

Cash flows from operations before WC 331 479 515 601 711

Net change in working capital (379) 69 (135) (205) (248)

Cash flow from Operations (48) 548 380 396 463

Capex (346) (92) (100) (200) (200)

Other (14) 1 (8) (11) (13)

Cash flow from Investment (360) (91) (108) (211) (213)

Net borrowings 457 (284) (4) 15 66

Equity capital raised 0 6 0 0 0

Others 80 1 0 0 0

Dividends paid (145) (155) (212) (254) (305)

Cash flow from financing 391 (432) (216) (239) (239)

Net change in cash (17) 25 56 (54) 10

Page 7: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Company Update | MALEE

Krungsri Securities Research

7

July 15, 2016

BALANCE SHEET (Btm)

2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F

Cash & equivalents 50 75 131 77 88

A/C receivable 837 957 1,143 1,410 1,735

Inventory 800 741 897 1,107 1,362

Others 53 28 34 42 51

Total Current Assets 1,740 1,802 2,205 2,636 3,237

Property and equipment 1,133 1,133 1,141 1,249 1,348

Investments & associates 0 0 0 0 0

Goodwill 13 13 13 14 14

Other assets 106 112 117 125 136

Total Assets 2,992 3,061 3,477 4,024 4,734 Short-term debt 1,034 758 764 779 845

A/C payable 647 728 899 1,124 1,399

Other current liabilities 96 115 142 177 221

Total Current Liabilities 1,777 1,600 1,805 2,081 2,465

Long-term debt 19 11 0 0 0

Other liabilities 181 195 206 222 243

Total Liabilities 1,976 1,806 2,011 2,303 2,708 Share capital 140 140 140 140 140

Share premium 0 6 6 6 6

Treasury 0 0 0 0 0

Translation adjustment 201 201 201 201 201

Retained earnings 670 902 1,114 1,369 1,673

Total ordinary equity 1,012 1,250 1,461 1,716 2,021

Preferred equity 0 0 0 0 0

Minorities 4 5 5 5 5

Total equity & minorities 1,016 1,254 1,466 1,720 2,025

0 0 0 0 0 BV per ordinary share (Y/E, Bt) 7.23 8.93 10.44 12.26 14.43

Adjusted book value ps (Y/E, Bt) 7.23 8.93 10.44 12.26 14.43 RATIOS (%) 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F

Growth

Turnover (6.2) 13.8 21.0 23.3 23.1

EBITDA 2.9 8.0 20.7 16.8 18.4

EBIT 2.4 7.2 24.9 19.4 19.7

Net profit 6.6 8.1 28.1 20.0 19.9

EPS pre extraordinary items 9.8 3.7 35.0 20.0 19.9

EPS (diluted) 42.8 3.7 35.0 20.0 19.9

DPS 5.7 8.1 26.1 20.0 19.9

Accounting ratios

Gross profit margin 33.7 32.8 31.4 30.5 29.7

Operating profit margin 6.3 5.8 6.4 6.3 6.1

EBITDA margin 10.5 9.9 9.9 9.4 9.0

EBIT margin 8.8 8.2 8.5 8.2 8.0

Net profit margin 6.4 6.1 6.4 6.3 6.1

ROA 10.2 10.8 12.2 12.6 12.9

ROE 30.1 26.4 28.9 29.6 30.1

Stability

D/E (x) 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3

Net D/E (x) 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4

Interest Coverage Ratio 11.4 13.1 19.5 21.4 22.3

Current ratio (x) 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3

Quick ratio (x) 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8

Valuation (x)

PER 12.6 12.1 18.8 15.7 13.1

Normalized PER 12.7 12.7 18.8 15.7 13.1

P/BV 3.8 3.2 5.5 4.7 3.9

EV/EBTDA 9.7 8.7 13.2 11.4 9.7

Dividend yield (%) 4.0 4.2 2.7 3.2 3.8

Page 8: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

CG Rating 2015 Companies with CG Rating

ADVANC BAFS BCP BIGC BTS CK CPN DRT DTAC DTC EASTW EGCO GRAMMY HANA

HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KKP KTB LHBANK LPN MCOT MINT MONO NKI

