ISNCR Review - ieg.worldbank.org...Nov 23, 2011 · 2 ISNCR Review Independent Evaluation Group and to help the WBG think about the changes in course that would be desirable. Second,

ISNCR Reviewed by: Peer Reviewed by: ISNCR Review Coordinator

Shoghik Hovhannisyan and Allan Gloe Dizioli Consultants, IEGCC

Mauricio Carrizosa, Consultant, IEGCC Jaime Jaramillo-Vallejo

Lead Economist, IEGCC Surajit Goswami, Consultant, IEGCC

Stephen Francis Pirozzi, Sr. Evaluation Officer, IEGCC

ISNCR Review Independent Evaluation Group

2. Executive Summary

i. This review examines the implementation of the Bolivia FY10-11 Interim Strategy Note (ISN) of FY10. It limits its assessment to those parts—henceforth referred to as the ISN Completion Report (ISN CR) in this review—of the broader completion report, which covers eight years when the World Bank Group (WBG) strategy was guided by a Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) and two ISNs. The choice of focusing only on the FY10 ISN is in keeping with IEG’s trend towards shorter program assessments, and acknowledges the Executive Board’s discussions of the lessons and findings of the two initial periods when considering the most recent strategy documents. This review also evaluates the ISN CR. The FY10 ISN was a joint strategy between IDA and IFC, and this review covers the joint program of the two agencies.

ii. The broad objective of the WBG’s ISN was to support the country’s efforts to significantly reduce extreme poverty. The ISN was organized around four pillars: (i) productive development and support to production; (ii) sustainable development; (iii) human development; and (iv) governance and support to the public sector. Under pillar 1 the strategy focused on agricultural productivity and food security, job creation and service delivery. Under Pillar 2 the focus was on mitigation of the effects of natural disasters, and increasing the capacity to formulate and implement adequate climate change responses. Under Pillar 3 the attention was on equitable access to better quality education and public health services, and enhancing social protection. Under Pillar 4 the WBG sought to improve public sector management for better services delivery and increased inclusion, with greater transparency and accountability. Although most outcomes of WBG support were to be achieved after the ISN period, the ISN expected that some progress towards those outcomes would be achieved during the ISN implementation. This expectation was consistent with a program that had a significant degree of inertia, with 13 out of the 15 projects in implementation at the time of ISN discussion, which amounted to 65 percent of the strategy’s intended commitments.

iii. Progress was made in improving productivity and job creation, as well as in urban service delivery, rural electricity provision, and rehabilitation and maintenance of road network. The WBG also contributed to restoration of infrastructures destroyed by natural disasters. However, agricultural productivity remains a challenge. Progress is just beginning regarding the capacity of the government to respond to natural disasters, on the adaptation of Bolivia to climate change challenges, and PEFA recommendations and procurement. Observed progress in education cannot be traced to WBG interventions. Also evidence is weak on progress in health, social protection, youth employability, and the development of a modern, results-oriented public management system.

iv. IEG concurs with the lessons of the ISN CR, but stresses two additional points. First, the short life span of an ISN calls for a more realistic set of objectives and a for a results framework that can adequately be monitored during the life of the strategy. An effective monitoring and evaluation framework is essential to adjust the transitory strategy to the progress being made on the ground,

1. ISN Data

Country: Bolivia

ISN Year: FY10 – FY11 ISN Period: FY10 – FY11

ISN Review Period: FY10–FY11 Date of this review: November 23, 2011

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and to help the WBG think about the changes in course that would be desirable. Second, a substantive and constructive dialogue with the country—begun under the ISN under review—can help identify areas of common ground between the country’s and the WBG’s approach to key policy issues. Approaching the dialogue with an open mind can help open opportunities to promote growth and abate poverty for both IDA and IFC.

3. ISN Summary

Overview of ISN Relevance: Country Context:

1. Bolivia, one of the poorest countries in Latin America, has had a strong macroeconomic performance in recent years, as a result of sound macro policies and improved terms of trade. Average annual real GDP growth has been around 4.5 percent since 2003, a performance that was repeated in 2010 and is expected to happen again in 2011. Although there are no poverty measurements since 2007, growth since 2007 may have reduced poverty further, as it did from 2002 to 2007. However, deep political and social changes have been taking place and tensions persist, constraining the room for policy decisions and consensus building. In May 2006, the Government launched its National Development Plan with a strong focus on reducing poverty and improving inclusion, following the principles of a transfer of political power to social and indigenous movements, an increase in industrialization and exports with higher value added, and greater country ownership of Bolivia’s own development process. The country’s program foresees a considerably greater role for government in the Bolivian economy, and for a significant shift in favor of the domestic population in the way Bolivia’s natural resources are exploited. Aside from back-tracking on what the government perceives as the neo-liberal model, the government aims to use the Bolivia’s natural resources to develop sectors that are labor-intensive (manufacturing, tourism, construction, and agriculture) and fund social programs. Objectives of the WBG Strategy: 2. The broad objective of the WBG’s ISN was to support the country’s efforts to significantly reduce extreme poverty. The ISN was organized around four pillars: (i) productive development and support to production; (ii) sustainable development; (iii) human development; and (iv) governance and support to the public sector. Under pillar 1 the strategy focused on agricultural productivity and food security, job creation and service delivery. Under Pillar 2 the focus was on mitigation of the effects of natural disasters, and increasing the capacity to formulate and implement adequate climate change responses. Under Pillar 3 the attention was on equitable access to better quality education and public health services, and enhancing social protection. Under Pillar 4 the WBG sought to improve public sector management for better services delivery and increased inclusion, with greater transparency and accountability. Although most outcomes of WBG support were to be achieved after the ISN period, the ISN expected that some progress towards those outcomes would be achieved during the ISN implementation. This expectation was consistent with a program that had a significant degree of inertia, with 13 out of the 15 projects in implementation at the time of ISN discussion, which amounted to 65 percent of the strategy’s intended commitments. Relevance of the WBG Strategy:

3. The WBG strategy sought to allow it to work in areas where there was less divergence between the views of the country and those of the institution, especially where there was common ground, as was the case of human development. From the viewpoint of the country context, the WBG strategy was relevant to the extent that it supported the country’s quest to tackle long-standing challenges, especially reducing poverty and improving inclusion, as well as confronting those challenges stemming from natural disasters and the backwardness of the rural sector. The WBG’s

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efforts to improve the effectiveness of public expenditures and improve their transparency and accountability also focused on key long-standing challenges faced by Bolivia. The relevance of design, however, was lessened by an overly-ambitious set of objectives framed within a very short 2-year span, which did not give due regard to the high share of pre-ISN projects in the portfolio. Some of the objectives did not have WBG interventions that could contribute to them in a significant enough way, while for others the associated interventions came in too late within the ISN period.

4. IFC’s approved strategy under the ISN did not intend to expand business activity given the existing business and economic environment. IFC’s concerns related to the increasing role of the state in strategic sectors and the global economic crisis. This perception notwithstanding, the Bolivian economy grew, fueled by hydrocarbons (mostly gas), construction, transportation, and financial services, and the sustained flow of trade with Brazil. Total private investment to GDP has remained around 10 percent since 2003, two years before the election of the current government. Although IFC’s investments during the ISN period were within two of the sectors that grew (construction and financial services), it does not seem to have taken full advantage of the relatively diverse growth in real activity or the existing level of private investment. Moreover, it is unclear to what extent IFC engaged with the government to identify sectors attractive for private sector investment, both domestic and foreign, even if their relative size is small.

