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“It is not the strongest of the
species that survives, nor the
most intelligent that survives.
It is the one that is
most adaptable to change”
(Charles Darwin, Scientist)
3
Technologies that have changed
the world…
Source: Westerhout Delft-University-of-Technology
Adoption (% of Households)
4
Source: Westerhout Delft-University-of-Technology
… have one thing in common…
Adoption (% of Households)
5
Source: Westerhout Delft-University-of-Technology
…have one thing in common …
Adoption (% of Households)
6
Source: Westerhout Delft-University-of-Technology
… an ever accelerating adoption rate
Adoption (% of Households)
7
Exponential technologies propel
each other to increasing rates of
growth, adoption, change.
Tech
Adoption
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Approaching Tech Investing:
Pitfalls & Opportunities
9
Did you know?
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Tech Investing: Capex and R&D
Spending Doesn’t Always Drive Success
Cumulative R&D Spending (U.S. $B), 2005-2007,
Bloomberg
$13.4B
$2.0B
2005 2006 2007
Chart Source: Bloomberg
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Did you know?
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MOOG MOTION
CONTROLNew Energy, Space, Robotics, 3D Printing, Artificial Intelligence
Tech Investing: Classification
ICB: Industrials
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Tech Investing: Classification
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Tech Investing: Classification
Source: The Singularity Group AG
BASF
ADIDAS
RIO TINTO
DISNEY
PEPSI
XYLEM
…
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Technology
Sector
Tech Outside
Tech
All Sectors
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Exponential Revenue
10% of Company Revenue
New Technology
‘Hype’
Initial Capex
Initial Cost
Initial Revenue
This time lag gets underestimated
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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CapexMarketing, PressTechnology CompaniesHigh Valuations
RevenueBusiness IntegrationBusiness TransformationValue Creation
Exponential Revenue
10% of Company Revenue
New Technology‘Hype’
Initial Capex
Initial Cost
Initial
RevenueThis time lag gets underestimated
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Valuation
SINGULARITY
SWEET SPOT
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Global Equity Universe
Universe: 90’000 Listed Equities
GlobalAll Sector
All Market Cap
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Universe: 90’000 Listed Equities
GlobalAll Sector
All Market Cap
Benchmarks
Technology
Global Equity Universe
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Benchmarks
Technology
Singularity4000 Revenue exposure to Singularity Sectors
> 0%
Singularity Universe
Universe: 90’000 Listed Equities
GlobalAll Sector
All Market Cap
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
22
Singularity4000 Revenue exposure to Singularity Sectors > 0%
Singularity Universe
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Singularity4000 Revenue exposure to Singularity Sectors > 0%
Singularity UniverseRevenue exposure to Singularity Sectors >
10%
Singularity Universe
Chart Source: The Singularity Group AG
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TSG Sector Classification
3D Printing
Artificial Intelligence
Big Data
Bioinformatics
Blockchain
Internet of Things
Nanotechnology
Neuroscience
New Energy
New Space
Robotics
Virtual and Augmented Reality
GICS or ICB
Sector Classification
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Energy
Financial
Health Care
Industrials
Technology
Materials
Real Estate
Telecommunication Services
Utilities
Source: The Singularity Group AG
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Exponential technologies
propel each other to increasing
rates of growth, adoption, change.
Tech
Adoption
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Tech Adoption
Source: Comin and Hobijn et al; OurWorldInData.org/techn
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Tech Adoption
Source: Comin and Hobijn et al; OurWorldInData.org/techn
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https://www.emarketer.com/content/nearly-half-of-us-households-are-now-amazon-prime-subscribers
Companys That Responded to
Technology Adoption of the Market
Source: Comin and Hobijn et al; OurWorldInData.org/techn; Sources: Statista 2019, Emarketer
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https://www.emarketer.com/content/nearly-half-of-us-households-are-now-amazon-prime-subscribers
,,GM ignored newtechnologies and failed to innovate’’
Ignoring Further Tech-Development
Source: Comin and Hobijn et al; OurWorldInData.org/techn; Sources: Statista 2019, Emarketer
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Tech Adoption - Outlook
Advanced Materials
Multiple Material Robotic 3D Print
Blockchain in Healthcare?
Cryptocurrencies in Investment Portfolios
20XX//
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Innovation
Happens In
All Sectors
Technology
Changes All
Sectors
Singularity
Sectors Can
Create Value In
Multiple
Industries
Outside Tech
Every Company
Can And
Should Be An
Innovation
Company
It’s Time for a New Classification System for Equities
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Revenue in Exponential Technologies
34%
16%15%
11%
7%
6%
5%
2%2%
2%
Technology
Industrials
Healthcare
Consumer Goods
Financials
Consumer Services
Telecom
Materials
Energy
Utilities
Other
Source: The Singularity Group AG
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20.0%
18.7%
11.2%10.1%
8.8%
8.5%
7.4%
4.0%
4.0%3.5%
3.1%Big Data
Internet of Things
Space
Neuroscience
Artificial Intelligence
Bioinformatics
Robotics
Blockchain
Virtual Reality
3D Printing
New Energy
Nanotechnology
Source: The Singularity Group AG
Revenue in Exponential Technologies
34
Source: The Singularity Group AG
Revenue in Exponential Technologies
55%
8%
7%
7%
5%
5%
4%4%3%3%North America
Germany
Japan
Other
Hong Kong
South Korea
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Switzerland
Taiwan
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Source: Factset – for more detail, please contact us ([email protected])
Portfolio PerformanceThe Singularity Group is exclusive owner of the Nasdaq Singularity Index
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As technologies change the
world, the way we live, and the
economy – it is about time that
we change the way we think
about investing.
Exponential Investing