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INVESTOR PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2014

INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Groupe Casino FR · INVESTOR PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2014 . ... Sources: CIA World Factbook ... Vietnam posted good organic sales growth in Q3 2014

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INVESTOR

PRESENTATION

NOVEMBER 2014

CONTENTS

Casino’s business profile

9 months 2014 highlights

Strategic priorities

2

1

2

3

1

2

CASINO’S BUSINESS PROFILE

1

KEY MILESTONES IN THE GROUP’S HISTORY

1898 : Geoffroy Guichard founds “Magasins Casino”

1901 : Launch of the first Casino private-label

1992 : Casino acquires Rallyes’ retailing business

1996 : First equity stake in Monoprix

1997 : Casino acquires the Franprix and Leader Price networks

1998 : Internationalization, acquisition of retailing companies located in :

1998 – 2002 : Asia : Big C (Thailand)

Vindemia (Vietnam)

2005 -2007 : Latin America : Libertad (Argentina)

Exito (Colombia)

GPA (Brazil)

2000 : Casino acquires Cdiscount

2005 : Jean Charles Naouri, controlling shareholder, becomes CEO

2012 : Casino takes effective control of GPA

2013 : Casino becomes the sole owner of Monoprix

2014 : Creation and listing of a global e-commerce pure player

4

IN FRANCE, CASINO HAS UNDISPUTED LEADERSHIP IN CONVENIENCE FORMATS

H1 2014 figures

5

Number

of stores

Average retail

space in sqm

444 c.1,600

601 c.1,200

886 c.420

1,450 c.160

914 c.270

1,708 c.100

Others (corners,…) 2,718 ns

Casino believes in smaller formats :

Various, segmented and flexible, they perfectly fit

the customers’ needs and behaviors for a more

diversified and easy-to-reach choice

Casino’s proximity stores in France

North-West

North-East

South-West

South-East

6%

39%

14%

41%

AND OPERATES TWO TYPES OF VALUE FORMATS

Hypermarkets with a dual model, retail and commercial real estate :

Géant : 126 stores*

Mercialys (Casino’s affiliate in commercial real estate) operates 91 sites including 61shopping centers with 588,300 m² of GLA in 2013

Discount stores :

Leader Price : 728 stores* (82% owned stores and 18% under franchise)

* October 2014

6

CASINO HAS A DIVERSIFIED AND RESILIENT MIX OF FORMATS

2013 French sales by format (excluding petrol)

* Casino supermarkets, Franprix, Monoprix, superettes, restauration ** Leader Price

7

Convenience

formats*

55%

Hard

discount**

14%

Géant (HM)

23%

Cdiscount

8%

Géant (hypermarkets) :

Private label products

Emphasis on fresh food offerings

50,000 SKUs on average

Leader Price (hard discount) :

Neighbourhood discount store , mainly outside the Paris region

Low costs, discount prices and a single brand-banner

4,000 SKUs on average

Casino supermarkets :

Fair prices, quality and convenient shopping

Private label and basic non-food offer

20,000 SKUs on average

Monoprix (supermarkets/convenience) :

City-centre banners (Monoprix, Naturalia, monop’, …) targeting busy urban shoppers

Present in 228 French cities

High quality food, health & beauty and apparel offer

30,000 SKUs on average

CASINO HAS BUILT ITS INTERNATIONAL EXPOSURE WITH A CLEAR FOCUS ON ATTRACTIVE COUNTRIES

Casino has favored countries with the following characteristics:

Fast-growing markets

Large and young population

Business friendly environment

Casino has leading positions in 4 such countries representing c.400 million inhabitants : Brazil, Colombia, Thailand and Vietnam

Large and young populations

Thailand Vietnam Colombia Brazil

Modern trade* Traditional trade

Still low formal distribution Fast-growing markets

France

197

87 70

47

Millions of inhabitants

Thailand Vietnam Colombia Brazil

% of population below 15 years old

20% 25% 27% 26%

Sources: CIA World Factbook (May 2012), IMF World Economic Outlook

Database (April 2012), AC Nielsen , World Bank, Economists Consensus

*as opposed to traditional retail shops,

modern trade refers to a full range of sale

methods based on marketing techniques

0,3

4,9

1,3

5,6

1,0

4,6 4,3

5,8

2014

2015

Expected GDP growth

58%

86%

53% 52%

42%

14%

47% 48%

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CA

EBITDA

BIG C, EXITO AND GPA HAVE POSTED STEADY AND REGULAR GROWTH IN SALES AND EARNINGS SINCE THEIR ACQUISITION BY CASINO

SALES (in BRL millions)

