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INVESTOR PRESENTATION HALF YEAR 2012

INVESTOR PRESENTATION HALF YEAR 2012 · 2 investor presentation, hy 2012 contents 1. performance highlights hy 2012 2. environment hy 2012 3. p&l & b/s details hy 2012 4. raw materials

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  • INVESTOR PRESENTATION

    HALF YEAR 2012

  • 2 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    CONTENTS

    1. PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS HY 2012

    2. ENVIRONMENT HY 2012

    3. P&L & B/S DETAILS HY 2012

    4. RAW MATERIALS & PACKAGING

    5. OUTLOOK 2012

    6. QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

  • 3 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    1 PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS HY 2012

  • 4 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    Net Net Trade Sales

    EBITDA

    EBIT

    NET INCOME

    NET LIQUIDITY

    1‘033

    94.9

    36.6

    415.5

    48.7

    Organic + 5.3 %

    Volume + 4.4 %

    Swiss Francs + 2.6 %

    CHF +6.7 Mio vs. p.y. + 16 %

    CHF +4.5 Mio vs. p.y. + 14 %

    CHF -177.6 Mio vs. p.y.

    CHF Mio

    PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS HY 2012

    CHF +6.6 Mio vs. p.y. + 7 %

  • 5 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    KEY FIGURES

    1'619

    1'511

    1'000

    1'100

    1'200

    1'300

    1'400

    1'500

    1'600

    1'700

    31.12.2011 30.06.2012

    64.4%

    68.2%

    50.0%

    52.0%

    54.0%

    56.0%

    58.0%

    60.0%

    62.0%

    64.0%

    66.0%

    68.0%

    70.0%

    31.12.2011 30.06.2012

    486

    416

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    31.12.2011 30.06.2012

    Equity CHF Mio Net Cash Y/E CHF MioEquity B/S ratio in %

    SOLID BALANCE SHEET, DECREASED NET CASH POSITION AFTER SHARE

    BUY BACK

  • 6 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    2 ENVIRONMENT HY 2012

  • 7 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    ENVIRONMENT

    ECONOMIES

    _ Ongoing economic uncertainties

    _ Austerity policy by indebted nations affecting consumers

    CONSUMERS

    _ Cautious consumer sentiment, mainly in Southern Europe

    _ Consumers willing to spend for quality, innovation and gifts

    _ Importance of promotional incentives

    CHOCOLATE MARKETS

    _ Flat volume development in main Lindt markets – low value growth

    FX & MATERIAL

    _ Stabilized FX vs. CHF in Europe thanks to SNB

    _ Strengthening dollar currencies vs. CHF

    _ Lower volatility in raw material markets – Cocoa rising again from lows

  • 8 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    3 P&L & B/S DETAILS HY 2012

  • 9 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    OVERVIEW – P&L & B/S DETAILS HY 2012

    Net Net Trade Sales

    CHF 1‘033 Mio

    EBIT

    CHF 48.7 Mio

    Net Income

    CHF 32.1 Mio

    42.0

    48.7

    0

    8

    15

    23

    30

    38

    45

    2011 2012

    1'0071'033

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1'000

    1'100

    2011 2012

    32.1

    36.6

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    2011 2012

    +2.6% in CHF

    +5.3% in local curr. + 16.0 % + 14.0 %

    POSITIVE SET OF RESULTS – DESPITE ONGOING NEGATIVE FX IMPACT

  • 10 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SALES ANALYSIS – 5 YEARS IN SWISS FRANCS

    1'035979

    1'0571'007 1'033

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1'000

    1'200

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    2‘520

    Absolute in CHF Mio

    2.6%2.1% -5.4% 7.9% -4.7%

    SWISS FRANCS GROWTH NEGATIVELY AFFECTED BY CURRENCIES

    THROUGHOUT 5 YEARS

    Growth in CHF

  • 11 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SALES ANALYSIS – 5 YEARS IN LOCAL CURRENCIES

    2‘520

    Absolute in CHF Mio Increase in local currencies

    1'035979

    1'0571'007 1'033

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1'000

    1'200

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    5.3%6.9% 0.2% 9.2% 6.1%

    STRONG ORGANIC GROWTH OF 5.3% COMPARED TO AVERAGE MARKET

    GROWTH IN LINDT COUNTRIES OF 3%

  • 12 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SALES ANALYSIS – DRIVERS

