ISBIS E14 Petenate Six Sigma

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    Six Sigma and The Science and Art ofImprovement

    Ademir J. Petenate

    UNICAMPUniversidade Estadual de Campinas

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    Organizations dont need Six Sigma!

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    The Science of Improvement

    Science

    Knowledge or a system of knowledge coveringgeneral truths or the operation of general lawsespecially as obtained and tested throughscientific method (Merriam-Webster)

    The Science of Improvement is concernedwith how knowledge of a specific subjectmatter is applied in diverse situations to

    improve process, products and services

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    The Science of Improvement

    Dr. Deming made an important contribution tothe Science of Improvement

    He recognize four interdependent elementsthat are fundamental to improvement, forminga system

    He gave these elements of knowledge thename System of Profound Knowledge. Profounddenotes the deep insight that this

    knowledge provides in making changes that willresult in improvements in a variety of settings.

    System denotes the emphasis on the interactionof the components rather than on the componentsthemselves.

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    Appreciation of a

    System

    Theory of

    Knowledge

    Understanding

    Variation

    Psychology

    Demings System of

    Profound Knowledge

    Content from Quality as a Business Strategy (API, 1998)

    The Science of Improvement

    SPK is fundamental tocomprehend the workingsof a system and thus be

    able to improve it

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    Appreciation of a

    System

    Theory of

    Knowledge

    Understanding

    Variation

    Psychology

    All work happens in a process

    A system is an interdependent group of items, people, and processes with a commonpurposeIf each part of a system, considered separately, is made to operate as efficiently aspossible, then the system as a whole will not operate as effectively as possibleAppreciation of a system helps us to understand the interdependencies andinterrelationships among all components of a system and thus increases the accuracyof our predictions about the impact of changes throughout the system

    The Science of Improvement

    Content from Quality as a Business Strategy (API, 1998)

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    Appreciation of a

    System

    Theory of

    Knowledge

    Understanding

    Variation

    Psychology

    Improvement comes from learning, which is accelerated by using theScientific MethodImprovement requires change, but not every change is an improvementBuilding knowledge by making changes and observing or measuring theresults is the foundation of the Science of Improvement

    The Science of Improvement

    Content from Quality as a Business Strategy (API, 1998)

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    Appreciation of a

    System

    Theory of

    Knowledge

    Understanding

    Variation

    Psychology

    Variation in data can be due to common and special causesDifferent improvement strategies are required to improve stable and unstableprocessesImprovement based on reduction of variation almost always results in lower

    costs

    The Science of Improvement

    Content from Quality as a Business Strategy (API, 1998)

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    Appreciation of a

    System

    Theory of

    Knowledge

    Understanding

    Variation

    Psychology

    People are a key part of systems in organizationsKnowledge of Psychology helps us to understand people, how they interactwith each other and with a system.It helps us to predict how people will react to a specific change, why they resistchange, and how to overcome this resistance.

    Changes that are aimed at improvement will have to recognize thesedifferences and account for them.

    The Science of Improvement

    Content from Quality as a Business Strategy (API, 1998)

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    The Art of Improvement

    The human mind is a self-organizinginformation system

    In a self-organizing information system,patterns are formed

    These patterns are used to make judgmentsthat restricts the options for changes

    Creativity is a method for cutting across

    patterns. Creativity can be used for changing concepts

    and perceptions

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    Work as a process

    Each work activity happens in a process

    A Process is a set of causes and conditions thatrepeatedly come together in steps to transform inputs

    into outputs

    S I P O C

    SuppliersProcess

    InputOutput

    Customers

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    Production viewed as a system

    This chart was first used in August 1950 at aconference with top management at the Hotel de Yama

    on Mount Hakone in Japan (Out of the Crisis, 1986)

    Design andRedesign Consumer

    research

    Receipt andtest of

    materials

    Consumers

    Production, assembly, inspection DistributionABCD

    Suppliers ofmaterials and

    equipment

    Tests of processes, machines,

    methods, costs

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    Production viewed as a system

    Deming called attention to the importance oflinking a system of production with a systemfor improvement and tying them to a commonaim for the future

    He referred to this as viewing production asa system

    Deming defined a system as a group ofinterdependent people, items, processes,products and services that have a commonpurpose

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    Six Sigma

    The Six Sigma concept was developed at Motorola at the

    end of the 1980s Six Sigma rose to public prominence when Motorola won

    the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award in 1988

    Motorola focused on drastically reducing defects to the 3.4DPMO level (6-sigma level)

    Those actions were quantified in dollar terms at $2 billionover a four year period

    This was a figure which, not surprisingly, aroused theattention and admiration of a number of industrystrategists and planners

    Beginning with the 1995 Annual Report, published in1996, Jack Welch talked about the commitment,investment, and anticipated payback of the program forGE

    The rest is history

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    Six Sigma meanings

    A statistical measure

    A system for improvement

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    Six Sigma as a Statistical Measure

