Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting

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  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    Lecture Notes 1

    Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Macroeconomics

    the study of the economy as a whole it deals with broad aggregates but uses the same style of thinking about economic issues as in

    microeconomics. Some key issues in Macroeconomics

    Inflation o the rate of change of the general price level

    Unemployment o a measure of the number of people looking for work, but who are

    without jobs Output

    o real gross national product (GNP) measures total income of an economy it is closely related to the economy's total output

    Economic growth o increases in real GNP, an indication of the expansion of the

    economys total output Macroeconomic policy

    o a variety of policy measures used by the government to affect the overall performance of the economy taxes government spending money supply interest rates exchange rates

    Main Macroeconomic Variables

    GDP/GNP Inflation Interest Rates Exchange Rates Unemployment Rate Stock Market

  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    The Circular flow Model

    Assumptions Factor income = household spending

    o all income is spent The value of output = spending

    o all goods are sold value of output = households income

    o profits, wage or rent to households

    FirmsHouseholds

    Services of productive factors

    Factor Incomes

    Goods & Services

    Spendings on Goods & services

  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    Investment and Saving

    Investment o is the purchase of new capital goods by firms

    Saving o is that part of income which is not spent buying goods and

    services

    National Income Accounting National Income Accounting is a branch of macroeconomics that captures the total flows of income as well as of goods and services within a certain period. GDP and GNP

    Gross domestic product (GDP) Gross Domestic Product is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country within a year.

    Gross national product (GNP)

    o measures the total income earned by domestic citizens GNP = GDP + net income from abroad Y : GDP C: households spending on consumption S: saving S Y - C or Y C + S Y or GDP by expenditure

    Firms Households

    Goods & Services

    Spendings on Goods & services

    Services of productive factors

    Factor Incomes

    Investmentspending

    Saving

  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    Y C +I or Y C + I = C + S thus S I

    Over any given period of time, the National Income Accounting Definitions are such that the amount of Investment Spending must be exactly equal to the amount of Household Saving (in the simple economy so far considered). The circular flow of income, expenditure and output

    Government in the circular flow

    Government o collects direct taxes on factor income

    wages, profit, rent Td o collects indirect taxes (sales taxes) on sales Te

    in Turkey KDV (katma deger vergisi) o Spends on goods and services G

    wages of civil servants, military expenses, health, education, all equipment

    Y

    Households Firms

    C + I

    I

    C S

  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    Three Measures of National Output

    A. Expenditure Approach

    the sum of expenditures in the economy Y = C + I + G + X Z

    Components of GDP

    Consumption expenditures are for Durable goods, products that last more than one year (cars,

    appliances) Nondurable goods, products that last less than one year (food,

    clothing) Services (medical care, insurance)

    Investment includes: Business Fixed Investment

    Nonresidential - business purchases of plant and equipment

    Residential - construction of new houses Change in Business Inventories

    The difference between what a firm produces and what it sells within the year

    Economic investment does not include purchases of stocks, bonds, and other financial assets

    Government Spending

    Y

    C + I + G

    I

    C S

    Households Firms Government

    C + I + G - Te

    TG

    B - TdY + B

    T

  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    Government expenditures may also be classified as consumption and investment spending.

    Government transfer payments are not included in GDP.

    Net Exports + Spending by foreigners on local production - Spending by local consumers, businesses, government on foreign

    production.

    B. Income Approach the sum of incomes paid for factor services

    Components of National Income

    Compensation of Employees Wages and salaries paid to individuals and employer contributions

    for social security and other pension and health funds Proprietors Income

    Earnings of sole proprietorships and partnerships Rental Income

    Income from property, received by households Net Interest

    Income private businesses pay to households that have lent them money

    Corporate Profits Revenue left after compensation to employees, rents, and interest

    have been paid

    C. Output Approach the sum of output (value added) produced in the economy Measures economic activity from the product side. It focuses on

    the value added within a country. Gross value added is the sum of all output values corrected for intermediate inputs

    D. Personal Disposable Income

    Personal Disposable Income (PDI) is the amount of income individuals have left after paying all personal taxes.

    PDI is the amount of income individuals have to spend on goods and services.

    E. Welfare Considerations

    Legal nonmarket activities are excluded from GDP. Illegal nonmarket activities are excluded from GDP. Resource depleting activities are included in GDP.

  • Lecture Notes I: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting Jai Leonard I. Carinan

    In terms of formulae We know from the expenditure approach that everything produced in a country in a period is consumed, in the wider sense, as private consumption, government consumption, investment, and net exports. This can be expressed in a basic formula: GDP= Y= C+ I+ G + (X-M) Approaching from the income side, we see that all income is spent on consumption, savings, or taxes. Accordingly, we receive:

    GDP= Y= C + S + T Both are identities that have to hold all the time. We can therefore always combine them to get C + S + T= C+ I+ G + (X-M) which can obviously be rewritten as (S-I)+ (T-G)= (X-M) NOTE:

    In a closed economy: X-M=0 Private savings are invested or pay a government budget deficit

    Without a government: T-G=0 Private savings are invested at home or

    abroad

    Closed economy without government: S=I! References

    Dornbusch, R., Fischer, S. and Startz, R., Macroeconomics, 7th edition, 1998. Colander, David C. Macroeconomics, 6th edition, Wall Street Journal Edition, Irwin/McGraw Hill.