38
Investment in Shares Dr. S M Shafi Department of Business & Financial Studies University of Kashmir.

Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Investment in Shares

Dr. S M Shafi

Department of Business & Financial Studies

University of Kashmir.

Page 2: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Synoptic View

• Investment Instruments & Avenues

• Stock Market

• Case for Investing in Shares

• Market Index

Page 3: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Investment Instruments & Avenues

Page 4: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Financial Instruments

Two Categories:

1. Money Market Instruments

2. Capital Market Instruments

Page 5: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Money Market Instruments

1. Certificate of Deposits

2. Commercial Paper

3. Treasury Bills

All maturing within One Year [ Short Term

Instruments]

Page 6: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Capital Market Instruments

1. Shares

2. Debentures ( Bonds )

S h a r e s

1. Equities ( No Fixed Dividend, Voting Right)

2. Preference Shares ( Dividend Fixed, No Voting Right)

[ Maturing after One Year]

Page 7: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Debentures:

15% 5000 Debentures of Rs.1000 each

Types of Debentures

Secured/Unsecured

or Naked

Debentures

Redeemable/

Irredeemable

Convertible/

Non-Convertible

Debentures

Zeero Coupon

Rate/ Specific

Coupon Rate

Page 8: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Investment Options Available To Small Investors

Investment Options

• Land

• Bank deposits

• Shares

• Bonds

Remarks

• Require huge investment

• No stream of regular income

• Low risk, highly rewarding. low liquidity

• Low return; low risk & high liquidity

• Regular income plus capital appreciation high return/risk

• Generate steady regular income

• Low return & low risk 8

Page 9: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Stock Market

Page 10: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Stock Market

Raising of Capital From market:

1. Primary Market [Through IPO]

2. Secondary Market [ Stock Exchange]

Why Stock Exchange Market?

Two Reasons

1. For exit & Entry Purposes

2. Price Discovery

Page 11: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Stock Exchanges

• 23 Stock Exchanges in India

• BSE & NSE – The most followed

• BSE is the Oldest

• NSE is modern and professionally driven

• Regional Stock Exchanges

• Bourses in French Language

Page 12: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Listing

• Initial Listing in Regional Stock Exchange is

Mandatory.

• Then you can List in BSE or NSE or both

• Initial Listing Fee and Yearly Listing Fee

Page 13: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Specified/Non-Specified Group

Specified Group Non-Specified Group

Non-Cash List

Cash List

Three years Mandatory in this

Group

After Three Years shift to

Non- Specified Group

Page 14: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Stock Markets: Then & Now

Earlier Now

Physical Exchange Virtual

Open Outcry System,

Trading Floor

Screenbased Traded

Client Broker, Floor

Brokers

Internet

Page 15: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Types of Players in the Market

• Gamblers

• Speculators

• Investors

Page 16: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Types of Brokers

Bull [ Tejiwala]

Bear [ Mandiwala]

Jobber [Tarawaniwala]

Stag [ who buys fresh issues from IPO]

Page 17: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Speculative Transaction

Bulls & Bears Earlier:

a) Carry Forward System

b) Badla System

C) Margin Trading

Now : a) Carry Forward Abolished

b) T+2

c) Margin Trading Continues

d) Govt. Thinks of T+1

Page 18: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

The Case for Investing in

Stocks

Page 19: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

The Case for Investing in Shares

Company Price

Nov.

2004

Price

Nov. 2005

Gain

Times

RIL 440 810 About 2

times

J&K BANK 250 465 About 2

times

INFOSIS 1250 2700 More than

2 times

BHEL 450 1200 About 3

times

19

Page 20: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

The Case for Investing in Shares

Shares bought in 1980-81 100

Bonus issue in 1982 [ 1 : 1 ] 100 200

Bonus issue in 1985 [ 1 : 1 ] 200 400

Bonus issue in 1987 [ 1 : 1 ] 400 800

Bonus issue in 1989 [ 1 : 1 ] 800 1600

Bonus issue in 1992 [ 3 : 5 ] 960 2560

20

Colgate India Ltd: Capital Appreciation by 90 times

Page 21: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

The Case for Investing in Shares Colgate India Ltd: Capital Appreciation by 90 times

No of Shares bought in 1980 100 2560

Market price per share 125 440

Market value of investment 12500 11,26,400

Growth in investment 90 times

Market price of gold 1400 4200

Growth in gold value 3 times 21

1980-81 1993-94

Page 22: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Different Issue Prices

Issue at Par

Issue at Premium

Issue at Discount

Page 23: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Methods of Pricing

1. Fixed Pricing Mechanism

2. Book Building

Fixed Pricing Mechanism

• Price is fixed by the promoter…..