5. The ISN identified two risks that in the event materialized, namely on the political and portfolio fronts. On the political front, the ISN correctly identified the risk of difficulties associated with the autonomy process, where some of the regions continue to seek a much larger degree of budgetary and political independence. However, the ISN did not include mitigating measures in this regard. The second risk identified and mitigated by the ISN was the low implementation capacity and its impact on portfolio performance. The ISN addressed this risk by providing technical and advisory services, including in portfolio and program monitoring and project restructuring to address new institutional realities.

Overview of CAS/CPS Implementation: Lending and Investments:

6. During the ISN period, IDA approved two projects for US$159.9 million, one of which was not planned, while postponing four others that had been planned at the time of the ISN. The two approved projects were a technical assistance (TA) for Strengthening Statistical Capacity and Informational Base for Evidence-Based Planning (SSCIBEBP) and an investment loan for National Roads and Airport Infrastructure (NRAI). These two projects added to 13 that had already been committed when the ISN was discussed, for a total US$462.3 million. The preexisting projects covered sustainable development, emergency support, education, health, urban infrastructure, rural development, and road rehabilitation. During the ISN period, IDA disbursed US$36.3 million in 2010 and US$48.6 million in 2011.

7. While IDA‘s portfolio with Bolivia performed worse than that of LCR and the World Bank as a whole, portfolio management improved significantly reducing the commitments at risk from 49.2 percent in 2010 to 15.2 percent in 2011. The improvement reflects a reduction in the number of projects at risk from five in FY10 to three in FY11. While no projects were evaluated by IEG during the ISN period, self evaluations show that four out of eleven projects are moderately unsatisfactory.

8. Fourteen IFC investment projects were in operation at inception of the review period, for net commitments of US$205 million. IFC had developed a sizeable investment portfolio, particularly for infrastructure, which was retained during FY10-11. The IFC infrastructure investments in power transmission, gas pipeline, and mobile telephony supported private sector participation. During the review period, IFC committed another US$21 million for two projects, one in the financial sector and another one in wood manufacturing. While the financial sector project built on the trade-financing

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theme that IFC had started just before the review period, the other investment supported competitiveness more directly by investing in a manufacturer that has successfully integrated with small wood suppliers.

9. IFC’s development effectiveness, as measured internally but not confirmed by IEG, shows that, of the 70 percent that have been self-evaluated, some 40 percent have been rated moderately unsuccessful or worse. Analytic and Advisory Activities and Services

10. IDA delivered 16 pieces of analytical and advisory activities (AAA). AAA focused on the financial sector, public finance management, agriculture, poverty assessment, decentralization of public services, social safety net and climate change. Seven of the pieces of AAA delivered were not planned at the time of the ISN, while eight of the planned pieces were dropped. While partly reflecting changes in client needs (e.g., as the 2008-09 crisis subsided), the volume of dropped AAA is relatively high considering that the life of the ISN was only two years.

11. IFC had four advisory service (AS) operations, three of which approved during the review period, focusing on indigenous development, investment climate (improving business licensing processes at municipalities), access to finance (to support expansion of lending to SMEs in one bank), and sustainable business advisory (training SMEs in business practices).

Safeguards and Fiduciary Issues:

12. There were no safeguard cases brought to the Inspection Panel during the ISN period. IEG is not aware of any INT investigations relating to Bolivia’s program.

Overview of Achievement by Objective: Pillar 1: Productive Development and Support to Production.

13. Under this pillar the WBG‘s support was to focus on increasing agricultural productivity and food security; boosting productivity and job creation in both rural and urban areas; and improving service delivery and access to services in both urban and rural areas.

14. Increasing agricultural productivity and food security. Bolivia’s real GDP grew by 4.2 percent in 2010 driven by hydrocarbons, construction, transportation, and financial services, while the agriculture and mining sectors contracted according to the IMF. The major causes behind a decline in agriculture were adverse weather conditions, which compounded with existing fundamental shortcomings, such as low productivity, limited investments, reduced access to credit, and uncertainty about property rights. In addition, the government’s policies further constrained growth, by controlling several food prices (milk and poultry) and restricting exports of sugar and soybeans. The WBG only achieved a fourth of its target of improving access to land for organized landless or poor farmers, and ensuring growth in income of rural productive units. There is no information available on an ISN targeted outcome indicators, namely increasing the number of hectares of agricultural land under cultivation with irrigation.

15. Boosting productivity and job creation in both rural and urban areas. Bolivia’s Global Competitiveness Index produced by the World Economic Forum increased from 3.42 out of 7.0 in 2009-2010 to 3.82 in 2011-2012, reflecting improvements in institutions, infrastructure, macroeconomic stability, health and primary education, efficiency enhancers, and innovation factors. In addition, Bolivia’s unemployment rate fell from 7.9 percent in 2009 to 7.6 percent according to the estimates of the Economist Intelligence Unit. Even though there were no outcome indicators in the

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ISN to monitor the WBG’s support in this objective, these alternative sources show that Bolivia was successful in both increasing productivity and providing jobs. 16. Improving service delivery and access to services in both urban and rural area. As noted above, the Global Competitiveness Index reported a significant improvement in infrastructure in Bolivia with the infrastructure sub-index increasing from 2.47 to 3.10 over the period of 2009-2011. This improvement is also reflected in the significant progress on the WBG’s project specific development outcomes. The Urban Infrastructure Project contributed to an increase in the property values in poor neighborhoods in La Paz by 43.68 percent from December, 2008 to June, 2010, some of which may be associated with improved access to basic urban services. Also, the number of Santa Cruz sewerage networks in poor neighborhoods increased by 22,932 and the rate of groundwater contamination declined from 10.38 to 8.1 (mg/L) over the same period of time. Rents in Santa Cruz increased significantly. However, there is no information on the urban mobility in the municipality of El Alto. 17. There were eight ongoing projects from pre-ISN period, but the three that were planned at the time of the ISN were postponed or dropped. Among projects supporting an increase in agricultural productivity and food security were the Rural Alliances Project, the Second Participatory Rural Investment Project, Land for Agricultural Development Project, and the Lake Titicaca Local Sustainable Development Project (service delivery aspects). The Urban Infrastructure Project targeted basic urban services. The WBG also had the Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation, focusing on rural energy, and Road Rehabilitation and Maintenance Project. Under the Second Participatory Rural Investment Project the WBG is financing irrigation subprojects that would improve agricultural productivity, but there is no data on the extension of land covered. Similarly, 29 percent of the rural roads and bridges supported by a WBG program have been completed. 18. To support productive development, IFC followed a strategy of further developing the firms it had supported before in financial markets (microfinance and trade facility) and in infrastructure. The support for infrastructure was extensive and covered power transmission, gas pipeline, mobile telephony, river port development, railways, and mining. In the review period, IFC also initiated support to a new area, namely, wood manufacturing, but overall in terms of new investment projects, IFC appears to have pulled back its activities as it perceived the country’s risk increasing. 19. IEG rates the achievement of outcomes under Pillar 1 as moderately satisfactory. Progress was made in improving productivity and job creation, as well as in urban service delivery, rural electricity provision, and rehabilitation and maintenance of road network. However, agricultural productivity remains a challenge. Pillar 2: Sustainable Development.

