Investor Uprising - Facebook Dominates 2012 IPO Pipeline

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    Facebook Dominates 2012 IPO Pipeline

    Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) should amass a lot of Likes when it debuts as a publiclytraded company. And that is likely to happen sooner rather than later: The MenloPark, Calif., company may file its paperwork for an initial public offering this week,perhaps as early as Wednesday, according to a report from The Wall StreetJournal.

    acebook's initial public offering is being heralded as one of the most anticipated and possibly theargest in history. It's estimated that the company could raise $10 billion, giving it a $100 billionaluation.

    While Facebook is grabbing all the headlines, there are other IPOs in the pipeline for 2012 --bout 220. Companies from the technology, social media, energy, and healthcare sectors arexpected to drive the market.

    he Washington investment company, Carlyle Group LP, hopes to raise $100 million. So doGOGO Inc., an Illinois provider ofin-flight Internet access, and Yelp Inc. of San Francisco, whichonnects people to companies through online reviews. Caesars Entertainment Corp., the owner of2 casinos worldwide, hopes to raise $50 million.

    everal companies have filed initial paperwork for IPOs this month. The Denver oil and naturalas company Ute Energy Corp. hopes to raise $250 million. The San Francisco data analysis

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    o ware prov er p u n nc. opes o rase m on, an o a , a o us on s r u or f pipes, valves, and fittings for energy companies, hopes to raise $100 million.

    Others expected to file this year include Chrysler Group LLC and Fisker Automotive Inc., a makerf electric luxury sports cars.

    till, the IPO market remains generally soft, despite some expectations for recovery later this year.he only two deals that were priced this month were for the Iowa biodiesel company Renewablenergy Group Inc. (Nasdaq: REGI), which cut its valuation to complete its offer, and Guidewireoftware Inc. (NYSE: GWRE), which boosted its price and rose nearly 32% on its debut last

    Wednesday. Renewable Energy raised $72 million at $10 a share, but the stock is now tradingelow the IPO price. Guidewire hit $18 a share on opening day but was trading around $17.30 lateriday.

    Don't expect many IPOs this year from Chinese companies listing on US exchanges. "The IPOmarket has really been driven by China activity in the last several years," says Dan McClory,managing director ofHunter Wise Financial Group LLC, an Irvine, Calif., firm that helps takeompanies public. Usually, about a third of the IPO pipeline is made up of Chinese companies,uch as the search services providerBaidu Inc. (Nasdaq: BIDU), which registered to go public onhe Nasdaq in 2005.

    Those deals are really going to fall off," McClory says. That's because of a few well publicizedaud and accounting scandals that led to delistings by the Securities and Exchange Commission.There's been a crisis of confidence that's developed in that sector."

    According to Keating Capital Inc. (Nasdaq: KIPO), 4,088 US companies went public from 1990 to000. The following decade, the number dropped 66% to 1,395. And according to Renaissance

    Capital, the number of companies going public fell from 154 in 2010 to 125 in 2011. (Byomparison, there were only 31 IPOs in 2008 and 63 in 2009.)

    nvestors didn't see much of a return on any of the 2011 offerings. Nearly two-thirds of theompanies that went public last year were trading below their IPO prices by yearend, according to

    Keating Capital.

    he San Francisco online gaming company Zynga Inc. (Nasdaq: ZNGA) had the largest IPO of011. It raised $1 billion at an $8.9 billion valuation. Groupon (Nasdaq: GRPN) also went public

    ast year and raised $700 million with a valuation of $12.8 billion. It had anticipated raising $3illion with a $30 billion valuation, but it fell short after restating its financial results to correct anrror in the way it recorded revenue.

    n the past decade, 2004 and 2007 were the peak years, according to Renaissance Capital. In004, there were 216 IPOs, including Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), which had a $1.7 billion IPO. In007, there were 214 IPOs -- but, alas, no Google.

    A flurry of fourth-quarter IPO activity could signal an improved 2012 market, despite a slowanuary. In the fourth quarter, there were 28 IPOs, which raised $6.4 billion, according toricewaterhouseCoopers LLC. "A number of blockbuster IPOs in the last few weeks of 2011 hasparked a renewed confidence in the US IPO market, which bodes well for 2012," Henri Leveque,ead of US capital markets and accounting advisory services at PricewaterhouseCoopers, said inpress release.

    ut not everyone agrees. A recent survey of American transaction attorneys found that mostxpect 2012 to be another turbulent year for the US IPO market.

