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INVESTOR PRESENTATION
2014Q1
Contents
Non-life Sector Profile 3
Outline of the Company 11
Financial Highlights 23
Appendix 31
2
• Non-life Sector Profile
• Outline of the company
• Financial highlights
3
4
Non Life 38
Life 26
Reinsurance 1
Total 65
Number of Companies (03.14)
Premium Production of the Sector (mn TRY) (03.14)
Premium Share
Non Life 6.203 %89
Life 795 %11
Total 6.998 %100
Non Life 25
Life 18
Reinsurance -
Total 43
Number of Foreign Shared Companies
SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies, Undersecretariat of treasury annual report
* 35 of 43 company has more than 50% foreign shares. 14.487
17.116
20.834
2.686 2.711 3.396
17.173
19.827
24.230
12.11 12.12 12.13
Premium Production (mn TL)
Non Life
Life
Total 15,5%
22,2%
18,1% 21,7%
5 SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies, turkstat
2011 2012 2013
Inflation Rates (%) 10,5 6,2 7,4
GDP Change (%) 8,8 2,1 4,0
GDP (Per Person) ($) 10.444 10.459 10.782
GDP (Per Person) (TRY) 17.510 18.927 23.012
Premium Increase (%) (non life)
21,3 18,1 21,7
Premium Increase (%) (Anadolu)
35,6 16,0 23,0
Remarks About the Sector
8,8
2,1
4,0
21,3
18,1
21,7
2011 2012 2013
Change in GDP and GWP
GDP Change Non Life Premium Production Change
Mandatory Policies in Turkey
6 SOURCE: turkstat, State Planning Organization, Association of
Insurance Companies, bkm, tramer, TCIP
18,1 million of vehicles and 9,4 million automobiles in Turkey.
36,7% of houses had a mandatory earthquake policy in 2013
22% of all vehicles do not have mandatory MTPL policy
3,43 3,31 3,73
4,79
6,03
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Number of Mandatory Earthquake Policies (million)
9,47
0,42 0,22
2,97
0,76
1,58
2,74
8,0%
21,6%
13,0% 12,1%
20,3%
54,1%
62,5%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
0,00
1,00
2,00
3,00
4,00
5,00
6,00
7,00
8,00
9,00
10,00
automobile mini-bus bus pick-up van truck tractor motorbike
Non-insured ratio
Foreign Capital with M&A’s
7
Company Market Share Foreign Capital Stake Transaction Price Year
Başak Sigorta 5,1% Groupama
56,7% 268 Million USD 2006
Başak Emeklilik 13,3% 41,0%
Emek Hayat - Global Equities Management 100,0% 2 Million TRY 2006
İhlas Sigorta 1,4% HDI International 100,0% 17 Million Euro 2006
Şeker Sigorta 1,6% Liberty Mutual Group 63,9% - 2006
İsviçre Sigorta 6,9% Ergo Group 75,0% - 2006
İsviçre Hayat 1,8% Ergo Group 67,5% - 2006
Global Hayat 0,2% Denizbank-Dexia 99,6% 2,7 Million Euro 2007
Ray Sigorta 3,2% TBIH 58,2% 81 Million USD 2007
Garanti Sigorta 4,5% Eureko 80,0% 365 Million Euro 2007
Garanti Emeklilik 7,1% Eureko 15,0% 100 Million Euro 2007
Genel Sigorta 3,5% Mapfre 80,0% 285 Million Euro 2007
Genel Yaşam 1,7% Mapfre
Axa Oyak Sigorta 12,2% Axa
35,5% 525 Million USD 2008
Axa Oyak Hayat 4,7% 50,0%
Koç Allianz 9,1% Allianz SE 43,4% 248 Million Euro 2008
Koç Allianz Hayat 5,2% Allianz SE 49,0% 125 Million Euro 2008
Güven Sigota 2,4% Groupama
99,0% 180 Million Euro 2008
Güven Hayat 1,2% 99,0%
