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Page 1: Jan 2020 Page 1 - Paccar · 2020-01-28 · Jan 2020 Page 13 0 1,750 3,500 5,250 7,000 8,750 10,500 12,250 14,000 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13

Jan 2020Page 1

Page 2: Jan 2020 Page 1 - Paccar · 2020-01-28 · Jan 2020 Page 13 0 1,750 3,500 5,250 7,000 8,750 10,500 12,250 14,000 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13

Jan 2020Page 2

This presentation may contain statements that are forward looking. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. A summary of risks and uncertainties is described in more detail in our periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

We undertake no duty to update or revise this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. For the most recent financial, risk and other information about PACCAR, please see our SEC filings and most recent earnings release available on the Investor Relations page of www.paccar.com.

Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

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Jan 2020Page 3

Truck and

Other78%

Parts16%

Financial Svcs6%

PACCAR A Global Technology Company in Commercial Vehicles

Truck and Other$20.09B Revenues

Premium Quality Light, Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles, Diesel Engines and Powertrain Components

Aftermarket Parts $4.02B Revenues

Distribute Aftermarket Parts through Global Network of over 2,200 Dealerships

Financial Services $1.48B Revenues

Finance and leasing portfolio of 208,000 trucks and trailers, with assets of $16.1B

81 Years of Consecutive Profitability; Dividend Paid Every Year Since 19412019 Revenues $25.6B 2019 Net Income $2.39B 2019 Dividend Yield 5.1%

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Jan 2020Page 4

Quality Highest Integrity

Operational Excellence

Conservative Financial

ManagementLong-Term Perspective

Our CulturePACCAR is a company with a great culture and a bright future. Our focus is on doing things in an ethical and disciplined manner. We make decisions utilizing conservative financial principles and common sense for the long-term benefit of our customers, employees and shareholders.

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Jan 2020Page 5

PACCAR’s business segments include Commercial Vehicles, Powertrain, Aftermarket Parts, Financial Services and Information Technology. PACCAR’s premium brands Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF are the premier light, medium and heavy duty commercial trucks in their markets. Other brands include PACCAR Powertrain, PACCAR Parts, PACCAR Financial, and PACCAR Leasing.

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Jan 2020Page 6

Products

• PACCAR’s product investments deliver industry-leadingperformance and value to our customers

• Our products reflect our core brand values of quality, innovation and technology

6-16t Vocational >16t

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The integrated PACCAR Powertrain is the most advanced powertrain in the market. The PACCAR MX-13 and MX-11 engines are optimally matched to the advanced PACCAR 12-Speed automated transmission and the efficient 40K tandem drive axle to achieve exceptional performance and fuel economy.

The PACCAR MX-13 engine offers 510 hp and 1,850 lb.-ft. of torque and the PACCAR MX-11 engine features 430 hp and 1,650 lb.-ft. of torque. PACCAR designs MX engines to an industry-leading B10 life of one million miles. This means 90% of PACCAR MX-13 and MX-11 engines are expected to reach one million miles without the need for a major overhaul.

In addition to the PACCAR tandem drive axle, Kenworth and Peterbilt offer the PACCAR steer axle. DAF trucks include a range of lightweight and durable PACCAR front and rear axles.

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Jan 2020Page 8

0

50

100

150

200

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Units (000s)

BrasilAustraliaMexicoCanadaUSEurope

PACCAR Truck ProductionOver 1.4 Million Trucks Produced 2010 - 2019

189.1

78.8

138.0 140.4 137.1 142.9154.7

140.9158.9

PACCAR produced a record 198,800 trucks in 2019

198.8

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Jan 2020Page 9

0481216202428

048

1216202428

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

$ Billions$ Billions Revenues

0.00.51.01.52.02.5

0.00.51.01.52.02.5

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

$ Billions$ Billions Net Income

PACCARExcellent Financial Performance Throughout the Business Cycle

CAGR = 5%

CAGR = 7%

• Reputation for superior operational excellence

• Increase in revenues and net income reflect growth in market share in North America and Europe, record aftermarket parts sales and growth in financial services

• Maintain profitability throughout the cycle due to strong cost control discipline and experienced management team

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Jan 2020Page 10

-9%

-6%

-3%

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

-9%

-6%

-3%

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

PACCAR Volvo Daimler Traton Iveco Navistar

• PACCAR’s operating margin has been at the top of the industry since 2012, reflecting the premium value of our products and our leadership in operating efficiency.

