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AN AFFILIATE OF THE TURKISH AGRICULTURAL CREDIT COOPERATIVIES
July 2012
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
2
Gübre Fabrikaları T.A.Ş
Date of Establishment 25.12.1952
Share Capital 83.500.000TL
Listing Istanbul Stock Exchange
Ticker Symbol GUBRF
3
GÜBRE FABRİKALARI T.A.Ş
4
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
75,95% 24,05%
Main Shareholder - The Central Union of Turkish Agricultural Credit Cooperatives
Public Shares
5
THE CENTRAL UNION OF TURKISH AGRICULTURAL CREDIT COOPERATIVES
• Leading agricultural cooperatives
• Founded in 1863
• 6.000 employees
• 23 Subsidiaries
• Support farmers’ various procurement needs all the way from fertilizers to tractors
Strategic Relationship with Gübretaş Procure all fertilizer needs of its partners from Gübretaş with the exclusive agreement
16 Regional Unions
1.678 Cooperatives
1.150.000 Farmer Partners
3.000.000 Total Farmers
6
CURRENT BUSINESS
TURKEY
• Compound Fertilizer Production
• Liquid Fertilizer Production
• Marketer of fertilizer
• Pesticide Production
• Shipping
• Port Management
IRAN
• Feedstock Production
• Fertilizer Production
Gübretaş
Razi Petrochemical
7
TURKISH FERTILIZER OUTLOOK
• Scarcity of main nutrients:
Nitrogen (N)
Phosphorus (P)
Potassium (K)
• Dependency on raw
material rich countries
Main Drivers Feedstock Scarcity Growth Potential
Fertilizer (nutrient based)
use per hectare of arable
land for selected countries
• Turkey: 80 kg
• Greece: 144 kg
• UK: 208 kg
• Germany: 160 kg
• USA: 103 kg
• Fertilizer Prices
• Agricultural Product
Prices
• General Financial
Conditions
• Farmers’ Purchasing
Power
• Irrigation
• Weather Conditions
• Goverment’s
Agricultural Policies
8
FERTILIZER PRICES
0
250
500
750
1.000
1.250
World Fertilizer Prices (FOB US$ / Ton)
DAP (Tunisia) UREA (Blacksea) AN (Blacksea) SULPHUR (Iran) AMMONIA (Middle East)
9
MARKET OVERVIEW
4.262
4.506
5.094 5.175 5.199 5.367
5.148
4.129
5.263
4.968 4.766
2.632
3.472 3.318
3.192 3.158 3.133 3.113 2.961 2.878
3.400
3.702
1.776 1.735
2.126
2.710 2.478
2.661
2.377
2.078
3.007
2.177 2.242
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Turkish Fertilizer Sector (1.000tons)
Consumption Production Import
10
OPERATIONS IN TURKEY
Yarımca 140.000t
Samsun 30.000t
Tekirdağ 40.000t
İzmir 62.000t
İskenderun 119.000t
R P F
W
Konya
Diyarbakır
W
F W R
R
P W R
W R
R
: Production Facility
: Port
: Warehouse
: Regional Sale Office
F
P
W
R
Ankara R
import
sale production
• 2 Ports
• 5 Warehouses
• 7 Regional Sale Offices
• 2.618 dealer
• 391.000 ton Warehouse Capacity
11
PRODUCTS
SOLID LIQUID POWDER SPECIAL
130 Type of Products
Products - General Use
AN 15.15.15
CAN 15.15.15 ZN
AS 20.20.0
URE 20.20.0 ZN
DAP TSP
MAP PS
Products - Specific Use
13.24.12 (Corn)
23.12.9 (Sunflower)
10.25.20 (Potato)
12.30.12 (Sugar beet)
10.25.5 (Crop) 15.20.10 (Paddy)
13.25.5 (Crop) 25.5.10 (Tea)
12
PRODUCTION FLOW CHART
• AMMONIA
• UREA
• AS
• PHOSPHATE
• S.ACID
• F.ACID
TSP 185.000 ton/year
NPK 1 200.000 ton/year
NPK 2 300.000 ton/year
PRODUCTION CAPACITY:
685.000 TON/YEAR
YARIMCA PRODUCTION FACILITIES
Liquid Fertilizer Production
25.000 ton/year
• TSP
• 20.20.0
• 20.20.0.ZN
• 15.15.15
• 15.15.15.ZN
• 12.30.12
• 13.24.12
Main Products Main Inputs
13
MARKET SHARE
762
898
1.204 1.238
1.354 1.371
1.120
1.394 1.449
1.532 1.588
17% 18%
23% 24% 25%
27% 27% 26%
29% 32% 31%
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Gübretaş Sales (1.000tons)
Gübretaş Market Share %
14
PRODUCTION & CUR
324
422
499 506
463
514 515
348
510 529 521
37%
48%
57% 58% 53%
75% 75%
51%
74% 77% 76%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Gübretaş Production (1.000tons)
Gübretaş Capacity Utilisation Rate
15
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
16
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
• Established in 1968
• The largest fertilizer complex
• Producer of Ammonia, Urea, Sulphur, Sulphuric Acid, Phosphoric Acid and DAP.
• Located near the Mahsahr city located at The Khuzestan province of Iran.
• Advantage of sour and sweet natural gas
17
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
• The consortium led by Gübretaş purchased 95.62% of Razi Petrochemical Co. shares from Iranian Privatization Organization in 2008(approximately 656 million USD).
• Gübretaş has 48,88% stake in Razi Petrochemical Co.
• 3 members out of 5 at the board.