    1H2012 SALES GROWTH DRIVEN BY VOLUME – LOW PRICE/MIX EFFECTS

    4.4%

    5.3%

    2.6%

    0.9% -2.7%

    0.00%

    1.00%

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    5.00%

    6.00%

    Volume Price/Mix Organic Forex Reported in CHF

  • 13 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SALES ANALYSIS – SPLIT OF MARKETS

    TOTAL NNTS 2012: CHF 1’033 Mio – SPLIT BY KEY MARKETS

    25.7%

    19.5%

    10.7%

    11.3%

    7.1%

    5.2%

    6.7%

    13.8%

    North America

    Germany

    Italy

    France

    Switzerland

    UK

    Rest of Europe

    Rest of World

  • 14 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SALES ANALYSIS – MARKETS

    Europe Rest of WorldNAFTA

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    1H 2011 1H 2012

    POSITIVE ORGANIC GROWTH ACCROSS ALL REGIONS

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    8.0%

    9.0%

    1H 2011 1H 2012

    8.7%4.0% 5.8% 6.7% 3.1%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    1H 2011 1H 2012

    6.9% 4.0%

  • 15 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    371 373383

    354 358

    200

    225

    250

    275

    300

    325

    350

    375

    400

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    MATERIAL COSTS INCLUDING +/- CHANGE IN INVENTORY

    Absolute in CHF Mio In % of NNTS

    34.7%35.8% 38.1% 36.2% 35.2%

    COST MARGIN CONTINUES TO DECREASE DESPITE HIGH VOLATILITY OF

    INPUT COSTS

  • 16 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    283

    261

    279267

    275

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    PERSONNEL EXPENDITURE

    Personnel exp. in CHF Mio Personnel exp. in % NNTS

    26.6%27.4% 26.7% 26.4% 26.5%

    COST MARGIN STABILIZING AT AROUND 26.5%

  • 17 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    7'249

    6'7886'984

    7'160

    7'450

    3'500

    4'000

    4'500

    5'000

    5'500

    6'000

    6'500

    7'000

    7'500

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    HEADCOUNT & NNTS / EMPLOYEE

    Average number of employees NNTS per employee CHF (000)

    139143 144 151 141

    NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES +4.1% LEAD BY RETAIL EXPANSION – VOLUME + 4.4%

  • 18 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    OPERATING / MARKETING EXPENSES

    Absolute in CHF Mio In % of NNTS

    307

    294

    318

    301

    309

    200

    225

    250

    275

    300

    325

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    30.0%29.7% 30.0% 30.1% 29.9%

    CONTINUED INVESTMENT IN BRAND

  • 19 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    OPERATING PROFIT (EBIT)

    Absolute in CHF Mio In % of NNTS

    34

    24

    34

    42

    49

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    4.7%3.2% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2%

    EBIT DEVELOPMENT DRIVEN BY OPERATING EFFICIENCY GAINS AND

    VOLUME GROWTH

  • 20 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    NET INCOME

    23

    19

    25

    32

    37

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    3.5%2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2%

    Net income in CHF Mio In % of NNTS

    SOUND PROFITABILITY IN FIRST HALF 2012

  • 21 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    OPERATING CASH FLOW & CAPEX

    Operating Cash Flow in CHF Mio CAPEX in CHF Mio

    260

    369

    226 228

    159

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    65100 61 40 42

    OPERATING CASH FLOW MAINLY IMPACTED BY HIGHER RAW MATERIAL STOCK

  • 22 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    NET CASH POSITION – DEVELOPMENT

    356

    540

    486 486

    645

    604

    492

    414 416 416

    159

    24

    65

    112

    78 2

    0.0

    100.0

    200.0

    300.0

    400.0

    500.0

    600.0

    700.0

    2009 2010 2011 Operating Cash Flow

    Capital Incr.

    CAPEX Dividend Paym.