    - 6s -5s -4s -3 s -2s -1s 0 +1s +2s +3s +4s +5s +6s

    6s to LSL 6s to USL

    Cp=2 Cpk=1.5Cp=2 Cpk=1.5

    Cp=Cpk = 2

    1.5sLSL

    12.5% 12.5%

    75%

    3.4 PPM 3.4 PPM

    USL

    Source: Thomas A. Little Consulting

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    Six Sigma as a Statistical measure

    A measure of performance/quality of process and

    products Brought more heat than light to the matter of measuring

    performance/quality of process and products

    The traditional ways of measuring performance/quality (%,

    ppm, dpu, cp, cpk, etc) makes more sense to people Many times, people get involved in reaching Six Sigma

    Quality without understanding what it really means

    It reinforces the one measure before one measureafter way of deciding if the changes was an improvement

    Dont work in the direction of making people understand

    variation

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    Six Sigma as a System for Improvement

    A Management driven, scientific methodologyfor product and process improvement

    A Business Strategy

    It uses DMAIC as a Model for Improvement

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    Why Six Sigma?

    Six Sigma (DMAIC) is widely used byOrganizations

    Many Organizations ask for Six Sigma whenthey want to implement a program for

    improvement Big organizations demand that their suppliers

    work with Six Sigma

    Six Sigma is still a big wave in Quality

    Do organizations need Six Sigma?

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    Need

    People, organization and the society itselfhas needs

    An organization is created to fulfill one ormore need, offering products and/or services

    Need last for a long time; products or servicesthat fulfill the need changes over time

    Focus on the need helps to understand whypeople make business with the organization

    Organizations need to improve continuouslytheir processes, products and services

    Six Sigma is a great product to fulfill this need

    today!

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    Production viewed as a system

    Design andRedesign Consumer

    research

    Receipt andtest of

    materials

    Consumers

    Production, assembly, inspection DistributionABCD

    Suppliers ofmaterials and

    equipment

    Tests of processes, machines,methods, costs

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    Organization viewed as a system

    This figure is a slight modification of Production viewed

    as a System (API, Quality as a Business Strategy)

    Design andRedesign of

    Processes andProducts

    Marketresearch

    Plan toImprove

    Consumers

    Production of Products and services DistributionABCD

    Suppliers

    Support Processes

    NeedPurpose of theOrganization

    Measurement& Feedback

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    Organization viewed as a system

    To understand an Organization as a Systemof production we must consider

    1. Why we make what we make? Purpose (need)

    2. How we make what we make? Linkage of Processes Family of measures

    3. How we improve what we make? System for obtaining information

    Planning to Improve

    Managing improvement efforts

    Based on a paper of Thomas Nolan, SilverSpring, Paul Batalden

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    Organization viewed as a system

    Design andRedesign of

    Processes andProducts

    Marketresearch

    Plan toImprove

    ConsumersProduction of Products and services Distribution

    ABCD

    Suppliers

    Support Processes

    NeedPurpose of theOrganization

    Measurement& Feedback

    Why wemake?

    How we

    make?

    How we

    improve?

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    OVS, SPK, Improvement and Six Sigma

    Question 1 and 2 are Top Managementresponsibility

    Most organizations have an answer for question 1in their Strategic Planning

    Not many organizations have a clear view of theirprocesses and make the linkage of them

    Both topics are contained in Appreciation of a

    System of SPK

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    OVS, SPK, Improvement and Six Sigma

    Part of question 3 is Top Management responsibility Create a balanced family of measures of the system and use

    this family of measures to manage the system

    Organizations have difficulties in implementing abalanced family of measures

    Organizations have tremendous difficulties inanalyzing and interpreting the family of measures

    Top management have a poor Understanding of

    Variation (SPK) and their decisions based on data

    can have bad consequences

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    OVS, SPK, Improvement and Six Sigma

    Part of question 3 is Middle level

    Management responsibility (Plan to Improve) Identifies key strategic improvement initiatives

    Assigns technical resources (human) to keystrategic initiatives

    Establishes objectives/measures/scope Secures resources and remove obstacles

    Provides on-going support as required

    Sign off on completion

    Manage individual and team improvement efforts Need to have a good Understanding of

    Variation, Psychology and Theory ofKnowledge (SPK)

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    OVS, SPK, Improvement and Six Sigma

    The last part of question 3 is Black Belt,Green Belt and team members responsibility

    Design a new product or service

    Redesign an existing product or service

    Design a new process Redesign an existing process

    Improve the system as a whole

    Need to have a good Understanding of

    Variation, Theory of Knowledge andPsychology (SPK)

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    Everyone involved in improvement is

    searching for a perfect road map to

    accomplish an improvement project

    Check

    Act Plan

    Do

    ADDIE

    (Analysis, Design, Development,

    Implement, Evaluate)

    The Joiner 7 Step Method

    DMAICR

    DMAICCSC

    Model for Improvement

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    Model for Improvement

    There is fundamental link between Changeand Improvement

    All improvement will require change

    Not all change will result in improvement

    How to know if a change is animprovement? What is improvement?