20. Under this pillar, the WBG was to help mitigate the effects of natural disasters and of productive activities with damaging environmental consequences, increase understanding and knowledge of the impacts of climate change, improve the capacity of public authorities to formulate and implement adequate climate change responses. 21. Mitigating the effects of natural disasters and of productive activities with damaging environmental consequences. The natural disasters – El Niño in 2007 and La Niña in 2008, had devastating consequences for Bolivia. In response the government adopted a National Plan for Reconstruction and Rehabilitation. The WBG contributed to the restoration of infrastructure facilities, as well as to the establishment Disaster Risk Management Units in 3 target sectors and 3 departments in 2011. 22. Increasing understanding and knowledge of the impacts of climate change. The ISN CR does not provide information on the extent to which climate resilience of investments in a number of

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territories increased, which was the outcome indicator for this objective in the ISN. The WBG, jointly with the IADB, is financing a pilot program for climate resilience, still under implementation. 23. Improving the capacity of public authorities to formulate and implement adequate climate change responses. The ISN did not establish an outcome indicator for this objective. The government, in its early efforts, has prepared a disaster risk management framework for Bolivia and is an active participant in the early warning system in the Andean Region. 24. The WBG sought to support Bolivia through the Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management Project initiated before the ISN, and provided technical assistance on Water-Related Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability. Additional support was provided through several trust funds, including one funded by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery and the Global Environmental Project, which complemented WBG technical assistance to help the Government develop its Disaster Risk Management policies. 25. IEG rates the achievement of outcomes under Pillar 2 as moderately unsatisfactory. The WBG contributed to the restoration of infrastructure destroyed by natural disasters, and started to build the government’s capacity to formulate climate change responses. Work on the adaptation of Bolivia to climate change challenges is in a pilot phase. The IADB is an important development partner in this pillar. Pillar 3: Human Development: 26. Under the human development pillar, the WBG sought to provide support in the following areas: ensuring equitable access to better quality education and public health services, enhancing the social protection network and providing youth and vulnerable households with the means to reduce the risks and cope with the negative effects of unemployment. 27. Ensure equitable access to better quality education and public health services. According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), the quality of education in Bolivia has improved during the ISN period from a rating of 2.9 over 7.0 in 2010 to 3.1 in 2011. There is however, no information on the objective itself; because the outcome indicator for education was not available (latest information available is for 2008). In addition, the indicator chosen for better public health services, namely the reduction of chronic malnutrition among children younger than 2 years of age and of the critical maternal health risk factors in the targeted rural areas, did not show progress during the ISN period.

28. The WBG provided support through the Secondary Education Transformation Project, as well as through the Expanding Access to Reduce Health Inequalities APL. The implementation of the latter has been slow and no progress has been achieved. The WBG also approved the Investing in Children and Youth Project, which has had very slow implementation. No data has been collected.

29. Enhance the Social Protection Network. The ISN highlighted that the main challenge faced by Bolivia was that the coverage of social protection programs remained inadequate due to supply and demand (income-related) barriers, particularly for rural, poor and vulnerable populations. Although there is some progress on the number of mothers with children under 2 receiving transfers in municipalities targeted by a WBG project, there is no evidence that these barriers have been reduced during the ISN period. 30. In this area the WBG provided technical assistance through the Multi-dimensional Poverty and the Social Protection IV TA activities. It is not clear in what extent the government has used this technical assistance in designing its own program.

31. Provide youth and vulnerable households with the means to reduce the risks and cope with the negative effects of unemployment. The WBG intended to improve the youth

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employability through training that would improve and expand skills of low income unemployed youth. However, the training has not taken place. In addition, the ISN CR does not provide data on changes in youth employment, nor was this objective monitored.

32. On balance, the outcome for Pillar 3 is rated unsatisfactory. Observed progress in education can barely be traced to WBG interventions. Also, there is no evidence of progress in health, social protection and youth employability. Finally, all the projects in this pillar faced implementation problems, and are rated in internal evaluations, not validated by IEG, as moderately unsatisfactory.

Pillar 4: Governance and Support to Public Sector: 33. The objectives pursued under this pillar aimed at improving public programs design, monitoring and evaluation to implement the National Development Plan effectively; strengthening public sector management for better services delivery and increased inclusion; and strengthening the public financial management (PFM) and procurement framework to improve transparency and accountability. 34. Improving public programs design, monitoring and evaluation to implement the National Development Plan effectively: There is scant evidence on developments and achievements in this objective. Different ministries were involved in the design of the sector development plans, which were aligned with the national development plan. The ISN CR, however, does not provide information on how the performance of public programs has changed. 35. The WBG intended to support this objective through the Strengthening Statistical Capacity and Informational Base for Evidence-Based Planning Project, which was approved very recently and has yet to make any progress in implementation. In addition, non-lending technical assistance assessed the efficiency of the public investment cycle, concluding that the evaluation of executed projects is sporadic and is not fed back into the decision-making process. There is no information in the ISN CR about the impact of this activity. 36. Strengthening public sector management for better services delivery and increased inclusion. Although the development of a modern, results-oriented management system has not taken place, some progress has been made in the expansion of the system for budget control and monitoring (SIGMA) both at the central and sub-national levels and the implementation of a functional classification of expenditures and the implementation of the Single Treasury Account. However, there was no WBG activity in support of this objective. 37. Strengthening the PFM and procurement framework to improve transparency and accountability. The WBG expected to help strengthen the PFM and procurements systems at both the national and subnational levels. OECD/DAC has made an assessment of the procurement framework and IADB is providing assistance to implement the recommendations. However, available information suggests that sub national governments, especially municipalities, do not have enough capacity to use the additional resources from the new decentralization law. In addition, Bolivia’s CPIA ratings, such as the quality of budgetary and financial management rating, the public sector management and institutions cluster average, and the quality of public administration rating did not change during the period. 38. The only WBG activity in this area was a Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) Report. While the report was completed, the recommendations of this report are only being adopted on enhancing revenue-generating functions and budget preparation, with the support of the European Union.

39. On balance, the outcome for Pillar 4 is rated unsatisfactory. The ISN CR acknowledges that this pillar was the most challenging area of WBG assistance. The development of a modern, result

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oriented management system failed, and the WBG main intervention associated with this pillar was delayed and only became effective recently. A PEFA was produced during the ISN period indicating prioritized reforms, but follow-up of recommendations is just beginning. The initial steps taken on procurement and on PEFA recommendations have been taken with the support of other development partners.