PHOL PPS PS PSL PTT PTTEP PTTGC QTC RATCH ROBINS SAMART SAMTEL SAT SC

SCB SCC SE-ED SIM SNC SPALI THCOM TISCO TKT TMB TOP VGI WACOAL

AAV ACAP AGE AHC AKP AMATA ANAN AOT APCS ARIP ASIMAR ASK ASP BANPU

BAY BBL BDMS BKI BLA BOL BROOK BWG CENTEL CFRESH CHO CIMBT CM CNT

COL CPF CPI CSL DCC DELTA DEMCO ECF EE ERW GBX GC GFPT GLOBAL

GUNKUL HOTPOT HYDRO ICC ICHI INET IRC KSL KTC LANNA LH LOXLEY LRH MACO

MBK MC MEGA MFEC NBC NCH NINE NSI NTV OCC OGC OISHI OTO PAP

PDI PE PG PJW PM PPP PR PRANDA PREB PT PTG Q-CON QH RS

S & J SABINA SAMCO SCG SEAFCO SFP SIAM SINGER SIS SITHAI SMK SMPC SMT SNP

SPI SSF SSI SSSC SST STA STEC SVI SWC SYMC SYNTEC TASCO TBSP TCAP

TF TGCI THAI THANA THANI THIP THRE THREL TICON TIP TIPCO TK TKS TMI

TMILL TMT TNDT TNITY TNL TOG TPC TPCORP TRC TRU TRUE TSC TSTE TSTH

TTA TTCL TTW TU TVD TVO UAC UT UV VNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICO

2S AEC AEONTS AF AH AIRA AIT AJ AKR AMANAH AMARIN AP APCO AQUA

AS ASIA AUCT AYUD BA BEAUTY BEC BFIT BH BIG BJC BJCHI BKD BTNC

CBG CGD CHG CHOW CI CITY CKP CNS CPALL CPL CSC CSP CSS CTW

DNA EARTH EASON ECL EFORL ESSO FE FIRE FOCUS FORTH FPI FSMART FSS FVC

GCAP GENCO GL GLAND GLOW GOLD GYT HTC HTECH IEC IFEC IFS IHL IRCP

ITD JSP JTS JUBILE KASET KBS KCAR KGI KKC KTIS KWC KYE L&E LALIN

LHK LIT LST M MAJOR MAKRO MATCH MATI MBKET M-CHAI MFC MILL MJD MK

MODERN MOONG MPG MSC MTI MTLS NC NOK NUSA NWR NYT OCEAN PACE PATO

PB PCA PCSGH PDG PF PICO PL PLANB PLAT PPM PRG PRIN PSTC PTL

PYLON QLT RCI RCL RICHY RML RPC S SALEE SAPPE SAWAD SCCC SCN SCP

SEAOIL SIRI SKR SMG SOLAR SORKON SPA SPC SPCG SPPT SPVI SRICHA SSC STANLY

STPI SUC SUSCO SUTHA SYNEX TAE TAKUNI TCC TCCC TCJ TEAM TFD TFI TIC

TIW TLUXE TMC TMD TOPP TPCH TPIPL TRT TSE TSR TT UMI UP UPF

UPOIC UREKA UWC VIBHA VIH VPO WHA WIN XO

Disclaimer

The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association ("IOD") regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to

the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on

the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market for Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public

investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of a third party. It is not an assessment of operation and is not based on inside

information. The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the

survey result may be changed after that date or when there is any change to the relevant information. Nevertheless, Krungsri Securities Public

Company Limited does not confirm, verify, or certify the accuracy and completeness of such survey result.