Fiba Sigorta 2,6% NKSJ 93,4% 307 Million USD 2010
Ak Sigorta 7,4% Ageas 31,0% 220 Million USD 2011
Deniz Emeklilik 4,5% MetLife 99,9% 162 Million Euro 2011
Finans Emeklilik 5,2% Cigna Nederland 51,0% 85 Million Euro 2012
Non Life Premium Figures (2012)
Premium / GDP (%) Premium Per Person ($)
World 2,8 283
USA 4,5 2.239
UK 2,8 1.094
Switzerland 4,3 3.401
Central and Eastern Europe 2,0 223
Turkey 1,2 123
8 SOURCE: Treasury, Association of Insurance Companies, Swiss Re Sigma 3,2013
102 108 93
106 114
123 118
165
138
163
215 219
6%
-14%
14%
8% 8%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Premium Per Person
Premium($)
Premium(TRY)
Change ($)
Top Ten Companies in the Sector (03.2014)
9
Non - Life Companies Premium Production
(mn TRY) Market Share
Anadolu 787,0 12,7%
Axa 740,8 11,9%
Allianz 594,9 9,6%
Ak 476,3 7,7%
Mapfre Genel 452,5 7,3%
Gunes 337,2 5,4%
Groupama 336,4 5,4%
Yapı Kredi 307,9 5,0%
Ziraat 244,6 3,9%
Eureko 223,3 3,6%
Top 10 Companies 4.501,0 73,9%
Other 1.702,3 26,1%
TOTAL 6.203,2 100,0%
SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies,
Company Market Share during M&A Foreign Capital Stake Transaction Price
Yapı Kredi 7,2% Allianz 93,9% 684 mn Euro*
* %19,9 share of YK Pension sold back to YK Bank for a fee of 80,5 mn Euro
Anadolu; 12,7%
Axa ; 11,9%
Allianz; 9,6%
Ak ; 7,7%
Mapfre Genel ; 7,3%
Gunes; 5,4%
Groupama; 5,4%
Yapı Kredi; 5,0%
Ziraat ; 3,9%
Eureko; 3,6%
Other; 26,1%
Non Life Companies Premium Production (mn TRY)
10 SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies,
Type of Coverage 03.2014 03.2013 Change (%) Share (03.2014) (%)
MOD 1.333,2 1.227,3 8,6 21,5
MTPL 1.202,2 1.214,9 -1,0 19,4
Fire and natural disaster 1.068,2 899,4 18,8 17,2
Health 1.006,3 880,0 14,4 16,2
General losses 868,9 807,5 7,6 14,0
Accident 236,4 197,7 19,6 3,8
General liability 164,8 136,5 20,8 2,7
Other 323,2 259,2 24,7 5,2
Total 6.203,2 5.622,5 10,3 100,0
• Non-life Sector Profile
• Outline of the company
• Financial highlights
11
Bancassurance
Sound pricing
Lower combined
ratios
Profitability
Few Remarks About the Company
12
VISION
To make Anadolu Sigorta the insurance brand preferred by everyone who needs insurance.
To achieve a strength that makes it a reference point in the worldwide insurance industry as well.
MISSION
To be a pioneer, to create a broad public awareness of insurance
To implement a customer-focused approach, to increase the financial strength
To enhance the value of the Company
FACTS
Founded by Türkiye İşbankası A.Ş. in 1925 (89’th anniversary)
First National Insurance Company
Main activity: Non-life insurance (until 1991, both life and non-life)
13
Accident General losses
Sickness\Health Land vehicles liability
(MTPL)
Land vehicles (MOD) Air vehicles liability
Industrial vehicles Water vehicles
liability
Air vehicles General liability
Water vehicles Credit
Marine Financial loss
Fire and natural disaster
Legal protection
Area of activity Shareholder Structure
Milli Reasürans
57%
Other 43%
%77 of Milli Reasürans is owned by T. İş Bankası A.Ş.