Objectives IEG Rating

Pillar 1: Productive Development and Support to Production Moderately Satisfactory

Pillar 2: Sustainable Development Moderately Unsatisfactory

Pillar 3: Human Development Unsatisfactory

Pillar 4: Governance and Support to Public Sector Unsatisfactory

4. Overall IEG Assessment

Overall Outcome: Moderately Unsatisfactory

IDA Performance: Moderately Unsatisfactory

IFC Performance: Moderately Unsatisfactory

Overall outcome: 40. Progress was made in improving productivity and job creation, as well as in urban service delivery, rural electricity provision, and rehabilitation and maintenance of road network. The WBG also contributed to restoration of infrastructures destroyed by natural disasters. However, agricultural productivity remains a challenge. Progress is just beginning regarding the capacity of the government to respond to natural disasters, on the adaptation of Bolivia to climate change challenges, and PEFA recommendations and procurement. Observed progress in education cannot be traced to WBG interventions. Also, evidence is weak on progress in health, social protection, youth employability, and the development of a modern, results-oriented public management system. IDA Performance: 41. IDA has been working on re-establishing a working relationship with the Bolivian government. These efforts have led to an improvement in portfolio management, although portfolio indicators remain below the standards of LCR and the World Bank as a whole. The monitoring and evaluation of the strategy was very weak, as evidenced by the many outcome indicators for which there is no current information. Part of this weakness seems to stem from the ISN’s very loose monitoring and evaluation framework, notwithstanding the large share of pre-ISN projects. The WBG also played a very low key role vis-a-vis other development partners. IEG recognizes the positive efforts and the improvement in dialogue. However, in attention to the shortcomings, IEG rates performance as moderately unsatisfactory. IFC Performance: 42. IFC performance is rated moderately unsatisfactory. The strategic relevance of IFC’s program was weak. While IFC held the various investments in infrastructure development and trade financing, its efforts to expand business were limited to one more investment in the construction sector and one more trade financing activity. IFC did not seem to have taken full advantage of the steady growth in real activity or the existing level of private investment. Moreover, also unclear is whether IFC had engaged with the government to identify sectors attractive for private sector investment, both domestic and foreign, even if their relative size is small.

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5. Assessment of CAS/CPS Completion Report

43. The Bolivia ISN explicitly notes that the outcomes of the Results Framework are expected to materialize beyond the ISN period, raising a question regarding its relevance to program design and implementation. The weak monitoring and evaluation of the strategy is reflected in the ISN CR, which gives little information on the progress of most outcomes.

6. Findings and Lessons

44. IEG concurs with the lessons of the ISN CR, but stresses two additional points. First, the short life span of an ISN calls for a more realistic set of objectives and a for a results framework that can adequately be monitored during the life of the strategy. An effective monitoring and evaluation framework is essential to adjust the transitory strategy to the progress being made on the ground, and to help the WBG think about the changes in course that would be desirable. Second, a substantive and constructive dialogue with the country—begun under the ISN under review—can help identify areas of common ground between the country’s and the WBG’s approach to key policy issues. Approaching the dialogue with an open mind can help open opportunities to promote growth and abate poverty for both IDA and IFC.

Annexes

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Annex Table 1: Bolivia Planned and Actual Lending, FY10-11 Annex Table 2: Planned and Actual Analytical and Advisory Work, FY10-11 Annex Table 3a: IEG Project Ratings for Bolivia, FY10-11 Annex Table 3b: IEG Project Ratings for Bolivia and Comparators, FY10-11 Annex Table 4: Portfolio Status for Bolivia and Comparators, FY10-11 Annex table 5: IDA Net Disbursements and Charges Summary Report for Bolivia, FY10-11

(in US$ million) Annex Table 6: Total Net Disbursements of Official Development Assistance and Official

Aid, 2006-2009 (in US$ million) Annex Table 7: Economic and Social Indicators for Bolivia and Comparators, 2008 – 2010 Annex Table 8: Bolivia - Millennium Development Goals Annex Table 9: List of IFC’s investments in Bolivia that were active during FY10-11

(US$’000) Annex Table 10: List of IFC’s Advisory Services in Bolivia, FY10-11 Annex Table 11: Summary of Achievements of the ISN Objectives.

Annexes

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Annex Table 1: Bolivia Planned and Actual Lending, FY10-11

Project Proposed

FY Approval

FY Proposed Amount

Approved Amount

Programmed projects

Agricultural Services 2010 Delayed 15

P101336 Strengthening Statistical Capacity and Informational Base for Evidence-Based Planning 2010 2011 20 50

Rural Roads 2010 Delayed 35

Social Protection II to Support the PEEP 2011 Delayed 10

Community Driven Development Project 2011 Delayed 10

Total Programmed projects CAS FY10-11 90.0 50.0

Non-programmed projects

P122007 National Roads and Airport Infrastructure

2011

109.5

Total projects CAS FY10-11 excluding Grants and Special Financing Projects 90.0 159.5

On Going Projects During CAS Period

Approval FY

Closing FY

Approved Amount

P101426 Lake Titicaca Local Sust Dev 2008 2013

20

P106449 Emergency Rec and Disaster Management 2008 2012

12.5

P109057 Emergency Rec and Disaster Management Additional Financing 2008 2012

4.4

P083965 Secondary Education Transformation 2008 2013

10

P083979 Urban Infrastructure Project 2007 2012

30

P087925 Land for Agricultural Dev 2008 2012

15

P101084 Investing in Children and Youth 2008 2014

17

P101206 Expanding Access to Reduce Health Inequalities (APL3) 2008 2014

18.5

P101298 Participatory Rural Investment II 2008 2013

20

P083051 Rural Alliances 2005 2014

28.4

P111863 Rural Alliances Additional Financing 2009 2014

30

P073367 Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation 2003 2011

20

P068968 Road Rehabilitation and Maintenance Project 2002 2011

77

Total On Going projects CAS FY10-11

302.8

Total projects CAS FY10-11

462.3

Source: The Republic of Bolivia 2009 ISN, 2011 CPSPR, WB Business Warehouse Table 2a.1, 2a.4 and 2a.7 as of 10/5/2011, Operations and Client Connection. 1/ Originally called Strengthening the National Planning System.

Annexes

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Annex Table 2: Planned and Actual Analytical and Advisory Work, FY10-11

Project ID

Economic and Sector Work Proposed

FY

Delivered to Client

FY Output Type

Planned (ISN FY2010-2011)

P117015 PEFA 2010 2010 Report

P112045 PER on Agriculture 2010 2011 Report

Economic & Social Impacts of Climate Change 2010 Dropped

Rising Food Prices in Bolivia 2010 2010

Crisis Policy Notes 2010 Dropped

P106695 Municipal Services 2010 2011 Report

P119015 Financial Sector Review 2011 2011 Report

CEM 2011 Dropped

Poverty Assessment 2011 Dropped

Education Review 2011 Dropped

Non-Planned

P108688 SHELL FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED PROJECT CREATED BY ICHAGASTELES

2010 Poverty Assessment

(PA)

P124769 FSAP Update Bolivia

2011 Financial Sector

Assessment Program (FSAP)

Technical Assistance

Planned (ISN FY2010-2011)

P117881 Ministry of Education on the decentralization process and on teachers allocation

2010 2011 Knowledge-Sharing

Forum

P115429 Multi-dimensional Poverty 2010 2011 "How-To" Guidance

P117376 Social Protection IV 2010 2011 "How-To" Guidance

P115937 Non-Lending Technical Assistance for the Strengthening of the Public Investment System

2010 2010 How-To" Guidance

P112189 Gas Study 2010 Dropped

Strengthening Access to Employment for low income families

2010 Dropped

Social Protection V 2011 Dropped

Non-Planned

P114530 BO-Safety Net III

2010 "How-To" Guidance

P105119 BO Strengthening Small Scale Offgrid Energy Suppliers

2010 Knowledge-Sharing

Forum

P122004 Bolivia South Experience Exchange

2011 Knowledge-Sharing

Forum

P115558 Water-Related Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability


P117549 PSD / Urban Alliances


Source: The Republic of Bolivia 2009 ISN, 2011 CPSPR and WB Business Warehouse Table 8.1.4 as of 8/15/2011.