EBITDA (in BRL millions)

SALES (in THB millions)

EBITDA (in THB millions)

SALES (in COP millions)

EBITDA (in COP millions)

9

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

GPA

IBOV

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Exito

IGBC

Performance*: +235%

CAGR*: +23.1%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Big C

SET

WHICH HAS TRANSLATED INTO CONTINUOUS OUTPERFORMANCE OF THEIR SHARE PRICE

* Stock market performance in local currency, over the period: 31/12/2008 to 31/10/2014

Performance*: +509%

CAGR* : +36.3%

Performance*: +186%

CAGR* : +19.7%

10

Capitalization: €5.0bn

Capitalization: €5.0bn

Capitalization: €8.6bn

2

9 MONTHS 2014 HIGHLIGHTS

FRANCE : A TRANSITION YEAR FOR PROFITABILITY OF OUR RETAIL OPERATIONS

The first 9 months have been characterized by the on-going recovery of Géant hypermarkets

Positive volumes since the end of 2013 and positive traffic in recent months

Following completion of its significant pricing investments, Leader Price is currently positioned as the least expensive banner in the market

Impact of -€60mn on H1 EBIT with similar magnitude expected in H2

Traffic and volumes have begun to resume growth

Resilience of supermarket banners : Casino supermarkets and Monoprix; Q3 trading impacted by adverse weather conditions

Expansion has gained momentum with 189 net stores’ openings* in the first 9 months

12

* Excluding scope effect from the convenience segment

PURCHASING PARTNERSHIP WITH INTERMARCHE

13

Intermarché and Casino have announced their cooperation in purchasing starting with negotiations for 2015

This peer-to-peer partnership, INCAA, applies to national brands only (in both food and non-food) and should cover €9bn of purchasing

INCAA is today fully operational with one single team

Both companies have very complementary business models with a similar entrepreneurship culture. They will continue to manage and develop their marketing and stores’ strategies separately

INTERNATIONAL : SOLID PERFORMANCE IN A CONTEXT OF ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN

In Brazil, despite a deceleration in sales post World cup, GPA has increased its profitability

Under the impact of numerous action plans, GPA’s consolidated margin rose from 6.1% to 7.2% for the first 9 months of 2014

Casino’s stake in GPA was raised from 38.1% to 41.3%

Exito has enjoyed a steady profitability of 7.7% of EBITDA margin for the first 9 months of 2014 in a very competitive environment

In Thailand, the performance in the first 9 months of 2014 was solid with Big C posting 10.7% of recurring EBITDA margin, up +54bps

Vietnam posted good organic sales growth in Q3 2014

Expansion remains dynamic in 2014 : total net openings of 516 stores since the end of 2013

Forex negatively impacted sales and earnings the first 6 months and was neutral in Q3

14

On May 6th Casino announced its plan to create an e-commerce platform combining Cdiscount’s activities in France, Colombia and Asia with those of Nova Pontocom in Brazil

Cnova generated €3.6b of GMV in 2013 with a +25% CAGR since 2008

Cnova posted +30.6% of GMV growth in Q3 2013 and +39% in orders

Cnova’s ordinary shares have begun trading on November 20, 2014 on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the ticker symbol “CNV”

As of 21 November, Cnova has a market cap of $3.3bn

15

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

3.6 3.1

2.8

2.3

1.5 1.2

CAGR 25%

Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) (€ billion)

(1) At the end of September, customers who made at least one purchase through our sites during the last 12 months

(2) Total number of orders placed by customers, before cancellation due to fraud detection or customers not paying their order and orders placed in one period but not delivered until the following period

Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Change

GMV (€m) 841.3 1,098.8 +30.6%

Net sales (€m) 678.2 841.4 +24.1%

Active customers(1)

(millions) 10.1 12.9 +27.6%

Orders(2) (millions) 5.6 7.8 +39.0%

Units sold (millions) 9.8 13.5 +38.9%

Cnova’s contribution to Group sales in Q3

CREATING A UNIQUE E-COMMERCE PLAYER

CASINO CONTINUOUSLY MAINTAINS A STRONG FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE

16

All international subsidiaries are FCF positive :

Strong cash-flow

Rigorous monitoring of capex and positive working capital generation

Casino operates in countries where dividends are fully convertible and can be repatriated without significant tax leakage

Our balance sheet no longer carries significant put options

Casino has a proven track record of optimizing its capital allocation through : Disposals

Asset rotation

Partial recap

HIGH LEVEL OF LIQUIDITY AS OF 30/09/2014

In July, Casino successfully issued a new 12-year bond of €900 million. It is the first 12-year Eurobond completed by an issuer rated BBB-.