    KCSA Strategic Communications surveyed 50 securities attorneys, whose firms advised on 70ercent of the IPOs listed on major US exchanges during 2011. A resounding 92% said the 2012

    market will be relatively flat when compared with 2011. Many of the attorneys expressed concernshat the market may be experiencing a social media bubble. They cited Groupon as the mostverhyped deal of the past year. According to 84% of those surveyed, there is still strong demandor foreign companies to access US capital markets and list on the major US exchanges. One firm

    alled the US the "Holy Grail" for listing, in terms of both perception and liquidity.

    Related posts:

    2011 IPO Rhythm: Pop & FizzleIt's Groupon IPO Day... Pass the TylenolIPO Pipeline Slows to a Drip

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    SER RANK

    LOGGER

    Re: S-1 Details

    Noreen Seebacher 2/1/2012 10:02:48 PM

    Because my friends Like it?

    REPLY POST MESSAGE MESSAGES LIST START A BOARD

    SER RANKLOGGER

    Re: S-1 Details

    Scott Raynovich 2/1/2012 9:21:19 PM

    The price/sales ratio is scarier to me because I'm pretty sure that when Google had $4B inrevenue it had a much lower valuation.

    I will write more about this but to turn into a 10-bagger (which would be a good goal for an IPO),Facebook would have to become a $1T market-cap company -- the largest in the world. It willalready be one of the world's largest company.

    Why buy facebook when you can buy Apple at a P/E of 11?

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    LATINUM

    Re: Facebook Evolution

    cat tail 2/1/2012 8:57:36 PM

    Let's just hope Zuckerberg and his team behave themselves better than the Groupon jerks didduring their companys quiet period.

    REPLY POST MESSAGE MESSAGES LIST START A BOARD

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    LOGGER

    Re: Facebook Evolution

    Noreen Seebacher 2/1/2012 8:50:00 PM

    No matter how often Mark Zuckerberg insists that he plans to keep the focus on users and notshareholders, operatiing as a public company will inevitably create new demands foraccountability and focus.

    Facebook has big plans. Do you think it will be able to pull them off--including moves that may beperceived as unwise or risky--with shareholders at the door?

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    SER RANKLATINUM

    Re: S-1 Details

    Tenacious 2/1/2012 8:44:52 PM

    I thought these numbers from the S-1 were interesting too:

    Net profit in 2011: $1 billionRevenue in 2011: $3.711 billionRevenue in 2009: $777 million

    $3.9 billion: Facebook's cash in 2011$305 million: Facebook's cash in 2008

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    RON

    Facebook Evolution

    driven 2/1/2012 8:10:34 PM

    How much do you think being public will change Facebook, if at all?

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    Re: S-1 DetailsNoreen Seebacher 2/1/2012 8:02:30 PM

    While there are stocks with higher P/E ratios (Salesforce, for one) -- and while that number islikely to come down going forward, it scares the heck out of me.

    Interestingly enough, it's consistent too. Facebook earned $600m in net income in 2010. InJanuary 2010, it raised $2b from DST, Goldman Sachs and its clients at a $50b valuation, makingits TTM P/E ratio 83.

    REPLY POST MESSAGE MESSAGES LIST START A BOARD

    S-1 Details

    Scott Raynovich 2/1/2012 5:41:17 PM

    The S-1 is filed. The document is here.

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  • 7/31/2019 Investor Uprising - Facebook Dominates 2012 IPO Pipeline

    4/4

    SER RANK

    LOGGER

    Some quick hits:

    $5B offering

    Zuckerburg owns about 28%, so he may be the first person worth $30B by the age of 30.

    Revenues were $3.7B and $1B in profit.

    If it goes public at a $80B-$100B market cap, as predicted, could have a P/E of 80 or so.Price/Sales will be something like 20X.

    REPLY POST MESSAGE MESSAGES LIST START A BOARD

    SER RANK

    LOGGER

    Re: Facebook ad nauseum

    Scott Raynovich 2/1/2012 2:47:00 PM

    Many big-time entrepreneurs are like that though. Just take a look at Larry Ellison.

    REPLY POST MESSAGE MESSAGES LIST START A BOARD

    SER RANK

    RON

    Re: Facebook ad nauseum

    driven 2/1/2012 11:29:01 AM

    It's a good thing Zuckerberg found his calling because he doesn't sound like he'd have foundmany friends without the cushion of a few billion dollars around him.

    REPLY POST MESSAGE MESSAGES LIST START A BOARD

    PAGE 1 / 4 > >>

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