Annexes

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Annex Table 3a: IEG Project Ratings for Bolivia, FY10-11

Exit FY Project Name Total

Evaluated (US$M)

IEG Outcome IEG Risk to

Development Outcome *

No project evaluated during the ISN period Closed Projects Not Evaluated by IEG YET

Exit FY Project Name Total

Evaluated (US$M)

ISR DO ISR IP ISR Date PIN

2011

Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation

20 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 07/11 P073367

2011 Road Rehabilitation and Maintenance Project

77 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 06/11 P068968

Ongoing Projects. ISR ratings

Closing FY

Project Name Total

Evaluated (US$M)

ISR DO ISR IP ISR Date PIN

2013 Lake Titicaca Local Sust Dev

20 Moderately

Unsatisfactory Moderately

Unsatisfactory 9/14/2011 P101426

2012 Emergency Rec and Disaster Management

16.9 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 9/27/2011 P106449

2013 Secondary Education Transformation

10.0 Satisfactory Moderately


2012 Urban Infrastructure Project

30 Satisfactory Satisfactory 9/14/2011 P083979

2012 Land for Agricultural Dev

15 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 6/29/2011 P087925

2014 Investing in Children and Youth

17 Moderately



2014

Expanding Access to Reduce Health Inequalities (APL3)

18.5 Moderately



2013 Participatory Rural Investment II

20 Satisfactory Satisfactory 8/14/2011 P101298

2014 Rural Alliances 58.4 Satisfactory Satisfactory 8/12/2011 P083051

Source: WB Business Warehouse Table 4a.5 and 4a.6 as of as of 10/5/2011. * With IEG new methodology for evaluating projects, institutional development impact and sustainability are no longer rated separately.

Annexes

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Annex Table 3b: IEG Project Ratings for Bolivia and Comparators, FY10-11

Region Total

Evaluated ($M)

Total Evaluated

(No)

Outcome % Sat ($)

Outcome % Sat (No)

RDO % Moderate or

Lower ($)

RDO % Moderate or Lower (No) *

Bolivia No Project No Project No Project No Project No Project No Project

Paraguay 20.0 1 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0

Ecuador 0.0 1

100.0

100.0

Nicaragua 29.4 2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

LCR 1,266.9 42 90.9 77.5 94.0 87.5

World 4,965.1 170 80.7 70.5 65.4 51.2

Source: WB Business Warehouse Table 4a.5 and 4a.6 as of as of 10/3/2011.

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17


Annex Table 4: Portfolio Status for Bolivia and Comparators, FY10-11

Fiscal Year 2010 2011

Bolivia

# Proj 11 11

# Proj At Risk 5 3

% At Risk 45.5 27.3

Net Comm Amt 302.8 365.3

Comm At Risk 149 55.5

% Commit at Risk 49.2 15.2

Paraguay

# Proj 3 4

# Proj At Risk 2 3

% At Risk 66.7 75.0


Comm At Risk 101.5 175.5


Ecuador

# Proj 1 1

# Proj At Risk 1 1

% At Risk 100.0 100.0




Nicaragua

# Proj 13 14

# Proj At Risk 4 2

% At Risk 30.8 14.3




LCR

# Proj 302 291

# Proj At Risk 64 59

% At Risk 21.2 20.3

Net Comm Amt 32,044.9 32,353.1

Comm At Risk 5,314.7 3,194.8


World

# Proj 1,590 1,595

# Proj At Risk 366 337

% At Risk 23.0 21.1

Net Comm Amt 158,287.4 168,248.7

Comm At Risk 28,186.1 22,978.5


Source: WB Business Warehouse Table 3a.4 as of 10/4/2011.

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Annex table 5: IDA Net Disbursements and Charges Summary Report for Bolivia, FY10-11 (in US$ million)

FY Disbursed

Amount Repayment

Amount Net

Amount. Charges Fees

Net Transfer

2010 36.3 2.2 34.1 0.0 2.3 31.8

2011 48.6 2.2 46.4 0.0 2.5 43.9

Total (10-11) 84.8 4.4 80.4 0.0 4.7 75.7

Source: WB Loan Kiosk, Net Disbursement and Charges Report as of 10/3/2011.

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Annex Table 6: Total Net Disbursements of Official Development Assistance and Official Aid, 2006-2009 (in US$ million)

Development Partners 2006 2007 2008 2009 2006-2009

Bilaterals

Australia

.. .. 0

Austria 0.19 0.37 0.25 0.26 1.07

Belgium 10.48 14.89 17.81 24.8 67.98

Canada 17 22.8 21.48 24.29 85.57

Denmark 25.87 34 36.22 34.32 130.41

Finland 0.41 0.7 0.28 1 2.39

France 39.78 7.23 13.94 10.01 70.96

Germany 47.04 39.79 52.7 45.67 185.2

Greece

0.01 .. 0.01 0.02

Israel 0.04 0.09 0.16 0.06 0.35

Ireland 0.54 1.25 1.21 1.17 4.17

Italy 3.64 7.87 8.71 7.8 28.02

Japan 100.42 36.93 35.48 31.78 204.61

Korea 4.5 8.66 5.23 1.84 20.23

Luxembourg 0.97 1.08 1.1 0.96 4.11

Netherlands 34.41 48.26 41.43 45.56 169.66

New Zealand

.. 0.35 0.03 0.38

Norway 3.64 5.07 6.41 6.4 21.52

Portugal

.. .. .. 0

Spain 51.6 74.63 93 97.6 316.83

Sweden 17.91 25.96 27.56 29.63 101.06

Switzerland 14.02 14.69 12.55 19.77 61.03

United Kingdom 8.69 -105.19 1.02 0.53 -94.95

United States 193.09 122.39 123.82 101.55 540.85

DAC Countries, Total 574.2 361.39 500.55 484.98 1921.12

Czech Republic 0.14 0.23 0.13 0.11 0.61

Hungary

.. .. .. 0

Iceland . .. .. .. 0

Poland

0.01 .. 0.04 0.05

Slovak Republic

.. .. .. 0

Thailand

.. 0.01 .. 0.01

Turkey

.. 0.12 0.04 0.16

United Arab Emirates

.. .. .. 0

Arab Countries

.. .. .. 0

Other Donor Countries, Total

0.94 .. .. 0.94

Non-DAC Countries, Total 0.18 1.27 0.42 0.25 2.12

Multilaterals

AfDF (African Dev. Fund)

