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UBS - FINANCIAL SERVICES
CONFERENCE
STOCKHOLM 18 SEP 2014 Per Sagbakken
Head of Investor Relations
Investor
presentation
DNB - Norway’s leading financial services group
- Market leader in Norway and leading within selected global industries
Significant market share ~ 1/3 Global leader within selected industries
#1 shipping and offshore bank globally
One of the world’s leading seafood banks
A leading international energy bank
2
8.5 % 9.2 % 9.4 %10.7 %
11.8 % 12.1 %
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 2014
10.6 %
13.6 %11.4 % 11.7 %
13.2 %14.1 %
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H 2014
DNB’s financial targets towards 2016
above 12 per cent
Return on equity CET1 capital ratio
13.5-14.0 per cent
Requirement Target
Return on equity Per cent
CET 1 capital ratio- Transition rules Per cent
3
Pre-tax operating profit before impairments (NOK bn)
DNB delivers healthy profit growth
4
49.2
41.6
1H13 1H14
11.2
14.7
1H13 1H14
7 211
10 584
1H13 1H14
11 505
14 661
1H13 1H14
DNB: Development in 1H 2014
Cost/income ratio excl. basis swaps Per cent
5
Return on equity excl. basis swaps Per cent
Pre-tax operating profit before impairment
excl. basis swaps NOK million
Profit for the period
excl. basis swaps NOK million
DNB: Development in lending and deposit volumes NOK bn
6
1 298
1 341
1 369
1 312
1 322
1 349
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
2012 2013 2014
Loans at end of period Loans adjusted for exchange rate movements
811
868
882
820
849
861
797
854
881
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
2012 2013 2014
Deposits at end of period Deposits adjusted for exchange rate movements Deposits adjusted for short-term money market investments
DNB: Development in average interest rate spreads Per cent
7
1.98 2.01
2.18 2.212.32
2.42 2.42 2.42 2.39
(0.11) (0.13)
(0.27) (0.30)(0.24) (0.29) (0.30) (0.29) (0.27)
1.18 1.18 1.22 1.201.28 1.29 1.30 1.25 1.27
2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14
Lending spread
Deposit spread
Combined spread- weighted average
3 631 3 766
4 095 4 048
1H09 1H10 1H11 1H12 1H13 1H14
Sale of insurance products Money transfer and banking services
Asset management and custodial services Corporate finance, credit and securities broking etc.
Real estate broking Net commissions and fees
4 2084 426
+ 5% growthNOK million
8
DNB: Development in commissions and fees
4.7
5.3
5.8
DNB Non-life’s part of private market (Per cent)
DNB: Non-life and new pensions (DC) show
improvement
62
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Defined contribution PTP - break even after 10 years (NOK million)
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2600
3100
3600
4100
4600
5100
5600
6100
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 2015guiding
2016
Total operating expenses excluding non-recurring effects Non-recurring effects Cost/income ratio - trailing 12 months
Total operating expenses excluding non-recurring effects NOK million, per cent
Below
45
Continued cost focus to stay
in line with amotions
DNB: Cost-income ambition maintained
10
0.24
0.17
0.09
-
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14
Total new individual impairment Total impairments in bps
DNB: Reduction in new impairments
NOK million Bps annualised
2012
2013
1H14
10.8 11.011.8 11.9 12.1
30 June2013
30 Sept.2013
31 Dec.2013
31 March2014
30 June2014
DNB: Common equity Tier 1 capital ratio 1)
Leverage ratio Basel III 3) Per cent
Basel III applying average weights
used by Swedish banks 4) Per cent
CET1 transitional rules Per cent
CET1 Basel III estimate Per cent
3) Calculated according to CRD IV rules
4) Estimated common equity Tier 1 capital ratio according to
Basel III, applying average weights used by Swedish banks
1) Including 50 per cent of profit for the period,
except for the full year figures
2) 12.4 per cent if 75 per cent of profit for the
period is included
12
2)
4.2 4.3
5.3 5.1 5.3
30 June2013
30 Sept.2013
31 Dec.2013
31 March2014
30 June2014
12.1 12.513.6 14.2 14.4
30 June2013
30 Sept.2013
31 Dec.2013
31 March2014
30 June2014
14.8 15.216.3
17.5 17.3
30 June2013
30 Sept.2013
31 Dec.2013
31 March2014
30 June2014
12.1%
10.7%
9.0% 9.9% 10.3%
11.6%
DNB Nordea SHB SEB Swedbank Danske
CET1-ratio trans.rules
All ratios as of 30 June 2014 in per cent excluding S&P RAC-ratio as of 31 Dec 2013. Simple “Leverage ratio” = CET1 / Total assets
DNB versus Nordic peers: Capital ratios
14.4% 15.2%
20.1%
16.0%
20.9%
14.4%
DNB Nordea SHB SEB Swedbank Danske
CET1 Basel III
8.9% 9.5%
8.6% 8.3%
10.0%
8.1%
DNB Nordea SHB SEB Swedbank Danske
S&P RAC-ratio
5.4%
3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9%
DNB Nordea SHB SEB Swedbank Danske
Simple "Leverage ratio"
DNB: Stronger earnings and increased solidity
73
96
121 133 109
128
161
178
Avg'0
7-1
1
201
2
201
3
YT
D 2
01
4
Dividends 25% level
Retained earnings
8.5%9.2% 9.4%
10.7%
11.8% 12.1%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H
2014
Long-term dividend policy intact
min 25 per cent
2013-2016
during capital build up phase
50 per cent
Long-term policy
CET1-ratio transition rules Retained earnings (bps)
DNB: Outlook is firm
The build-up of Tier 1 capital is on schedule, and regulatory uncertainty has
been reduced
The ambition to achieve 3-4 per cent trailing 12-month lending growth and
stable volume-weighted spreads remains firm
High level of activity in all customer segments and a continued increase in
commissions is expected
Underlying nominal costs are expected to be stable in the period up to
2016, and the cost/income ratio will remain highly competitive
Credit quality will improve further, and losses are expected to be well
below normalised levels
15
Q&A