Page 9: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

Anti-corruption Progress Indicator 2015 Level 5: Extended

BCP CPN GYT PE PM PPP PT PTT PTTGC SAT SCC THANI TOP

Level 4: Certified

ADVANC AMANAH ASP AYUD BAFS BANPU BAY BBL BKI BLA BTS CFRESH CIMBT CNS

CSL DCC DRT DTC EASTW ECL EGCO ERW FSS GCAP HANA HTC IFEC INTUCH

IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KGI KKP KTB LANNA LHBANK MBKET MFC MINT MTI NKI

PPS PSL PTG PTTEP SABINA SCB SINGER SIS SNC SNP SSF SSI SSSC SVI

TCAP THCOM THRE THREL TISCO TMB TMD TNITY TOG TSTH

Level 3B: Established by Commitment and Policy

AAV AHC AIT AKR ARROW ASK BA BDMS BEC BJCHI CGH CHG CHOW CIG

CITY CK CKP COLOR CWT EARTH EASON EPG F&D FANCY FIRE FMT FORTH GENCO

GL GOLD GPSC GRAMMY HYDRO IRCP IT JCT KCM KWC LH LIT LOXLEY MACO

MANRIN MATI MODERN MSC NOBLE NOK NPK NUSA OISHI OTO PAF PAP PATO PF

PJW PLANB PLE POLAR PRG PTL Q-CON QTC RCI S11 SALEE SAM SAMART SAMTEL

SAPPE SC SCP SFP SIM SLP SMT SPA SPORT SSC SST STEC STPI SUC

SUTHA T TAE TBSP TCC TFD TGCI TGPRO THANA THIP TIW TK TMW TNDT

TOPP TPC TPCH TPIPL TSR TT TYCN UAC UBIS UEC UMI UP UPF UT

UV VPO WAVE WINNER YUASA

Level 3A: Established by declaration of intent

ABC ACAP AGE AH ANAN AP APCS APURE AS ASIA ASIAN ASIMAR BIGC BROOK

BWG CEN CENTEL CHARAN CHO CHOTI CM CNT COL CPF CPI CPL DELTA DEMCO

DIMET DNA DTAC EA ECF EE EVER FPI GBX GC GFPT GLOW HMPRO HOTPOT

ICC ICHI INOX INSURE IRC JAS JTS JUBILE KC KTC KYE LHK LPN LRH

MAKRO MC MCOT MFEC MJD MONO MOONG NBC NDR NINE NMG NSI NTV OGC

PACE PCSGH PDI PG PHOL PLAT PR PRANDA PREB PS QLT RATCH RML ROBINS

ROJNA RWI SAMCO SCCC SCG SEAOIL SE-ED SENA SITHAI SMK SMPC SPALI SPC SPCG

SPI SRICHA STANLY SUPER SYMC SYNEX SYNTEC TASCO TCMC TFI THAI TICON TKT TLUXE

TMILL TMT TNL TPCORP TSTE TTCL TU TVI UOBKH UREKA VGI VNT WACOAL WHA

ZMICO

Level 2: Declared

2S ABICO AF AIRA AKP ALUCON AMARIN AMATA AOT APCO BEAUTY BFIT BH BKD

BLAND BROCK BRR BSBM BTNC CCP CI CSC CSR CSS EFORL EPCO ESTAR FE

FER FNS FVC GEL GLOBAL GUNKUL IEC IFS ILINK INET J JMT JUTHA K

KASET KBS KCAR KKC KSL KTECH L&E LALIN LTX M MALEE MBAX MBK MEGA

MILL MK MPG MTLS NCH NCL NNCL NPP OCC OCEAN PB PCA PDG PRINC

PSTC PYLON QH ROCK ROH RP RPC S & J SGP SIAM SKR SMG SMIT SORKON

SPACK SPPT SR SUSCO TAKUNI TEAM TF TIC TIP TIPCO TMC TMI TPA TPP

TRT TRU TRUE TSC TSI TTW TVD TVO TVT U UKEM UNIQ UWC VIBHA

VNG WIIK WIN XO

Level 1: Committed

AEONTS AFC AJ AMC AQUA ARIP AUCT BAT-3K BIG BJC BOL CBG CCET CCN

CGD CMR CPH CSP CTW DCON DRACO DSGT DTCI E EMC ESSO FOCUS FSMART

GIFT GLAND GRAND GREEN HFT HTECH IHL ITD JSP KDH KTIS KTP LEE LST

MAJOR MATCH MAX M-CHAI MDX MIDA ML MPIC NC NEP NWR OHTL PICO PK

PL PPM PRAKIT PRECHA PRIN RAM RICH RS SANKO SAUCE SAWAD SAWANG SCN SEAFCO

SF SHANG SIRI SMART SMM SOLAR SPG SPVI STA STAR SVH SVOA SWC TAPAC

TC TCCC TCJ TCOAT TH TKS TNH TNPC TPAC TPOLY TRC TRUBB TSE TTA

TTI TTL TTTM TWP TWZ UMS UPA UPOIC UTP UVAN VARO VI VIH VTE

WG

Disclaimer The disclosure of the Anti-Corruption Progress Indicators of a listed company on the Stock Exchange of Thailand, which is assessed by Thaipat Institute, is made in order to comply with the policy and sustainable development plan for the listed companies of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Thaipat Institute made this assessment based on the information received from the listed company, as stipulated in the form for the assessment of Anti-corruption which refers to the Annual Registration Statement (Form 56-1), Annual Report (Form 56-2), or other relevant documents or reports of such listed company . The assessment result is therefore made from the perspective of Thaipat Institute that is a third party. It is not an assessment of operation and is not based on any inside information. Since this assessment is only the assessment result as of the date appearing in the assessment result, it may be changed after that date or when there is any change to the relevant information. Nevertheless, Krungsri Securities Public Company Limited does not confirm, verify, or certify the accuracy and completeness of the assessment result." Reference

Level 5: Extended – Extension of the anti-corruption policy to business partners in the supply chain, and disclosure of any current

investigations, prosecutions or closed cases

Level 4: Certified – Audit engagement by audit committee or auditors approved by the office of SEC, and receiving certification or assurance

by independent external assurance providers (CAC etc.)