As of 03.14;
• Paid-in capital 500 million TRY
• MCap 705 million TRY
• Free Floating Ratio ~48%
Distribution Channels (03.2014)
14
• Moved to new building in Kavacık in 2013 December Headquarter
• İstanbul (2), Ankara, Antalya, İzmir, Adana, Bursa, Samsun, Trabzon
9 regional branches around Turkey
• North Cyprus Overseas
• ~25% working exclusively with Anadolu
2574 Professional Agencies
• Working exclusively with Anadolu
• 167 MSU (direct sales staff) working 1309 Işbank
Branches
Distribution Channels – Bancassurance
15
2011 167m
2012 204m
2013 269m
22%
32% Işbank Premium Production
2011 1.926m
2012 2.234m
2013 2.749m
Total Premium Production 23%
16%
Agencies; 72,0%
Broker; 10,6%
İşbank; 8,1%
Indirect; 7,4%
Direct; 1,9%
03.2014
According to May-2014 results bancassurance premium increased %13 when one-off engineering policy deducted from may-2013
Premium Distribution By Regions (03.2014)
16
Aegean; 7,9%
Middle Anatolia;13,8%
Mediterranean; 6,9%
South East Anatolia; 3,3%
East Anatolia; 2,3%
Black Sea; 5,0%
Marmara; 60,8%
Premium Production (03.2014) (mn TRY)
17
Branch 03.14 03.13 Change (%)
Mod 215.549 214.477 0,5
Mtpl 204.303 156.390 30,6
Fire and natural disaster 116.567 99.137 17,6
Health 91.188 67.721 34,7
Other 159.410 175.050 -8,9
Total 787.017 712.776 10,4
Motor 53%
Fire and natural disaster
15%
Health 12%
Other 20%
By Branches
MOD 51%
MTPL 49%
Motor
18
Market Rank (1st)
• Land vehicles (17,9%)
• Water vehicles (46,4%)
• Marine (13,4%)
• General liability (15,9%)
• Air vehicles (37,5%)
• Air vehicles liability (48,2%)
Market Rank (Other)
• Health (9,1%)
• General losses (7,3%)
• Legal protection (11,3%)
• Financial loss (7,5%)
• Accident (5,6%)
• Credit (1%)
Market Rank (2nd)
• Land vehicles liability (15,3%)
• Fire and natural disaster (10,9%)
• Air vehicles (38,8%)
• General losses (11,4%)
Total Market Share for Anadolu in 1Q14 is; 12,7% in 1st rank
19
Premium Per Policy (1Q13-1Q14) – Sound Pricing
# of Policy increase
5%
(1Q13 =>157.000; 1Q14=>165.000)
GWP increase
0%
(1Q13 =>214m; 1Q14=>216m)
Premium Per Policy
-4%
(1Q13=>1.364;1Q14=>1.303)
# of Policy decrease
13%
(1Q13 =>390.000; 1Q14=>339.000)
GWP increase
25%
(1Q13 =>138m; 1Q=>172m)
Premium Per Policy increase
43%
(1Q=>353;1Q14=>507)
MOD
MTPL
Premium per policy increased %32 in 2013 in MOD
No damage discounts for renewals
20
109%
117%
92%
2011 2012 2013 2014E
MOD
127% 125%
117%
2011 2012 2013 2014E
MTPL
81%
108%
88%
2011 2012 2013 2014E
Fire & Nat. D.
Combined Ratio - branches
MOD is short term business while MTPL is long tailed.
IBNR in MTPL has increased from 127m TRY to 184m TRY in 2013 however combined ratio decreased 8 percent in 2013.