    Any approach to Improvement must bebased on building and applying knowledge

    How to improve the learning process for peopleworking in improvement?

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    Model for Improvement

    Langley, K. Nolan, T. Nolan, Norman andProvost proposed a set of three fundamentalquestions as a basis for improvement. Thequestions are:

    1. What are we trying to accomplish? (aim)2. How will we know that a change is an

    improvement? (criteria)

    3. What changes can we make that will resultin improvement? (need to develop changes)

    Any project for improvement should take inaccount these questions

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    Model for Improvement

    Both Dr. Shewhart and Dr. Demingrecognized the importance of the scientificmethod of hypothesis generation,experimentation, observation and hypothesis

    testing. To help people in organizations to apply the

    scientific method they propose the use of thePDSA cycle (Plan, Do, Study, Act)

    The PDSA cycle can be used for developing,testing and implementing changes that willresult in improvement

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    PDSA: A process to obtain knowledge

    Source: API

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    Model for Improvement

    Langley, K. Nolan, T. Nolan,

    Norman and Provostrecognized the importance ofusing PDSA cycles to answerthe Three Questions and

    proposed a Model forImprovement based on theThree Questions and ThePDSA cycle

    The improvement Guide, Langley, k.Nolan, T. Nolan, Norman and Provost

    API Associates in ProcessImprovement

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    The Model for Improvement

    How to deploy the Model for Improvement?

    First moment Use The System for Obtaining Information to measure

    the performance of the system

    Identified gaps move the organization to make Plans for

    Improvement Second moment

    Start to answer the First and Second Question

    Need to do activities

    Activities are done to obtain knowledge

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    The Model for Improvement

    Third moment Work to answer the Third Question

    Activities are done to obtain knowledge about thecauses system and to develop changes

    To obtain knowledge make, use of the PDSA

    cycle To be more effective on running PDSAs, use

    tools

    The activities are done in sequence or in

    parallel The set of activities may be broken in phases

    The phases can constitute a Road Map for theteam

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    The Model for Improvement and Road Map

    1. What are we trying to accomplish?

    2. How will we know that a change is an

    improvement?

    3. What changes can we make that will

    result in improvement?

    Tools

    API Associates in

    Process Improvement

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    The Model for Improvement

    If the team has much experience, they can move

    along the project without a step-by-step road map.They can use a sequence of PDSAs

    Beginners working on improvement feel morecomfortable if they have an explicit road map

    In general, project sponsors find easy to manage theteam with road maps. They can use road maps tomake check points

    Road maps can be changed depending if you are

    Designing a new process, product or service Redesigning an existing process, product or service

    Experience has shown that DMAIC is an excellentRoad Map for process improvement

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    The Model for Improvement and Road Map

    MEASURE

    IMPROVE

    CONTROL

    ANALYSE

    DEFINE

    1. What are we trying to accomplish?

    2. How will we know that a change is an

    improvement?

    3. What changes can we make that will

    result in improvement?Tools

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    How to integrate things?

    1. Deming`s System of Profound Knowledge is the

    foundation of a System for Improvement2. Organization viewed as a system provide a

    structure for a Strategy for Improvement

    3. The Three Questions are the beginning and the end

    of any improvement project4. We can use a road map to answer the Three

    Questions

    5. To run a road map we do activities to improve

    knowledge6. The activities are done using PDSAs

    7. To run PDSAs we need concepts, skills, tools,creativity, substantive matter knowledge, etc.

    Appreciation

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    Appreciation

    of a System

    Theory of

    Knowledge

    Understanding

    Variation

    Psychology

    Design andRedesign of

    Processes andProducts

    Marketresearch

    Plan toImprove

    ConsumersProduction of Products and services Distribution

    ABCD

    Suppliers

    Support Processes

    Need

    Purpose of theOrganization

    Measurement& Feedback

    MEASURE

    IMPROVE

    CONTROL

    ANALYSE

    DEFINE

    1. What are we trying to accomplish?

    2. How will we know that a change is an

    improvement?

    3. What changes can we make that will result in

    improvement?

    Tools

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    3.4 PPM

    $$$$$$

    DMAICBB, GB, MBB, etc

    Improvement & Six Sigma Iceberg

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    3.4 PPM

    $$$$$$

    DMAIC

    BB, GB, MBB, etc

    Structure

    Strategy

    Concepts

    Foundations

    Improvement & Six Sigma Iceberg

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    Conclusions

    Organizations do not need Six Sigma

    Organizations need to improve processes,products and services

    Six Sigma is a great product to attend this

    need SPK, OVS and the Model for Improvement

    provide foundations, concepts, strategy andstructure for Six Sigma

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    Thank You!