Casino Group is rated BBB-Outlook stable by S&P and Fitch Ratings

Constant improvement in the Group's average bond debt maturity, which is of 6.1 years as of 30/09/2014

750

386

552 508

1,000

600

850

1,000 900 900

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026Cash and cash

equivalents Undrawn

confirmed lines of credit

650

3,030

€3.7 billion in liquidity* At 30/09/2014

17

4.4 4.5 4.8 5.6 6.1

Dec-13 Sept-14 Dec-11 Dec-12 June-14

Average bond debt maturity (in years)

* France scope: Casino Guichard Perrachon, Monoprix, FPLP and others ** Casino Guichard Perrachon bond maturities as of today excluding subordinated debt

Bond maturities** well spread over time

in €m in €m

STRATEGIC PRIORITIES

3

AS OF TODAY, THE GROUP'S SIZE AND PROFILE ARE PROFOUNDLY TRANSFORMED

E-commerce**

International

France Retail

CONSOLIDATED NET SALES, 2009 / 2013 In € bn

Over the past five years, the Group has nearly doubled in size

It now has an excellent geographical mix. It has primarily developed in sectors and formats in line with current consumption trends :

Discount

Premium

Convenience

19

* Proforma 2014: 100% consolidation of Monoprix; Mercialys accounted for under the equity method on 1 January 2013 ** Cdiscount and Nova.com sites

2009: €26.8 bn 2013*: €49.1 bn

56% 33%

62%

4%

38% 6%

ROLL OUT OF THE DISCOUNT BANNERS

In France, at end of Q3 2014, successful price repositioning of Géant and Leader Price

Géant presents an excellent pricing profile and is now a pricing co-leader* in hypermarkets

Leader Price is now the least expensive retail banner in the market*

Internationally, steady expansion in cash & carry and discount

1

20

* Source : Independent panelist

ACCELERATING EXPANSION IN CONVENIENCE 3

STRENGTHENING POSITIONING ON PREMIUM FORMATS

Strengthening the unique positioning on Monoprix, Carulla (Colombia) and Pão de Açúcar (Brazil)

2

In France, continued expansion, in particular under franchise

Internationally, rapid development of convenience formats in Brazil, Colombia and Thailand

21

BECOMING A MAJOR PLAYER IN NON-FOOD E-COMMERCE

Cdiscount is currently one of the leading players in non-food e-commerce in France

Growth will be supported by its price positioning, its successful marketplace and by the specialized as well as international websites (Colombia, Ecuador, Thailand, Vietnam and Ivory Coast)

Cnova Brazil is the fastest-growing e-commerce player in Brazil

Growth will be underpinned by low prices, well-known websites (pontofrio.com, casasbahia.com.br, extra.com.br) and the roll out of its marketplace

4

22

APPENDICES

CASINO OPERATES IN A UNIQUE MIX OF COUNTRIES THROUGH LEADING RETAILERS

24

H1 2014 Market capitalization (as of 10 October 2014): Bloomberg

#1 retailer

#2 e-tailer

1,992 stores

2.8m m²

#1 retailer

#1 e-tailer

982 stores

0.8m m² Co-leader

in HM

616 stores

1.1m m²

#1 in HM 38 stores 0.1m m²

#4 food retailer

#1 e-tailer

10,155 stores

4.2m m²

France

Vietnam

Thailand Brazil

Colombia Uruguay

€5.0bn market cap.

#1 retailer

54 stores

0.1m m²

€8.9bn market cap.

€9.1bn market cap.

€4.5bn market cap.