.. .. .. 0

GAVI

0.07 2.62 3.53 6.22

IMF (SAF,ESAF,PRGF) 132.07 .. .. .. 132.07

Arab Agencies 0.54 3.81 1.06 -0.06 5.35

IAEA 0.53 0.21 0.45 0.09 1.28

IDB Spec. Fund 42.44 36.21 39.16 99.78 217.59

IFAD 0.21 -0.35 0.96 1.15 1.97

Montreal Protocol

.. .. .. 0

Nordic Dev. Fund 4.15 1.49 0.79 0.24 6.67

UNAIDS 0.19 0.05 .. 0.05 0.29

WFP 2.9 4.62 4.16 1.42 13.1

EU Institutions 52.01 43.86 43.79 77.83 217.49

EBRD

.. .. .. 0

GEF

.. .. 13.77 13.77

Global Fund 5.77 3.36 5 4.83 18.96

IDA 29.84 14.88 24.32 32.27 101.31

UNDP 1.06 1.62 1.64 2.05 6.37

UNFPA 0.85 1.2 1.29 1.58 4.92

UNHCR .. .. .. .. 0

UNICEF 1.54 1.71 1.08 1.49 5.82

UNTA 1.49 1.35 0.58 0.58 4

Multilateral Agencies, Total 275.59 114.09 126.9 240.6 757.18

All Development Partners, Total 849.97 476.75 627.87 725.83 2,680.42

Source: OECD DAC Online database, Table 2a. Destination of Official Development Assistance and Official Aid - Disbursements, as of 10/3/2011.

http://stats.oecd.org/OECDStat_Metadata/ShowMetadata.ashx?Dataset=TABLE2A&Coords=%5bDONOR%5d.%5b963%5d&ShowOnWeb=true&Lang=en

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Annex Table 7: Economic and Social Indicators for Bolivia and Comparators, 2008 – 2010

Series Name

Bolivia Paraguay Ecuador Peru LCR World

2008 2009 2010 Average 2008-2010

Growth and Inflation

GDP growth (annual %) /1 6.1 3.4 4.2 4.6 5.8 3.7 6.5 2.9 1.2

GDP per capita growth (annual %)/1 4.4 1.7 2.6 2.9 3.9 2.2 5.4 1.8 0.07

GNI per capita, PPP (current international $) 1490.0 1640.0 1810.0 1646.7 2440.0 3960.0 4383.3 7338.3 8856.9

GNI, Atlas method (current US mil. $) 4390.0 4470.0 4610.0 4490.0 4843.3 8340.0 8556.7 10736.9 10787.0

Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) /2 14.0 3.3 2.5 6.6 5.8 5.7 3.4 ... ...

Composition of GDP (%)

Agriculture, value added (% of GDP) 13.5 13.8 13.7 13.7 20.5 6.9 7.2 6.2 2.9

Industry, value added (% of GDP) 38.4 36.2 36.1 36.9 20.2 31.0 34.6 30.9 27.0

Services, etc., value added (% of GDP) 48.2 49.9 50.3 49.5 59.2 62.1 58.2 62.9 70.1

Gross fixed capital formation (% of GDP) 17.2 16.5 .. 16.9 15.9 24.9 24.8 20.2 20.5

Gross domestic savings (% of GDP)/2 24.5 19.8 21.8 22.0 12.1 24.4 26.7 21.0 20.2

External Accounts

Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) 44.9 35.7 33.9 38.2 50.9 36.7 25.2 22.1 27.1

Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) 38.0 32.9 28.5 33.1 55.3 41.6 22.6 22.1 27.4

Current account balance (% of GDP) 12.0 4.7 .. 8.3 -1.6 0.7 -1.8 ... ...

External debt (% of GDP) 34.3 34.5 .. 34.4 27.2 28.0 24.0 ... ...

Total debt service (% of GNI) 5.9 3.5 .. 4.7 3.0 8.2 3.6 3.8 ...

Total reserves in months of imports/2 13.9 17.0 .. 15.4 4.5 2.4 10.5 8.3 13.3

Fiscal Accounts /2

Revenue and grants (% of GDP) 38.9 36.1 33.9 36.3

Total Expenditure (% of GDP) 34.6 35.5 31.9 34.0

Overall Balance After Nationalization (% of GDP) 2.8 0.3 2.0 1.7

Public Sector Gross Debt (% of GDP) 37.5 40.5 39.9 39.3

Social Indicators

Health

Life expectancy at birth, total (years) 65.7 66.0 .. 65.8 72.0 75.2 73.4 73.8 69.3

Immunization, DPT (% of children ages 12-23 months) 83.0 85.0 .. 84.0 92.0 75.0 96.0 91.5 81.7

Improved sanitation facilities (% of population with access) 25.0 .. .. 25.0 70.0 92.0 68.0 79.4 60.6

Improved water source (% of population with access) 86.0 .. .. 86.0 86.0 94.0 82.0 93.4 86.8

Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births) 45.0 43.4 41.7 43.4 21.4 18.3 16.1 18.7 42.0

Population

Population, total (in millions) 9.6 9.8 9.9 9.8 6.3 14.3 28.8 582.4 6763.7

Population growth (annual %) 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1

Urban population (% of total) 65.6 66.0 66.5 66.0 60.9 66.2 71.5 78.9 50.4

Education

School enrollment, preprimary (% gross) 47.1 .. .. 47.1 108.8 99.8 72.0 69.3 45.6

School enrollment, primary (% gross) 107.2 .. .. 107.2 100.9 117.5 109.1 115.8 107.03324

School enrollment, secondary (% gross) 81.3 .. .. 81.3 66.7 75.4 89.1 88.9 67.86029

1/ IMF. September, 2011. World Economic Outlook.

2/ IMF. Bolivia June 2011 Article IV Consultations (2010 data are preliminary or projections).

Source: WB World Development Indicators for all indicators excluding those noted.

Annexes

21


Annex Table 8: Bolivia - Millennium Development Goals

1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Employment to population ratio, 15+, total (%) 66 67 67 68 68

Employment to population ratio, ages 15-24, total (%) 50 49 48 47 47

GDP per person employed (constant 1990 PPP $) 6312 7178 7193 7151 7560

Income share held by lowest 20% 6 2 1 2 3

Malnutrition prevalence, weight for age (% of children under 5) 10 13 6 6 5

Poverty gap at $1.25 a day (PPP) (%) 0 8 15 10 4

Poverty headcount ratio at $1.25 a day (PPP) (% of population) 4 19 26 20 14

Vulnerable employment, total (% of total employment) 40 41 66 60 57

Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education Literacy rate, youth female (% of females ages 15-24) 92 .. 96 99 99

Literacy rate, youth male (% of males ages 15-24) 96 .. 99 100 99

Persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort) .. .. 74 80 84

Primary completion rate, total (% of relevant age group) 71 .. 99 101 99

Total enrollment, primary (% net) .. .. 96 96 92

Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women Proportion of seats held by women in national parliaments (%) 9 7 12 19 17

Ratio of female to male primary enrollment (%) 93 97 99 100 99

Ratio of female to male secondary enrollment (%) .. .. 96 96 98

Ratio of female to male tertiary enrollment (%) .. .. 55 84 84

Share of women employed in the nonagricultural sector (% of total nonagricultural employment) 35.2 35.9 38.6 37.7 38.1

Goal 4: Reduce child mortality Immunization, measles (% of children ages 12-23 months) 53 58 81 89 86

Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births) 84 72 60 50 43

Mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000) 121 101 82 67 57

Goal 5: Improve maternal health Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) .. 87 85 81 77

Births attended by skilled health staff (% of total) 43 47 69 67 71

Contraceptive prevalence (% of women ages 15-49) 30 45 53 58 61

Maternal mortality ratio (modeled estimate, per 100,000 live births) 510 410 300 220 180

Pregnant women receiving prenatal care (%) 46 53 83 79 86

Unmet need for contraception (% of married women ages 15-49) .. 23 26 23 ..

Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases Children with fever receiving antimalarial drugs (% of children under age 5 with fever) .. .. .. .. ..

Condom use, population ages 15-24, female (% of females ages 15-24) .. .. .. 10 ..

Condom use, population ages 15-24, male (% of males ages 15-24) .. .. 30 29 ..

Incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people) 251 215 184 158 140

Prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24) .. .. .. .. 0.1

Prevalence of HIV, male (% ages 15-24) .. .. .. .. 0.1

Prevalence of HIV, total (% of population ages 15-49) 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

Tuberculosis case detection rate (%, all forms) 67 90 66 67 64

Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability CO2 emissions (kg per PPP $ of GDP) 0 0 0 0 0

CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita) 1 1 1 1 1

Forest area (% of land area) 58 .. 55.5 54.2 52.8

Improved sanitation facilities (% of population with access) 19 21 23 24 25

Improved water source (% of population with access) 70 75 79 84 86

Marine protected areas (% of territorial waters) .. .. .. .. ..

Net ODA received per capita (current US$) 82 95 58 70 74

Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development Debt service (PPG and IMF only, % of exports, excluding workers' remittances) 34 25 18 12 5

Internet users (per 100 people) 0 0.1 1.4 5.2 11.3

Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) 0 0 7 26 73

Telephone lines (per 100 people) 3 3 6 7 8

Fertility rate, total (births per woman) 5 5 4 4 3

Other GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$) 740 870 1000 1030 1640

GNI, Atlas method (current US$) (billions) 4.9 6.5 8.3 9.4 16.1

Gross capital formation (% of GDP) 12.5 15.2 18.1 14.3 17

Life expectancy at birth, total (years) 59 61 63 65 66

Literacy rate, adult total (% of people ages 15 and above) 80 .. 87 91 91

Population, total (billions) 0 0 0 0 0

Trade (% of GDP) 46.7 49.7 45.6 67.6 68.6

Source: World Development Indicators database as of 10/3/2011.

Annexes 22


Table 9: List of IFC’s investments in Bolivia that were active during FY10-11 (US$’000)

Project ID

Project Short Name

Approval FY

Closure FY

Project Status

IFC Sector Primary

IFC Sector Explanatory

Project Size

Net Loans

Net Equity

Total Net Commitment

Investments approved pre-FY10, but active during FY10-11

4054 BISA-CREDIT LINE

1995 2011 Closed Financial Markets

Comm. Bank 27,700 2,700 15,000 17,700

9188 Banco BISA RI 1998 2011 Closed Financial Markets

Comm. Bank 2,000

458 458

20099 BancoSol 2003 2011 Closed Financial Markets

Microfin. 6,000 6,000

6,000

2412 Puerto Aguirre 1991

Active Infra. & Nat.

Rscs. Ports 4,880 2,180 350 2,530

3956 COMSUR II 1994


Rscs. Mining 61,200 12,300

12,300

9302 CBTI 1999


Rscs. Railways 21,400 2,000

2,000

10304 Puerto Aguirre II 2001


Rscs. Ports 5,518 2,200

2,200

11371 TRECO 2002


Rscs. Railways 2,937

2,937 2,937

11674 TDE SA 2003


Rscs. Power

Transmssn. 30,000 30,000

30,000

11731 Caja LosAndes 2003

Active Financial Markets

Comm. Bank 8,000 8,000

8,000

21318 Gasyrg 2005


Rscs. Gas pipeline 150,000 50,000

50,000

24671 Telecel III 2008


Rscs. Mobile

Telephones 100,000 30,000

30,000

24874 GTFP BMSC 2006


Trade Fin. 19,951 19,951

19,951

27085 GTFP Credit Bol 2009


Trade Fin. 20,464 20,464

20,464

Subtotal 460,050 185,795 18,745 204,540

Investments approved in FY10-11

28499 GTFP Ganadero 2010


Trade Fin. 14,668 14,668

14,668

30573 SLV 2011

Active MAS Wood 6,000 6,000

6,000

Subtotal 20,668 20,668

20,668

20,668

20,668

Grand Total 480,718 206,463 18,745 225,208

206,463 18,745 225,208

Source: IFC, June 2011- The list does not cover the regional projects. MAS: Manufacturing, Agriculture, and Services

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23


Table 10: List of IFC’s Advisory Services in Bolivia, FY10-11:

Project ID

Project Name Start FY End FY Project Status

Primary Business Line

Total Funds, US$

Advisory Services operations approved pre-FY10, but active during FY10-11

543645 Transierra IDP 2008 2010 Closed Sus. Business Advisory 117,000

Subtotal: 117,000

Advisory Services operations approved in FY10-11

564629 Bolivia – Municipal Simplification for Construction Permits 2010 (2012) Active Investment Climate 455,186

576667 Ganadero AS 2010 (2012) Active Access to Finance 259,800

576707 BE Bolivia 2010 (2012) Active Sus. Business Advisory 296,651

Subtotal: 1,011,637

Grand Total 1,128,637

Source: Source: IFC, June 2011

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24


Annex Table 11: Summary of Achievements of the ISN Objectives.

ISN 10-11: Pillar 1 Ensure Productive Development and Support to

Production

Actual Results (as of current month year) Comments

Objectives 1. Increase agricultural

productivity and food security

2. Boost productivity and job creation in both rural and urban areas

3. Improve service delivery and access to services in both urban and rural areas

Major Outcome Measures

1. Increase agricultural productivity and food security

Increase number of hectares of agricultural land under cultivation with irrigation

There is no information available. Modest Progress. Source: ISNCR P101298 Second Participatory Rural Investment Project. Internal Review (IR), 03/02/2011. By May of 2011 62 micro-irrigation subprojects have been concluded or are being implemented: 7 micro-irrigation subprojects have been concluded and benefit a total of 1260 people, and 35 are being implemented and benefit a total of 8,660 people.

Improve access to land for organized landless or poor farmers

There was no significant progress on land distribution.

Negligible Progress. Source: ISNCR.

Ensure growth (%) in income of rural productive units

There is no information available. Negligible Progress. Source: ISNCR. P083051 Rural Alliances Project. Internal Review (IR), 07/26/2011. This indicator will be measured at the end of the project through a survey.

2. Boost productivity and job creation in both rural and urban areas

NA

3. Improve service delivery and access to services in both urban and rural areas

Increase property values, urban mobility, improved roads and sewerage networks in target areas

The property values in participating poor neighborhoods in La Paz increased by 43.68% in December 2010 compared to 8.44% in December of 2008.There is no information on urban mobility in El Alto. The coverage (#) of Santa Cruz sewerage networks in poor neighborhoods increased by 22,932 from December, 2008 to June, 2010. The rate of groundwater contamination (mg/L) declined from 10.38 to 8.1 over the same period of time reaching the target.

Substantial Progress. Source: ISNCR P083979 Bolivia Urban Infrastructure Project. IR, 08/11/2011, 05/03/2009.