• Full consolidation
18
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
SOUR GAS
AMMONIA UREA SWEET GAS
FEEDSTOCK FERTILIZER RAW
MATERIAL FERTILIZER
SULPHUR
DAP PHOSPHATE ROCK
SULPHURIC ACID
PHOSPHORIC ACID
19
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
PRODUCTION CAPACITY
Plant Number of Plant
Capacity (tons)
Ammonia 3 1.336.000
Urea 1 594.000
DAP 2 450.000
Sulphuric Acid 2 627.000
Phosphoric Acid 1 255.000
Sulphur Granul. 1 508.000
Total 10 3.770.000
20
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
55%
70%
83%
78%
65%
52%
58%
76% 72%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012E
Capacity Utilization Rate
AMMONIA SULPHUR UREA
1.548
1.845 1.999
1.768
1.315 1.486
1.636 1.550
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
2009 2010 2011 2012E
Production-Sales (1.000tons)
Production Sales
21
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.-2011
AMMONIA 50%
SULPHURIC ACID 7%
UREA 23%
DAP 1%
SULPHUR 19%
PRODUCTION
AMMONIA 45%
SULPHURIC ACID 8%
UREA 24%
DAP 1%
SULPHUR 22%
SALES
Export 81%
Domestic 19%
SALES COMPOSITION
22
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
Production Estimates (Ton)
Product CUR 2012E
Ammonia 64% 849.000
Sulphuric Acid 20% 124.000
Urea 72% 430.000
DAP 7% 30.000
Sulphur 65% 330.000
Phosphoric Acid 2% 5.000
Total 47% 1.768.000
Products Available for Sale (Ton)
Product 2012E
Ammonia 624.000
Sulphuric Acid 106.000
Urea 483.000
DAP 30.000
Sulphur 307.000
Total 1.550.000
Sales Price Assumptions (US$/Ton)
Product 2012E
Ammonia 504
Sulphuric Acid 94
Urea 385
DAP 550
Sulphur 176
Sales Revenues (US$/Mil)
Product 2012E
Ammonia 314
Sulphuric Acid 10
Urea 186
DAP 17
Sulphur 54
Total 581
23
OPERATING PROFORMA 2012E
Capacity Utilization Rate 47%
Production '000 Ton 1.768
Sales '000 Ton 1.550
Revenues US$ Mil. 581
EBITDA US$ Mil. 261
EBITDA Margin 45%
Net Income US$ Mil. 220
Net Income Margin 38%
Capex US$ Mil. 12
RAZI PETROCHEMICAL CO.
24
Growing with Turkey for 60 years!
25
2004 - 2012 ECONOMIC PROFILE
Consolidated Income Statement (Million TL) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
Revenues 428 414 481 610 1.412 1.045 1.385 2.276 2.432
Sales Growth 68% -3% 16% 27% 131% -26% 33% 64% 7%
COG 374 371 421 529 943 930 952 1.582 1.866
Gross Income 54 43 60 81 469 115 433 695 566
Gross Margin 13% 10% 12% 13% 33% 11% 31% 31% 23%
G & A Expenses 36 36 38 42 72 79 104 182 182
G & A / Sales 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 8% 8% 8% 7%
EBIT 18 7 22 39 398 36 329 513 384
EBIT Margin 4% 2% 5% 6% 28% 3% 24% 23% 16%
Financial Exp. (Inc.) 6 6 7 -10 136 78 49 120 -62
Earnings Before Tax 11 1 15 49 262 -42 280 392 446
Net Income 7 1 9 39 282 -48 245 375 400
Adjusted Net Income 7 1 9 39 103 -59 120 130 197
Net Income Margin 2% 0% 2% 6% 7% -6% 9% 6% 8%
EBITDA 19 8 24 46 449 106 402 606 485
Adjusted EBITDA 19 8 24 46 238 71 224 316 246
EBITDA Margin 4% 2% 5% 8% 32% 10% 29% 27% 20%
26
NEW INVESTMENT IN YARIMCA
• NPK/DAP Plant
• 500.000Ton/Year capacity
• Ammonia Tank
• 25.000Ton Capacity
• 60.000.000€ Capex
• Launch in April 2014
• Capacity Increase
• NPK & DAP Production
• Liquid Raw Material Usage
• Cost Advantage
27
SUBSIDIARIES
Tarkim Pesticide Company
• Partnership with Turkish Agricultural
Credit Cooperatives
• 40% Stake
• 25.000Ton/year production capacity
RAZİ Petrochemical
Negmar Shipping Company
• 40% Stake • 5 Dry Cargo Vessels
• 3 Ro-Ro Vessels
• 52 Trucks
28
GÜBRETAŞ INVESTMENT THESIS
• Strong market position and potential to
become a regional market leader
• TACC strategic relationship
• A proven management track record
• Unique assets including dedicated natural gas
• Ideal geographic positioning and logistic
capabilities
• Improvement opportunities at the newly
acquired facilities.
Gübretaş remains well
positioned on its way to
become a global player
“
”
29
DISCLAIMER
This presentation may contain forward-looking
statements within the meaning of securities laws which
may by their nature involve risk and uncertainty. All
statements that address the firm’s objectives, estimates,
predictions, expectations or projections about the future
including such statements as the company’s growth, cost
reduction and restructuring plans, expenditures and
financial results are forward-looking statements.
These statements are based on current plans,
estimates and expectations. Actual results may differ
materially from those projected in such forward-looking
statements and therefore investors should not place
undue reliance on them. Gübretaş undertakes no
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-
looking statement, whether as a result of new
information, or otherwise.
INVESTOR RELATIONS MANAGEMENT
Phone +90 212 376 50 50
Fax +90 212 288 13 76
Web Site www.gubretas.com.tr
E-Mail [email protected]
Address Kasap Sk. No:22 Esentepe 34394 Sisli/Istanbul/Turkiye
Thank You
AN AFFILIATE OF THE TURKISH AGRICULTURAL CREDIT COOPERATIVIES