Combined Ratio
21
76%
85%
76%
101%
18%
17%
15%
111%
13% 9%
10%
107%
2011 2012 2013 2014E
Expense Ratio
Net Comm. Ratio
Claims Ratio
Below 100%
Technical profitability
03.14
Claims Ratio 76,8%
Net Commission Ratio 15,7%
Expense Ratio 9,1%
Combined Ratio 101,6%
Profitability (ROE – ROA)
22
8,42
19,35
5,97 4,42
0,58
-8,46
7,39
2,27
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14
ROE
3,87
7,67
2,76 1,92
0,18
-2,56
2,07
0,60
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14
ROA
• Non-life Sector Profile
• Outline of the company
• Financial highlights
23
24
Growth Performance
94%
35%
13%
121%
130% 920 1.050 1.248 1.324
1.785
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash and Marketable Sec. (mn TRY)
1.744 1.951 2.209 2.498
3.253
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Total Assets (mn TRY)
806 849 705 756
913
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Shareholders' Equity (mn TRY)
806 933
1.215 1.398
1.851
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Tech. Reserves (mn TRY)
1.243 1.420
1.926 2.235
2.750
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Gross Premium Written (mn TRY)
23%
30%
87%
32%
21%
Balance Sheet (Assets)
Assets (mn TRY) 03.2014 12.2013 Change (%)
Cash + Marketable Sec. 1.863,8 1.784,7 4,4
Receivables 811,5 773,9 4,9
Equity Participations 326,9 368,2 -11,2
Fixed Assets 98,4 97,6 0,8
Other Assets 271,1 228,3 18,7
TOTAL 3.371,7 3.252,8 3,7
25
Liabilities (mn TRY) 03.2014 12.2013 Change(%)
Payables 376,6 383,6 -1,8
Technical Provisions 1.999,1 1.851,4 8,0
Shareholders' Equity 893,9 913,0 -2,1
Other Liabilities 102,2 104,8 -2,5
TOTAL 3.371,7 3.252,8 3,7
26
Balance Sheet (Liabilities)
Income Statement (mn TRY)
27
03.2014 03.2013 Change (%)
Total Technical Income 570,5 478,5 19,2
Total Technical Expenses -533,4 -463,5 15,1
Technical Profit / Loss 37,1 15,0 147,7
Financial Income 68,1 43,8 55,7
Financial Expenses -70,0 -41,8 67,3
Other Income / Expenses -11,1 -13,4 -17,0
Financial Profit / Loss -12,9 -11,4 13,3
Gross Profit / Loss 24,2 3,6 573,1
Tax Provisions -3,9 - -
Net Profit / Loss 20,3 3,6 464,7
Major Affiliates (03.2014)
28
350
502
20,0%
1.638
20%
328
630
1.143
4,1%
819
4,8%
39
Equity (mn TRY)
Shareholders’ Equity (mn TRY)
Market Share
Market Cap (mn TRY)
Share Owned
Share Value (mn TRY)
Is Reit Anadolu Hayat
1Q14
MCap 705 million
P / BV 0,79
1Q14
MCap 338 million
P / BV 0,53
After deducting affiliates
29
Stock Performance
Change
01.2013 12.2013 03.2014 01.13-12.13
01.14 03.14
ANSGR 1,15 1,33 1,41 15% 7%
IMKB-100 79.642 67.801 69.736 -15% 2%
12.2012 12.2013
ANSGR 1,15 1,33
EPS (net profit / capital) -0,13 0,13
P / E (Mcap / net profit) -8,99 9,86
P / BV (Mcap / Book value) 0,76 0,73
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
0,00
10.000,00
20.000,00
30.000,00
40.000,00
50.000,00
60.000,00
70.000,00
80.000,00
90.000,00
100.000,00
01.13 02.13 03.13 04.13 05.13 06.13 07.13 08.13 09.13 10.13 11.13 12.13 01.14 02.14 03.14
Market Performance
bist100 ansgr
30
Almost all of our bank deposits mature in 1 to 3 months time and bonds generally in 3 years.
60% of funds are related to stocks.
31% of bonds are corporate bonds.
Our aim is to diversify our portfolio and
gain more flexibility against possible fluctuations especially on crisis times.
Investment Portfolio (03.2014)
Stocks ; 0,4% Bonds; 30,1%
Deposits; 58,3%
Funds; 9,7%
Other; 1,5%
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information on the business development of Anadolu Sigorta. These statements may be spoken or written and can be recognized by terms such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “seeks” or words with similar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions relating to the development of the economies of individual countries, and in particular of the insurance industry, which we have made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realistic at the time of going to press. The estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actual developments may differ from those forecasts.
Anadolu Sigorta does not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its content due to misleading information in this document.
31
Disclaimer
Thank you…
For further information please
e-mail to: [email protected]
or call Anadolu Sigorta Investor Relations on
(+9 0850 744 02 54),
(+9 0850 744 01 64)
32