Annexes 25


ISN 10-11: Pillar 1 Ensure Productive Development and Support to

Production


Ongoing pre CAS/CPS 07-10 Support

P068968 Road Rehabilitation and Maintenance

Approved FY02. Closed FY11. Latest internal rating: Moderately Satisfactory, 06/08/2011.

P073367 Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation

Approved FY03. Closed FY11. Latest internal rating: Moderately Satisfactory, 07/11/2011.

P083051 Rural Alliances Approved FY05. Active.

Latest internal rating: Satisfactory, 07/25/2011.

P101426 Lake Titikaka Approved FY08. Active. Latest internal rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory, 09/02/2011.

P083979 Urban Infrastructure for the Poor

Approved FY07. Active. Latest internal rating: Satisfactory, 09/02/2011.

P087925 Land for Agricultural Development

Approved FY08. Active. Latest internal rating: Moderately Satisfactory, 06/02/2011.

P101298 Participatory Rural Investment II

Latest internal rating: Satisfactory, 08/01/2011.

New Lending Support

NA

Non-Lending Support (Grants and Special Financing Projects)

NA

Planned AAA P112045 PER on Agriculture (ESW) Delivered to Client FY11.

P115429 Multi-dimensional Poverty (NLTA)

Delivered to Client FY11.

P119015 Financial Sector Review (ESW) Delivered to Client FY11.

Annexes

26


CPS 07-09: Pillar 2 Ensure Sustainable Development


Objectives 1. Mitigate the effects of natural disasters and of productive activities with damaging environmental consequences

2. Increase understanding and knowledge of the impacts of climate change

3. Improve the capacity of public authorities to formulate and implement adequate climate change responses


1. Mitigate the effects of natural disasters and of productive activities with damaging environmental consequences

Increase standards of living in areas previously affected by disasters

The number of infrastructure facilities restored was 164 benefiting 570,741 individuals in July, 2011 compared to a target of 216 subprojects benefiting 570,741 individuals.

Substantial Progress. Source: ISNCR P106449 Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management Project. IR. 09/14/2011.

Increase Government capacity to respond to future natural disasters

There were Disaster Risk Management Units established in 3 target sectors in 2011 compared to a target of 9 in 2012 and 3 departments in 2011 compared to a target of 9 in 2012.

Modest Progress. Source: ISNCR P106449 Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management Project. IR. 09/14/2011.

2. Increase understanding and knowledge of the impacts of climate change

Increase climate resilience of investments in a number of territories

There is no information available.

Negligible Progress. Source: ISNCR.

3. Improve the capacity of public authorities to formulate and implement adequate climate change

responses

NA

Ongoing pre CAS/CPS 07-10 Support

P106449 Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management

Approved FY08. Active. Latest internal rating: Satisfactory, 09/14/2011.

New Lending Support

Non-Lending Support (Grants and Special Financing Projects)

Planned AAA

Additional AAA P115558 Water-related Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability (NLTA)


Annexes

27


ISN 10-11: Pillar 3 Human Development

Actual Results (as of current month year)

Comments

Objectives 1. Ensure equitable access to better quality education and public health services.

2. Enhance the Social Protection Network

3. Provide youth and vulnerable households with the means to reduce the risks and cope with the negative effects of unemployment

1. Ensure equitable access to better quality education and public health services.

Increased promotion rate in secondary education of the target population.

There is no recent available data. The latest available data is for 2008.

Unknown Progress.

6,969 students enrolled in the After School Tutoring Program in school years 2009 and 2010.

Reduction of chronic malnutrition among children younger than 2 years of age and of the critical maternal health risk factors in the targeted rural areas.

There was no progress in Percentage of 2 year old children with a height over 2Z scores in the intervention areas of the project. There was no progress in the percentage of children receiving exclusive breast feeding at 6 months in the project areas.

Negligible Progress.

2. Enhance the Social Protection Network

No outcome available. Coverage of social protection programs remains inadequate due to supply and demand (income-related) barriers, particularly for rural, poor and vulnerable populations.

Negligible Progress. Source: ISN CR.

3. Provide youth and vulnerable households with the means to reduce the risks and cope with the negative effects of unemployment

Increased percentage of low income youth aged 18-24 living in urban and peri-urban areas with regular employment and improved labor incomes four months after the end of the internship phase (as a Share of all beneficiaries who completed the internship every year in the target population).

No available information. Unknown Progress.

Ongoing pre ISN 10-11 Support

Secondary Education Transformation

Approved: FY08. Active. Latest internal rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory, 7/2011.

Investing in Children and Youth Approved: FY08. Active.

Latest internal rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory, 8/2011.

Expanding Access to Reduce Health Inequalities (APL3)

Approved: FY08. Active.

Latest internal rating: Moderately Unsatisfactory, 2/2011.

Annexes 28


ISN 10-11: Pillar 3 Human Development


Comments

New Lending Support

No new lending

AAA Multi-dimensional Poverty Delivered to Client FY11.

Ministry of Education on the decentralization process and on teachers allocation


Social Protection IV Delivered to Client FY11.

Safety Net III Delivered to Client FY10.

Annexes 29


ISN 10-11: Pillar 4 Governance and Support to Public Sector


Comments

Objectives 1. Improve public programs design, monitoring and evaluation to implement the National Development Plan effectively.

2. Strengthen public sector management for better services delivery and increased inclusion.

3. Strengthen the PFM and procurement framework to improve transparency and accountability.


1. Improve public programs design, monitoring and evaluation to implement the National Development Plan effectively.

Improved performance information on public programs to allow tracking progress of key programs.

No available information. Modest Progress.

Source: ISN CR.

Institutional arrangements for public investment. This activity assessed the efficiency of the cycle of public investment in identification, selection, programming as well as execution and ex-post evaluation. The study concluded that pre-investment as well as selection and prioritization of projects are often hampered by weak sectoral policies; evaluation of executed projects is sporadic and this information is not fed back into the decision-making process.

Sector plans are aligned to the National Development Plan.

Sector development plans developed with the coordination of different ministries.

Substantial Progress.

Source: Ministry of Health.

2 Strengthen public sector management for better service delivery and increased inclusion.

The development of a modern, result oriented management system failed.

Increased coordination among sector ministries and levels of government in planning, funding and execution of public spending in the targeted areas and agencies.


3. Strengthen the PFM and procurement framework to improve transparency and accountability.

Improved PFM and procurements systems to simplify and expedite the preparation and implementation of projects at the national and sub national levels.

Sub-national governments, especially municipalities, have limitations in using new expanded public resources.

Negligible Progress. Source: ISN CR.

Updated regulatory framework for PFM in accordance with the new decentralized structure.


Ongoing pre ISN 10-

None

Annexes 30


ISN 10-11: Pillar 4 Governance and Support to Public Sector


Comments

11 Support

New Lending Support

Strengthening Statistical Capacity and Informational Base for Evidence-Based Planning

Approved FY11. Active.

AAA Strengthening of the Public Investment System


PEFA Delivered to Client FY10.

Documents

ISNCR Review - ieg.worldbank.org...Nov 23, 2011 · 2 ISNCR Review Independent Evaluation Group and to help the WBG think about the changes in course that would be desirable. Second,