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Is a rolling stock programme possible?
Roger Ford Industry & Technology Editor: Modern Railways
Feast and famine
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Orders placed for mainline passenger rolling stock (excludes LUL/light rail)
Source: Railway Industry Association
1064 999
A bit of history
• 1986: Network SouthEast planned to replace Mk1 stock with Networkers at 400 vehicles a year
• 1990: Recession curbs investment• 1992: Privatisation halts train orders• 1995: OPRAF decides Mk 1 adequate for
first 7 year franchises• HMRI does not raise objection
Then what happened?
• 1997: HMRI realises that Hidden recommendations will not be met
• 1997: HMRI sponsors development of cup & cone anti-overide modification
• 1998: First live test of cup & cone • 1998: HMRI publishes draft regulations• 1999: The Railway Safety Regulations
(1999) introduced
Drop dead date
• Unmodified Mk 1 Stock banned after 31 December 2002
• Mk 1 stock modified to prevent or reduce over-riding could remain in service but illegal after 31 December 2004
• Slam doors without central locking also banned from 31 December 2004
Big numbers – no gain
Operator Mk1 vehicles
New vehicles ordered
South Eastern 496 496
South Central 577 612
SWT 524 524
Totals 1597 1632
Rolling stock plan 2008DfT additional vehicles CP4
Operator EMU DMU
c2c 40
One 188
First Capital connect 256
Chiltern 12
South Western 105
South Central 106
South Eastern 110
Total L&SE 805 12
London Midland 66 26
Esat Midlands Trains 3
Northern 24 158
TransPennine Express 42
Total Regional 90 229
Intercity West Coast 106
Greater Western 52
Cross Country 6
Intercity East Coast
Total Intercity 106 58
Combined total 1001 299
Quite simple reallyNew vehicles and cascades in the Rolling Stock Plan (extract)
As at February 2008
Class Units formation cars from to
321 10 4 40 LM c2c
321 17 4 68 LM one
(360?) 30 4 120 NEW one
317 4 one FCC GN
321 10 4 40 LM FCC GN
313 8 3 24 LRC FCC GN
377 (DV converted) 25 4 100 South Central FCC TL
465 12 4 48 South Eastern South Central
EMU 25 4 100 NEW South Central
172 4 2 8 NEW Chiltern
456 24 2 48 South Central SWT
EMU 154 NEW South Central
EMU 110 NEW South Eastern
EMU 19 3 57 NEW SWT
Rolling stock plan 2008DfT additional vehicles CP4
Operator EMU DMU
c2c 40
One 188
First Capital connect 256
Chiltern 12
South Western 105
South Central 106
South Eastern 110
Total L&SE 805 12
London Midland 66 26
Esat Midlands Trains 3
Northern 24 158
TransPennine Express 42
Total Regional 90 229
Intercity West Coast 106
Greater Western 52
Cross Country 6
Intercity East Coast
Total Intercity 106 58
Combined total 1001 299
What really happened
Ordered
Southern Cl 377 EMU 48
London Midland Cl 350/2 EMU 148
London Midland Cl 172 DMU 69
Chiltern Cl 172 DMU 8
Southern Cl 377 EMU 44
Virgin West Coast Cl 390 106
National Express East Anglia Cl 379 EMU 120
Vehicles ordered 543
Outstanding
London Midland Cl 350 40
Manchester Scotland Franchise Cl 350/2 EMU 40
Thameslink 120
Total 743
Prospects for 2014-2019Firm orders
Intercity Express Programme (GWML) 800/801 EMU 369 Hitachi Ordered
Intercity Express Programme (ECML) 800/801 EMU 497 Hitachi Ordered (2)
Thameslink EMU 1140 Siemens Ordered
Southern (3) 387 EMU 116 Bombardier ordered
Southern 387 EMU 140 Bombardier option
LOROL (4) 378 EMU 57 Bombardier ordered
Orders pending Provisional
Crossrail EMU 600 Tendering (5)
SWT (HLOS build) EMU 150 Tendering
Known requirements
Merseyrail EMU 175 Pending OJEU
Scotrail (EGIP) (6) EMU up to 400 Pre-emptive OJEUs
Great Western EMU 120-160 DA Franchise requirement
LOROL (7) EMU 120 Various
Cancelled
Intercity West Coast (First) (8) EMU 66 Alstom/CAF Cancelled
Intercity West Coast (Virgin) (8) 390 EMU 126 Alstom Cancelled
Cross Country e-220 DEMU Bombardier Abandoned
Prospects 2014-2019
• DMUs – life extension for PRM-TSI post 2020 and cascade
• EMUs – existing fleet re-engineering and life extension for PRM-TSI post 2020.
• EMUs – New build perhaps 1,000 vehicles on top of mega-contracts
