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1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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Page 1: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

1

IPv6 HD Ratio

ARIN Public Policy MeetingApril 2005

Geoff HustonAPNIC

Page 2: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

2

Background• Current IPv6 Address Allocation policies refer to the

use of the Host Density Ratio as a metric for‘acceptable’ utilization of address space

• Original Def’n: RFC 1715• Re-stated Def’n: RFC 3194

• Current IPv6 Address Allocation policies use an HD-Ratio value of 0.8 as an allocation threshold value

• Why 0.8?• This value is based on a small number of case studies

described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlyingmodel or the selection of an appropriate threshold value as anIP network efficiency metric has been published

• Does this HD-Ratio value provide “reasonable”outcomes in terms of address utilization?

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The HD Ratio Metric• IPv4 fixed 80% Density

Host-Count / Address-Count = 0.8

• IPv6 0.8 HD Ratiolog(Host-Count) / log(Address-Count)= 0.8

Under the HD-Ratio, the overall address utilization efficiency levelfalls exponentially in line with the size of the address block. Largeallocations have a very small density threshold, while smallerallocations have a much higher threshold.

Page 4: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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IPv4 / IPv6 Allocation equivalence table

End Customer Size IPv4 Allocation IPv6 Allocation

205 /24 /32

410 /23 /32

819 /22 /32

1638 /21 /32

3277 /20 /32

7131 /18 /32

12416 /18 /31

21618 /17 /30

37640 /16 /29

65536 /15 /28

114104 /14 /27

198668 /14 /26

345901 /13 /25

602248 /12 /24

1048576 /11 /23

1825676 /10 /22

3178688 /10 /21

5534417 /9 /20

9635980 /8 /19

16777216 /7 /18

Host Count 80% HD = 0.8

Page 5: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

5

IPv6 Address Efficiency Table

IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address

Prefix (/48s) Host Count Efficiency

/32 65,536 7,132 11%

/31 131,072 12,417 9%

/30 262,144 21,619 8%

/29 524,288 37,641 7%

/28 1,048,576 65,536 6%

/27 2,097,152 114,015 5%

/26 4,194,304 198,668 5%

/25 8,388,608 345,901 4%

/24 16,777,216 602,249 4%

/23 33,554,432 1,048,576 3%

/22 67,108,864 1,825,677 3%

/21 134,217,728 3,178,688 2%

/20 268,435,456 5,534,417 2%

/19 536,870,912 9,635,980 2%

/18 1,073,741,824 16,777,216 2%

Using a fixed 16 bit subnet length

Page 6: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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Modelling the HD Ratio• Does this HD Ratio value produce

reasonable outcomes?• The approach reported here is to look atrecent IPv4 allocation data, and simulate anequivalent IPv6 registry operating user asimilar address demand profile

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7

IPv6 Registry simulation exercise• Use recent RIR IPv4 allocation data to create a

demand model of an IPv6 address registry• Assume a sequence of IPv6 transactions based on

a demand model derived from the sequence ofrecorded IPv4 allocations

• Convert IPv4 to IPv6 allocations by assuming anequivalence of an IPv4 end-user-assignment of a/32 with an IPv6 end-user-assignment of a /48

• IPv4 uses a constant host density of 80% while IPv6uses a HD-Ratio of 0.8

• Use a minimum IPv6 allocation unit of a /32• Assume IPv4 allocation timeframe mean of 12

months

Page 8: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

8

Allocation Simulation ResultsIPv6 Registry Allocation SImulation - 2002 - 2005

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Month

/32

co

un

t (c

um

ula

tiv

e)

all

apnic

ripencc

arin

lacnic

afrinic

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9

Allocation Simulation results

Registry Allocations

12

16

20

24

28

32

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Months

Pre

fix

Siz

e

AFRINIC

LACNIC

RIPENCC

ARIN

APNIC

ALL

Page 10: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

10

Prefix DistributionPrefix Length Distribution HD = 0.8

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

/18 /19 /20 /21 /22 /23 /24 /25 /26 /27 /28 /29 /30 /31 /32

Page 11: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

11

HD Ratio Observations• One interpretation of the HD Ratio is that

it corresponds to a network model wherean additional component of internalnetwork hierarchy is introduced for eachdoubling of the address block size