    Share buy back

    Currency impact

    1H2012

    NET CASH POSITION REDUCED BY SHARE BUY BACK & DIVIDEND PAYMENT

    Net cash and net cash movement in CHF Mio

  • 23 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SHARE BUY BACK 2011 / 2012

    REPURCHASE OF SHARES AND PCS CLOSE TO COMPLETION

    _ Total repurchase as per August 21, 2012: CHF 307 Mio or 4.7% of total capital

    (corresponding to 2.7% of registered shares and 7.9% of PCs)

    TERMS

    _ Share buy-back program of maximum 5% of total share/PC capital

    _ Program to continue through 31.12.2012

    _ Repurchase via separate trading lines (second line; ticker LISPE, LISPE)

    _ Shares and PCs to be retired by means of capital reduction after completion

    _ Part of repurchased shares already retired as per 30.7.2012 (3’300 registered

    shares, 53’000 PCs)

  • 24 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    4 RAW MATERIAL & PACKAGING

  • 25 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    MATERIAL COSTS TRENDS 2012

    COCOA PRODUCTS

    - Terminal Market

    - Bean Differentials

    - Butter Ratio

    OTHER RAW MATERIALS

    - Milk

    - Sugar

    - Hazelnuts

    - Almonds

    PACKAGING

    - Paper & Cardboard

    - Metals & Flexibles

    sidelined

    range GBP 1’600 – 1’300

  • 26 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    42.4%

    15.5%

    5.5%

    5.5%

    16.2%

    COCOA CROP / GRINDING BALANCE

    3'591 3'635

    4'310

    3'990

    3'531 3'731

    3'923 3'993

    24 -132 344 -43

    -500

    500

    1'500

    2'500

    3'500

    4'500

    2008/09 2009/10 2010/11* 2011/12**

    *Estimate; ** Forecast; Source: ICCO

    Cocoa Beans in '000 t

    Production

    Grindings

    Surplus/Deficit

  • 27 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    COCOA PRODUCT PRICES 2008 – 2012

    1.00

    1.30

    1.60

    1.90

    2.20

    2.50

    2.80

    3.10

    3.40

    BUTTER RATIORatio Multiple

    800

    1'000

    1'200

    1'400

    1'600

    1'800

    2'000

    2'200

    2'400

    2'600

    2'800

    GBP / TonLONDON TERMINAL

  • 28 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    NUT & ALMOND PRICES 2008 – 2012

    4'000

    5'000

    6'000

    7'000

    8'000

    9'000

    10'000

    USD / TonHazelnuts

    4'000

    4'500

    5'000

    5'500

    6'000

    6'500

    7'000

    7'500

    USD / TonAlmonds

  • 29 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    MILK PRICES EUROPE, SWITZERLAND & WORLD 2010 – 2012

    2'000

    2'250

    2'500

    2'750

    3'000

    3'250

    3'500

    3'750

    4'000

    4'250

    4'500

    4'750

    5'000

    5'250

    5'500

    5'750

    EUR

    / T

    on

    Source: VWD-Data, BLW Referenzpreise

    Price Milkpowder 26% in Euro CH

    EU

    World

  • 30 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    SUGAR PRICES 2008 – 2012

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1'000

    1'100

    1'200

    1'300

    1'400

    1'500

    USD

    / T

    on

    Sources: CH/EU: Market Offers, USA: Milling&Baking News, White Sugar London, Forex: VWD-Data

    Sugar prices in USD / Ton

    CH / EU

    USA West coast cane sugar

    Liffe

  • 31 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    5 OUTLOOK 2012

  • 32 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    OUTLOOK 2012 – FINANCIAL GUIDANCE

    MARKET FOCUS 2012

    _ Selective price increases in specific markets and products

    _ Focus on market share gains

    _ Participate in strategic promotional activities to grow volume

    _ Continue investments in newly opened subsidiaries

    CONTINUATION OF MARKET INVESTMENTS IN 2012

    _ Marketing spending: Further increase of market spending in all markets

    _ New geographies: Explore expansion potential

    _ Mature markets: Build market share through introduction of new and innovative

    products

    INTERNAL

    _ Optimize management of transactional FX-exposure

    _ Implement cost savings and efficiency improvement measures

    FOCUS ON INVESTING FOR FUTURE GROWTH

  • 33 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    MID TO LONG TERM FINANCIAL GUIDANCE

    Organic Growth 6 – 8 % p.a.

    EBIT margin + 20 to 40 basis points (*)

    CAPEX CHF 120 – 140 Mio

    Continued high cash generation

    (*) based on constant currencies

    UNCHANGED MID- TO LONG TERM SALES AND PROFIT TARGETS

  • 34 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    6 QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

  • 35 INVESTOR PRESENTATION, HY 2012

    DISCLAIMER

    This presentation contains forward looking statements which reflect management‘s

    current views and estimates. The forward looking statements involve risks and

    uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in the

    forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include among others

    factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange and commodity price

    fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory

    developments.

  • INVESTOR PRESENTATION

    HALF YEAR 2012