• Same price is paid by all the subscribers

23

Page 24: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Book Building Method

Book Building Method

• Bids are invited from the investors with a

band price say 450-900

• On the basis of the bids, cut-off price is

fixed.

• The cut off price to be paid by all

Page 25: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Different Values

What are the different values?

: Face value

: Book value

: Market value

25

Page 26: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Market Index

Major Indices

BSE Sensex = 30 Scrips

Covers 16 Sectors

NSE CNX S&P Nifty = 50 Scrips

Covers 22 Sectors

Page 27: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Scrip Code Scrip Name Close Price No. of

Shares(normal) Full Mkt. Cap.(Rs.

in Crores) Free-Float Adj. Factor

Free-Float Mkt. Cap

(Rs.in Crores)

Weight in Index(%)

500325 RELIANCE 2,666.15 1,453,648,601 387,564.52 0.50 193,782.26 16.56

532174 ICICI BANK L 891.30 1,111,477,508 99,065.99 1.00 99,065.99 8.46

500209 INFOSYS TECH 1,779.80 571,995,750 101,803.80 0.85 86,533.23 7.39

500510 LARSEN & TOU 2,886.20 292,147,098 84,319.50 0.90 75,887.55 6.48

500010 HOUSING DEVE 2,720.60 284,029,121 77,272.96 0.85 65,682.02 5.61

500875 I T C LTD 215.05 3,768,561,010 81,042.90 0.70 56,730.03 4.85

532454 BHARTI ARTL 827.60 1,897,907,446 157,070.82 0.35 54,974.79 4.70

500112 STATE BANK O 1,729.80 631,558,654 109,247.02 0.45 49,161.16 4.20

500312 ONG CORP LTD 1,028.35 2,138,872,530 219,950.96 0.20 43,990.19 3.76

500470 TATA STL 845.65 731,234,846 61,836.87 0.70 43,285.81 3.70

500180 HDFC BANK LT 1,508.40 354,432,920 53,462.66 0.80 42,770.13 3.65

532712 REL COM LTD 542.95 2,064,026,881 112,066.34 0.35 39,223.22 3.35

500103 BHEL 1,760.20 489,520,000 86,165.31 0.35 30,157.86 2.58

500376 SATYAM COMP 471.10 670,479,293 31,586.28 0.95 30,006.97 2.56

500696 HIND UNI LT 250.95 2,177,983,566 54,656.50 0.50 27,328.25 2.33

532555 NTPC LTD 192.70 8,245,464,400 158,890.10 0.15 23,833.51 2.04

532540 TCS LTD. 943.70 978,610,498 92,351.47 0.25 23,087.87 1.97

500390 RELIANCE ENR 1,394.10 234,668,582 32,715.15 0.70 22,900.60 1.96

532532 JAIPRAK ASSO 269.05 1,170,563,191 31,494.00 0.60 18,896.40 1.61

532868 DLF LIMITED 643.80 1,704,832,680 109,757.13 0.15 16,463.57 1.41

500300 GRASIM INDUS 2,331.85 91,674,210 21,377.05 0.75 16,032.79 1.37

500570 TATA MOTORS 669.10 385,490,822 25,793.19 0.60 15,475.91 1.32

500440 HINDALCO IN 180.05 1,227,184,963 22,095.47 0.70 15,466.83 1.32

507685 WIPRO LTD. 497.15 1,461,439,242 72,655.45 0.20 14,531.09 1.24

500520 MAHINDRA & M 678.75 245,741,813 16,679.73 0.80 13,343.78 1.14

500359 RANBAXY LABO 470.05 373,227,647 17,543.57 0.70 12,280.50 1.05

532500 MARUTISUZUK 770.25 288,910,060 22,253.30 0.50 11,126.65 0.95

500087 CIPLA LTD. 211.55 777,291,358 16,443.60 0.65 10,688.34 0.91

500425 AMBUJA CEME 111.40 1,522,373,923 16,959.25 0.55 9,327.59 0.80

500410 ACC LTD 743.25 187,634,983 13,945.97 0.60 8,367.58 0.71

TOTAL 2,388,066.86 1,170,402.47

Page 28: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Construction of Stock Market Indices: Market Capitalisation Method

Share Price in Price in No. of Out- M.Cap. In M.Cap. in

base Yr current Yr standing shares Base year Current year