• A HD Ratio of 0.8 corresponds to anetwork with a per-level efficiency of70%, and adding an additional level ofhierarchy as the network increases insize by a factor of 8

Page 12: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

12

Hierarchical Network Model

Region

POP

Product

Network

Region Region

ProductProduct

POP POP

Customer Customer Customer

Page 13: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

13

Comparison of HD Ratio andCompound Hierarchy

HD vs Stepped

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

Prefix (bit size)

Eff

icie

nc

y

HD Ratio 0.8

Stepped 70%

Page 14: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

14

Interpreting the HD Ratio• For a /32 allocation the 0.8 HD ratio is

comparable to 6 levels of internal hierarchywith 70% efficiency at each level

• For a /24 this corresponds to an internalnetwork hierarchy of 9 levels, each at 70%efficiency

• Altering the HD Ratio effectively alterscomparable model rate of growth in internallevels of network hierarchy

Page 15: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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HD = 0.94• This corresponds to a network model

that uses base efficiency of 0.75 at eachlevel of internal network structure, with anew level of hierarchy added for eachadditional 5 bits of address prefix length(x 32)

Page 16: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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Varying the HD Ratio

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

/48 /44 /40 /36 /32 /28 /24 /20 /16 /12 /8 /4

0.80

HDtotalLog

utilizedLog=

)(

)(

0.98

0.96

0.94

0.90

/32

/20

10.9%2.1%

51.4%

31.2%

Prefix Size

Util

izat

ion

Effi

cien

cy

Page 17: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

17

Varying the HD Ratio – DetailAddress Efficiency - /32 through to /18

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

Prefix length (bits)

Eff

icie

nc

y

0.99

0.98

0.97

0.96

0.95

0.94

0.93

0.92

0.91

0.9

0.89

0.88

0.87

0.86

0.85

0.84

0.83

0.82

0.81

0.8

Stepped

Fixed

Page 18: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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Varying the HD Ratio – Total AddressConsumption

Varying the HD-Ratio

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

0.8 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.9 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1

HD Ratio

To

tal A

dd

ress C

on

su

mp

tio

n (

/32s)

Page 19: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

19

Allocation Simulation – HD = 0.94

IPv6 Registry Allocation SImulation - 2002 - 2005

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Month

/32

co

un

t (c

um

ula

tiv

e)

all

apnic

ripencc

arin

lacnic

afrinic

Page 20: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

20

Allocation Simulation – HD = 0.94Registry Allocations (HD = 0.94)

12

16

20

24

28

32

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Months

Pre

fix

Siz

e

AFRINIC

LACNIC

RIPENCC

ARIN

APNIC

ALL

Page 21: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

21

Prefix Distribution – HD = 0.94Prefix Length Distribution HD = 0.94

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

/18 /19 /20 /21 /22 /23 /24 /25 /26 /27 /28 /29 /30 /31 /32

Page 22: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

22

Comparison of prefix size distributions

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

/18 /19 /20 /21 /22 /23 /24 /25 /26 /27 /28 /29 /30 /31 /32

Comparison of Prefix Distributions

HD = 0.8

HD = 0.87

HD = 0.94

Page 23: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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Observations• 80% of all allocations are /31 and /32 for HD ratio of

0.8 or higher• Changing the HD ratio will not impact most allocations in a

steady state registry function

• Only 2% of all allocations are larger than a /27• For these larger allocations the target efficiency is lifted from

4% to 25% by changing the HD Ratio from 0.8 to 0.94 (25% isequivalent to 5 levels of internal hierarchy each with 75%efficiency)

• Total 3 year address consumption is reduced by afactor of 10 in changing the HD ratio from 0.8 to 0.94

Page 24: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

24

What is a “good” HD Ratio to use?• Consider what is common practice in today’s

network in terms of internal architecture• APNIC is conducting a survey of ISPs in the region on network

structure and internal levels of address hierarchy and willpresent the findings at APNIC 20

• Define a common ‘baseline’ efficiency level ratherthan an average attainable level

• What value would be readily achievable by large and smallnetworks without resorting to renumbering or unacceptableinternal route fragmentation?

• Consider overall longer term objectives• Anticipated address pool lifetime• Anticipated impact on the routing space

Page 25: IPv6 HD Ratio · 2017. 6. 18. · described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying ... IPv6 Address Efficiency Table IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 Address Prefix (/48s)Host

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Thank you

Questions?