BREAKDOWN OF EBITDA AND TRADING PROFIT - FRANCE

(in € millions) H1 2013 published H1 2014

Trading Profit - Retail France 191 165

Franprix-Leader Price 68 5

Monoprix 100 130

Casino France* 23 29

25

* Casino France: excluding Mercialys and including Vindémia

(in € millions)

H1 2013 published H1 2014

EBITDA - Retail France 394 384

Franprix-Leader Price 112 50

Monoprix 138 183

Casino France* 144 151

BREAKDOWN OF TRADING PROFIT - INTERNATIONAL

(in € millions) H1 2013 published H1 2014

TRADING PROFIT - INTERNATIONAL 711 725

Latin America 597 618

Asia 114 107

26

H1 2014 HIGHLIGHTS - KEY FIGURES

H1 2014 Organic change

vs. H1 2013 published

Consolidated net sales €23,248m +6.0%

EBITDA €1,353m +9.1%

EBITDA margin 5.8% +17 bp

Trading profit €880m +13.3%

Trading margin 3.8% +26 bp

Net underlying profit, Group share €176m +5.8%*

Cash flow €865m +9.3%*

Net financial debt (€7,836m) - €1,020m

vs. June 2013

27

* At constant exchange rates

Continuing operations

Q3 2014 – CONSOLIDATED NET SALES (BEFORE TAX)

28

CHANGE Q3 2014/Q3 2013

(in €m) Q3 2014 Total

growth

Organic

growth

Total continuing operations

11,967 +1.6% +2.8%

France

5,108 -2.6% -1.6%

International

6,859 +5.0% +6.1%

Excluding changes in scope and calendar effect, organic growth came to +2.8%, of which +6.1% internationally and -1.6% in France

The foreign exchange effect was neutral over the period

The average calendar effect was -0.7% in France and -0.3% internationally

Q3 2014 – PERFORMANCE BY SEGMENT

29

Sales for the food retailing business in France were impacted by the Group’s high exposure to touristic areas, price cuts, and deflation in fruits and vegetables

Food retailing activities in Latin America and Asia posted good performances

The Latam Electronics division posted a slight increase in sales in a context of early sales linked to the World Cup in Q2

The Group's e-commerce activity (Cnova) recorded very strong growth in all zones

(in €m) Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Total growth Organic growth

France Retail 4,920 4,730 -3.9% -2.7%

Latam Retail 3,603 3,776 +4.8% +7.0%

Latam Electronics 1,718 1,754 +2.1% +0.4%

Asia 858 866 +0.9% +3.1%

E-commerce 677* 841 +24.2% +23.6%

* Figures published in 2013

Q3 2014 – PERFORMANCE OF MAIN BANNERS

30

At Géant, FMCG volumes continued to grow (+1.4%) on an already increasing basis in 2013

Same-store sales at Casino Supermarkets were impacted by price cuts, including significant deflation in fruits and vegetables.

Monoprix sales were affected by the 9 p.m. closing time at some stores (impact of -1.1%) and the sale of stores at the request of the French anti-trust authority (impact of -0.5%)

(in €m) Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Total growth Organic growth

Géant Casino 1,307 1,232 -5.7% -3.9%

Casino Supermarkets 943 893 -5.3% -4.4%

Monoprix 944 921 -2.4% -1.9%

Franprix – Leader Price 1,026 1,012 -1.3% +0.2%

Convenience & Other* 701 671 -4.3% -4.3%

* Includes the cafeterias, real estate, other and Indian Ocean activities

GPA SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE AND MINORITY INTERESTS IN BRAZIL

43.3%*

Economic interest (as %)

GPA Food Viavarejo

Casino Group 41.3% 17.9%

Minority interests 58.7% 82.1%

at 9 September, 2014

Minority interests

58.7 %**

41.3%*

* Since 18 December 2013

** Since June 2014

31

Minority interests

56.7 %*

DISCLAIMER

This presentation contains forward-looking information and statements about Casino. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by the words “expects,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “intends,” “estimates” and similar expressions. Although the management of Casino believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, investors and holders of Casino securities are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of Casino, that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements. These risks and uncertainties include those discussed or identified in Casino’s public filings with the Autorité des marchés financiers (“AMF”), including those listed under “Risk Factors and Insurance” in the Registration Document filed by Casino on 28 March 2013. Except as required by applicable law, Casino undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking information or statements.

This material was prepared solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. All opinions expressed in this material are subject to change without notice.

This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without the prior written consent of Casino Group.