• This is a testament to the outstanding performance of PACCAR’s employees.

Best-in-Class Operating EfficiencyCommercial Vehicle Segment Operating Margin

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Jan 2020Page 11

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19PACCAR Volvo Daimler Traton CNH Navistar

Best-in-Class Operating EfficiencyInventory Turns

PACCAR’s inventory turns are the highest in the industry, a result of the PACCAR Production System, Lean Manufacturing and Six Sigma

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Jan 2020Page 12

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19PACCAR Volvo Daimler Traton CNH Navistar

Best-in-Class Operating EfficiencySG&A % of Sales

PACCAR’s SG&A as a percentage of sales is much lower than its peer group, reflecting strong financial discipline

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Jan 2020Page 13

0

1,750

3,500

5,250

7,000

8,750

10,500

12,250

14,000

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19

$/TruckUnits (000s)

Trucks Net Income per Truck

Net Income per Truck• Net income per truck is

PACCAR’s net income divided by total truck unit sales.

• Truck sales not only generate profit from the sale, but also parts and finance profit. This illustrates the strength of PACCAR’s business model, providing the highest quality trucks, aftermarket support and financing.

• PACCAR achieved record net income per truck in 2019.

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Jan 2020Page 14

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

2018

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

Average 2014 - 2018

Best-in-Class Return on Invested Capital

ROIC = NOPAT/(Equity + Manufacturing Debt + Postemployment Benefit Liabilities)

PACCAR’s high profitability, strong working capital management and prudent investments resulted in best in class return on invested capital of 25.6% in 2018, and an average of 21.8% over the last five years. In 2019, PACCAR’s ROIC improved to 26.3%, and averaged 23.1% from 2015 – 2019.

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Jan 2020Page 15

• High ROI Capital Investments− ROIC 26.3% 2019

• Pay Regular Quarterly and Annual Dividend− Dividend paid every year since 1941− Total dividends paid approximately 50% of net income for many

years− Regular quarterly dividend 20-year annualized growth of 11%− Total 2019 dividends declared increased 16% (yoy)

• Opportunistic Share Buybacks− $500 Million authorized; $431 Million remaining as of 12/31/2019

• Strategic M&A− Disciplined valuation and screening process− Clear path to value creation

• No Unfunded Pension Obligation

Capital Allocation Strategy

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Jan 2020Page 16

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

$ Millions$ Millions

Dividends Stock Repurchased

Dividends Declared and Stock Repurchases

CAGR = 10%

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Jan 2020Page 17

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Average Dividend Yield = 3.4%

Excellent Dividend Yield

• PACCAR’s dividend yield, reflects the total quarterly + special dividends declared in the year, divided by the average stock price for the year

• PACCAR’s dividend yield has increased over the last 10 years, and averaged 3.4%

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Jan 2020Page 18

Truck71%

Rail12%

Pipeline11%

Water6%

Trucking Moves the Economy71% of U.S. Freight is Moved by Truck

Trucking is the lifeblood of the economy. In the U.S., the economy depends on trucks to deliver ten billion tons of virtually every commodity consumed - 71% of all the freight transported annually. 36 million commercial trucks, including 3.7 million heavy-duty trucks, move that freight. The percentage of tonnage by mode is stable over time.

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300

375

450

145

155

90

2014 2019Units in Thousands

   >6t Truck Market            2014   – 2.7 Million2019   – 3.2 Million

1,290

North America

South AmericaAfrica & 

Middle East

Europe

India

320 335320

Rest of Asia

Russia/CISChina 

2421

Australia

340

275 95 990

200225

200

PACCAR Truck Assembly

>6t Global Truck Market

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Jan 2020Page 20

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350Xugong

DayunIsuzuIveco

KamAZJianghuai

Ashok LeylandNavistar

HongyanHino

Beijing FotonTata Motors

SinotrukPACCAR

TratonShaanxi

VolvoDongfeng

FAWDaimler

Total Production 2019 = 2.4 Million

#7

• PACCAR competes globally with truck manufacturers from North America, Europe and Asia

• PACCAR was the 7th largest heavy-duty manufacturer in the world last year, 4th among the multinational competitors.

