19
Joost Siteur Clean Energy Advisor IEA Workshop on ‘Mobilizing sustainable bioenergy supply chains: opportunities for agriculture’ May 17, 2016

Joost Siteur - IEA Bioenergy · Joost Siteur Clean Energy Advisor IEA Workshop on ‘Mobilizing sustainable bioenergy supply chains: opportunities for agriculture’ May 17, 2016

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Joost Siteur

Clean Energy Advisor IEA Workshop on ‘Mobilizing sustainable

bioenergy supply chains: opportunities for agriculture’ May 17, 2016

}  Nearly 200 industrial biogas plants built in Thailand since early 2000s

}  Significant savings in energy expenses and reductions in environmental impacts

}  Biogas development in nearby countries lagging

2

3

-140.0%

-120.0%

-100.0%

-80.0%

-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013

Net energy imports as share of total energy use

Philippines

Thailand

Vietnam

Malaysia

Indonesia

}  Targets: RE contributing 25% of total energy consumption by 2021

}  Finance: subsidies, tax incentives, soft loans and equity capital

}  Electricity: Ability for RE to sell to the grid

4

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2008 2011 2013 2015

Targets for Biogas (MW)

Biogas Energy crops

2022*

2021

2021

2036

* Target year

•  Distribution utilities obliged to purchase electricity generated from RE up to 10 MW

•  Retail tariff + ‘Adder’ for first 7 years (US$ 0.9-1.4 cents / kWh for biogas)

•  By May 2016, 3,530 MW installed, 927 MW under development

•  Regulations revised in 2014, adder replaced by Feed-in Tariff (FIT)

5

}  HH biogas programs since 1950s }  Medium and large pig farms in 1990s }  Early 2000s government supported projects

at starch mills (30% subsidy) }  Commercial development from 2003 onwards

6

}  Waste water typically treated in open lagoons }  High organic content suitable for biogas }  Large industrial sector }  Industry relies on Heavy Fuel Oil and grid

electricity

Biogas can significantly reduce energy costs and environmental impacts

7

8

}  10 year BOOT (Build-own-operate-transfer) }  Covered lagoon digester (100,000 m3) }  CAPEX US$ 4.5 million (all equity) }  Fixed savings of 20% }  3 MW, displaces 7.5 m. liter HFO, 35 GWh/yr }  Projected 250,000 CERs/yr

9

10

Wastewater

Electricity

Biogas

StarchMillSpecialPurposeVehicle

$

11

}  High expectations from CDM }  Initially BOOT, later mostly self-built or turn-

key }  Starch mills followed by palm oil mills }  Sharp increase in biogas power sales

12

13

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Capa

city

(MW

)

Elec

tric

ity (G

Wh)

Capacity (MW) Electricity (GWh)

}  140 projects, total 302 MW, 127 MW under development

}  Biogas 9% of VSPP capacity }  Revenue since 2005 > US$ 500 million }  Palm oil mills energy self-sufficient, so VSPP

important factor

14

}  Grant funding for early projects }  Large interest from carbon finance after initial

BOOT projects }  Most later projects financed by local banks, a

government-initiated soft-loan program co-financed 30-40 projects

}  Local banks willing to finance once familiar, but largely as asset-based corporate finance

}  Total investment >US$ 800 million

15

}  Favorable regulations & incentives: •  RE development plans & targets

•  Subsidies, tax exemptions, financing

•  VSPP

16

}  Carbon finance: •  High expectations, low deliverance

}  Well-established industrial sector: •  Replicability, access to financing

}  Favorable investment climate: •  Infrastructure, stability, etc.

17

}  Most major facilities have biogas system }  Opportunities at smaller facilities, but not

always economically feasible }  Large scope for performance improvements at

existing plants }  Opportunities for biogas from energy crops,

compressed biogas (CBG)

18

}  Industrial biogas has become a mature and bankable technology in Thailand

}  Rapid uptake of technology but limited focus on performance

}  Favorable regulations and access to finance key to uptake

}  Government support instrumental, but not necessarily sufficient

19