Level 3: Established – Carrying out preventive measures, risk assessment, communication and training for all employees, including

consistent monitoring and review processes

Level 3A: Established by declaration of intent, Level 3B: Established by Commitment and Policy

Level 2: Declared – Public declaration statement to participate in Thailand's private sector Collective Action Coalition Against Corruption

(CAC) or equivalent initiatives

Level 1: Committed – Organization’s statement or board's resolution to work against corruption and to be in compliance with all relevant laws

Page 10: July 15, 2016 OUTPERFORM Malee Group Ratio analysis Gross margin (%) 31.3 33.3 31.5 SGA ... (Monde Nissin) will give MALEE access to distribution channels to penetrate the Bt200bn

www.krungsrisecurities.com

Krungsri Securities Public Company Limited

Headquarters

898 Ploenchit Tower, 3rd Floor, Ploenchit Road, Lumpini Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330 Tel: 0-2659-7000 Fax: 0-2658-5699 Internet Trading: 0-2659-7777

Branches

Emporium 662 Emporium Tower, Fl. 10, Sukhumvit 24 Road Klongton, Klongtoey, Bangkok 10110 Tel: 0-2695-4500 Fax: 0-2695-4599 Central Bangna 589/151 Central City Tower 1 Office, Fl. 27 Bangna-Trad Road, Bangna, Bangkok 10260 Tel: 0-2763-2000 Fax: 0-2399-1448 Rama II 111/917-919 Rama II Road, Smaedum, Bangkhuntien, Bangkok 10150 Tel: 0-2895-9575 Fax: 0-2895-9557 Vibhavadi-rangsit Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited 123 Suntowers (B) Building, Vibhavadirangsit Road, Jompol, Jatujak, Bangkok 10900 Tel: 0-2273-8388 Fax: 0-2273-8399 Chonburi 64/17 Sukhumvit Road, Tambol Bang Plasoi, Amphur Muang, Chonburi 20000 Tel: 0-3879-0430 Fax: 0-3879-0425 Hat Yai Branch 90-92-94 Nipat U Tit Nueng Road,Tambol Hat Yai, Amphur Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110 Tel: 0-7422-1229 Fax: 0-7422-1411

Nakhon Pathom 67/1 Ratchadamnoen Road, Tambol Phra Pathom Jaedee, Amphur Muang, Nakhon Pathom 73000 Tel: 0-3427-5500-7 Fax: 0-3421-8989

Suphanburi 249/171-172 Moo 5 Tambol Ta Rahad, Amphur Muang, Suphanburi, 72000 Tel: 0-3550-1234 Fax: 0-3552-2449

Nakhon Ratchasima 168 Chomphon Road, Tambol Nai Muang, Amphur Muang Nakhon Ratchasima, Nakhon Ratchasima 30000 Tel: 0-4425-1211-4 Fax: 0-4425-1215

Khon Kaen 114 Sri Chan Road, Tambol Nai Muang, Amphur Muang, Khon Kaen 40000 Tel: 0-4322-6120 Fax: 0-4322-6180

Chiang Mai 70 Chang Phuak Road, Tambol Sri Phum Amphur Muang, Chiang Mai 50200 Tel: 0-5321-9234 Fax: 0-5321-9247

Chiang Rai 231-232 Thamalai Road, Tambol Wiang, Amphur Muang, Chiang Rai 57000 Tel: 0-5371-6489 Fax: 0-5371-6490

Phitsanulok 275/1 Phichaisongkram Road, Tambol Nai Muang, Amphur Muang, Phitsanulok 65000 Tel: 0-5530-3360 Fax: 0-5530-2580

Analyst Team Sector Coverage Central line:

662-659-7000 E-mail

Naphat Chantaraserekul, Head of Research Energy, Petrochemical, Strategy

Construction Materials

ext. 5000 [email protected]

Kittisorn Pruitipat, CFA, FRM Property, ICT ext. 5019 [email protected]

Jesada Techahusdin, CFA

Banking, Consumer Finance, Insurance

Insurance Insurance

ext. 5004 [email protected]

Sunthorn Thongthip Food, Transportation, Strategy ext. 5009 [email protected]

Worrapong Tuntiwutthipong Electronic, Automotive, Commerce,

Media

ext. 5016 [email protected]

Teerapol Udomvej, Assistant Analyst Healthcare, Tourism

Songklod Wongchai Investment Strategy ext. 5003 [email protected]

Artit Jansawang Mid - Small cap, MAI ext. 5005 [email protected]

Nalinee Praman, Assistant Analyst Mid - Small cap, MAI

Apisak Limthumrongkul Technical ext. 5007 [email protected]

Fax 662-658-5643

Definition of Ratings

OUTPERFORM - Stocks with an expected capital gain above 10% in the next 12 months for small-caps, above 5% for big-caps

NEUTRAL - Stocks with an expected capital gain between -10% and +10% in the next 12 months for small-caps, -5% to +5% for big-caps

UNDERPERFORM - Stocks with an expected capital gain below 10% in the next 12 months for small-caps, below 5% for big-caps