>16t Truck Manufacturing2019 Estimated Production (Units 000s)

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Jan 2020Page 21

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Units (000s)Units (000s)

US & Canada Europe South America

>16t Truck Market Size Outlook

U.S. and Canada 230,000 – 260,000

Europe 260,000 – 290,000

S. America 100,000 – 110,000

2020 Market Forecast Estimate

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Jan 2020Page 22

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Jan 2020Page 23

PACCAR Strategy

Premium Products and Services

Profitable Market Share Growth

Geographic Expansion

QualityQuality TechnologyTechnology InnovationInnovation

Bra

nd V

alue

sPr

ofita

ble

Gro

wth

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Jan 2020Page 24

• Operating cash flow has averaged $2.7 billion for the last five years and has grown 6% annually over the last 20 years

• Strong operating cash flow enables PACCAR to invest in growth throughout the business cycle

• PACCAR has invested $6.8 billion in capital projects, innovative products and new technologies in the last decade

• Key investments:− DAF XF/CF trucks − PACCAR MX-13 and MX-11 engine factory in North

America− Kenworth and Peterbilt 2.1 meter wide cab program in

North America, South America, and Australia− DAF Brasil factory− PACCAR Parts distribution centers

PACCARInvesting Throughout the Business Cycle

02004006008001,0001,200

0200400600800

1,0001,200

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

$ Millions$ MillionsCapital Investments and R&D Expenses

Capital R&D

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

$ Billions$ BillionsOperating Cash Flow

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Jan 2020Page 25

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

# of Engines (000s)

# of Engines (000s)

Cumulative PACCAR MX Engines Produced

DAF MX 13 KW/PB MX 13 MX 11

• The PACCAR MX-13 is the flagship of PACCAR’s engine line-up with over 500,000 engines in operation in Europe and over 220,000 engines in operation in North America and a growing presence in South America and Australia.

• Produced the 200,000th MX engine for North America in March 2019

• PACCAR expanded its engine program in 2013 with the introduction of the PACCAR MX-11 in Europe. The MX-11 was launched in North America in January 2016.

Cumulative PACCAR MX Engines Produced

PACCAR MX-1110.8 Liter

PACCAR MX-1312.9 Liter

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Jan 2020Page 26

Connectivity Electrification Autonomy

PACCAR Emerging Technology Programs

• PACCAR is an industry leader in innovative technologies that enhance our vehicles

• Three emerging technology areas that will provide PACCAR future growth opportunities are connectivity,

electrification and autonomy

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Jan 2020Page 27

Alternative Powertrains

DAF XF/CF Parallel Hybrid

DAF CF Electric

Peterbilt Electric Refuse

Peterbilt Electric Port

Medium Duty Electric

Kenworth Hydrogen

Port

PACCAR has introduced several alternative powertrain trucks currently in field-testing with customers

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Jan 2020Page 28

• PACCAR Innovation Center in Silicon Valley enhances PACCAR’s access to emerging technologies and talent from around the world.

• The Innovation Center collaborates with other PACCAR engineering teams to develop next generation technologies such as a Level 4 autonomous truck

• The Innovation Center truck lab is equipped with the tools needed to integrate emerging technologies.

PACCAR Innovation Center, Sunnyvale, CA

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PACCAR Global Embedded Services

Kenworth Embedded Engineering Center, Kirkland, WA Embedded Service Center, Pune, India

PACCAR has three embedded service technology centers located at Kenworth in Kirkland, WA, at DAF in Eindhoven, the Netherlands; and in Pune, India.