( In million )

A 50 70 10 500 700

B 40 50 8 320 400

C 100 90 7 700 630

D 20 80 5 100 400

E 15 24 9 135 216

------- ---------

1755 2346

Market Cap. Index = 2346/1755 = 133.67

Page 29: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Index Divisor

• 100/base year market capitalization • Suppose base year M. Capitalisation= 5500 crores

• Remember the base year Market Capitalization was kept equal to 100 Points

• Thus Index Divisor= 100/5500=1/55

• Suppose further that the Current Market Capitalisation= 10,00,000 crores

• Thus Index would be= 1/55X 10,00,000= 18818

Page 30: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Other BSE & NSE Indices

• BSE 100 BSE IT

• BSE 200 BSE FMCG

• BSE 500 BSE Capital Goods

• BSE Tech BSE Consumer Dur

• Dollex 30 BSE H Care

• DOLLEX 100 BSE Bankex

• Dollex 200 BSE Auto

• BSE PSU BSE Metal

Page 31: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Foreign Indices

• NASDAQ 100

• NYSE

• LSE 100

• Standard & Poor 500

• Dow Jones Industrial Averages( DJIA) 200

• CAC 40 ( French)

• Dax 15 ( German)

• Nikkei 225 ( Japan)

• Hang Seng ( Hong Kong)

Page 32: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

WHO SELECTS THESE STOCKS? They are selected by the Index committee of IISL.

Some of the criteria they follow include :

1)Market capitalization.

2)Liquidity.

3)Continuity.

4)Industry representation.

5)Listed history.

Represents 44% of market capitalization 16 sectors 52% of trading volumes

Page 33: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Risk Profile of Various Assets

Return speculative share.

growth share.

Debentures bluechip sh.

PSU Bonds

Govt. sec.

Risk

………………RISK – RETURN – RELATIONSHIP……………….

33

Page 34: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

R e g u l a t o r 1947 To 1992 From June ,1992

Capital Issues Control Act , 1947 Securities and Exchange Board of India

SEBI, 1992

Stricter Liberal

IPOs not easily Possible strict pricing

regime

IPOs Possible with Free Pricing Regime

Transparency:

No Transparency ensured

Transparency:

More Transparency ensured:

1. Risk Factors

a) Internal b) External

Regulates:

Equities & Debentures, Bonds

Derivatives, Mutual Funds,

Page 35: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

How to Set a Limit to Your Greed?

Here Are Some Tips:

1. Have a realistic profit goal & sell once it is reached

2.Don’t aim to sell at peak levels? You don’t know

what the peak price is until the market starts sliding

down

3. Realize your profits & don’t worry about profits you

may have lost by not waiting longer

4. Sell when price is moving up

35

Page 36: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Rules of the Stock Market Investment Game

You Should not buy……

1. Unlisted shares

2. Inactive shares

3. Shares of closely held companies.

36

Page 37: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Derivatives Financial Instruments

1. Forwards

2. Futures

3. Options:

a) Call Option

b) Put Option

4. Swaps

a) Currency Swaps

b) Interest Rate Swaps

Page 38: Investment in Shareshrdc.uok.edu.in/Files/c2ce2564-691e-4c9a-ae8a-44f8e3244c60/Custom... · return/risk • Generate steady ... Company Price Nov. 2004 Price Nov. 2005 Gain Times

Thank You All