Interpreting the Scottish Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation

in an Urban Contextin an Urban Context

Presentation to the ScotStat Analysts NetworkPresentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network30th June 201030th June 2010

James ArnottJames ArnottDevelopment & Regeneration ServicesDevelopment & Regeneration Services

Glasgow City CouncilGlasgow City Council

SIMD 2009SIMD 2009

Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivationshare of Scotland’s deprivation

SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15%SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15% SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15%SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15% Main drivers: expanding local Main drivers: expanding local

economy, retention of employed economy, retention of employed working-age population, improved working-age population, improved housing choicehousing choice

Change between 2004 & 2009Change between 2004 & 2009

SIMDSIMD 20042004 20092009

1%-15%1%-15% 307,997307,997 243,110243,110

16%-50%16%-50% 150,636150,636 183,492183,492

51%-100%51%-100% 119,236119,236 157,638157,638

Change between 2004 & 2009Change between 2004 & 2009

SIMDSIMD % Change% Change ChangeChange

1%-15%1%-15% -21.1%-21.1% -65,000-65,000

16%-50%16%-50% +21.8%+21.8% +32,900+32,900

51%-100%51%-100% +32.2%+32.2% +38,400+38,400

Greater Pollok LCPP: Change Greater Pollok LCPP: Change between 2004 & 2009between 2004 & 2009

SIMDSIMD % Change% Change ChangeChange

1%-15%1%-15% -16.4%-16.4% -4,500-4,500

16%-50%16%-50% +39.0%+39.0% +4,000+4,000

51%-100%51%-100% +23.0%+23.0% +3,800+3,800

SIMD 2009: 4 TrendsSIMD 2009: 4 Trends

Areas moving out of deprivation: -Areas moving out of deprivation: -21.1% population fall21.1% population fall

Areas moving into 51%-100%: Areas moving into 51%-100%: +32.2% population increase+32.2% population increase

Persistent deprivation involving Persistent deprivation involving 108,525 persons108,525 persons

Areas losing groundAreas losing ground

Further AnalysisFurther Analysis

Capacity of Glasgow to withstand Capacity of Glasgow to withstand current recessioncurrent recession

Continuated City Centre expansionContinuated City Centre expansion Areas of persistent deprivationAreas of persistent deprivation Stable areas facing declineStable areas facing decline

1. Withstanding the Recession1. Withstanding the Recession

Broad-based economyBroad-based economy Infrastructural improvements: M74, Infrastructural improvements: M74,

Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Commonwealth GamesCommonwealth Games

Centralisation and displacementCentralisation and displacement Demographics and age profileDemographics and age profile Relative not absolute improvementRelative not absolute improvement

2a. City Centre Expansion2a. City Centre Expansion

East to DennistounEast to Dennistoun North to Speirs WharfNorth to Speirs Wharf West towards West End, Anderston, West towards West End, Anderston,

KelvinhaughKelvinhaugh Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-

deprived into 51%-100%deprived into 51%-100% No major employment expansionNo major employment expansion

2b. City Centre/West End2b. City Centre/West End

Along the 4 main linking routesAlong the 4 main linking routes Associated with increased working-Associated with increased working-

age populationage population Possibly also single person hholdsPossibly also single person hholds Westward expansion stops at Westward expansion stops at

WhiteinchWhiteinch North Kelvinside & WoodsideNorth Kelvinside & Woodside

3. Persistent Deprivation3. Persistent Deprivation

137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09 No major loss of populationNo major loss of population Based around SIPs but a new Based around SIPs but a new

geography within themgeography within them Continuing employability Continuing employability

programmes for hard-to-reach during programmes for hard-to-reach during a recessiona recession

4. Stable Areas facing Decline4. Stable Areas facing Decline

Not threatened with deprivation, but Not threatened with deprivation, but losing groundlosing ground

Issues around displacement and Issues around displacement and competing neighbourhoodscompeting neighbourhoods

Inter-war housing stock, Western Inter-war housing stock, Western Heritable, RtBsHeritable, RtBs

Early action possibleEarly action possible

ConclusionsConclusions

Different neighbourhood geographyDifferent neighbourhood geography Changed role of River Clyde and City Changed role of River Clyde and City

CentreCentre Widening inequalities with ex-SIPsWidening inequalities with ex-SIPs Displacement within the city Displacement within the city

conurbationconurbation

Way ForwardWay Forward

Widen the debate around these and Widen the debate around these and other issuesother issues

Most suitable way of monitoring and Most suitable way of monitoring and reviewing these trendsreviewing these trends

Use of policy to steer or stopUse of policy to steer or stop