The centers will accelerate embedded software development and connected vehicle solutions to benefit customers’ operating efficiency. Digital Technology Center, Eindhoven, NL

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PACCAR Facility Investments

DAF Factory, Ponta Grossa, Brasil Dynacraft, McKinney, Texas

PACCAR Engine Factories Kenworth New Cab Paint Facility, Chillicothe, OH

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PACCAR Parts Strategy

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

$ Millions$ MillionsPACCAR Parts Sales

Engine Parts Sales Parts Sales

CAGR = 7%

PACCAR Parts achieved $4.02 billion in sales in 2019, a 5% increase over a year ago and a CAGR of 7% over the last 15 years

Growth Drivers:• Growing population of Kenworth, Peterbilt and

DAF trucks due to geographic expansion and market share growth

• Growing population of PACCAR engines due to North America introduction in 2010

• Best-in-class Distribution Network− 18 parts distribution centers and 2,200+ dealer

locations• Proprietary, PACCAR Genuine and TRP

branded parts enhance margins• Growing network of TRP stores Las Vegas Parts Distribution Center to Open in 2020

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Jan 2020Page 32

PACCAR Parts Distribution Centers and Dealers18 PDCs in 11 Countries; 2,200+ Dealer Locations

PACCAR Distribution Centers

KW, PB, DAF Dealers

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PACCAR Global Dealer Network• Independent dealer network of 2,200+ dealer

locations• Premium customer experience• Strong dealer profitability and expanded

opportunities from PACCAR engines and TRP stores

• Competitive flooring and retail financing provided by PACCAR Financial and PACCAR Leasing

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400

500

600

700

800

900

400

500

600

700

800

900

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Growth in Kenworth and Peterbilt Dealer LocationsU.S. and Canada

Locations Locations

PACCAR MX-13 Introduced in 2010

Dealer Investments of $1.7 Billion since 2010

Over 60% Growth in Dealer Locations

Drives Long-Term PACCAR Parts Growth

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Jan 2020Page 35

PACCAR Financial Services Strategy

• PACCAR Financial Services supports truck sales by providing financing and leasing services to PACCAR customers

• In 2019, PACCAR Financial financed 25% of all Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF trucks

• Geographical diversification, disciplined credit underwriting, and rigorous portfolio management have enabled PACCAR Financial to earn excellent profits throughout the business cycle.

• Key strategies and investments:− Predictive data analytics for credit quality− Expanded used truck centers− Mobile finance and credit system− E-Contract and e-signature− Customer on-line portal

Total Assets 12/31/19 = $16.1 Billion

0

2

4

6

8

0

2

4

6

8

91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 15 18

%% Low 30+ Days Past Due

U.S. & Canada$8.0 Billion

50% Europe$3.8 Billion

23%

Australia & Mexico$1.6 Billion

10%

PacLease$2.7 Billion

17%

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0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

24%

28%

32%

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

24%

28%

32%

North America Australia Europe S. America

1999 2009 2019

• Since 1999, PACCAR’s above 16 tonne market share has increased in all home markets

• Kenworth is the market leader in Australia • PACCAR’s investment in truck

manufacturing in Brasil supports PACCAR’s medium-term goal of 10% market share for Kenworth and DAF products in South America.

Long-Term Growth in PACCAR Heavy Duty Market Share

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Jan 2020Page 37

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

U.S. and Canada Europe

1999 2009 2019

Long-Term Growth in PACCAR Medium Duty Market Share

• Since 1999, PACCAR’s medium duty market share has increased the U.S. and Canada and in Europe

• In the U.S. and Canada, Kenworth and Peterbilt achieved share of 16.5% in 2019

• DAF share grew to 9.7% in Europe in 2019

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Jan 2020Page 38

Facilities

Ohio Environmental Protection Agency

Environmental Leadership

Kenworth – Chillicothe Awarded the 2018 Encouraging Environmental Excellence Award from the Ohio EPA

PACCAR Earns “A” for its Environmental Practices; Top 2% of over 8,000 Reporting Companies

CDP “A” Rating

88% of PACCAR Locations are “Zero Waste to Landfill” 

88% of PACCAR Manufacturing Locations have Achieved ISO 14001 Certification

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Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings

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PACCAR Revenues and Profit

81 consecutive years of net profit

Dividends every year since 1941

4th Quarter Full Year($ in Millions) 2019 2018 2019 2018Revenues $6,117 $6,280 $25,600 $23,496

Net Income $531 $578 $2,388 $2,195Return on Revenues 8.7% 9.2% 9.3% 9.3%Diluted EPS $1.53 $1.65 $6.87 $6.24New Truck Deliveries (units) 45,700 50,400 198,800 189,100

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$6.28 $6.12

2018 2019

Sales and Revenues(Billions of Dollars)

• Sales and Revenues of $6.12 Billion • Deliveries of 45,700 Trucks• Excellent Net Income of $531.3 Million• After-tax Return on Revenues of 8.7%• PACCAR Parts Revenues of $994 Million • PACCAR Parts Pretax Income of $205.2 Million, a

20.6% Pretax Return on Revenues• Financial Services Pretax Income of $68.1 Million• R&D Expenses of $83.6 Million• Capital Investments of $239.6 Million

2019 Financial ResultsFourth Quarter 2019 vs. Fourth Quarter 2018

$578$531

2018 2019

Net Income(Millions of Dollars)

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25%

26%

27%

28%

25%

26%

27%

28%

13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Parts

Excellent Truck and Parts Gross Margins

• Truck margins have increased due to new products and operating efficiencies

• Parts margins have benefited from investments and growing populations of PACCAR trucks and engines

Gross Margins

10%

11%

12%

13%

10%

11%

12%

13%

13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Truck

12%

13%

14%

15%

12%

13%

14%

15%

13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Total Manufacturing

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$4.94$4.69

2018 2019

Sales(Billions of Dollars)

• Sales Decreased 5%

• Pretax Profit Decreased 12%

• Quarterly Deliveries of 45,700 Trucks,

• Price Realization of Over 2%

TruckFourth Quarter 2019 vs. Fourth Quarter 2018

$452

$396

2018 2019

Segment Pretax Profit

(Millions of Dollars)

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$971 $994

2018 2019

Sales(Millions of Dollars)

• Sales Increased 2%

• Pretax Profit Increased 6%

• Results Driven by Investments in Parts

Distribution Centers (PDCs); Increased Dealer

Locations, Including TRP Stores; and

Increased PACCAR Trucks and MX Engines in

Operation

• New PDCs in Las Vegas, Nevada, and Ponta

Grossa, Brasil will Open in 2020

Aftermarket PartsFourth Quarter 2019 vs. Fourth Quarter 2018

$194$205

2018 2019

Segment Pretax Profit

(Millions of Dollars)

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$347

$406

2018 2019

Revenues(Millions of Dollars) • Revenues Increased 17%

• Pretax Profit Decreased 22%

• Increased Earning Assets

• Used Truck Center Opened in Denton,

Texas, in 2019, and Prague, Czech Republic,

Center will Open in 2020

• Portfolio of 208,000 Trucks and Trailers

• Record Total Assets of $16.07 Billion

Financial Services Fourth Quarter 2019 vs. Fourth Quarter 2018

$87

$68

2018 2019

Segment Pretax Profit

(Millions of Dollars)

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($ Millions)12/31/19

Mfg Cash & Securities $ 5,169Other Manufacturing Assets 7,120Financial Services Assets 16,072Total Assets $ 28,361

Manufacturing Debt $ -Manufacturing Liabilities 6,013Financial Services Liabilities 12,642Shareholders' Equity 9,706Total Liabilities & Equity $ 28,361

• Superb balance sheet

• $5.2 billion in manufacturing cash and securities to support growth opportunities and investments in all phases of the cycle

• No manufacturing debt – a capital structure that has proven beneficial throughout the business cycle

• A+/A1 credit rating provides excellent access to the credit markets for PACCAR Financial Services

PACCAR IncA+/A1 Credit Ratings

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PACCAR Competitive AdvantagesExperienced Management Team

Highest Quality Products

Rigorous Cost Control

Innovative Technology

Global Aftermarket Parts Sales

Strongest Dealer Network

Profitable Financial Services

Excellent Supplier Partnerships

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